Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.
Player · 108 career games · 2023-24–2026-27
Daisuke Suzuki
Uses calls a lot to move hands along. Stands out for being tenpai at draws, many deal-ins and big wins. Career record: -1.1pt per game, but allowing for luck the difference from average is not clear yet.
Call-heavy
High-value hands
Actual / game
-1.1
108 career games
Skill estimate / game
-0.5
90% interval -5.5 to +4.5
Estimate, luck removed
-1.5
adjusted for starting hands, draws, ura-dora
Weight of the record
44%
share of the estimate from the record
Styleleague percentile, career
Average win value866,813
Riichi rate5222.9%
Deal-in rate911.9%
Win rate3719.7%
First riichi rate2575.3%
Average riichi turn729.25
Call rate8026.5%
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws9644.5%
Staying in vs riichi9414.6%
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)4340.4%
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)7428.4%
Tile efficiency match rate7274.6%
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)398.16
Immediate riichi rate3170.3%
Dama rate4512.5%
Color only for metrics with a good side (red = good, blue = bad). Metrics of style, such as riichi rate, call rate and tile efficiency match rate, are gray. For tenpai turn, further right means later (a larger turn number). Values are estimates.
Placements108 career games, average placement 2.57
Average placement2.57
1st24.1%26×
2nd24.1%26×
3rd22.2%24×
4th29.6%32×
Riichi and callsbalance and outcome of hands with riichi or calls
Riichi income332,553
Riichi win rate1143.6%
Riichi deal-in rate A1314.5%
Riichi deal-in rate B4111.1%
Riichi good-wait rate5250.2%
Riichi exhaustive draw rate9421.9%
Call income56506
Win rate after calling2328.6%
Deal-in rate after calling713.1%
Tenpai rate after the first call921.5%
Income is the average points won or lost in those hands (riichi sticks and honba included).
Net efficiency and morecalculated as on Mahjong Soul Paifuya, per hand
Net efficiency52839
Deal-in loss23655
Average win turn5812.38
Deal-in loss = deal-in rate × average deal-in; net efficiency = win rate × average win − deal-in loss. Win and deal-in values include honba and riichi sticks. Win turn is the number of tiles discarded at the table when the win came ÷ 4 + 1. Win efficiency (win rate × average win) is not shown: players with a high win rate win smaller hands, the two cancel out, and differences between players cannot be told apart from chance.
Skill estimateleague percentile of the estimates
Points per game41-0.5
Points per game, luck removed23-1.5
Average placement252.53
Luckfurther right is luckier; values are differences from the league average (the dealer tsumo rate is the rate itself)
Points from luck (/game)86+1.7
Draw luck35-0.1%
Starting hand (shanten)92+0.02
Dora and red fives dealt98+0.04
Ura-dora luck82+0.06
Ippatsu rate29-1.3%
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)66+0.9%
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate3112.9%
Where the points came fromchange in expected points, all stages
Own wins+46.7
Deal-ins-21.2
Others' tsumo-23.4
Ron between others-3.8
Exhaustive draws+0.5
Change in expected points per game. Total -1.2pt/game (108 games).As a table
Hand result
Hands
Total
Per game
Own wins
261
+5043.3
+46.7
Deal-ins
169
-2293.6
-21.2
Others' tsumo
357
-2525.0
-23.4
Ron between others
310
-406.0
-3.8
Exhaustive draws
240
+53.8
+0.5
Hand balance breakdownpoints won or lost per hand, all stages
Category
Frequency
Balance per hand
League average
Difference
Wins with riichi
9.7%
+867
+919
-52
Wins with calls
7.4%
+481
+382
+99
Dama wins
2.4%
+179
+173
+7
Deal-ins to riichi
5.5%
-394
-360
-34
Deal-ins to open hands
5.4%
-207
-203
-3
Deal-ins to dama
1.8%
-109
-101
-9
Others' tsumo
26.7%
-743
-752
+10
Other (exhaustive draws, etc.)
41.1%
-22
-60
+37
Total (per hand)
+53
Every career number (estimate, 90% interval, weight of the record)
Results
Metric
Actual
Estimate (90% interval)
Weight of the record
Percentile
Count
Average placement
2.57
2.53 (2.41 to 2.65)
43%
25
108 games
Points per game
-1.1
-0.5 (-5.5 to 4.5)
44%
41
108 games
Points per game, luck removed
-2.8
-1.5 (-6.0 to 3.0)
52%
23
108 games
1st-place rate
24.1%
24.6% (19.7% to 29.5%)
46%
43
108 games
4th-place rate
29.6%
27.1% (22.2% to 32.0%)
47%
13
108 games
Style
Metric
Actual
Estimate (90% interval)
Weight of the record
Percentile
Count
Win rate
19.5%
19.7% (18.3% to 21.1%)
63%
37
1,337 hands
Deal-in rate
12.6%
11.9% (10.8% to 13.0%)
59%
9
1,337 hands
Riichi rate
23.0%
22.9% (21.4% to 24.5%)
64%
52
1,337 hands
Call rate
26.7%
26.5% (24.7% to 28.4%)
95%
80
1,337 hands
First riichi rate
74.4%
75.3% (72.6% to 78.1%)
41%
25
308 riichi
Average riichi turn
9.20
9.25 (9.00 to 9.49)
64%
72
308 riichi
Average win value
7,025
6,813 (6,474 to 7,153)
51%
86
261 wins
Average deal-in value
5,195
5,469 (5,132 to 5,805)
36%
92
169 deal-ins
Win efficiency
1,528
1,481 (1,397 to 1,565)
13%
68
1,337 hands
Deal-in loss
683
655 (587 to 723)
37%
23
1,337 hands
Net efficiency
845
839 (702 to 976)
40%
52
1,337 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)
40.1%
40.4% (36.4% to 44.4%)
57%
43
237 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)
29.5%
28.4% (24.3% to 32.4%)
71%
74
227 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call
20.7%
21.5% (17.9% to 25.0%)
85%
9
357 first calls
Average win turn
12.33
12.38 (12.25 to 12.51)
6%
58
261 wins
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws
47.9%
44.5% (40.5% to 48.5%)
57%
96
240 exhaustive draws
Staying in vs riichi
16.3%
14.6% (13.3% to 16.0%)
25%
94
688 hands facing an opponent’s riichi
Tile efficiency match rate
74.7%
74.6% (73.7% to 75.4%)
95%
72
7,090 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)
0.94
0.95 (0.89 to 1.00)
92%
11
6,832 discards
Breaking shape for value
2.4%
2.3% (2.1% to 2.6%)
88%
86
7,090 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)
8.10
8.16 (8.06 to 8.26)
15%
39
290 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate
69.7%
70.3% (66.6% to 74.0%)
72%
31
290 tenpai hands
Dama rate
12.3%
12.5% (9.4% to 15.6%)
81%
45
261 wins
Riichi income
2,469
2,553 (2,080 to 3,026)
45%
33
308 riichi
Riichi win rate
42.2%
43.6% (39.8% to 47.3%)
64%
11
308 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A
16.2%
14.5% (13.0% to 16.1%)
11%
13
308 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B
11.4%
11.1% (9.3% to 12.9%)
25%
41
308 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate
50.6%
50.2% (46.8% to 53.6%)
51%
52
308 riichi
Riichi exhaustive draw rate
24.0%
21.9% (19.1% to 24.7%)
56%
94
308 riichi
Call income
538
506 (232 to 780)
37%
56
357 calls
Win rate after calling
27.7%
28.6% (25.5% to 31.7%)
58%
23
357 calls
Deal-in rate after calling
14.3%
13.1% (11.0% to 15.3%)
58%
7
357 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
Metric
Actual
Percentile
Count
Starting hand (shanten)
+0.02
92
1,337 hands
Dora and red fives dealt
+0.04
98
1,337 hands
Draw luck
-0.1%
35
15,929 tile draws
Ura-dora luck
+0.06
82
130 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate
-1.3%
29
130 riichi wins
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)
+0.9%
66
229 first riichi
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate
12.9%
31
357 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)
+1.7
86
108 games
By seasonRegular Season
2026-27 (13 games · skill estimate -0.2pt/game)
Style
Average win value1006,768
Riichi rate7323.2%
Deal-in rate2811.1%
Win rate7120.1%
First riichi rate5576.1%
Average riichi turn659.25
Call rate4924.1%
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws3639.8%
Staying in vs riichi7614.2%
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)9242.5%
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)8428.2%
Tile efficiency match rate8475.5%
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)558.17
Immediate riichi rate4971.5%
Dama rate7312.6%
Where the points came from
Own wins+58.4
Deal-ins-27.1
Others' tsumo-27.2
Ron between others-4.1
Exhaustive draws-2.1
Change in expected points per game. Total -2.0pt/game (13 games).As a table
Hand result
Hands
Total
Per game
Own wins
35
+759.6
+58.4
Deal-ins
21
-352.0
-27.1
Others' tsumo
50
-353.5
-27.2
Ron between others
34
-53.4
-4.1
Exhaustive draws
31
-27.0
-2.1
Luck
Points from luck (/game)76+5.3
Draw luck95+1.2%
Starting hand (shanten)63+0.03
Dora and red fives dealt92+0.09
Ura-dora luck65+0.12
Ippatsu rate41-1.6%
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)28-5.0%
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate6810.0%
Every number for 2026-27
Results
Metric
Actual
Estimate (90% interval)
Weight of the record
Percentile
Count
Average placement
2.62
2.51 (2.28 to 2.73)
8%
42
13 games
Points per game
-2.3
-0.2 (-9.4 to 9.0)
9%
46
13 games
Points per game, luck removed
-7.6
-0.9 (-9.5 to 7.8)
12%
25
13 games
1st-place rate
15.4%
24.2% (15.2% to 33.2%)
9%
28
13 games
4th-place rate
23.1%
24.7% (15.5% to 33.9%)
10%
59
13 games
Style
Metric
Actual
Estimate (90% interval)
Weight of the record
Percentile
Count
Win rate
20.5%
20.1% (17.2% to 22.9%)
18%
71
171 hands
Deal-in rate
12.3%
11.1% (9.0% to 13.3%)
15%
28
171 hands
Riichi rate
25.1%
23.2% (20.2% to 26.2%)
19%
73
171 hands
Call rate
24.6%
24.1% (19.6% to 28.6%)
72%
49
171 hands
First riichi rate
76.7%
76.1% (71.3% to 80.8%)
9%
55
43 riichi
Average riichi turn
8.93
9.25 (8.78 to 9.73)
20%
65
43 riichi
Average win value
8,023
6,768 (6,131 to 7,404)
12%
100
35 wins
Average deal-in value
5,995
5,650 (5,076 to 6,225)
7%
25
21 deal-ins
Win efficiency
1,791
1,480 (1,372 to 1,589)
2%
89
171 hands
Deal-in loss
773
648 (532 to 764)
7%
20
171 hands
Net efficiency
1,018
850 (608 to 1,091)
8%
73
171 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)
51.4%
42.5% (35.0% to 50.1%)
16%
92
35 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)
37.0%
28.2% (19.8% to 36.6%)
23%
84
27 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call
26.2%
25.9% (18.3% to 33.5%)
41%
60
42 first calls
Average win turn
12.07
12.38 (12.22 to 12.53)
1%
73
35 wins
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws
38.7%
39.8% (32.1% to 47.6%)
15%
36
31 exhaustive draws
Staying in vs riichi
17.2%
14.2% (12.2% to 16.2%)
4%
76
87 hands facing an opponent’s riichi
Tile efficiency match rate
76.5%
75.5% (73.4% to 77.6%)
72%
84
874 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)
0.72
0.86 (0.74 to 0.99)
59%
4
839 discards
Breaking shape for value
2.1%
2.0% (1.5% to 2.6%)
48%
57
874 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)
8.16
8.17 (8.03 to 8.30)
3%
55
44 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate
71.3%
71.5% (64.5% to 78.6%)
28%
49
44 tenpai hands
Dama rate
11.4%
12.6% (6.3% to 19.0%)
36%
73
35 wins
Riichi income
3,723
2,737 (1,886 to 3,588)
10%
95
43 riichi
Riichi win rate
51.2%
47.0% (39.7% to 54.3%)
20%
81
43 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A
14.0%
14.3% (12.4% to 16.3%)
2%
46
43 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B
9.3%
11.0% (8.3% to 13.7%)
5%
63
43 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate
53.5%
50.2% (43.8% to 56.6%)
13%
71
43 riichi
Riichi exhaustive draw rate
18.6%
19.2% (13.8% to 24.5%)
15%
41
43 riichi
Call income
-331
433 (-43.71 to 909)
7%
12
42 calls
Win rate after calling
21.4%
28.6% (22.5% to 34.8%)
14%
12
42 calls
Deal-in rate after calling
11.9%
11.6% (7.3% to 15.8%)
14%
41
42 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
Metric
Actual
Percentile
Count
Starting hand (shanten)
+0.03
63
171 hands
Dora and red fives dealt
+0.09
92
171 hands
Draw luck
+1.2%
95
2,040 tile draws
Ura-dora luck
+0.12
65
22 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate
-1.6%
41
22 riichi wins
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)
-5.0%
28
33 first riichi
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate
10.0%
68
50 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)
+5.3
76
13 games
Hand balance breakdown
Category
Frequency
Balance per hand
League average
Difference
Wins with riichi
12.9%
+1,278
+919
+359
Wins with calls
5.3%
+231
+382
-151
Dama wins
2.3%
+282
+173
+110
Deal-ins to riichi
5.8%
-434
-360
-74
Deal-ins to open hands
5.8%
-325
-203
-121
Deal-ins to dama
0.6%
-38
-101
+63
Others' tsumo
29.2%
-798
-752
-45
Other (exhaustive draws, etc.)
38.0%
-56
-60
+4
Total (per hand)
+142
2025-26 (27 games · skill estimate -1.0pt/game)
Style
Average win value196,462
Riichi rate6423.0%
Deal-in rate2411.4%
Win rate2119.6%
First riichi rate1675.3%
Average riichi turn879.18
Call rate7526.7%
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws9042.7%
Staying in vs riichi6414.1%
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)3440.1%
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)5726.9%
Tile efficiency match rate3973.6%
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)248.16
Immediate riichi rate3170.6%
Dama rate3710.8%
Where the points came from
Own wins+38.2
Deal-ins-20.1
Others' tsumo-22.0
Ron between others-3.8
Exhaustive draws+1.5
Change in expected points per game. Total -6.2pt/game (27 games).As a table
Hand result
Hands
Total
Per game
Own wins
61
+1030.1
+38.2
Deal-ins
42
-541.5
-20.1
Others' tsumo
82
-595.3
-22.0
Ron between others
87
-102.0
-3.8
Exhaustive draws
52
+40.9
+1.5
Luck
Points from luck (/game)87+5.0
Draw luck82+0.6%
Starting hand (shanten)97+0.07
Dora and red fives dealt97+0.08
Ura-dora luck85+0.17
Ippatsu rate19-6.8%
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)76+3.1%
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate4912.2%
Every number for 2025-26
Results
Metric
Actual
Estimate (90% interval)
Weight of the record
Percentile
Count
Average placement
2.67
2.52 (2.33 to 2.72)
16%
26
27 games
Points per game
-5.9
-1.0 (-8.9 to 6.9)
17%
29
27 games
Points per game, luck removed
-10.9
-2.3 (-9.6 to 4.9)
22%
9
27 games
1st-place rate
18.5%
23.9% (16.2% to 31.6%)
17%
26
27 games
4th-place rate
33.3%
26.4% (18.6% to 34.3%)
18%
19
27 games
Style
Metric
Actual
Estimate (90% interval)
Weight of the record
Percentile
Count
Win rate
18.8%
19.6% (17.3% to 22.0%)
29%
21
324 hands
Deal-in rate
13.0%
11.4% (9.7% to 13.2%)
26%
24
324 hands
Riichi rate
23.5%
23.0% (20.5% to 25.4%)
31%
64
324 hands
Call rate
27.5%
26.7% (23.2% to 30.2%)
83%
75
324 hands
First riichi rate
71.1%
75.3% (71.0% to 79.6%)
14%
16
76 riichi
Average riichi turn
8.82
9.18 (8.78 to 9.57)
31%
87
76 riichi
Average win value
5,943
6,462 (5,906 to 7,019)
20%
19
61 wins
Average deal-in value
5,012
5,549 (5,038 to 6,061)
12%
80
42 deal-ins
Win efficiency
1,251
1,466 (1,363 to 1,569)
4%
14
324 hands
Deal-in loss
673
643 (539 to 747)
12%
49
324 hands
Net efficiency
578
799 (584 to 1,014)
14%
19
324 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)
37.3%
40.1% (33.3% to 46.8%)
22%
34
51 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)
29.4%
26.9% (20.2% to 33.6%)
36%
57
51 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call
18.0%
21.1% (15.2% to 27.0%)
59%
19
89 first calls
Average win turn
11.50
12.37 (12.22 to 12.51)
1%
90
61 wins
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws
51.9%
42.7% (36.0% to 49.4%)
22%
90
52 exhaustive draws
Staying in vs riichi
14.7%
14.1% (12.2% to 16.0%)
7%
64
163 hands facing an opponent’s riichi
Tile efficiency match rate
73.7%
73.6% (72.0% to 75.2%)
83%
39
1,701 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)
0.98
1.00 (0.91 to 1.10)
73%
54
1,636 discards
Breaking shape for value
3.1%
2.7% (2.3% to 3.2%)
64%
100
1,701 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)
7.92
8.16 (8.03 to 8.29)
4%
24
71 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate
69.1%
70.6% (64.7% to 76.6%)
39%
31
71 tenpai hands
Dama rate
8.2%
10.8% (5.6% to 16.0%)
50%
37
61 wins
Riichi income
1,962
2,511 (1,758 to 3,263)
17%
24
76 riichi
Riichi win rate
40.8%
44.4% (38.4% to 50.5%)
30%
16
76 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A
15.8%
14.4% (12.5% to 16.2%)
3%
42
76 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B
7.9%
10.8% (8.3% to 13.3%)
8%
85
76 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate
47.4%
49.3% (43.7% to 54.8%)
20%
43
76 riichi
Riichi exhaustive draw rate
23.7%
20.3% (15.8% to 24.9%)
24%
92
76 riichi
Call income
273
459 (39.40 to 878)
13%
47
89 calls
Win rate after calling
28.1%
29.4% (24.4% to 34.3%)
26%
39
89 calls
Deal-in rate after calling
13.5%
12.0% (8.6% to 15.5%)
26%
37
89 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
Metric
Actual
Percentile
Count
Starting hand (shanten)
+0.07
97
324 hands
Dora and red fives dealt
+0.08
97
324 hands
Draw luck
+0.6%
82
3,751 tile draws
Ura-dora luck
+0.17
85
31 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate
-6.8%
19
31 riichi wins
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)
+3.1%
76
54 first riichi
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate
12.2%
49
82 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)
+5.0
87
27 games
Hand balance breakdown
Category
Frequency
Balance per hand
League average
Difference
Wins with riichi
9.6%
+770
+919
-149
Wins with calls
7.7%
+398
+382
+16
Dama wins
1.5%
+82
+173
-91
Deal-ins to riichi
4.9%
-357
-360
+3
Deal-ins to open hands
4.3%
-111
-203
+92
Deal-ins to dama
3.7%
-224
-101
-123
Others' tsumo
25.3%
-670
-752
+82
Other (exhaustive draws, etc.)
42.9%
+5
-60
+64
Total (per hand)
-106
2024-25 (29 games · skill estimate 0.3pt/game)
Style
Average win value896,638
Riichi rate2622.3%
Deal-in rate3211.2%
Win rate2119.6%
First riichi rate8376.6%
Average riichi turn129.44
Call rate8027.8%
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws10043.8%
Staying in vs riichi8014.3%
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)1839.4%
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)8929.1%
Tile efficiency match rate7274.8%
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)268.16
Immediate riichi rate2169.9%
Dama rate7713.8%
Where the points came from
Own wins+44.9
Deal-ins-19.0
Others' tsumo-23.2
Ron between others-2.8
Exhaustive draws+1.3
Change in expected points per game. Total +1.3pt/game (29 games).As a table
Hand result
Hands
Total
Per game
Own wins
70
+1301.8
+44.9
Deal-ins
44
-549.7
-19.0
Others' tsumo
94
-671.6
-23.2
Ron between others
89
-80.8
-2.8
Exhaustive draws
76
+39.1
+1.3
Luck
Points from luck (/game)15-4.6
Draw luck15-0.9%
Starting hand (shanten)15-0.07
Dora and red fives dealt83+0.02
Ura-dora luck15-0.10
Ippatsu rate72+0.3%
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)18-5.9%
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate2413.8%
Every number for 2024-25
Results
Metric
Actual
Estimate (90% interval)
Weight of the record
Percentile
Count
Average placement
2.55
2.51 (2.32 to 2.70)
17%
35
29 games
Points per game
1.7
0.3 (-7.5 to 8.1)
18%
49
29 games
Points per game, luck removed
6.3
1.4 (-5.6 to 8.5)
23%
69
29 games
1st-place rate
27.6%
25.5% (17.9% to 33.1%)
18%
60
29 games
4th-place rate
31.0%
26.1% (18.4% to 33.8%)
19%
29
29 games
Style
Metric
Actual
Estimate (90% interval)
Weight of the record
Percentile
Count
Win rate
18.8%
19.6% (17.4% to 21.8%)
32%
21
373 hands
Deal-in rate
11.8%
11.2% (9.5% to 12.9%)
28%
32
373 hands
Riichi rate
21.4%
22.3% (20.0% to 24.7%)
34%
26
373 hands
Call rate
28.7%
27.8% (24.5% to 31.1%)
85%
80
373 hands
First riichi rate
80.0%
76.6% (72.4% to 80.8%)
15%
83
80 riichi
Average riichi turn
9.68
9.44 (9.06 to 9.83)
32%
12
80 riichi
Average win value
6,807
6,638 (6,104 to 7,172)
22%
89
70 wins
Average deal-in value
4,595
5,492 (4,985 to 5,998)
13%
94
44 deal-ins
Win efficiency
1,446
1,473 (1,371 to 1,575)
4%
43
373 hands
Deal-in loss
577
630 (529 to 731)
14%
69
373 hands
Net efficiency
869
841 (633 to 1,049)
16%
55
373 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)
35.0%
39.4% (32.9% to 45.8%)
25%
18
60 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)
33.8%
29.1% (23.0% to 35.2%)
43%
89
68 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call
19.6%
21.8% (16.3% to 27.4%)
63%
21
107 first calls
Average win turn
12.40
12.38 (12.23 to 12.53)
2%
35
70 wins
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws
52.6%
43.8% (37.8% to 49.7%)
30%
100
76 exhaustive draws
Staying in vs riichi
16.5%
14.3% (12.4% to 16.1%)
8%
80
188 hands facing an opponent’s riichi
Tile efficiency match rate
75.2%
74.8% (73.3% to 76.3%)
86%
72
2,001 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)
0.98
1.00 (0.91 to 1.09)
76%
41
1,933 discards
Breaking shape for value
2.5%
2.4% (1.9% to 2.8%)
68%
92
2,001 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)
7.97
8.16 (8.03 to 8.29)
4%
26
72 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate
67.1%
69.9% (63.9% to 75.8%)
39%
21
72 tenpai hands
Dama rate
14.3%
13.8% (8.8% to 18.8%)
53%
77
70 wins
Riichi income
2,295
2,565 (1,822 to 3,307)
18%
41
80 riichi
Riichi win rate
37.5%
43.3% (37.4% to 49.3%)
31%
7
80 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A
17.5%
14.4% (12.6% to 16.3%)
3%
26
80 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B
11.3%
11.1% (8.6% to 13.6%)
8%
55
80 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate
43.8%
48.5% (43.0% to 53.9%)
21%
9
80 riichi
Riichi exhaustive draw rate
32.5%
22.6% (18.1% to 27.0%)
25%
100
80 riichi
Call income
584
501 (99.06 to 904)
15%
58
107 calls
Win rate after calling
28.0%
29.3% (24.6% to 33.9%)
29%
29
107 calls
Deal-in rate after calling
16.8%
13.1% (9.8% to 16.3%)
29%
1
107 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
Metric
Actual
Percentile
Count
Starting hand (shanten)
-0.07
15
373 hands
Dora and red fives dealt
+0.02
83
373 hands
Draw luck
-0.9%
15
4,529 tile draws
Ura-dora luck
-0.10
15
30 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate
+0.3%
72
30 riichi wins
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)
-5.9%
18
64 first riichi
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate
13.8%
24
94 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)
-4.6
15
29 games
Hand balance breakdown
Category
Frequency
Balance per hand
League average
Difference
Wins with riichi
8.0%
+691
+919
-228
Wins with calls
8.0%
+590
+382
+208
Dama wins
2.7%
+165
+173
-8
Deal-ins to riichi
4.8%
-310
-360
+50
Deal-ins to open hands
5.6%
-195
-203
+8
Deal-ins to dama
1.3%
-96
-101
+5
Others' tsumo
25.2%
-670
-752
+83
Other (exhaustive draws, etc.)
44.2%
-1
-60
+58
Total (per hand)
+174
2023-24 (30 games · skill estimate -0.6pt/game)
Style
Average win value976,810
Riichi rate3822.7%
Deal-in rate1211.8%
Win rate4620.0%
First riichi rate1275.0%
Average riichi turn329.39
Call rate7224.6%
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws4940.3%
Staying in vs riichi8914.2%
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)7541.8%
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)3125.2%
Tile efficiency match rate5274.1%
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)978.18
Immediate riichi rate5271.1%
Dama rate5212.8%
Where the points came from
Own wins+49.6
Deal-ins-25.0
Others' tsumo-23.4
Ron between others-4.0
Exhaustive draws-0.1
Change in expected points per game. Total -3.0pt/game (30 games).As a table
Hand result
Hands
Total
Per game
Own wins
73
+1489.3
+49.6
Deal-ins
51
-750.8
-25.0
Others' tsumo
98
-703.4
-23.4
Ron between others
82
-121.2
-4.0
Exhaustive draws
61
-2.5
-0.1
Luck
Points from luck (/game)97+7.1
Draw luck41-0.3%
Starting hand (shanten)97+0.08
Dora and red fives dealt89+0.04
Ura-dora luck94+0.17
Ippatsu rate60+1.3%
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)80+6.1%
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate3412.2%
Every number for 2023-24
Results
Metric
Actual
Estimate (90% interval)
Weight of the record
Percentile
Count
Average placement
2.60
2.51 (2.33 to 2.70)
17%
35
30 games
Points per game
-3.2
-0.6 (-8.3 to 7.1)
18%
35
30 games
Points per game, luck removed
-10.3
-2.4 (-9.4 to 4.6)
23%
9
30 games
1st-place rate
23.3%
24.7% (17.2% to 32.2%)
19%
49
30 games
4th-place rate
30.0%
25.9% (18.3% to 33.5%)
20%
24
30 games
Style
Metric
Actual
Estimate (90% interval)
Weight of the record
Percentile
Count
Win rate
20.0%
20.0% (17.8% to 22.2%)
32%
46
365 hands
Deal-in rate
14.0%
11.8% (10.1% to 13.5%)
28%
12
365 hands
Riichi rate
22.5%
22.7% (20.3% to 25.0%)
33%
38
365 hands
Call rate
24.9%
24.6% (21.3% to 28.0%)
85%
72
365 hands
First riichi rate
69.5%
75.0% (70.8% to 79.2%)
15%
12
82 riichi
Average riichi turn
9.50
9.39 (9.00 to 9.77)
33%
32
82 riichi
Average win value
7,558
6,810 (6,283 to 7,338)
23%
97
73 wins
Average deal-in value
5,910
5,668 (5,177 to 6,158)
15%
29
51 deal-ins
Win efficiency
1,673
1,482 (1,380 to 1,584)
4%
89
365 hands
Deal-in loss
849
668 (566 to 769)
14%
7
365 hands
Net efficiency
825
834 (625 to 1,043)
16%
43
365 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)
44.2%
41.8% (35.9% to 47.7%)
30%
75
77 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)
24.6%
25.2% (19.0% to 31.3%)
42%
31
65 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call
25.3%
25.4% (19.5% to 31.3%)
60%
52
91 first calls
Average win turn
12.75
12.39 (12.24 to 12.53)
2%
12
73 wins
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws
41.0%
40.3% (33.9% to 46.7%)
25%
49
61 exhaustive draws
Staying in vs riichi
15.8%
14.2% (12.4% to 16.1%)
9%
89
202 hands facing an opponent’s riichi
Tile efficiency match rate
74.3%
74.1% (72.6% to 75.7%)
85%
52
1,949 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)
0.97
0.99 (0.89 to 1.08)
76%
29
1,878 discards
Breaking shape for value
1.9%
2.0% (1.5% to 2.4%)
67%
55
1,949 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)
8.53
8.18 (8.06 to 8.31)
5%
97
79 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate
70.3%
71.1% (65.3% to 76.8%)
41%
52
79 tenpai hands
Dama rate
12.3%
12.8% (7.9% to 17.7%)
54%
52
73 wins
Riichi income
2,735
2,643 (1,906 to 3,381)
18%
58
82 riichi
Riichi win rate
46.3%
46.1% (40.2% to 52.0%)
32%
46
82 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A
19.5%
14.5% (12.6% to 16.3%)
3%
7
82 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B
17.1%
11.5% (9.0% to 14.0%)
8%
9
82 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate
54.9%
50.8% (45.4% to 56.3%)
22%
72
82 riichi
Riichi exhaustive draw rate
17.1%
18.7% (14.3% to 23.1%)
25%
41
82 riichi
Call income
871
538 (120 to 955)
13%
89
91 calls
Win rate after calling
28.6%
29.5% (24.6% to 34.4%)
26%
48
91 calls
Deal-in rate after calling
15.4%
12.5% (9.1% to 16.0%)
26%
18
91 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
Metric
Actual
Percentile
Count
Starting hand (shanten)
+0.08
97
365 hands
Dora and red fives dealt
+0.04
89
365 hands
Draw luck
-0.3%
41
4,345 tile draws
Ura-dora luck
+0.17
94
38 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate
+1.3%
60
38 riichi wins
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)
+6.1%
80
57 first riichi
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate
12.2%
34
98 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)
+7.1
97
30 games
Hand balance breakdown
Category
Frequency
Balance per hand
League average
Difference
Wins with riichi
10.4%
+1,013
+919
+94
Wins with calls
7.1%
+490
+382
+108
Dama wins
2.5%
+170
+173
-3
Deal-ins to riichi
7.1%
-564
-360
-204
Deal-ins to open hands
5.5%
-259
-203
-56
Deal-ins to dama
1.4%
-64
-101
+37
Others' tsumo
26.8%
-794
-752
-41
Other (exhaustive draws, etc.)
39.2%
-40
-60
+20
Total (per hand)
-47
Players with a similar styleclosest career style metrics first
Masatoshi SarukawaFormer M.League playerIn common: More deal-ins, Efficiency first
Taro SuzukiAkasaka DrivensIn common: High-value hands, Pushes hard, More deal-ins
Kei NakabayashiU-NEXT PiratesIn common: Often tenpai at exhaustive draws, Efficiency first, Call-heavy
* Twelve style metrics, including call rate, riichi rate, win rate, deal-in rate, hand value, riichi speed and immediate riichi rate, are put on the same scale and compared; the players closest overall are listed. Metrics supported more strongly by the data receive more weight. The comparison shows how similar the players' styles are, not which is better. Differences are often small, so the order may change.