Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Player · 53 career games · 2023-24–2024-25

Sarukawa Masatoshi

Uses calls a lot to move hands along. Stands out for speed-first hands that maximise ukeire. Career record: -7.1pt per game, but allowing for luck the difference from average is not clear yet.

Actual / game
-7.1
53 career games
Skill estimate / game
-0.8
90% interval -5.8 to +4.2
Estimate, luck removed
-0.6
adjusted for starting hands, draws, ura-dora
Weight of the record
12%
share of the estimate from the record

Styleleague percentile, career

  • Average win value6,540
  • Riichi rate22.3%
  • Deal-in rate11.9%
  • Win rate19.8%
  • First riichi rate76.0%
  • Average riichi turn9.35
  • Call rate26.1%
  • Tenpai rate at draws40.6%
  • Staying in vs riichi13.8%
  • Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)41.6%
  • Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)28.6%
  • Efficiency match rate75.4%
  • Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.17
  • Immediate riichi rate68.9%
  • Dama rate12.5%

Colour only for metrics with a good side (red = good, blue = bad). Metrics of style, such as riichi rate, call rate and efficiency match rate, are grey. For tenpai turn, further right means later (a larger turn number). Values are estimates.

Placements53 career games, average placement 2.66

  • 1st22.6%12×
  • 2nd17.0%9×
  • 3rd32.1%17×
  • 4th28.3%15×

Riichi and callsbalance and outcome of hands with riichi or calls

  • Riichi income2,287
  • Riichi win rate44.6%
  • Riichi deal-in rate A14.4%
  • Riichi deal-in rate B11.2%
  • Riichi good-wait rate48.2%
  • Riichi draw rate18.9%
  • Call income482
  • Win rate after calling29.7%
  • Deal-in rate after calling12.6%
  • Tenpai rate after the first call23.7%

Income is the average points won or lost in those hands (riichi sticks and honba included).

Net efficiency and morecalculated as on Mahjong Soul Paifuya, per hand

  • Net efficiency788
  • Deal-in loss682
  • Average win turn12.43

Deal-in loss = deal-in rate × average deal-in; net efficiency = win rate × average win − deal-in loss. Win and deal-in values include honba and riichi sticks. Win turn is the number of tiles discarded at the table when the win came ÷ 4 + 1. Win efficiency (win rate × average win) is not shown: players with a high win rate win smaller hands, the two cancel out, and differences between players cannot be told apart from chance.

Skill estimateleague percentile of the estimates

  • Points per game-0.8
  • Points per game, luck removed-0.6
  • Average placement2.51

Luckfurther right is luckier; values are differences from the league average (the dealer tsumo rate is the rate itself)

  • Points from luck (/game)-3.4
  • Draw luck-1.0%
  • Starting hand (shanten)+0.01
  • Dora and red fives dealt-0.02
  • Ura-dora luck+0.05
  • Ippatsu rate-6.4%
  • Not being chased (/first riichi)+5.7%
  • Painful dealer tsumo rate14.3%

Where the points came fromchange in expected points, all stages

  • Own wins+46.3
  • Deal-ins-25.0
  • Others' tsumo-26.1
  • Ron between others-2.5
  • Draws+0.3
Change in expected points per game. Total -7.0pt/game (53 games).
As a table
Hand resultHandsTotalPer game
Own wins125+2454.2+46.3
Deal-ins87-1326.2-25.0
Others' tsumo168-1382.6-26.1
Ron between others153-131.1-2.5
Draws110+15.3+0.3

Hand balance breakdownpoints won or lost per hand, all stages

CategoryFrequencyBalance per handLeague averageDifference
Wins with riichi9.3%+725+924-199
Wins with calls7.8%+467+381+86
Dama wins2.3%+180+175+5
Deal-ins to riichi6.7%-448-361-87
Deal-ins to open hands5.0%-292-203-89
Deal-ins to dama1.9%-104-102-2
Others' tsumo26.1%-765-757-8
Other (draws etc.)40.9%-35-59+24
Total (per hand)-272
Every career number (estimate, 90% interval, weight of the record)
Results
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Average placement2.662.51 (2.40 to 2.63)10%2253 games
Points per game-7.1-0.8 (-5.8 to 4.2)12%1353 games
Points per game, luck removed-3.6-0.6 (-5.2 to 4.1)15%3253 games
1st-place rate22.6%25.0% (22.0% to 28.0%)3%4053 games
4th-place rate28.3%25.6% (19.9% to 31.2%)19%2653 games
Style
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Win rate19.4%19.8% (18.0% to 21.5%)37%38643 hands
Deal-in rate13.5%11.9% (10.5% to 13.3%)38%5643 hands
Riichi rate21.9%22.3% (20.3% to 24.3%)52%32643 hands
Call rate26.4%26.1% (23.5% to 28.7%)91%73643 hands
First riichi rate75.9%76.0% (72.3% to 79.7%)28%53141 riichi
Average riichi turn9.379.35 (9.06 to 9.65)33%42141 riichi
Average win value6,3846,540 (6,106 to 6,974)32%32125 wins
Average deal-in value5,8385,686 (5,266 to 6,106)22%3087 deal-ins
Win efficiency1,3721,480 (1,426 to 1,535)0%50643 hands
Deal-in loss816682 (593 to 772)24%7643 hands
Net efficiency556788 (623 to 953)18%9643 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)43.1%41.6% (36.2% to 47.1%)40%63102 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)31.0%28.6% (23.8% to 33.4%)55%77129 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call22.9%23.7% (18.9% to 28.4%)74%26170 first calls
Average win turn12.7012.43 (12.17 to 12.68)13%24125 wins
Tenpai rate at draws41.8%40.6% (35.6% to 45.7%)35%61110 draws
Staying in vs riichi12.0%13.8% (12.5% to 15.2%)8%24342 hands facing riichi
Efficiency match rate75.7%75.4% (74.3% to 76.6%)91%863,476 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)0.930.95 (0.88 to 1.03)85%133,382 discards
Breaking shape for value2.6%2.4% (2.1% to 2.8%)76%903,476 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.108.17 (8.04 to 8.30)10%50127 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate67.1%68.9% (63.8% to 73.9%)58%24127 tenpai hands
Dama rate12.0%12.5% (8.3% to 16.7%)68%42125 wins
Riichi income1,3482,287 (1,662 to 2,912)27%7141 riichi
Riichi win rate42.6%44.6% (39.9% to 49.4%)42%22141 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A16.3%14.4% (13.2% to 15.5%)2%34141 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B12.8%11.2% (9.5% to 12.8%)6%26141 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate45.4%48.2% (43.6% to 52.8%)37%20141 riichi
Riichi draw rate18.4%18.9% (15.2% to 22.6%)40%40141 riichi
Call income464482 (160 to 803)15%44170 calls
Win rate after calling29.4%29.7% (25.9% to 33.5%)34%50170 calls
Deal-in rate after calling14.1%12.6% (9.8% to 15.3%)39%17170 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
MetricActualPercentileCount
Starting hand (shanten)+0.0171643 hands
Dora and red fives dealt-0.0213643 hands
Draw luck-1.0%17,757 draws
Ura-dora luck+0.057160 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate-6.4%360 riichi wins
Not being chased (/first riichi)+5.7%100107 first riichi
Painful dealer tsumo rate14.3%9168 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)-3.4753 games

By seasonRegular Season

2024-25 (24 games · skill estimate -0.9pt/game)

Style

  • Average win value6,485
  • Riichi rate23.2%
  • Deal-in rate11.7%
  • Win rate19.7%
  • First riichi rate76.0%
  • Average riichi turn9.46
  • Call rate23.8%
  • Tenpai rate at draws39.4%
  • Staying in vs riichi13.9%
  • Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)42.2%
  • Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)30.3%
  • Efficiency match rate74.2%
  • Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.19
  • Immediate riichi rate74.2%
  • Dama rate9.1%

Where the points came from

  • Own wins+37.6
  • Deal-ins-25.6
  • Others' tsumo-24.3
  • Ron between others-4.1
  • Draws-0.2
Change in expected points per game. Total -16.6pt/game (24 games).
As a table
Hand resultHandsTotalPer game
Own wins51+903.5+37.6
Deal-ins41-615.3-25.6
Others' tsumo73-584.3-24.3
Ron between others70-98.5-4.1
Draws44-4.4-0.2

Luck

  • Points from luck (/game)-2.9
  • Draw luck-0.5%
  • Starting hand (shanten)-0.02
  • Dora and red fives dealt-0.01
  • Ura-dora luck-0.08
  • Ippatsu rate-7.7%
  • Not being chased (/first riichi)+3.7%
  • Painful dealer tsumo rate12.3%
Every number for 2024-25
Results
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Average placement2.922.52 (2.39 to 2.65)5%724 games
Points per game-16.8-0.9 (-6.6 to 4.7)6%924 games
Points per game, luck removed-13.9-1.0 (-6.5 to 4.4)7%924 games
1st-place rate12.5%24.9% (21.7% to 28.0%)2%1424 games
4th-place rate33.3%25.7% (19.0% to 32.5%)10%2624 games
Style
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Win rate18.3%19.7% (17.3% to 22.0%)21%18279 hands
Deal-in rate14.7%11.7% (9.9% to 13.5%)21%7279 hands
Riichi rate24.0%23.2% (20.5% to 25.8%)32%66279 hands
Call rate24.0%23.8% (20.1% to 27.5%)82%43279 hands
First riichi rate76.1%76.0% (71.4% to 80.7%)15%6367 riichi
Average riichi turn9.949.46 (9.08 to 9.84)19%467 riichi
Average win value5,8106,485 (5,910 to 7,059)16%2151 wins
Average deal-in value5,2885,602 (5,096 to 6,108)12%5541 deal-ins
Win efficiency1,1821,480 (1,424 to 1,537)0%50279 hands
Deal-in loss808661 (550 to 772)12%18279 hands
Net efficiency373799 (602 to 996)9%12279 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)47.6%42.2% (34.7% to 49.6%)21%6342 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)38.1%30.3% (24.2% to 36.4%)37%10063 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call22.4%23.9% (17.4% to 30.5%)53%4167 first calls
Average win turn13.3812.44 (12.15 to 12.74)6%151 wins
Tenpai rate at draws36.4%39.4% (32.5% to 46.2%)17%2444 draws
Staying in vs riichi10.9%13.9% (12.4% to 15.4%)4%15147 hands facing riichi
Efficiency match rate74.5%74.2% (72.5% to 75.9%)82%491,497 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)0.960.99 (0.88 to 1.09)71%411,453 discards
Breaking shape for value2.1%2.1% (1.6% to 2.5%)58%551,497 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.498.19 (8.04 to 8.34)5%9758 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate78.7%74.2% (67.6% to 80.7%)38%8958 tenpai hands
Dama rate3.9%9.1% (3.5% to 14.7%)46%1251 wins
Riichi income4572,309 (1,533 to 3,086)15%467 riichi
Riichi win rate37.3%43.9% (37.7% to 50.1%)26%967 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A22.4%14.4% (13.2% to 15.6%)1%967 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B20.9%11.3% (9.5% to 13.1%)3%167 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate43.3%48.4% (42.4% to 54.4%)22%1267 riichi
Riichi draw rate17.9%18.9% (14.0% to 23.7%)24%5267 riichi
Call income648496 (115 to 877)7%6667 calls
Win rate after calling35.8%30.8% (25.7% to 35.9%)17%8667 calls
Deal-in rate after calling16.4%12.5% (8.8% to 16.3%)20%1867 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
MetricActualPercentileCount
Starting hand (shanten)-0.0255279 hands
Dora and red fives dealt-0.0146279 hands
Draw luck-0.5%323,305 draws
Ura-dora luck-0.082925 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate-7.7%925 riichi wins
Not being chased (/first riichi)+3.7%8651 first riichi
Painful dealer tsumo rate12.3%4173 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)-2.92924 games
Hand balance breakdown
CategoryFrequencyBalance per handLeague averageDifference
Wins with riichi9.0%+672+924-252
Wins with calls8.6%+491+381+110
Dama wins0.7%+19+175-157
Deal-ins to riichi6.5%-424-361-63
Deal-ins to open hands6.5%-346-203-143
Deal-ins to dama1.8%-88-102+14
Others' tsumo26.2%-761-757-4
Other (draws etc.)40.9%-57-59+2
Total (per hand)-495
2023-24 (29 games · skill estimate 0.1pt/game)

Style

  • Average win value6,649
  • Riichi rate21.8%
  • Deal-in rate11.4%
  • Win rate20.1%
  • First riichi rate76.0%
  • Average riichi turn9.24
  • Call rate27.5%
  • Tenpai rate at draws41.3%
  • Staying in vs riichi14.0%
  • Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)40.5%
  • Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)25.1%
  • Efficiency match rate76.0%
  • Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.15
  • Immediate riichi rate65.3%
  • Dama rate15.8%

Where the points came from

  • Own wins+53.5
  • Deal-ins-24.5
  • Others' tsumo-27.5
  • Ron between others-1.1
  • Draws+0.7
Change in expected points per game. Total +1.0pt/game (29 games).
As a table
Hand resultHandsTotalPer game
Own wins74+1550.6+53.5
Deal-ins46-710.8-24.5
Others' tsumo95-798.4-27.5
Ron between others83-32.6-1.1
Draws66+19.7+0.7

Luck

  • Points from luck (/game)-3.9
  • Draw luck-1.4%
  • Starting hand (shanten)+0.03
  • Dora and red fives dealt-0.03
  • Ura-dora luck+0.14
  • Ippatsu rate-5.5%
  • Not being chased (/first riichi)+7.5%
  • Painful dealer tsumo rate15.8%
Every number for 2023-24
Results
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Average placement2.452.49 (2.37 to 2.62)6%6329 games
Points per game1.00.1 (-5.5 to 5.6)7%6329 games
Points per game, luck removed4.80.4 (-4.8 to 5.7)9%7229 games
1st-place rate31.0%25.2% (22.1% to 28.3%)2%7729 games
4th-place rate24.1%24.8% (18.3% to 31.4%)12%5329 games
Style
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Win rate20.3%20.1% (17.9% to 22.2%)25%55364 hands
Deal-in rate12.6%11.4% (9.7% to 13.0%)26%29364 hands
Riichi rate20.3%21.8% (19.4% to 24.3%)38%12364 hands
Call rate28.3%27.5% (24.1% to 30.8%)85%86364 hands
First riichi rate75.7%76.0% (71.4% to 80.5%)17%4974 riichi
Average riichi turn8.859.24 (8.88 to 9.61)21%8974 riichi
Average win value6,7806,649 (6,130 to 7,168)22%5874 wins
Average deal-in value6,3285,732 (5,237 to 6,226)13%946 deal-ins
Win efficiency1,5181,480 (1,424 to 1,536)0%50364 hands
Deal-in loss822668 (563 to 773)15%12364 hands
Net efficiency696823 (635 to 1,012)11%24364 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)40.0%40.5% (33.9% to 47.1%)28%2960 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)24.2%25.1% (19.1% to 31.1%)38%2666 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call23.3%24.2% (18.5% to 29.9%)64%35103 first calls
Average win turn12.2312.37 (12.10 to 12.65)8%6074 wins
Tenpai rate at draws45.5%41.3% (35.2% to 47.4%)24%8666 draws
Staying in vs riichi12.8%14.0% (12.5% to 15.4%)5%38195 hands facing riichi
Efficiency match rate76.6%76.0% (74.5% to 77.5%)85%921,979 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)0.910.95 (0.86 to 1.04)77%211,929 discards
Breaking shape for value2.9%2.6% (2.2% to 3.0%)64%1001,979 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)7.788.15 (8.01 to 8.30)5%469 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate57.3%65.3% (59.1% to 71.5%)43%169 tenpai hands
Dama rate17.6%15.8% (10.8% to 20.7%)55%8974 wins
Riichi income2,1552,560 (1,802 to 3,319)16%2674 riichi
Riichi win rate47.3%46.5% (40.5% to 52.5%)28%5974 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A10.8%14.3% (13.1% to 15.5%)1%8674 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B5.4%10.9% (9.1% to 12.7%)3%9774 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate47.3%49.2% (43.4% to 55.0%)23%3874 riichi
Riichi draw rate18.9%19.1% (14.4% to 23.8%)26%5574 riichi
Call income344471 (114 to 828)10%38103 calls
Win rate after calling25.2%28.7% (24.2% to 33.2%)24%15103 calls
Deal-in rate after calling12.6%11.9% (8.6% to 15.1%)28%35103 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
MetricActualPercentileCount
Starting hand (shanten)+0.0358364 hands
Dora and red fives dealt-0.0335364 hands
Draw luck-1.4%44,452 draws
Ura-dora luck+0.148635 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate-5.5%2135 riichi wins
Not being chased (/first riichi)+7.5%8956 first riichi
Painful dealer tsumo rate15.8%1295 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)-3.92129 games
Hand balance breakdown
CategoryFrequencyBalance per handLeague averageDifference
Wins with riichi9.6%+766+924-158
Wins with calls7.1%+449+381+67
Dama wins3.6%+304+175+129
Deal-ins to riichi6.9%-465-361-104
Deal-ins to open hands3.8%-251-203-48
Deal-ins to dama1.9%-116-102-14
Others' tsumo26.1%-768-757-11
Other (draws etc.)40.9%-18-59+41
Total (per hand)-101

Players with a similar styleclosest career style metrics first

  1. Suzuki DaisukeBEAST XIn common: More deal-ins, Efficiency first
  2. Okada SayakaKADOKAWA Sakura KnightsIn common: Efficiency first
  3. Sugawara HiroeFormer M.League playerIn common: Efficiency first

* Twelve style metrics, including call rate, riichi rate, win rate, deal-in rate, hand value, riichi speed and immediate riichi rate, are put on the same scale and compared; the players closest overall are listed. Metrics the data can vouch for weigh more. It shows only how close the styles are, not which is better. The differences are often slight, and the order could change.