Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Player · 108 career games · 2023-24–2026-27

Daisuke Suzuki

Uses calls a lot to move hands along. Stands out for being tenpai at draws, many deal-ins and big wins. Career record: -1.1pt per game, but allowing for luck the difference from average is not clear yet.

Actual / game
-1.1
108 career games
Skill estimate / game
-0.5
90% interval -5.5 to +4.5
Estimate, luck removed
-1.5
adjusted for starting hands, draws, ura-dora
Weight of the record
44%
share of the estimate from the record

Styleleague percentile, career

  • Average win value6,813
  • Riichi rate22.9%
  • Deal-in rate11.9%
  • Win rate19.7%
  • First riichi rate75.3%
  • Average riichi turn9.25
  • Call rate26.5%
  • Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws44.5%
  • Staying in vs riichi14.6%
  • Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)40.4%
  • Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)28.4%
  • Tile efficiency match rate74.6%
  • Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.16
  • Immediate riichi rate70.3%
  • Dama rate12.5%

Color only for metrics with a good side (red = good, blue = bad). Metrics of style, such as riichi rate, call rate and tile efficiency match rate, are gray. For tenpai turn, further right means later (a larger turn number). Values are estimates.

Placements108 career games, average placement 2.57

  • 1st24.1%26×
  • 2nd24.1%26×
  • 3rd22.2%24×
  • 4th29.6%32×

Riichi and callsbalance and outcome of hands with riichi or calls

  • Riichi income2,553
  • Riichi win rate43.6%
  • Riichi deal-in rate A14.5%
  • Riichi deal-in rate B11.1%
  • Riichi good-wait rate50.2%
  • Riichi exhaustive draw rate21.9%
  • Call income506
  • Win rate after calling28.6%
  • Deal-in rate after calling13.1%
  • Tenpai rate after the first call21.5%

Income is the average points won or lost in those hands (riichi sticks and honba included).

Net efficiency and morecalculated as on Mahjong Soul Paifuya, per hand

  • Net efficiency839
  • Deal-in loss655
  • Average win turn12.38

Deal-in loss = deal-in rate × average deal-in; net efficiency = win rate × average win − deal-in loss. Win and deal-in values include honba and riichi sticks. Win turn is the number of tiles discarded at the table when the win came ÷ 4 + 1. Win efficiency (win rate × average win) is not shown: players with a high win rate win smaller hands, the two cancel out, and differences between players cannot be told apart from chance.

Skill estimateleague percentile of the estimates

  • Points per game-0.5
  • Points per game, luck removed-1.5
  • Average placement2.53

Luckfurther right is luckier; values are differences from the league average (the dealer tsumo rate is the rate itself)

  • Points from luck (/game)+1.7
  • Draw luck-0.1%
  • Starting hand (shanten)+0.02
  • Dora and red fives dealt+0.04
  • Ura-dora luck+0.06
  • Ippatsu rate-1.3%
  • Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)+0.9%
  • Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate12.9%

Where the points came fromchange in expected points, all stages

  • Own wins+46.7
  • Deal-ins-21.2
  • Others' tsumo-23.4
  • Ron between others-3.8
  • Exhaustive draws+0.5
Change in expected points per game. Total -1.2pt/game (108 games).
As a table
Hand resultHandsTotalPer game
Own wins261+5043.3+46.7
Deal-ins169-2293.6-21.2
Others' tsumo357-2525.0-23.4
Ron between others310-406.0-3.8
Exhaustive draws240+53.8+0.5

Hand balance breakdownpoints won or lost per hand, all stages

CategoryFrequencyBalance per handLeague averageDifference
Wins with riichi9.7%+867+919-52
Wins with calls7.4%+481+382+99
Dama wins2.4%+179+173+7
Deal-ins to riichi5.5%-394-360-34
Deal-ins to open hands5.4%-207-203-3
Deal-ins to dama1.8%-109-101-9
Others' tsumo26.7%-743-752+10
Other (exhaustive draws, etc.)41.1%-22-60+37
Total (per hand)+53
Every career number (estimate, 90% interval, weight of the record)
Results
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Average placement2.572.53 (2.41 to 2.65)43%25108 games
Points per game-1.1-0.5 (-5.5 to 4.5)44%41108 games
Points per game, luck removed-2.8-1.5 (-6.0 to 3.0)52%23108 games
1st-place rate24.1%24.6% (19.7% to 29.5%)46%43108 games
4th-place rate29.6%27.1% (22.2% to 32.0%)47%13108 games
Style
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Win rate19.5%19.7% (18.3% to 21.1%)63%371,337 hands
Deal-in rate12.6%11.9% (10.8% to 13.0%)59%91,337 hands
Riichi rate23.0%22.9% (21.4% to 24.5%)64%521,337 hands
Call rate26.7%26.5% (24.7% to 28.4%)95%801,337 hands
First riichi rate74.4%75.3% (72.6% to 78.1%)41%25308 riichi
Average riichi turn9.209.25 (9.00 to 9.49)64%72308 riichi
Average win value7,0256,813 (6,474 to 7,153)51%86261 wins
Average deal-in value5,1955,469 (5,132 to 5,805)36%92169 deal-ins
Win efficiency1,5281,481 (1,397 to 1,565)13%681,337 hands
Deal-in loss683655 (587 to 723)37%231,337 hands
Net efficiency845839 (702 to 976)40%521,337 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)40.1%40.4% (36.4% to 44.4%)57%43237 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)29.5%28.4% (24.3% to 32.4%)71%74227 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call20.7%21.5% (17.9% to 25.0%)85%9357 first calls
Average win turn12.3312.38 (12.25 to 12.51)6%58261 wins
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws47.9%44.5% (40.5% to 48.5%)57%96240 exhaustive draws
Staying in vs riichi16.3%14.6% (13.3% to 16.0%)25%94688 hands facing an opponent’s riichi
Tile efficiency match rate74.7%74.6% (73.7% to 75.4%)95%727,090 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)0.940.95 (0.89 to 1.00)92%116,832 discards
Breaking shape for value2.4%2.3% (2.1% to 2.6%)88%867,090 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.108.16 (8.06 to 8.26)15%39290 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate69.7%70.3% (66.6% to 74.0%)72%31290 tenpai hands
Dama rate12.3%12.5% (9.4% to 15.6%)81%45261 wins
Riichi income2,4692,553 (2,080 to 3,026)45%33308 riichi
Riichi win rate42.2%43.6% (39.8% to 47.3%)64%11308 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A16.2%14.5% (13.0% to 16.1%)11%13308 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B11.4%11.1% (9.3% to 12.9%)25%41308 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate50.6%50.2% (46.8% to 53.6%)51%52308 riichi
Riichi exhaustive draw rate24.0%21.9% (19.1% to 24.7%)56%94308 riichi
Call income538506 (232 to 780)37%56357 calls
Win rate after calling27.7%28.6% (25.5% to 31.7%)58%23357 calls
Deal-in rate after calling14.3%13.1% (11.0% to 15.3%)58%7357 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
MetricActualPercentileCount
Starting hand (shanten)+0.02921,337 hands
Dora and red fives dealt+0.04981,337 hands
Draw luck-0.1%3515,929 tile draws
Ura-dora luck+0.0682130 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate-1.3%29130 riichi wins
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)+0.9%66229 first riichi
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate12.9%31357 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)+1.786108 games

By seasonRegular Season

2026-27 (13 games · skill estimate -0.2pt/game)

Style

  • Average win value6,768
  • Riichi rate23.2%
  • Deal-in rate11.1%
  • Win rate20.1%
  • First riichi rate76.1%
  • Average riichi turn9.25
  • Call rate24.1%
  • Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws39.8%
  • Staying in vs riichi14.2%
  • Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)42.5%
  • Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)28.2%
  • Tile efficiency match rate75.5%
  • Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.17
  • Immediate riichi rate71.5%
  • Dama rate12.6%

Where the points came from

  • Own wins+58.4
  • Deal-ins-27.1
  • Others' tsumo-27.2
  • Ron between others-4.1
  • Exhaustive draws-2.1
Change in expected points per game. Total -2.0pt/game (13 games).
As a table
Hand resultHandsTotalPer game
Own wins35+759.6+58.4
Deal-ins21-352.0-27.1
Others' tsumo50-353.5-27.2
Ron between others34-53.4-4.1
Exhaustive draws31-27.0-2.1

Luck

  • Points from luck (/game)+5.3
  • Draw luck+1.2%
  • Starting hand (shanten)+0.03
  • Dora and red fives dealt+0.09
  • Ura-dora luck+0.12
  • Ippatsu rate-1.6%
  • Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)-5.0%
  • Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate10.0%
Every number for 2026-27
Results
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Average placement2.622.51 (2.28 to 2.73)8%4213 games
Points per game-2.3-0.2 (-9.4 to 9.0)9%4613 games
Points per game, luck removed-7.6-0.9 (-9.5 to 7.8)12%2513 games
1st-place rate15.4%24.2% (15.2% to 33.2%)9%2813 games
4th-place rate23.1%24.7% (15.5% to 33.9%)10%5913 games
Style
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Win rate20.5%20.1% (17.2% to 22.9%)18%71171 hands
Deal-in rate12.3%11.1% (9.0% to 13.3%)15%28171 hands
Riichi rate25.1%23.2% (20.2% to 26.2%)19%73171 hands
Call rate24.6%24.1% (19.6% to 28.6%)72%49171 hands
First riichi rate76.7%76.1% (71.3% to 80.8%)9%5543 riichi
Average riichi turn8.939.25 (8.78 to 9.73)20%6543 riichi
Average win value8,0236,768 (6,131 to 7,404)12%10035 wins
Average deal-in value5,9955,650 (5,076 to 6,225)7%2521 deal-ins
Win efficiency1,7911,480 (1,372 to 1,589)2%89171 hands
Deal-in loss773648 (532 to 764)7%20171 hands
Net efficiency1,018850 (608 to 1,091)8%73171 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)51.4%42.5% (35.0% to 50.1%)16%9235 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)37.0%28.2% (19.8% to 36.6%)23%8427 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call26.2%25.9% (18.3% to 33.5%)41%6042 first calls
Average win turn12.0712.38 (12.22 to 12.53)1%7335 wins
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws38.7%39.8% (32.1% to 47.6%)15%3631 exhaustive draws
Staying in vs riichi17.2%14.2% (12.2% to 16.2%)4%7687 hands facing an opponent’s riichi
Tile efficiency match rate76.5%75.5% (73.4% to 77.6%)72%84874 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)0.720.86 (0.74 to 0.99)59%4839 discards
Breaking shape for value2.1%2.0% (1.5% to 2.6%)48%57874 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.168.17 (8.03 to 8.30)3%5544 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate71.3%71.5% (64.5% to 78.6%)28%4944 tenpai hands
Dama rate11.4%12.6% (6.3% to 19.0%)36%7335 wins
Riichi income3,7232,737 (1,886 to 3,588)10%9543 riichi
Riichi win rate51.2%47.0% (39.7% to 54.3%)20%8143 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A14.0%14.3% (12.4% to 16.3%)2%4643 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B9.3%11.0% (8.3% to 13.7%)5%6343 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate53.5%50.2% (43.8% to 56.6%)13%7143 riichi
Riichi exhaustive draw rate18.6%19.2% (13.8% to 24.5%)15%4143 riichi
Call income-331433 (-43.71 to 909)7%1242 calls
Win rate after calling21.4%28.6% (22.5% to 34.8%)14%1242 calls
Deal-in rate after calling11.9%11.6% (7.3% to 15.8%)14%4142 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
MetricActualPercentileCount
Starting hand (shanten)+0.0363171 hands
Dora and red fives dealt+0.0992171 hands
Draw luck+1.2%952,040 tile draws
Ura-dora luck+0.126522 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate-1.6%4122 riichi wins
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)-5.0%2833 first riichi
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate10.0%6850 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)+5.37613 games
Hand balance breakdown
CategoryFrequencyBalance per handLeague averageDifference
Wins with riichi12.9%+1,278+919+359
Wins with calls5.3%+231+382-151
Dama wins2.3%+282+173+110
Deal-ins to riichi5.8%-434-360-74
Deal-ins to open hands5.8%-325-203-121
Deal-ins to dama0.6%-38-101+63
Others' tsumo29.2%-798-752-45
Other (exhaustive draws, etc.)38.0%-56-60+4
Total (per hand)+142
2025-26 (27 games · skill estimate -1.0pt/game)

Style

  • Average win value6,462
  • Riichi rate23.0%
  • Deal-in rate11.4%
  • Win rate19.6%
  • First riichi rate75.3%
  • Average riichi turn9.18
  • Call rate26.7%
  • Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws42.7%
  • Staying in vs riichi14.1%
  • Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)40.1%
  • Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)26.9%
  • Tile efficiency match rate73.6%
  • Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.16
  • Immediate riichi rate70.6%
  • Dama rate10.8%

Where the points came from

  • Own wins+38.2
  • Deal-ins-20.1
  • Others' tsumo-22.0
  • Ron between others-3.8
  • Exhaustive draws+1.5
Change in expected points per game. Total -6.2pt/game (27 games).
As a table
Hand resultHandsTotalPer game
Own wins61+1030.1+38.2
Deal-ins42-541.5-20.1
Others' tsumo82-595.3-22.0
Ron between others87-102.0-3.8
Exhaustive draws52+40.9+1.5

Luck

  • Points from luck (/game)+5.0
  • Draw luck+0.6%
  • Starting hand (shanten)+0.07
  • Dora and red fives dealt+0.08
  • Ura-dora luck+0.17
  • Ippatsu rate-6.8%
  • Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)+3.1%
  • Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate12.2%
Every number for 2025-26
Results
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Average placement2.672.52 (2.33 to 2.72)16%2627 games
Points per game-5.9-1.0 (-8.9 to 6.9)17%2927 games
Points per game, luck removed-10.9-2.3 (-9.6 to 4.9)22%927 games
1st-place rate18.5%23.9% (16.2% to 31.6%)17%2627 games
4th-place rate33.3%26.4% (18.6% to 34.3%)18%1927 games
Style
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Win rate18.8%19.6% (17.3% to 22.0%)29%21324 hands
Deal-in rate13.0%11.4% (9.7% to 13.2%)26%24324 hands
Riichi rate23.5%23.0% (20.5% to 25.4%)31%64324 hands
Call rate27.5%26.7% (23.2% to 30.2%)83%75324 hands
First riichi rate71.1%75.3% (71.0% to 79.6%)14%1676 riichi
Average riichi turn8.829.18 (8.78 to 9.57)31%8776 riichi
Average win value5,9436,462 (5,906 to 7,019)20%1961 wins
Average deal-in value5,0125,549 (5,038 to 6,061)12%8042 deal-ins
Win efficiency1,2511,466 (1,363 to 1,569)4%14324 hands
Deal-in loss673643 (539 to 747)12%49324 hands
Net efficiency578799 (584 to 1,014)14%19324 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)37.3%40.1% (33.3% to 46.8%)22%3451 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)29.4%26.9% (20.2% to 33.6%)36%5751 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call18.0%21.1% (15.2% to 27.0%)59%1989 first calls
Average win turn11.5012.37 (12.22 to 12.51)1%9061 wins
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws51.9%42.7% (36.0% to 49.4%)22%9052 exhaustive draws
Staying in vs riichi14.7%14.1% (12.2% to 16.0%)7%64163 hands facing an opponent’s riichi
Tile efficiency match rate73.7%73.6% (72.0% to 75.2%)83%391,701 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)0.981.00 (0.91 to 1.10)73%541,636 discards
Breaking shape for value3.1%2.7% (2.3% to 3.2%)64%1001,701 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)7.928.16 (8.03 to 8.29)4%2471 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate69.1%70.6% (64.7% to 76.6%)39%3171 tenpai hands
Dama rate8.2%10.8% (5.6% to 16.0%)50%3761 wins
Riichi income1,9622,511 (1,758 to 3,263)17%2476 riichi
Riichi win rate40.8%44.4% (38.4% to 50.5%)30%1676 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A15.8%14.4% (12.5% to 16.2%)3%4276 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B7.9%10.8% (8.3% to 13.3%)8%8576 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate47.4%49.3% (43.7% to 54.8%)20%4376 riichi
Riichi exhaustive draw rate23.7%20.3% (15.8% to 24.9%)24%9276 riichi
Call income273459 (39.40 to 878)13%4789 calls
Win rate after calling28.1%29.4% (24.4% to 34.3%)26%3989 calls
Deal-in rate after calling13.5%12.0% (8.6% to 15.5%)26%3789 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
MetricActualPercentileCount
Starting hand (shanten)+0.0797324 hands
Dora and red fives dealt+0.0897324 hands
Draw luck+0.6%823,751 tile draws
Ura-dora luck+0.178531 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate-6.8%1931 riichi wins
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)+3.1%7654 first riichi
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate12.2%4982 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)+5.08727 games
Hand balance breakdown
CategoryFrequencyBalance per handLeague averageDifference
Wins with riichi9.6%+770+919-149
Wins with calls7.7%+398+382+16
Dama wins1.5%+82+173-91
Deal-ins to riichi4.9%-357-360+3
Deal-ins to open hands4.3%-111-203+92
Deal-ins to dama3.7%-224-101-123
Others' tsumo25.3%-670-752+82
Other (exhaustive draws, etc.)42.9%+5-60+64
Total (per hand)-106
2024-25 (29 games · skill estimate 0.3pt/game)

Style

  • Average win value6,638
  • Riichi rate22.3%
  • Deal-in rate11.2%
  • Win rate19.6%
  • First riichi rate76.6%
  • Average riichi turn9.44
  • Call rate27.8%
  • Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws43.8%
  • Staying in vs riichi14.3%
  • Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)39.4%
  • Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)29.1%
  • Tile efficiency match rate74.8%
  • Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.16
  • Immediate riichi rate69.9%
  • Dama rate13.8%

Where the points came from

  • Own wins+44.9
  • Deal-ins-19.0
  • Others' tsumo-23.2
  • Ron between others-2.8
  • Exhaustive draws+1.3
Change in expected points per game. Total +1.3pt/game (29 games).
As a table
Hand resultHandsTotalPer game
Own wins70+1301.8+44.9
Deal-ins44-549.7-19.0
Others' tsumo94-671.6-23.2
Ron between others89-80.8-2.8
Exhaustive draws76+39.1+1.3

Luck

  • Points from luck (/game)-4.6
  • Draw luck-0.9%
  • Starting hand (shanten)-0.07
  • Dora and red fives dealt+0.02
  • Ura-dora luck-0.10
  • Ippatsu rate+0.3%
  • Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)-5.9%
  • Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate13.8%
Every number for 2024-25
Results
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Average placement2.552.51 (2.32 to 2.70)17%3529 games
Points per game1.70.3 (-7.5 to 8.1)18%4929 games
Points per game, luck removed6.31.4 (-5.6 to 8.5)23%6929 games
1st-place rate27.6%25.5% (17.9% to 33.1%)18%6029 games
4th-place rate31.0%26.1% (18.4% to 33.8%)19%2929 games
Style
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Win rate18.8%19.6% (17.4% to 21.8%)32%21373 hands
Deal-in rate11.8%11.2% (9.5% to 12.9%)28%32373 hands
Riichi rate21.4%22.3% (20.0% to 24.7%)34%26373 hands
Call rate28.7%27.8% (24.5% to 31.1%)85%80373 hands
First riichi rate80.0%76.6% (72.4% to 80.8%)15%8380 riichi
Average riichi turn9.689.44 (9.06 to 9.83)32%1280 riichi
Average win value6,8076,638 (6,104 to 7,172)22%8970 wins
Average deal-in value4,5955,492 (4,985 to 5,998)13%9444 deal-ins
Win efficiency1,4461,473 (1,371 to 1,575)4%43373 hands
Deal-in loss577630 (529 to 731)14%69373 hands
Net efficiency869841 (633 to 1,049)16%55373 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)35.0%39.4% (32.9% to 45.8%)25%1860 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)33.8%29.1% (23.0% to 35.2%)43%8968 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call19.6%21.8% (16.3% to 27.4%)63%21107 first calls
Average win turn12.4012.38 (12.23 to 12.53)2%3570 wins
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws52.6%43.8% (37.8% to 49.7%)30%10076 exhaustive draws
Staying in vs riichi16.5%14.3% (12.4% to 16.1%)8%80188 hands facing an opponent’s riichi
Tile efficiency match rate75.2%74.8% (73.3% to 76.3%)86%722,001 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)0.981.00 (0.91 to 1.09)76%411,933 discards
Breaking shape for value2.5%2.4% (1.9% to 2.8%)68%922,001 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)7.978.16 (8.03 to 8.29)4%2672 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate67.1%69.9% (63.9% to 75.8%)39%2172 tenpai hands
Dama rate14.3%13.8% (8.8% to 18.8%)53%7770 wins
Riichi income2,2952,565 (1,822 to 3,307)18%4180 riichi
Riichi win rate37.5%43.3% (37.4% to 49.3%)31%780 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A17.5%14.4% (12.6% to 16.3%)3%2680 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B11.3%11.1% (8.6% to 13.6%)8%5580 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate43.8%48.5% (43.0% to 53.9%)21%980 riichi
Riichi exhaustive draw rate32.5%22.6% (18.1% to 27.0%)25%10080 riichi
Call income584501 (99.06 to 904)15%58107 calls
Win rate after calling28.0%29.3% (24.6% to 33.9%)29%29107 calls
Deal-in rate after calling16.8%13.1% (9.8% to 16.3%)29%1107 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
MetricActualPercentileCount
Starting hand (shanten)-0.0715373 hands
Dora and red fives dealt+0.0283373 hands
Draw luck-0.9%154,529 tile draws
Ura-dora luck-0.101530 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate+0.3%7230 riichi wins
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)-5.9%1864 first riichi
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate13.8%2494 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)-4.61529 games
Hand balance breakdown
CategoryFrequencyBalance per handLeague averageDifference
Wins with riichi8.0%+691+919-228
Wins with calls8.0%+590+382+208
Dama wins2.7%+165+173-8
Deal-ins to riichi4.8%-310-360+50
Deal-ins to open hands5.6%-195-203+8
Deal-ins to dama1.3%-96-101+5
Others' tsumo25.2%-670-752+83
Other (exhaustive draws, etc.)44.2%-1-60+58
Total (per hand)+174
2023-24 (30 games · skill estimate -0.6pt/game)

Style

  • Average win value6,810
  • Riichi rate22.7%
  • Deal-in rate11.8%
  • Win rate20.0%
  • First riichi rate75.0%
  • Average riichi turn9.39
  • Call rate24.6%
  • Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws40.3%
  • Staying in vs riichi14.2%
  • Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)41.8%
  • Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)25.2%
  • Tile efficiency match rate74.1%
  • Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.18
  • Immediate riichi rate71.1%
  • Dama rate12.8%

Where the points came from

  • Own wins+49.6
  • Deal-ins-25.0
  • Others' tsumo-23.4
  • Ron between others-4.0
  • Exhaustive draws-0.1
Change in expected points per game. Total -3.0pt/game (30 games).
As a table
Hand resultHandsTotalPer game
Own wins73+1489.3+49.6
Deal-ins51-750.8-25.0
Others' tsumo98-703.4-23.4
Ron between others82-121.2-4.0
Exhaustive draws61-2.5-0.1

Luck

  • Points from luck (/game)+7.1
  • Draw luck-0.3%
  • Starting hand (shanten)+0.08
  • Dora and red fives dealt+0.04
  • Ura-dora luck+0.17
  • Ippatsu rate+1.3%
  • Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)+6.1%
  • Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate12.2%
Every number for 2023-24
Results
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Average placement2.602.51 (2.33 to 2.70)17%3530 games
Points per game-3.2-0.6 (-8.3 to 7.1)18%3530 games
Points per game, luck removed-10.3-2.4 (-9.4 to 4.6)23%930 games
1st-place rate23.3%24.7% (17.2% to 32.2%)19%4930 games
4th-place rate30.0%25.9% (18.3% to 33.5%)20%2430 games
Style
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Win rate20.0%20.0% (17.8% to 22.2%)32%46365 hands
Deal-in rate14.0%11.8% (10.1% to 13.5%)28%12365 hands
Riichi rate22.5%22.7% (20.3% to 25.0%)33%38365 hands
Call rate24.9%24.6% (21.3% to 28.0%)85%72365 hands
First riichi rate69.5%75.0% (70.8% to 79.2%)15%1282 riichi
Average riichi turn9.509.39 (9.00 to 9.77)33%3282 riichi
Average win value7,5586,810 (6,283 to 7,338)23%9773 wins
Average deal-in value5,9105,668 (5,177 to 6,158)15%2951 deal-ins
Win efficiency1,6731,482 (1,380 to 1,584)4%89365 hands
Deal-in loss849668 (566 to 769)14%7365 hands
Net efficiency825834 (625 to 1,043)16%43365 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)44.2%41.8% (35.9% to 47.7%)30%7577 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)24.6%25.2% (19.0% to 31.3%)42%3165 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call25.3%25.4% (19.5% to 31.3%)60%5291 first calls
Average win turn12.7512.39 (12.24 to 12.53)2%1273 wins
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws41.0%40.3% (33.9% to 46.7%)25%4961 exhaustive draws
Staying in vs riichi15.8%14.2% (12.4% to 16.1%)9%89202 hands facing an opponent’s riichi
Tile efficiency match rate74.3%74.1% (72.6% to 75.7%)85%521,949 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)0.970.99 (0.89 to 1.08)76%291,878 discards
Breaking shape for value1.9%2.0% (1.5% to 2.4%)67%551,949 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.538.18 (8.06 to 8.31)5%9779 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate70.3%71.1% (65.3% to 76.8%)41%5279 tenpai hands
Dama rate12.3%12.8% (7.9% to 17.7%)54%5273 wins
Riichi income2,7352,643 (1,906 to 3,381)18%5882 riichi
Riichi win rate46.3%46.1% (40.2% to 52.0%)32%4682 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A19.5%14.5% (12.6% to 16.3%)3%782 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B17.1%11.5% (9.0% to 14.0%)8%982 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate54.9%50.8% (45.4% to 56.3%)22%7282 riichi
Riichi exhaustive draw rate17.1%18.7% (14.3% to 23.1%)25%4182 riichi
Call income871538 (120 to 955)13%8991 calls
Win rate after calling28.6%29.5% (24.6% to 34.4%)26%4891 calls
Deal-in rate after calling15.4%12.5% (9.1% to 16.0%)26%1891 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
MetricActualPercentileCount
Starting hand (shanten)+0.0897365 hands
Dora and red fives dealt+0.0489365 hands
Draw luck-0.3%414,345 tile draws
Ura-dora luck+0.179438 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate+1.3%6038 riichi wins
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)+6.1%8057 first riichi
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate12.2%3498 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)+7.19730 games
Hand balance breakdown
CategoryFrequencyBalance per handLeague averageDifference
Wins with riichi10.4%+1,013+919+94
Wins with calls7.1%+490+382+108
Dama wins2.5%+170+173-3
Deal-ins to riichi7.1%-564-360-204
Deal-ins to open hands5.5%-259-203-56
Deal-ins to dama1.4%-64-101+37
Others' tsumo26.8%-794-752-41
Other (exhaustive draws, etc.)39.2%-40-60+20
Total (per hand)-47

Players with a similar styleclosest career style metrics first

  1. Masatoshi SarukawaFormer M.League playerIn common: More deal-ins, Efficiency first
  2. Taro SuzukiAkasaka DrivensIn common: High-value hands, Pushes hard, More deal-ins
  3. Kei NakabayashiU-NEXT PiratesIn common: Often tenpai at exhaustive draws, Efficiency first, Call-heavy

* Twelve style metrics, including call rate, riichi rate, win rate, deal-in rate, hand value, riichi speed and immediate riichi rate, are put on the same scale and compared; the players closest overall are listed. Metrics supported more strongly by the data receive more weight. The comparison shows how similar the players' styles are, not which is better. Differences are often small, so the order may change.