Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Player · 235 career games · 2019-20–2026-27

Kotaro Uchikawa

Calls and riichi close to the league average. Stands out for early riichi, smaller wins and chasing riichi. Career record: -0.3pt per game, close to average.

Actual / game
-0.3
235 career games
Skill estimate / game
-0.2
90% interval -4.1 to +3.7
Estimate, luck removed
+0.1
adjusted for starting hands, draws, ura-dora
Weight of the record
63%
share of the estimate from the record

Styleleague percentile, career

  • Average win value6,342
  • Riichi rate23.0%
  • Deal-in rate11.1%
  • Win rate20.4%
  • First riichi rate74.9%
  • Average riichi turn9.17
  • Call rate23.6%
  • Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws38.7%
  • Staying in vs riichi14.3%
  • Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)40.7%
  • Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)28.3%
  • Tile efficiency match rate75.0%
  • Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.15
  • Immediate riichi rate71.9%
  • Dama rate12.0%

Color only for metrics with a good side (red = good, blue = bad). Metrics of style, such as riichi rate, call rate and tile efficiency match rate, are gray. For tenpai turn, further right means later (a larger turn number). Values are estimates.

Placements235 career games, average placement 2.49

  • 1st27.2%64×
  • 2nd22.6%53×
  • 3rd23.8%56×
  • 4th26.4%62×

Riichi and callsbalance and outcome of hands with riichi or calls

  • Riichi income2,366
  • Riichi win rate43.9%
  • Riichi deal-in rate A14.5%
  • Riichi deal-in rate B11.3%
  • Riichi good-wait rate49.3%
  • Riichi exhaustive draw rate20.3%
  • Call income606
  • Win rate after calling32.9%
  • Deal-in rate after calling10.9%
  • Tenpai rate after the first call26.7%

Income is the average points won or lost in those hands (riichi sticks and honba included).

Net efficiency and morecalculated as on Mahjong Soul Paifuya, per hand

  • Net efficiency809
  • Deal-in loss648
  • Average win turn12.35

Deal-in loss = deal-in rate × average deal-in; net efficiency = win rate × average win − deal-in loss. Win and deal-in values include honba and riichi sticks. Win turn is the number of tiles discarded at the table when the win came ÷ 4 + 1. Win efficiency (win rate × average win) is not shown: players with a high win rate win smaller hands, the two cancel out, and differences between players cannot be told apart from chance.

Skill estimateleague percentile of the estimates

  • Points per game-0.2
  • Points per game, luck removed0.1
  • Average placement2.50

Luckfurther right is luckier; values are differences from the league average (the dealer tsumo rate is the rate itself)

  • Points from luck (/game)-0.5
  • Draw luck+0.1%
  • Starting hand (shanten)-0.00
  • Dora and red fives dealt+0.02
  • Ura-dora luck+0.02
  • Ippatsu rate-2.4%
  • Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)-0.5%
  • Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate13.5%

Where the points came fromchange in expected points, all stages

  • Own wins+46.8
  • Deal-ins-20.2
  • Others' tsumo-24.5
  • Ron between others-2.0
  • Exhaustive draws-0.2
Change in expected points per game. Total -0.2pt/game (235 games).
As a table
Hand resultHandsTotalPer game
Own wins589+10991.3+46.8
Deal-ins320-4757.6-20.2
Others' tsumo763-5760.9-24.5
Ron between others606-468.6-2.0
Exhaustive draws598-43.1-0.2

Hand balance breakdownpoints won or lost per hand, all stages

CategoryFrequencyBalance per handLeague averageDifference
Wins with riichi10.0%+850+919-68
Wins with calls8.0%+447+382+65
Dama wins2.4%+148+173-24
Deal-ins to riichi5.2%-385-360-25
Deal-ins to open hands4.2%-200-203+3
Deal-ins to dama1.7%-99-101+2
Others' tsumo26.5%-756-752-4
Other (exhaustive draws, etc.)41.9%-67-60-7
Total (per hand)-60
Every career number (estimate, 90% interval, weight of the record)
Results
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Average placement2.492.50 (2.40 to 2.59)62%58235 games
Points per game-0.3-0.2 (-4.1 to 3.7)63%49235 games
Points per game, luck removed0.20.1 (-3.3 to 3.6)70%49235 games
1st-place rate27.2%26.5% (22.7% to 30.2%)65%74235 games
4th-place rate26.4%25.9% (22.1% to 29.7%)66%25235 games
Style
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Win rate20.5%20.4% (19.3% to 21.5%)78%702,876 hands
Deal-in rate11.1%11.1% (10.2% to 11.9%)75%392,876 hands
Riichi rate23.1%23.0% (21.9% to 24.2%)80%542,876 hands
Call rate23.6%23.6% (22.3% to 24.9%)98%582,876 hands
First riichi rate74.1%74.9% (72.7% to 77.0%)60%13664 riichi
Average riichi turn9.139.17 (8.99 to 9.36)80%88664 riichi
Average win value6,2386,342 (6,084 to 6,600)70%13589 wins
Average deal-in value5,6845,656 (5,386 to 5,927)52%37320 deal-ins
Win efficiency1,4461,467 (1,399 to 1,535)25%372,876 hands
Deal-in loss656648 (596 to 701)56%352,876 hands
Net efficiency790809 (702 to 915)59%312,876 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)40.6%40.7% (37.6% to 43.7%)74%47524 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)28.8%28.3% (25.4% to 31.2%)86%72535 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call26.8%26.7% (24.1% to 29.3%)92%54679 first calls
Average win turn12.1512.35 (12.24 to 12.47)13%94589 wins
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws38.3%38.7% (35.8% to 41.6%)77%31598 exhaustive draws
Staying in vs riichi14.7%14.3% (13.3% to 15.4%)42%781,483 hands facing an opponent’s riichi
Tile efficiency match rate75.1%75.0% (74.4% to 75.6%)98%8215,401 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)0.970.97 (0.94 to 1.01)96%1714,819 discards
Breaking shape for value2.2%2.2% (2.0% to 2.4%)94%7415,401 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.128.15 (8.07 to 8.24)28%33638 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate71.9%71.9% (69.2% to 74.6%)85%52638 tenpai hands
Dama rate11.9%12.0% (9.8% to 14.2%)91%37589 wins
Riichi income2,2222,366 (1,999 to 2,733)64%11664 riichi
Riichi win rate43.4%43.9% (41.1% to 46.8%)79%15664 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A15.2%14.5% (13.2% to 15.8%)20%19664 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B11.7%11.3% (10.0% to 12.7%)42%13664 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate49.1%49.3% (46.6% to 52.0%)69%43664 riichi
Riichi exhaustive draw rate20.6%20.3% (18.1% to 22.4%)73%74664 riichi
Call income711606 (385 to 827)53%92679 calls
Win rate after calling34.0%32.9% (30.4% to 35.3%)73%96679 calls
Deal-in rate after calling10.6%10.9% (9.1% to 12.6%)73%76679 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
MetricActualPercentileCount
Starting hand (shanten)-0.00392,876 hands
Dora and red fives dealt+0.02782,876 hands
Draw luck+0.1%6035,152 tile draws
Ura-dora luck+0.0254288 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate-2.4%17288 riichi wins
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)-0.5%45492 first riichi
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate13.5%19763 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)-0.549235 games

By seasonRegular Season

2026-27 (14 games · skill estimate -0.9pt/game)

Style

  • Average win value6,443
  • Riichi rate23.1%
  • Deal-in rate10.5%
  • Win rate19.9%
  • First riichi rate76.3%
  • Average riichi turn9.25
  • Call rate26.1%
  • Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws39.8%
  • Staying in vs riichi14.0%
  • Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)41.3%
  • Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)31.4%
  • Tile efficiency match rate74.6%
  • Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.15
  • Immediate riichi rate70.2%
  • Dama rate11.0%

Where the points came from

  • Own wins+36.2
  • Deal-ins-17.6
  • Others' tsumo-22.4
  • Ron between others-3.8
  • Exhaustive draws-1.7
Change in expected points per game. Total -9.4pt/game (14 games).
As a table
Hand resultHandsTotalPer game
Own wins31+506.4+36.2
Deal-ins13-246.7-17.6
Others' tsumo47-314.2-22.4
Ron between others39-53.8-3.8
Exhaustive draws31-23.6-1.7

Luck

  • Points from luck (/game)-2.5
  • Draw luck+0.1%
  • Starting hand (shanten)+0.05
  • Dora and red fives dealt+0.00
  • Ura-dora luck-0.06
  • Ippatsu rate-1.0%
  • Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)+12.8%
  • Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate12.8%
Every number for 2026-27
Results
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Average placement2.712.52 (2.30 to 2.74)9%2014 games
Points per game-9.6-0.9 (-10.0 to 8.2)9%1714 games
Points per game, luck removed-7.2-0.9 (-9.4 to 7.6)12%2214 games
1st-place rate14.3%24.0% (15.1% to 32.9%)10%2114 games
4th-place rate35.7%26.0% (17.0% to 35.1%)10%1614 games
Style
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Win rate19.3%19.9% (17.0% to 22.7%)17%52161 hands
Deal-in rate8.1%10.5% (8.3% to 12.7%)15%89161 hands
Riichi rate24.8%23.1% (20.0% to 26.2%)18%71161 hands
Call rate27.3%26.1% (21.5% to 30.7%)71%71161 hands
First riichi rate80.0%76.3% (71.5% to 81.2%)8%7640 riichi
Average riichi turn8.909.25 (8.77 to 9.74)19%6840 riichi
Average win value5,2686,443 (5,791 to 7,095)11%631 wins
Average deal-in value5,9005,637 (5,030 to 6,245)4%2813 deal-ins
Win efficiency1,1501,468 (1,359 to 1,577)2%14161 hands
Deal-in loss491629 (512 to 746)7%84161 hands
Net efficiency658822 (578 to 1,066)7%38161 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)44.4%41.3% (33.3% to 49.3%)13%5727 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)47.1%31.4% (23.7% to 39.2%)27%9734 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call25.0%25.4% (17.9% to 32.9%)42%5544 first calls
Average win turn11.6712.37 (12.22 to 12.53)1%8731 wins
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws38.7%39.8% (32.1% to 47.6%)15%3631 exhaustive draws
Staying in vs riichi12.4%14.0% (12.0% to 16.0%)4%3389 hands facing an opponent’s riichi
Tile efficiency match rate75.4%74.6% (72.4% to 76.9%)70%68773 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)0.951.00 (0.87 to 1.13)56%30748 discards
Breaking shape for value1.8%1.9% (1.3% to 2.5%)45%49773 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)7.338.15 (8.02 to 8.29)2%135 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate65.5%70.2% (62.5% to 77.8%)24%2035 tenpai hands
Dama rate6.5%11.0% (4.4% to 17.6%)33%3631 wins
Riichi income1,6302,526 (1,664 to 3,389)10%2840 riichi
Riichi win rate40.0%44.9% (37.5% to 52.3%)19%2540 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A12.5%14.3% (12.3% to 16.2%)2%6540 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B12.5%11.1% (8.4% to 13.8%)4%2940 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate50.0%49.8% (43.3% to 56.2%)12%5340 riichi
Riichi exhaustive draw rate22.5%19.7% (14.3% to 25.1%)14%6340 riichi
Call income-193440 (-33.54 to 913)7%1744 calls
Win rate after calling29.5%29.8% (23.7% to 35.8%)15%5544 calls
Deal-in rate after calling9.1%11.2% (6.9% to 15.4%)15%5544 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
MetricActualPercentileCount
Starting hand (shanten)+0.0587161 hands
Dora and red fives dealt+0.0049161 hands
Draw luck+0.1%551,956 tile draws
Ura-dora luck-0.063316 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate-1.0%4616 riichi wins
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)+12.8%9732 first riichi
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate12.8%5347 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)-2.53814 games
Hand balance breakdown
CategoryFrequencyBalance per handLeague averageDifference
Wins with riichi9.9%+755+919-164
Wins with calls8.1%+321+382-61
Dama wins1.2%+74+173-99
Deal-ins to riichi2.5%-213-360+147
Deal-ins to open hands5.6%-309-203-106
Deal-ins to dama0.0%0-101+101
Others' tsumo29.2%-745-752+8
Other (exhaustive draws, etc.)43.5%-99-60-40
Total (per hand)-217
2025-26 (36 games · skill estimate 1.9pt/game)

Style

  • Average win value6,550
  • Riichi rate23.2%
  • Deal-in rate10.9%
  • Win rate20.9%
  • First riichi rate75.9%
  • Average riichi turn9.24
  • Call rate23.0%
  • Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws40.2%
  • Staying in vs riichi14.3%
  • Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)42.0%
  • Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)27.7%
  • Tile efficiency match rate73.9%
  • Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.17
  • Immediate riichi rate70.7%
  • Dama rate12.4%

Where the points came from

  • Own wins+51.4
  • Deal-ins-18.5
  • Others' tsumo-26.0
  • Ron between others+1.2
  • Exhaustive draws+0.8
Change in expected points per game. Total +8.8pt/game (36 games).
As a table
Hand resultHandsTotalPer game
Own wins101+1850.5+51.4
Deal-ins48-667.2-18.5
Others' tsumo129-937.4-26.0
Ron between others95+44.2+1.2
Exhaustive draws74+27.0+0.8

Luck

  • Points from luck (/game)+0.4
  • Draw luck+0.5%
  • Starting hand (shanten)-0.08
  • Dora and red fives dealt-0.01
  • Ura-dora luck-0.11
  • Ippatsu rate+5.3%
  • Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)-1.8%
  • Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate10.9%
Every number for 2025-26
Results
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Average placement2.252.45 (2.27 to 2.63)20%9236 games
Points per game8.91.9 (-5.5 to 9.2)21%9036 games
Points per game, luck removed8.52.3 (-4.3 to 8.9)27%8736 games
1st-place rate33.3%26.9% (19.8% to 34.0%)22%8736 games
4th-place rate16.7%23.0% (15.8% to 30.2%)23%9036 games
Style
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Win rate22.6%20.9% (18.8% to 23.0%)36%85447 hands
Deal-in rate10.7%10.9% (9.3% to 12.4%)32%64447 hands
Riichi rate23.9%23.2% (21.0% to 25.4%)38%72447 hands
Call rate23.0%23.0% (20.0% to 26.1%)87%29447 hands
First riichi rate75.7%75.9% (72.0% to 79.9%)19%54107 riichi
Average riichi turn9.099.24 (8.89 to 9.59)39%62107 riichi
Average win value6,4506,550 (6,077 to 7,023)29%47101 wins
Average deal-in value5,3795,591 (5,094 to 6,088)14%5748 deal-ins
Win efficiency1,6571,483 (1,383 to 1,583)5%87447 hands
Deal-in loss596632 (535 to 728)16%64447 hands
Net efficiency1,061877 (678 to 1,075)18%82447 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)44.9%42.0% (36.2% to 47.9%)30%7078 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)29.9%27.7% (22.1% to 33.3%)49%6787 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call16.5%19.9% (14.3% to 25.6%)63%6103 first calls
Average win turn11.5212.36 (12.22 to 12.50)2%100101 wins
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws40.5%40.2% (34.2% to 46.2%)29%4974 exhaustive draws
Staying in vs riichi16.4%14.3% (12.5% to 16.1%)10%85231 hands facing an opponent’s riichi
Tile efficiency match rate74.1%73.9% (72.5% to 75.3%)87%442,307 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)0.980.99 (0.90 to 1.08)79%472,214 discards
Breaking shape for value2.4%2.3% (1.9% to 2.7%)71%822,307 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.158.17 (8.04 to 8.29)6%6499 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate69.6%70.7% (65.3% to 76.0%)47%3499 tenpai hands
Dama rate11.9%12.4% (8.0% to 16.9%)62%70101 wins
Riichi income3,2712,768 (2,085 to 3,451)22%77107 riichi
Riichi win rate52.3%48.4% (43.1% to 53.8%)38%92107 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A12.2%14.2% (12.4% to 16.1%)4%77107 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B11.2%11.1% (8.7% to 13.4%)10%45107 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate54.2%50.9% (45.9% to 55.9%)26%77107 riichi
Riichi exhaustive draw rate15.9%18.2% (14.2% to 22.3%)31%31107 riichi
Call income710519 (113 to 925)15%67103 calls
Win rate after calling32.0%30.4% (25.7% to 35.2%)29%59103 calls
Deal-in rate after calling11.7%11.6% (8.3% to 14.9%)29%54103 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
MetricActualPercentileCount
Starting hand (shanten)-0.084447 hands
Dora and red fives dealt-0.0149447 hands
Draw luck+0.5%725,297 tile draws
Ura-dora luck-0.111956 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate+5.3%8056 riichi wins
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)-1.8%3981 first riichi
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate10.9%72129 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)+0.45736 games
Hand balance breakdown
CategoryFrequencyBalance per handLeague averageDifference
Wins with riichi12.5%+1,050+919+131
Wins with calls7.4%+452+382+70
Dama wins2.7%+154+173-19
Deal-ins to riichi4.3%-321-360+39
Deal-ins to open hands4.0%-145-203+58
Deal-ins to dama2.5%-157-101-56
Others' tsumo28.9%-798-752-45
Other (exhaustive draws, etc.)37.8%-59-60+0
Total (per hand)+178
2024-25 (19 games · skill estimate -0.4pt/game)

Style

  • Average win value6,378
  • Riichi rate23.3%
  • Deal-in rate11.4%
  • Win rate21.0%
  • First riichi rate76.5%
  • Average riichi turn9.08
  • Call rate24.4%
  • Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws40.1%
  • Staying in vs riichi13.9%
  • Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)42.8%
  • Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)28.0%
  • Tile efficiency match rate78.5%
  • Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.16
  • Immediate riichi rate74.1%
  • Dama rate9.4%

Where the points came from

  • Own wins+48.3
  • Deal-ins-26.5
  • Others' tsumo-20.3
  • Ron between others-3.7
  • Exhaustive draws-1.1
Change in expected points per game. Total -3.4pt/game (19 games).
As a table
Hand resultHandsTotalPer game
Own wins58+918.4+48.3
Deal-ins32-503.5-26.5
Others' tsumo60-386.2-20.3
Ron between others51-70.6-3.7
Exhaustive draws37-21.7-1.1

Luck

  • Points from luck (/game)+2.1
  • Draw luck-0.1%
  • Starting hand (shanten)+0.08
  • Dora and red fives dealt-0.01
  • Ura-dora luck+0.08
  • Ippatsu rate-1.2%
  • Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)-1.7%
  • Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate10.0%
Every number for 2024-25
Results
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Average placement2.532.50 (2.29 to 2.71)12%4119 games
Points per game-3.0-0.4 (-8.9 to 8.2)12%4119 games
Points per game, luck removed-5.1-0.8 (-8.8 to 7.1)16%3519 games
1st-place rate21.1%24.5% (16.2% to 32.9%)13%3919 games
4th-place rate15.8%23.7% (15.1% to 32.2%)14%7219 games
Style
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Win rate24.4%21.0% (18.4% to 23.6%)23%97238 hands
Deal-in rate13.4%11.4% (9.5% to 13.4%)20%18238 hands
Riichi rate25.2%23.3% (20.6% to 26.1%)24%80238 hands
Call rate24.8%24.4% (20.4% to 28.4%)78%49238 hands
First riichi rate80.0%76.5% (72.0% to 81.0%)12%7560 riichi
Average riichi turn8.379.08 (8.65 to 9.51)26%9760 riichi
Average win value5,4716,378 (5,813 to 6,942)19%758 wins
Average deal-in value5,9975,662 (5,124 to 6,201)10%1532 deal-ins
Win efficiency1,4691,474 (1,368 to 1,580)3%55238 hands
Deal-in loss824656 (546 to 766)9%21238 hands
Net efficiency645815 (586 to 1,044)11%35238 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)51.2%42.8% (35.5% to 50.0%)18%7741 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)34.3%28.0% (20.3% to 35.7%)28%8035 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call28.8%27.2% (20.4% to 34.0%)49%8359 first calls
Average win turn12.4012.38 (12.23 to 12.53)1%3858 wins
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws40.5%40.1% (32.7% to 47.5%)17%5237 exhaustive draws
Staying in vs riichi10.6%13.9% (11.9% to 15.9%)5%24104 hands facing an opponent’s riichi
Tile efficiency match rate80.0%78.5% (76.7% to 80.4%)79%1001,248 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)0.660.79 (0.68 to 0.90)67%11,215 discards
Breaking shape for value1.5%1.7% (1.2% to 2.2%)57%261,248 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)7.818.16 (8.03 to 8.29)3%953 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate79.3%74.1% (67.5% to 80.7%)32%8653 tenpai hands
Dama rate5.2%9.4% (4.1% to 14.7%)48%2158 wins
Riichi income1,6652,490 (1,694 to 3,286)14%2160 riichi
Riichi win rate45.0%45.8% (39.2% to 52.3%)26%4660 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A16.7%14.4% (12.5% to 16.3%)2%3260 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B15.0%11.3% (8.7% to 13.9%)6%2460 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate46.7%49.2% (43.3% to 55.1%)17%3860 riichi
Riichi exhaustive draw rate18.3%19.1% (14.2% to 24.0%)20%5860 riichi
Call income1,180549 (96.14 to 1,002)9%8659 calls
Win rate after calling47.5%33.1% (27.5% to 38.7%)19%10059 calls
Deal-in rate after calling11.9%11.6% (7.7% to 15.5%)19%5259 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
MetricActualPercentileCount
Starting hand (shanten)+0.08100238 hands
Dora and red fives dealt-0.0155238 hands
Draw luck-0.1%462,795 tile draws
Ura-dora luck+0.088327 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate-1.2%4627 riichi wins
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)-1.7%5248 first riichi
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate10.0%8660 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)+2.17219 games
Hand balance breakdown
CategoryFrequencyBalance per handLeague averageDifference
Wins with riichi11.3%+874+919-45
Wins with calls11.8%+504+382+122
Dama wins1.3%+91+173-82
Deal-ins to riichi5.5%-387-360-27
Deal-ins to open hands6.7%-371-203-168
Deal-ins to dama1.3%-103-101-3
Others' tsumo25.2%-683-752+69
Other (exhaustive draws, etc.)37.0%-57-60+3
Total (per hand)-133
2023-24 (18 games · skill estimate -1.3pt/game)

Style

  • Average win value6,481
  • Riichi rate23.7%
  • Deal-in rate11.0%
  • Win rate20.4%
  • First riichi rate76.1%
  • Average riichi turn9.28
  • Call rate21.2%
  • Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws40.9%
  • Staying in vs riichi14.1%
  • Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)38.9%
  • Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)26.4%
  • Tile efficiency match rate77.0%
  • Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.17
  • Immediate riichi rate72.7%
  • Dama rate14.7%

Where the points came from

  • Own wins+43.0
  • Deal-ins-20.4
  • Others' tsumo-30.0
  • Ron between others-4.1
  • Exhaustive draws-0.2
Change in expected points per game. Total -11.6pt/game (18 games).
As a table
Hand resultHandsTotalPer game
Own wins49+773.3+43.0
Deal-ins25-366.6-20.4
Others' tsumo61-539.5-30.0
Ron between others47-73.4-4.1
Exhaustive draws40-2.9-0.2

Luck

  • Points from luck (/game)+4.5
  • Draw luck+1.1%
  • Starting hand (shanten)-0.07
  • Dora and red fives dealt-0.01
  • Ura-dora luck+0.03
  • Ippatsu rate+5.3%
  • Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)-7.3%
  • Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate18.0%
Every number for 2023-24
Results
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Average placement2.892.54 (2.33 to 2.75)11%118 games
Points per game-11.4-1.3 (-10.0 to 7.3)12%1518 games
Points per game, luck removed-15.9-2.5 (-10.5 to 5.6)15%718 games
1st-place rate16.7%24.0% (15.5% to 32.5%)12%2918 games
4th-place rate44.4%27.4% (18.8% to 36.1%)13%418 games
Style
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Win rate22.1%20.4% (17.8% to 23.1%)22%83222 hands
Deal-in rate11.3%11.0% (9.0% to 13.0%)19%49222 hands
Riichi rate27.0%23.7% (20.9% to 26.5%)23%83222 hands
Call rate20.7%21.2% (17.2% to 25.3%)77%32222 hands
First riichi rate76.7%76.1% (71.6% to 80.6%)12%5860 riichi
Average riichi turn9.139.28 (8.85 to 9.71)26%6060 riichi
Average win value5,9296,481 (5,891 to 7,071)17%949 wins
Average deal-in value5,5525,620 (5,059 to 6,181)8%6025 deal-ins
Win efficiency1,4731,474 (1,368 to 1,581)3%43222 hands
Deal-in loss651640 (529 to 751)9%58222 hands
Net efficiency822834 (602 to 1,065)10%46222 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)28.1%38.9% (31.2% to 46.6%)15%132 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)28.6%26.4% (18.7% to 34.1%)28%6035 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call28.3%26.8% (19.4% to 34.1%)43%6946 first calls
Average win turn11.9512.37 (12.22 to 12.52)1%7249 wins
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws45.0%40.9% (33.7% to 48.2%)18%7740 exhaustive draws
Staying in vs riichi15.2%14.1% (12.1% to 16.1%)5%80105 hands facing an opponent’s riichi
Tile efficiency match rate78.1%77.0% (75.1% to 78.8%)78%941,225 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)0.850.92 (0.81 to 1.03)67%91,183 discards
Breaking shape for value1.9%1.9% (1.4% to 2.4%)56%461,225 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.158.17 (8.04 to 8.30)4%5260 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate74.8%72.7% (66.4% to 79.1%)35%6660 tenpai hands
Dama rate16.3%14.7% (9.0% to 20.3%)44%8349 wins
Riichi income9902,396 (1,600 to 3,192)14%160 riichi
Riichi win rate40.0%44.5% (37.9% to 51.1%)26%1560 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A20.0%14.5% (12.5% to 16.4%)2%1260 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B16.7%11.4% (8.8% to 14.0%)6%1260 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate41.7%48.4% (42.5% to 54.3%)17%1860 riichi
Riichi exhaustive draw rate18.3%19.1% (14.2% to 24.0%)20%5260 riichi
Call income841512 (41.64 to 982)7%7246 calls
Win rate after calling37.0%30.9% (24.9% to 36.9%)15%9246 calls
Deal-in rate after calling8.7%11.1% (6.9% to 15.3%)15%7546 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
MetricActualPercentileCount
Starting hand (shanten)-0.071222 hands
Dora and red fives dealt-0.0149222 hands
Draw luck+1.1%1002,730 tile draws
Ura-dora luck+0.036024 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate+5.3%8324 riichi wins
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)-7.3%1246 first riichi
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate18.0%161 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)+4.58318 games
Hand balance breakdown
CategoryFrequencyBalance per handLeague averageDifference
Wins with riichi10.8%+836+919-83
Wins with calls7.7%+403+382+20
Dama wins3.6%+234+173+61
Deal-ins to riichi6.8%-483-360-123
Deal-ins to open hands3.6%-172-203+31
Deal-ins to dama0.9%-41-101+60
Others' tsumo27.5%-897-752-145
Other (exhaustive draws, etc.)39.2%-36-60+24
Total (per hand)-157
2022-23 (25 games · skill estimate 0.9pt/game)

Style

  • Average win value6,649
  • Riichi rate23.9%
  • Deal-in rate11.0%
  • Win rate19.5%
  • First riichi rate75.5%
  • Average riichi turn9.31
  • Call rate26.7%
  • Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws41.2%
  • Staying in vs riichi14.1%
  • Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)38.7%
  • Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)26.9%
  • Tile efficiency match rate74.8%
  • Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.16
  • Immediate riichi rate74.2%
  • Dama rate12.7%

Where the points came from

  • Own wins+52.5
  • Deal-ins-20.5
  • Others' tsumo-26.5
  • Ron between others-1.3
  • Exhaustive draws+2.1
Change in expected points per game. Total +6.3pt/game (25 games).
As a table
Hand resultHandsTotalPer game
Own wins58+1312.2+52.5
Deal-ins35-513.7-20.5
Others' tsumo79-661.3-26.5
Ron between others62-31.9-1.3
Exhaustive draws82+51.9+2.1

Luck

  • Points from luck (/game)+0.4
  • Draw luck+0.0%
  • Starting hand (shanten)+0.10
  • Dora and red fives dealt+0.04
  • Ura-dora luck+0.15
  • Ippatsu rate-10.1%
  • Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)-2.5%
  • Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate19.0%
Every number for 2022-23
Results
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Average placement2.362.48 (2.28 to 2.67)15%7125 games
Points per game6.00.9 (-7.1 to 9.0)16%7125 games
Points per game, luck removed5.71.1 (-6.2 to 8.5)20%7825 games
1st-place rate36.0%26.8% (19.0% to 34.7%)16%8725 games
4th-place rate24.0%24.7% (16.8% to 32.7%)17%5725 games
Style
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Win rate18.4%19.5% (17.2% to 21.9%)28%27316 hands
Deal-in rate11.1%11.0% (9.2% to 12.7%)25%33316 hands
Riichi rate26.6%23.9% (21.4% to 26.4%)30%94316 hands
Call rate27.5%26.7% (23.2% to 30.3%)83%84316 hands
First riichi rate72.6%75.5% (71.3% to 79.7%)16%2084 riichi
Average riichi turn9.269.31 (8.93 to 9.69)33%5584 riichi
Average win value6,8986,649 (6,084 to 7,213)19%6258 wins
Average deal-in value5,0605,566 (5,036 to 6,096)11%9035 deal-ins
Win efficiency1,4471,473 (1,370 to 1,577)4%36316 hands
Deal-in loss598634 (529 to 738)12%49316 hands
Net efficiency848837 (621 to 1,053)14%49316 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)32.8%38.7% (32.5% to 44.9%)27%1767 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)29.4%26.9% (20.2% to 33.6%)36%7451 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call27.6%26.8% (20.8% to 32.8%)59%4687 first calls
Average win turn12.5612.38 (12.23 to 12.53)1%4358 wins
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws43.9%41.2% (35.5% to 47.0%)31%8482 exhaustive draws
Staying in vs riichi14.5%14.1% (12.2% to 16.0%)8%74165 hands facing an opponent’s riichi
Tile efficiency match rate75.2%74.8% (73.2% to 76.4%)84%1001,751 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)0.940.98 (0.88 to 1.07)74%41,685 discards
Breaking shape for value2.6%2.4% (2.0% to 2.9%)65%901,751 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.108.16 (8.04 to 8.29)4%3072 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate78.1%74.2% (68.3% to 80.1%)39%9072 tenpai hands
Dama rate12.1%12.7% (7.4% to 18.0%)48%4358 wins
Riichi income2,1492,536 (1,803 to 3,268)18%2084 riichi
Riichi win rate36.9%43.1% (37.2% to 48.9%)32%484 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A14.3%14.3% (12.5% to 16.2%)3%2884 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B9.5%10.9% (8.4% to 13.4%)8%5584 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate45.2%48.8% (43.4% to 54.1%)22%2084 riichi
Riichi exhaustive draw rate21.4%19.8% (15.4% to 24.2%)26%6584 riichi
Call income523491 (69.88 to 912)13%5587 calls
Win rate after calling23.0%28.1% (23.1% to 33.1%)25%487 calls
Deal-in rate after calling8.0%10.6% (7.1% to 14.1%)25%7887 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
MetricActualPercentileCount
Starting hand (shanten)+0.1087316 hands
Dora and red fives dealt+0.0474316 hands
Draw luck+0.0%524,010 tile draws
Ura-dora luck+0.159431 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate-10.1%1131 riichi wins
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)-2.5%2061 first riichi
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate19.0%479 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)+0.44925 games
Hand balance breakdown
CategoryFrequencyBalance per handLeague averageDifference
Wins with riichi9.8%+916+919-3
Wins with calls6.3%+412+382+30
Dama wins2.2%+118+173-55
Deal-ins to riichi5.4%-370-360-10
Deal-ins to open hands4.4%-175-203+28
Deal-ins to dama1.3%-79-101+22
Others' tsumo25.0%-705-752+47
Other (exhaustive draws, etc.)45.6%-6-60+53
Total (per hand)+111
2021-22 (18 games · skill estimate -0.9pt/game)

Style

  • Average win value6,613
  • Riichi rate22.6%
  • Deal-in rate11.0%
  • Win rate19.2%
  • First riichi rate75.0%
  • Average riichi turn9.42
  • Call rate17.8%
  • Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws38.5%
  • Staying in vs riichi14.2%
  • Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)40.6%
  • Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)27.5%
  • Tile efficiency match rate75.4%
  • Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.18
  • Immediate riichi rate71.8%
  • Dama rate12.5%

Where the points came from

  • Own wins+41.5
  • Deal-ins-18.0
  • Others' tsumo-26.6
  • Ron between others-1.3
  • Exhaustive draws-3.0
Change in expected points per game. Total -7.4pt/game (18 games).
As a table
Hand resultHandsTotalPer game
Own wins36+746.4+41.5
Deal-ins25-324.3-18.0
Others' tsumo58-479.0-26.6
Ron between others52-23.0-1.3
Exhaustive draws51-54.0-3.0

Luck

  • Points from luck (/game)+1.9
  • Draw luck-0.5%
  • Starting hand (shanten)-0.08
  • Dora and red fives dealt+0.10
  • Ura-dora luck+0.07
  • Ippatsu rate-0.7%
  • Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)-2.8%
  • Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate17.2%
Every number for 2021-22
Results
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Average placement2.722.52 (2.31 to 2.73)11%3318 games
Points per game-7.8-0.9 (-9.6 to 7.8)12%3318 games
Points per game, luck removed-9.7-1.5 (-9.6 to 6.6)15%2018 games
1st-place rate27.8%25.4% (16.9% to 33.9%)12%6218 games
4th-place rate33.3%26.0% (17.4% to 34.6%)13%2018 games
Style
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Win rate16.2%19.2% (16.5% to 21.8%)22%17222 hands
Deal-in rate11.3%11.0% (9.0% to 13.0%)19%30222 hands
Riichi rate22.1%22.6% (19.8% to 25.4%)23%43222 hands
Call rate16.2%17.8% (13.7% to 21.8%)77%17222 hands
First riichi rate65.3%75.0% (70.3% to 79.6%)10%1449 riichi
Average riichi turn9.699.42 (8.96 to 9.87)22%4949 riichi
Average win value6,7696,613 (5,980 to 7,246)13%5836 wins
Average deal-in value5,3445,604 (5,043 to 6,164)8%5525 deal-ins
Win efficiency1,2621,469 (1,362 to 1,575)3%20222 hands
Deal-in loss623637 (526 to 749)9%49222 hands
Net efficiency638815 (584 to 1,047)10%27222 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)39.6%40.6% (33.7% to 47.5%)21%5248 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)31.7%27.5% (20.2% to 34.7%)31%8441 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call27.8%26.4% (18.4% to 34.5%)37%4936 first calls
Average win turn13.5412.39 (12.24 to 12.54)1%436 wins
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws33.3%38.5% (31.8% to 45.3%)22%2351 exhaustive draws
Staying in vs riichi17.2%14.2% (12.3% to 16.2%)5%87116 hands facing an opponent’s riichi
Tile efficiency match rate76.1%75.4% (73.5% to 77.2%)79%1001,233 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)0.880.94 (0.83 to 1.05)67%41,182 discards
Breaking shape for value2.6%2.3% (1.8% to 2.8%)56%901,233 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.558.18 (8.05 to 8.31)3%8451 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate72.0%71.8% (65.0% to 78.5%)31%4951 tenpai hands
Dama rate11.1%12.5% (6.3% to 18.8%)37%3136 wins
Riichi income2,2002,574 (1,743 to 3,404)12%2749 riichi
Riichi win rate42.9%45.3% (38.3% to 52.3%)22%2749 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A14.3%14.3% (12.4% to 16.3%)2%3349 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B10.2%11.0% (8.3% to 13.7%)5%4349 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate51.0%49.9% (43.7% to 56.1%)14%5249 riichi
Riichi exhaustive draw rate20.4%19.5% (14.3% to 24.6%)17%5849 riichi
Call income681498 (11.83 to 983)6%6536 calls
Win rate after calling30.6%29.9% (23.6% to 36.2%)12%5536 calls
Deal-in rate after calling11.1%11.5% (7.0% to 15.9%)12%5236 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
MetricActualPercentileCount
Starting hand (shanten)-0.0811222 hands
Dora and red fives dealt+0.10100222 hands
Draw luck-0.5%302,830 tile draws
Ura-dora luck+0.077121 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate-0.7%5221 riichi wins
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)-2.8%2332 first riichi
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate17.2%1758 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)+1.97818 games
Hand balance breakdown
CategoryFrequencyBalance per handLeague averageDifference
Wins with riichi9.5%+892+919-27
Wins with calls5.0%+319+382-63
Dama wins1.8%+50+173-122
Deal-ins to riichi5.4%-397-360-37
Deal-ins to open hands3.2%-100-203+104
Deal-ins to dama2.7%-149-101-48
Others' tsumo26.1%-831-752-78
Other (exhaustive draws, etc.)46.4%-99-60-39
Total (per hand)-314
2020-21 (26 games · skill estimate 2.9pt/game)

Style

  • Average win value6,362
  • Riichi rate21.9%
  • Deal-in rate11.0%
  • Win rate22.2%
  • First riichi rate76.7%
  • Average riichi turn9.29
  • Call rate26.3%
  • Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws38.9%
  • Staying in vs riichi14.2%
  • Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)41.1%
  • Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)26.0%
  • Tile efficiency match rate75.0%
  • Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.16
  • Immediate riichi rate69.5%
  • Dama rate14.5%

Where the points came from

  • Own wins+60.9
  • Deal-ins-20.7
  • Others' tsumo-20.1
  • Ron between others-1.5
  • Exhaustive draws-0.4
Change in expected points per game. Total +18.2pt/game (26 games).
As a table
Hand resultHandsTotalPer game
Own wins85+1582.9+60.9
Deal-ins34-538.9-20.7
Others' tsumo62-523.2-20.1
Ron between others64-38.1-1.5
Exhaustive draws59-9.5-0.4

Luck

  • Points from luck (/game)+5.9
  • Draw luck-0.1%
  • Starting hand (shanten)+0.05
  • Dora and red fives dealt+0.00
  • Ura-dora luck+0.20
  • Ippatsu rate-5.9%
  • Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)+2.9%
  • Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate16.1%
Every number for 2020-21
Results
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Average placement2.122.44 (2.24 to 2.63)15%9726 games
Points per game18.02.9 (-5.1 to 10.9)16%9726 games
Points per game, luck removed12.12.5 (-4.8 to 9.8)21%10026 games
1st-place rate46.2%28.6% (20.8% to 36.4%)17%10026 games
4th-place rate19.2%23.9% (16.0% to 31.8%)18%7626 games
Style
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Win rate28.0%22.2% (19.8% to 24.6%)28%100304 hands
Deal-in rate11.2%11.0% (9.2% to 12.8%)24%39304 hands
Riichi rate19.7%21.9% (19.3% to 24.4%)29%18304 hands
Call rate27.0%26.3% (22.7% to 29.9%)82%90304 hands
First riichi rate81.7%76.7% (72.2% to 81.2%)12%8060 riichi
Average riichi turn9.159.29 (8.86 to 9.72)26%6660 riichi
Average win value5,6966,362 (5,860 to 6,864)26%485 wins
Average deal-in value5,2415,586 (5,053 to 6,119)10%6634 deal-ins
Win efficiency1,8321,486 (1,382 to 1,590)3%93304 hands
Deal-in loss602635 (529 to 740)12%66304 hands
Net efficiency1,230888 (670 to 1,105)13%90304 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)41.9%41.1% (34.7% to 47.5%)25%5962 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)26.8%26.0% (19.5% to 32.5%)38%6956 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call30.5%28.4% (22.3% to 34.5%)57%6682 first calls
Average win turn12.5012.38 (12.24 to 12.53)2%3985 wins
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws35.6%38.9% (32.5% to 45.4%)25%2759 exhaustive draws
Staying in vs riichi16.4%14.2% (12.3% to 16.1%)7%93159 hands facing an opponent’s riichi
Tile efficiency match rate75.4%75.0% (73.3% to 76.6%)83%931,666 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)1.041.05 (0.95 to 1.15)73%181,596 discards
Breaking shape for value2.4%2.3% (1.8% to 2.7%)64%761,666 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)7.998.16 (8.03 to 8.29)4%1865 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate65.7%69.5% (63.3% to 75.6%)37%1865 tenpai hands
Dama rate15.3%14.5% (9.8% to 19.2%)58%6285 wins
Riichi income3,5422,751 (1,955 to 3,547)14%8060 riichi
Riichi win rate60.0%49.6% (43.0% to 56.2%)26%9360 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A15.0%14.3% (12.4% to 16.2%)2%5060 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B11.7%11.1% (8.5% to 13.7%)6%5260 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate48.3%49.5% (43.6% to 55.4%)17%4260 riichi
Riichi exhaustive draw rate16.7%18.7% (13.8% to 23.6%)20%3060 riichi
Call income1,587620 (193 to 1,046)12%10082 calls
Win rate after calling43.9%33.2% (28.1% to 38.3%)24%10082 calls
Deal-in rate after calling8.5%10.8% (7.2% to 14.4%)24%8082 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
MetricActualPercentileCount
Starting hand (shanten)+0.0580304 hands
Dora and red fives dealt+0.0039304 hands
Draw luck-0.1%593,695 tile draws
Ura-dora luck+0.209736 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate-5.9%2336 riichi wins
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)+2.9%4249 first riichi
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate16.1%2162 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)+5.99326 games
Hand balance breakdown
CategoryFrequencyBalance per handLeague averageDifference
Wins with riichi11.8%+916+919-3
Wins with calls11.8%+610+382+228
Dama wins4.3%+306+173+133
Deal-ins to riichi5.3%-399-360-39
Deal-ins to open hands3.6%-120-203+83
Deal-ins to dama2.3%-106-101-5
Others' tsumo20.4%-606-752+147
Other (exhaustive draws, etc.)40.5%-46-60+14
Total (per hand)+555
2019-20 (30 games · skill estimate -0.2pt/game)

Style

  • Average win value6,703
  • Riichi rate22.4%
  • Deal-in rate11.4%
  • Win rate19.6%
  • First riichi rate74.9%
  • Average riichi turn9.13
  • Call rate21.2%
  • Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws38.8%
  • Staying in vs riichi14.1%
  • Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)42.1%
  • Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)23.8%
  • Tile efficiency match rate72.8%
  • Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.18
  • Immediate riichi rate73.0%
  • Dama rate13.9%

Where the points came from

  • Own wins+48.6
  • Deal-ins-19.9
  • Others' tsumo-24.9
  • Ron between others-4.4
  • Exhaustive draws-0.3
Change in expected points per game. Total -0.8pt/game (30 games).
As a table
Hand resultHandsTotalPer game
Own wins69+1458.7+48.6
Deal-ins47-596.3-19.9
Others' tsumo103-745.9-24.9
Ron between others67-131.2-4.4
Exhaustive draws83-9.6-0.3

Luck

  • Points from luck (/game)-2.7
  • Draw luck-0.2%
  • Starting hand (shanten)-0.06
  • Dora and red fives dealt+0.06
  • Ura-dora luck+0.03
  • Ippatsu rate-7.2%
  • Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)-0.1%
  • Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate12.6%
Every number for 2019-20
Results
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Average placement2.502.50 (2.31 to 2.69)17%5830 games
Points per game-1.1-0.2 (-7.9 to 7.5)18%5030 games
Points per game, luck removed1.60.4 (-6.6 to 7.4)23%7230 games
1st-place rate26.7%25.4% (17.9% to 32.9%)19%5430 games
4th-place rate26.7%25.3% (17.7% to 32.9%)20%5430 games
Style
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Win rate18.7%19.6% (17.3% to 21.8%)32%40369 hands
Deal-in rate12.7%11.4% (9.7% to 13.1%)28%12369 hands
Riichi rate21.7%22.4% (20.0% to 24.7%)33%43369 hands
Call rate20.9%21.2% (17.9% to 24.5%)85%54369 hands
First riichi rate68.8%74.9% (70.7% to 79.1%)15%1280 riichi
Average riichi turn8.709.13 (8.74 to 9.52)32%9680 riichi
Average win value7,1076,703 (6,166 to 7,240)22%7969 wins
Average deal-in value5,2215,570 (5,071 to 6,069)14%8947 deal-ins
Win efficiency1,4771,474 (1,372 to 1,576)4%65369 hands
Deal-in loss698647 (546 to 748)14%40369 hands
Net efficiency779826 (618 to 1,035)16%50369 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)46.3%42.1% (35.4% to 48.8%)23%7554 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)21.8%23.8% (18.0% to 29.6%)46%3378 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call29.9%28.0% (21.8% to 34.2%)56%5077 first calls
Average win turn12.0212.37 (12.23 to 12.52)2%7269 wins
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws36.1%38.8% (33.1% to 44.5%)32%2283 exhaustive draws
Staying in vs riichi14.5%14.1% (12.3% to 15.9%)9%61193 hands facing an opponent’s riichi
Tile efficiency match rate72.8%72.8% (71.3% to 74.3%)86%791,990 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)1.061.06 (0.97 to 1.16)76%401,915 discards
Breaking shape for value2.1%2.1% (1.7% to 2.5%)68%581,990 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.388.18 (8.05 to 8.30)5%7983 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate74.9%73.0% (67.4% to 78.7%)43%7283 tenpai hands
Dama rate14.5%13.9% (8.9% to 19.0%)53%3669 wins
Riichi income2,4242,588 (1,845 to 3,330)18%4380 riichi
Riichi win rate40.0%44.1% (38.2% to 50.1%)31%2680 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A16.3%14.4% (12.5% to 16.2%)3%1580 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B10.0%11.0% (8.5% to 13.5%)8%6880 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate58.8%51.6% (46.2% to 57.1%)21%9680 riichi
Riichi exhaustive draw rate25.0%20.7% (16.2% to 25.2%)25%8280 riichi
Call income449482 (50.44 to 914)11%3677 calls
Win rate after calling35.1%31.0% (25.8% to 36.2%)23%8677 calls
Deal-in rate after calling16.9%12.8% (9.1% to 16.4%)23%577 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
MetricActualPercentileCount
Starting hand (shanten)-0.0633369 hands
Dora and red fives dealt+0.0693369 hands
Draw luck-0.2%154,457 tile draws
Ura-dora luck+0.034032 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate-7.2%1232 riichi wins
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)-0.1%5055 first riichi
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate12.6%50103 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)-2.74030 games
Hand balance breakdown
CategoryFrequencyBalance per handLeague averageDifference
Wins with riichi8.7%+773+919-146
Wins with calls7.3%+512+382+129
Dama wins2.7%+193+173+20
Deal-ins to riichi7.0%-455-360-95
Deal-ins to open hands3.3%-108-203+95
Deal-ins to dama2.4%-157-101-56
Others' tsumo27.9%-782-752-29
Other (exhaustive draws, etc.)40.6%-95-60-35
Total (per hand)-120

Columns about this player

Players with a similar styleclosest career style metrics first

  1. Kazuma IshiiEARTH JETSIn common: Smaller hands, Efficiency first, Early riichi
  2. Hiroe SugawaraFormer M.League playerIn common: Efficiency first
  3. Sayaka OkadaKADOKAWA Sakura KnightsIn common: Efficiency first

* Twelve style metrics, including call rate, riichi rate, win rate, deal-in rate, hand value, riichi speed and immediate riichi rate, are put on the same scale and compared; the players closest overall are listed. Metrics supported more strongly by the data receive more weight. The comparison shows how similar the players' styles are, not which is better. Differences are often small, so the order may change.