Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.
Player · 235 career games · 2019-20–2026-27
Kotaro Uchikawa
Calls and riichi close to the league average. Stands out for early riichi, smaller wins and chasing riichi. Career record: -0.3pt per game, close to average.
Early riichi
Efficiency first
Actual / game
-0.3
235 career games
Skill estimate / game
-0.2
90% interval -4.1 to +3.7
Estimate, luck removed
+0.1
adjusted for starting hands, draws, ura-dora
Weight of the record
63%
share of the estimate from the record
Styleleague percentile, career
Average win value136,342
Riichi rate5423.0%
Deal-in rate3911.1%
Win rate7020.4%
First riichi rate1374.9%
Average riichi turn889.17
Call rate5823.6%
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws3138.7%
Staying in vs riichi7814.3%
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)4740.7%
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)7228.3%
Tile efficiency match rate8275.0%
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)338.15
Immediate riichi rate5271.9%
Dama rate3712.0%
Color only for metrics with a good side (red = good, blue = bad). Metrics of style, such as riichi rate, call rate and tile efficiency match rate, are gray. For tenpai turn, further right means later (a larger turn number). Values are estimates.
Placements235 career games, average placement 2.49
Average placement2.49
1st27.2%64×
2nd22.6%53×
3rd23.8%56×
4th26.4%62×
Riichi and callsbalance and outcome of hands with riichi or calls
Riichi income112,366
Riichi win rate1543.9%
Riichi deal-in rate A1914.5%
Riichi deal-in rate B1311.3%
Riichi good-wait rate4349.3%
Riichi exhaustive draw rate7420.3%
Call income92606
Win rate after calling9632.9%
Deal-in rate after calling7610.9%
Tenpai rate after the first call5426.7%
Income is the average points won or lost in those hands (riichi sticks and honba included).
Net efficiency and morecalculated as on Mahjong Soul Paifuya, per hand
Net efficiency31809
Deal-in loss35648
Average win turn9412.35
Deal-in loss = deal-in rate × average deal-in; net efficiency = win rate × average win − deal-in loss. Win and deal-in values include honba and riichi sticks. Win turn is the number of tiles discarded at the table when the win came ÷ 4 + 1. Win efficiency (win rate × average win) is not shown: players with a high win rate win smaller hands, the two cancel out, and differences between players cannot be told apart from chance.
Skill estimateleague percentile of the estimates
Points per game49-0.2
Points per game, luck removed490.1
Average placement582.50
Luckfurther right is luckier; values are differences from the league average (the dealer tsumo rate is the rate itself)
Points from luck (/game)49-0.5
Draw luck60+0.1%
Starting hand (shanten)39-0.00
Dora and red fives dealt78+0.02
Ura-dora luck54+0.02
Ippatsu rate17-2.4%
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)45-0.5%
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate1913.5%
Where the points came fromchange in expected points, all stages
Own wins+46.8
Deal-ins-20.2
Others' tsumo-24.5
Ron between others-2.0
Exhaustive draws-0.2
Change in expected points per game. Total -0.2pt/game (235 games).As a table
Hand result
Hands
Total
Per game
Own wins
589
+10991.3
+46.8
Deal-ins
320
-4757.6
-20.2
Others' tsumo
763
-5760.9
-24.5
Ron between others
606
-468.6
-2.0
Exhaustive draws
598
-43.1
-0.2
Hand balance breakdownpoints won or lost per hand, all stages
Category
Frequency
Balance per hand
League average
Difference
Wins with riichi
10.0%
+850
+919
-68
Wins with calls
8.0%
+447
+382
+65
Dama wins
2.4%
+148
+173
-24
Deal-ins to riichi
5.2%
-385
-360
-25
Deal-ins to open hands
4.2%
-200
-203
+3
Deal-ins to dama
1.7%
-99
-101
+2
Others' tsumo
26.5%
-756
-752
-4
Other (exhaustive draws, etc.)
41.9%
-67
-60
-7
Total (per hand)
-60
Every career number (estimate, 90% interval, weight of the record)
Results
Metric
Actual
Estimate (90% interval)
Weight of the record
Percentile
Count
Average placement
2.49
2.50 (2.40 to 2.59)
62%
58
235 games
Points per game
-0.3
-0.2 (-4.1 to 3.7)
63%
49
235 games
Points per game, luck removed
0.2
0.1 (-3.3 to 3.6)
70%
49
235 games
1st-place rate
27.2%
26.5% (22.7% to 30.2%)
65%
74
235 games
4th-place rate
26.4%
25.9% (22.1% to 29.7%)
66%
25
235 games
Style
Metric
Actual
Estimate (90% interval)
Weight of the record
Percentile
Count
Win rate
20.5%
20.4% (19.3% to 21.5%)
78%
70
2,876 hands
Deal-in rate
11.1%
11.1% (10.2% to 11.9%)
75%
39
2,876 hands
Riichi rate
23.1%
23.0% (21.9% to 24.2%)
80%
54
2,876 hands
Call rate
23.6%
23.6% (22.3% to 24.9%)
98%
58
2,876 hands
First riichi rate
74.1%
74.9% (72.7% to 77.0%)
60%
13
664 riichi
Average riichi turn
9.13
9.17 (8.99 to 9.36)
80%
88
664 riichi
Average win value
6,238
6,342 (6,084 to 6,600)
70%
13
589 wins
Average deal-in value
5,684
5,656 (5,386 to 5,927)
52%
37
320 deal-ins
Win efficiency
1,446
1,467 (1,399 to 1,535)
25%
37
2,876 hands
Deal-in loss
656
648 (596 to 701)
56%
35
2,876 hands
Net efficiency
790
809 (702 to 915)
59%
31
2,876 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)
40.6%
40.7% (37.6% to 43.7%)
74%
47
524 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)
28.8%
28.3% (25.4% to 31.2%)
86%
72
535 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call
26.8%
26.7% (24.1% to 29.3%)
92%
54
679 first calls
Average win turn
12.15
12.35 (12.24 to 12.47)
13%
94
589 wins
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws
38.3%
38.7% (35.8% to 41.6%)
77%
31
598 exhaustive draws
Staying in vs riichi
14.7%
14.3% (13.3% to 15.4%)
42%
78
1,483 hands facing an opponent’s riichi
Tile efficiency match rate
75.1%
75.0% (74.4% to 75.6%)
98%
82
15,401 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)
0.97
0.97 (0.94 to 1.01)
96%
17
14,819 discards
Breaking shape for value
2.2%
2.2% (2.0% to 2.4%)
94%
74
15,401 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)
8.12
8.15 (8.07 to 8.24)
28%
33
638 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate
71.9%
71.9% (69.2% to 74.6%)
85%
52
638 tenpai hands
Dama rate
11.9%
12.0% (9.8% to 14.2%)
91%
37
589 wins
Riichi income
2,222
2,366 (1,999 to 2,733)
64%
11
664 riichi
Riichi win rate
43.4%
43.9% (41.1% to 46.8%)
79%
15
664 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A
15.2%
14.5% (13.2% to 15.8%)
20%
19
664 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B
11.7%
11.3% (10.0% to 12.7%)
42%
13
664 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate
49.1%
49.3% (46.6% to 52.0%)
69%
43
664 riichi
Riichi exhaustive draw rate
20.6%
20.3% (18.1% to 22.4%)
73%
74
664 riichi
Call income
711
606 (385 to 827)
53%
92
679 calls
Win rate after calling
34.0%
32.9% (30.4% to 35.3%)
73%
96
679 calls
Deal-in rate after calling
10.6%
10.9% (9.1% to 12.6%)
73%
76
679 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
Metric
Actual
Percentile
Count
Starting hand (shanten)
-0.00
39
2,876 hands
Dora and red fives dealt
+0.02
78
2,876 hands
Draw luck
+0.1%
60
35,152 tile draws
Ura-dora luck
+0.02
54
288 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate
-2.4%
17
288 riichi wins
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)
-0.5%
45
492 first riichi
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate
13.5%
19
763 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)
-0.5
49
235 games
By seasonRegular Season
2026-27 (14 games · skill estimate -0.9pt/game)
Style
Average win value66,443
Riichi rate7123.1%
Deal-in rate8910.5%
Win rate5219.9%
First riichi rate7676.3%
Average riichi turn689.25
Call rate7126.1%
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws3639.8%
Staying in vs riichi3314.0%
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)5741.3%
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)9731.4%
Tile efficiency match rate6874.6%
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)18.15
Immediate riichi rate2070.2%
Dama rate3611.0%
Where the points came from
Own wins+36.2
Deal-ins-17.6
Others' tsumo-22.4
Ron between others-3.8
Exhaustive draws-1.7
Change in expected points per game. Total -9.4pt/game (14 games).As a table
Hand result
Hands
Total
Per game
Own wins
31
+506.4
+36.2
Deal-ins
13
-246.7
-17.6
Others' tsumo
47
-314.2
-22.4
Ron between others
39
-53.8
-3.8
Exhaustive draws
31
-23.6
-1.7
Luck
Points from luck (/game)38-2.5
Draw luck55+0.1%
Starting hand (shanten)87+0.05
Dora and red fives dealt49+0.00
Ura-dora luck33-0.06
Ippatsu rate46-1.0%
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)97+12.8%
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate5312.8%
Every number for 2026-27
Results
Metric
Actual
Estimate (90% interval)
Weight of the record
Percentile
Count
Average placement
2.71
2.52 (2.30 to 2.74)
9%
20
14 games
Points per game
-9.6
-0.9 (-10.0 to 8.2)
9%
17
14 games
Points per game, luck removed
-7.2
-0.9 (-9.4 to 7.6)
12%
22
14 games
1st-place rate
14.3%
24.0% (15.1% to 32.9%)
10%
21
14 games
4th-place rate
35.7%
26.0% (17.0% to 35.1%)
10%
16
14 games
Style
Metric
Actual
Estimate (90% interval)
Weight of the record
Percentile
Count
Win rate
19.3%
19.9% (17.0% to 22.7%)
17%
52
161 hands
Deal-in rate
8.1%
10.5% (8.3% to 12.7%)
15%
89
161 hands
Riichi rate
24.8%
23.1% (20.0% to 26.2%)
18%
71
161 hands
Call rate
27.3%
26.1% (21.5% to 30.7%)
71%
71
161 hands
First riichi rate
80.0%
76.3% (71.5% to 81.2%)
8%
76
40 riichi
Average riichi turn
8.90
9.25 (8.77 to 9.74)
19%
68
40 riichi
Average win value
5,268
6,443 (5,791 to 7,095)
11%
6
31 wins
Average deal-in value
5,900
5,637 (5,030 to 6,245)
4%
28
13 deal-ins
Win efficiency
1,150
1,468 (1,359 to 1,577)
2%
14
161 hands
Deal-in loss
491
629 (512 to 746)
7%
84
161 hands
Net efficiency
658
822 (578 to 1,066)
7%
38
161 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)
44.4%
41.3% (33.3% to 49.3%)
13%
57
27 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)
47.1%
31.4% (23.7% to 39.2%)
27%
97
34 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call
25.0%
25.4% (17.9% to 32.9%)
42%
55
44 first calls
Average win turn
11.67
12.37 (12.22 to 12.53)
1%
87
31 wins
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws
38.7%
39.8% (32.1% to 47.6%)
15%
36
31 exhaustive draws
Staying in vs riichi
12.4%
14.0% (12.0% to 16.0%)
4%
33
89 hands facing an opponent’s riichi
Tile efficiency match rate
75.4%
74.6% (72.4% to 76.9%)
70%
68
773 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)
0.95
1.00 (0.87 to 1.13)
56%
30
748 discards
Breaking shape for value
1.8%
1.9% (1.3% to 2.5%)
45%
49
773 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)
7.33
8.15 (8.02 to 8.29)
2%
1
35 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate
65.5%
70.2% (62.5% to 77.8%)
24%
20
35 tenpai hands
Dama rate
6.5%
11.0% (4.4% to 17.6%)
33%
36
31 wins
Riichi income
1,630
2,526 (1,664 to 3,389)
10%
28
40 riichi
Riichi win rate
40.0%
44.9% (37.5% to 52.3%)
19%
25
40 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A
12.5%
14.3% (12.3% to 16.2%)
2%
65
40 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B
12.5%
11.1% (8.4% to 13.8%)
4%
29
40 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate
50.0%
49.8% (43.3% to 56.2%)
12%
53
40 riichi
Riichi exhaustive draw rate
22.5%
19.7% (14.3% to 25.1%)
14%
63
40 riichi
Call income
-193
440 (-33.54 to 913)
7%
17
44 calls
Win rate after calling
29.5%
29.8% (23.7% to 35.8%)
15%
55
44 calls
Deal-in rate after calling
9.1%
11.2% (6.9% to 15.4%)
15%
55
44 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
Metric
Actual
Percentile
Count
Starting hand (shanten)
+0.05
87
161 hands
Dora and red fives dealt
+0.00
49
161 hands
Draw luck
+0.1%
55
1,956 tile draws
Ura-dora luck
-0.06
33
16 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate
-1.0%
46
16 riichi wins
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)
+12.8%
97
32 first riichi
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate
12.8%
53
47 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)
-2.5
38
14 games
Hand balance breakdown
Category
Frequency
Balance per hand
League average
Difference
Wins with riichi
9.9%
+755
+919
-164
Wins with calls
8.1%
+321
+382
-61
Dama wins
1.2%
+74
+173
-99
Deal-ins to riichi
2.5%
-213
-360
+147
Deal-ins to open hands
5.6%
-309
-203
-106
Deal-ins to dama
0.0%
0
-101
+101
Others' tsumo
29.2%
-745
-752
+8
Other (exhaustive draws, etc.)
43.5%
-99
-60
-40
Total (per hand)
-217
2025-26 (36 games · skill estimate 1.9pt/game)
Style
Average win value476,550
Riichi rate7223.2%
Deal-in rate6410.9%
Win rate8520.9%
First riichi rate5475.9%
Average riichi turn629.24
Call rate2923.0%
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws4940.2%
Staying in vs riichi8514.3%
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)7042.0%
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)6727.7%
Tile efficiency match rate4473.9%
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)648.17
Immediate riichi rate3470.7%
Dama rate7012.4%
Where the points came from
Own wins+51.4
Deal-ins-18.5
Others' tsumo-26.0
Ron between others+1.2
Exhaustive draws+0.8
Change in expected points per game. Total +8.8pt/game (36 games).As a table
Hand result
Hands
Total
Per game
Own wins
101
+1850.5
+51.4
Deal-ins
48
-667.2
-18.5
Others' tsumo
129
-937.4
-26.0
Ron between others
95
+44.2
+1.2
Exhaustive draws
74
+27.0
+0.8
Luck
Points from luck (/game)57+0.4
Draw luck72+0.5%
Starting hand (shanten)4-0.08
Dora and red fives dealt49-0.01
Ura-dora luck19-0.11
Ippatsu rate80+5.3%
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)39-1.8%
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate7210.9%
Every number for 2025-26
Results
Metric
Actual
Estimate (90% interval)
Weight of the record
Percentile
Count
Average placement
2.25
2.45 (2.27 to 2.63)
20%
92
36 games
Points per game
8.9
1.9 (-5.5 to 9.2)
21%
90
36 games
Points per game, luck removed
8.5
2.3 (-4.3 to 8.9)
27%
87
36 games
1st-place rate
33.3%
26.9% (19.8% to 34.0%)
22%
87
36 games
4th-place rate
16.7%
23.0% (15.8% to 30.2%)
23%
90
36 games
Style
Metric
Actual
Estimate (90% interval)
Weight of the record
Percentile
Count
Win rate
22.6%
20.9% (18.8% to 23.0%)
36%
85
447 hands
Deal-in rate
10.7%
10.9% (9.3% to 12.4%)
32%
64
447 hands
Riichi rate
23.9%
23.2% (21.0% to 25.4%)
38%
72
447 hands
Call rate
23.0%
23.0% (20.0% to 26.1%)
87%
29
447 hands
First riichi rate
75.7%
75.9% (72.0% to 79.9%)
19%
54
107 riichi
Average riichi turn
9.09
9.24 (8.89 to 9.59)
39%
62
107 riichi
Average win value
6,450
6,550 (6,077 to 7,023)
29%
47
101 wins
Average deal-in value
5,379
5,591 (5,094 to 6,088)
14%
57
48 deal-ins
Win efficiency
1,657
1,483 (1,383 to 1,583)
5%
87
447 hands
Deal-in loss
596
632 (535 to 728)
16%
64
447 hands
Net efficiency
1,061
877 (678 to 1,075)
18%
82
447 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)
44.9%
42.0% (36.2% to 47.9%)
30%
70
78 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)
29.9%
27.7% (22.1% to 33.3%)
49%
67
87 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call
16.5%
19.9% (14.3% to 25.6%)
63%
6
103 first calls
Average win turn
11.52
12.36 (12.22 to 12.50)
2%
100
101 wins
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws
40.5%
40.2% (34.2% to 46.2%)
29%
49
74 exhaustive draws
Staying in vs riichi
16.4%
14.3% (12.5% to 16.1%)
10%
85
231 hands facing an opponent’s riichi
Tile efficiency match rate
74.1%
73.9% (72.5% to 75.3%)
87%
44
2,307 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)
0.98
0.99 (0.90 to 1.08)
79%
47
2,214 discards
Breaking shape for value
2.4%
2.3% (1.9% to 2.7%)
71%
82
2,307 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)
8.15
8.17 (8.04 to 8.29)
6%
64
99 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate
69.6%
70.7% (65.3% to 76.0%)
47%
34
99 tenpai hands
Dama rate
11.9%
12.4% (8.0% to 16.9%)
62%
70
101 wins
Riichi income
3,271
2,768 (2,085 to 3,451)
22%
77
107 riichi
Riichi win rate
52.3%
48.4% (43.1% to 53.8%)
38%
92
107 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A
12.2%
14.2% (12.4% to 16.1%)
4%
77
107 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B
11.2%
11.1% (8.7% to 13.4%)
10%
45
107 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate
54.2%
50.9% (45.9% to 55.9%)
26%
77
107 riichi
Riichi exhaustive draw rate
15.9%
18.2% (14.2% to 22.3%)
31%
31
107 riichi
Call income
710
519 (113 to 925)
15%
67
103 calls
Win rate after calling
32.0%
30.4% (25.7% to 35.2%)
29%
59
103 calls
Deal-in rate after calling
11.7%
11.6% (8.3% to 14.9%)
29%
54
103 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
Metric
Actual
Percentile
Count
Starting hand (shanten)
-0.08
4
447 hands
Dora and red fives dealt
-0.01
49
447 hands
Draw luck
+0.5%
72
5,297 tile draws
Ura-dora luck
-0.11
19
56 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate
+5.3%
80
56 riichi wins
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)
-1.8%
39
81 first riichi
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate
10.9%
72
129 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)
+0.4
57
36 games
Hand balance breakdown
Category
Frequency
Balance per hand
League average
Difference
Wins with riichi
12.5%
+1,050
+919
+131
Wins with calls
7.4%
+452
+382
+70
Dama wins
2.7%
+154
+173
-19
Deal-ins to riichi
4.3%
-321
-360
+39
Deal-ins to open hands
4.0%
-145
-203
+58
Deal-ins to dama
2.5%
-157
-101
-56
Others' tsumo
28.9%
-798
-752
-45
Other (exhaustive draws, etc.)
37.8%
-59
-60
+0
Total (per hand)
+178
2024-25 (19 games · skill estimate -0.4pt/game)
Style
Average win value76,378
Riichi rate8023.3%
Deal-in rate1811.4%
Win rate9721.0%
First riichi rate7576.5%
Average riichi turn979.08
Call rate4924.4%
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws5240.1%
Staying in vs riichi2413.9%
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)7742.8%
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)8028.0%
Tile efficiency match rate10078.5%
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)98.16
Immediate riichi rate8674.1%
Dama rate219.4%
Where the points came from
Own wins+48.3
Deal-ins-26.5
Others' tsumo-20.3
Ron between others-3.7
Exhaustive draws-1.1
Change in expected points per game. Total -3.4pt/game (19 games).As a table
Hand result
Hands
Total
Per game
Own wins
58
+918.4
+48.3
Deal-ins
32
-503.5
-26.5
Others' tsumo
60
-386.2
-20.3
Ron between others
51
-70.6
-3.7
Exhaustive draws
37
-21.7
-1.1
Luck
Points from luck (/game)72+2.1
Draw luck46-0.1%
Starting hand (shanten)100+0.08
Dora and red fives dealt55-0.01
Ura-dora luck83+0.08
Ippatsu rate46-1.2%
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)52-1.7%
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate8610.0%
Every number for 2024-25
Results
Metric
Actual
Estimate (90% interval)
Weight of the record
Percentile
Count
Average placement
2.53
2.50 (2.29 to 2.71)
12%
41
19 games
Points per game
-3.0
-0.4 (-8.9 to 8.2)
12%
41
19 games
Points per game, luck removed
-5.1
-0.8 (-8.8 to 7.1)
16%
35
19 games
1st-place rate
21.1%
24.5% (16.2% to 32.9%)
13%
39
19 games
4th-place rate
15.8%
23.7% (15.1% to 32.2%)
14%
72
19 games
Style
Metric
Actual
Estimate (90% interval)
Weight of the record
Percentile
Count
Win rate
24.4%
21.0% (18.4% to 23.6%)
23%
97
238 hands
Deal-in rate
13.4%
11.4% (9.5% to 13.4%)
20%
18
238 hands
Riichi rate
25.2%
23.3% (20.6% to 26.1%)
24%
80
238 hands
Call rate
24.8%
24.4% (20.4% to 28.4%)
78%
49
238 hands
First riichi rate
80.0%
76.5% (72.0% to 81.0%)
12%
75
60 riichi
Average riichi turn
8.37
9.08 (8.65 to 9.51)
26%
97
60 riichi
Average win value
5,471
6,378 (5,813 to 6,942)
19%
7
58 wins
Average deal-in value
5,997
5,662 (5,124 to 6,201)
10%
15
32 deal-ins
Win efficiency
1,469
1,474 (1,368 to 1,580)
3%
55
238 hands
Deal-in loss
824
656 (546 to 766)
9%
21
238 hands
Net efficiency
645
815 (586 to 1,044)
11%
35
238 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)
51.2%
42.8% (35.5% to 50.0%)
18%
77
41 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)
34.3%
28.0% (20.3% to 35.7%)
28%
80
35 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call
28.8%
27.2% (20.4% to 34.0%)
49%
83
59 first calls
Average win turn
12.40
12.38 (12.23 to 12.53)
1%
38
58 wins
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws
40.5%
40.1% (32.7% to 47.5%)
17%
52
37 exhaustive draws
Staying in vs riichi
10.6%
13.9% (11.9% to 15.9%)
5%
24
104 hands facing an opponent’s riichi
Tile efficiency match rate
80.0%
78.5% (76.7% to 80.4%)
79%
100
1,248 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)
0.66
0.79 (0.68 to 0.90)
67%
1
1,215 discards
Breaking shape for value
1.5%
1.7% (1.2% to 2.2%)
57%
26
1,248 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)
7.81
8.16 (8.03 to 8.29)
3%
9
53 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate
79.3%
74.1% (67.5% to 80.7%)
32%
86
53 tenpai hands
Dama rate
5.2%
9.4% (4.1% to 14.7%)
48%
21
58 wins
Riichi income
1,665
2,490 (1,694 to 3,286)
14%
21
60 riichi
Riichi win rate
45.0%
45.8% (39.2% to 52.3%)
26%
46
60 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A
16.7%
14.4% (12.5% to 16.3%)
2%
32
60 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B
15.0%
11.3% (8.7% to 13.9%)
6%
24
60 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate
46.7%
49.2% (43.3% to 55.1%)
17%
38
60 riichi
Riichi exhaustive draw rate
18.3%
19.1% (14.2% to 24.0%)
20%
58
60 riichi
Call income
1,180
549 (96.14 to 1,002)
9%
86
59 calls
Win rate after calling
47.5%
33.1% (27.5% to 38.7%)
19%
100
59 calls
Deal-in rate after calling
11.9%
11.6% (7.7% to 15.5%)
19%
52
59 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
Metric
Actual
Percentile
Count
Starting hand (shanten)
+0.08
100
238 hands
Dora and red fives dealt
-0.01
55
238 hands
Draw luck
-0.1%
46
2,795 tile draws
Ura-dora luck
+0.08
83
27 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate
-1.2%
46
27 riichi wins
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)
-1.7%
52
48 first riichi
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate
10.0%
86
60 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)
+2.1
72
19 games
Hand balance breakdown
Category
Frequency
Balance per hand
League average
Difference
Wins with riichi
11.3%
+874
+919
-45
Wins with calls
11.8%
+504
+382
+122
Dama wins
1.3%
+91
+173
-82
Deal-ins to riichi
5.5%
-387
-360
-27
Deal-ins to open hands
6.7%
-371
-203
-168
Deal-ins to dama
1.3%
-103
-101
-3
Others' tsumo
25.2%
-683
-752
+69
Other (exhaustive draws, etc.)
37.0%
-57
-60
+3
Total (per hand)
-133
2023-24 (18 games · skill estimate -1.3pt/game)
Style
Average win value96,481
Riichi rate8323.7%
Deal-in rate4911.0%
Win rate8320.4%
First riichi rate5876.1%
Average riichi turn609.28
Call rate3221.2%
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws7740.9%
Staying in vs riichi8014.1%
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)138.9%
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)6026.4%
Tile efficiency match rate9477.0%
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)528.17
Immediate riichi rate6672.7%
Dama rate8314.7%
Where the points came from
Own wins+43.0
Deal-ins-20.4
Others' tsumo-30.0
Ron between others-4.1
Exhaustive draws-0.2
Change in expected points per game. Total -11.6pt/game (18 games).As a table
Hand result
Hands
Total
Per game
Own wins
49
+773.3
+43.0
Deal-ins
25
-366.6
-20.4
Others' tsumo
61
-539.5
-30.0
Ron between others
47
-73.4
-4.1
Exhaustive draws
40
-2.9
-0.2
Luck
Points from luck (/game)83+4.5
Draw luck100+1.1%
Starting hand (shanten)1-0.07
Dora and red fives dealt49-0.01
Ura-dora luck60+0.03
Ippatsu rate83+5.3%
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)12-7.3%
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate118.0%
Every number for 2023-24
Results
Metric
Actual
Estimate (90% interval)
Weight of the record
Percentile
Count
Average placement
2.89
2.54 (2.33 to 2.75)
11%
1
18 games
Points per game
-11.4
-1.3 (-10.0 to 7.3)
12%
15
18 games
Points per game, luck removed
-15.9
-2.5 (-10.5 to 5.6)
15%
7
18 games
1st-place rate
16.7%
24.0% (15.5% to 32.5%)
12%
29
18 games
4th-place rate
44.4%
27.4% (18.8% to 36.1%)
13%
4
18 games
Style
Metric
Actual
Estimate (90% interval)
Weight of the record
Percentile
Count
Win rate
22.1%
20.4% (17.8% to 23.1%)
22%
83
222 hands
Deal-in rate
11.3%
11.0% (9.0% to 13.0%)
19%
49
222 hands
Riichi rate
27.0%
23.7% (20.9% to 26.5%)
23%
83
222 hands
Call rate
20.7%
21.2% (17.2% to 25.3%)
77%
32
222 hands
First riichi rate
76.7%
76.1% (71.6% to 80.6%)
12%
58
60 riichi
Average riichi turn
9.13
9.28 (8.85 to 9.71)
26%
60
60 riichi
Average win value
5,929
6,481 (5,891 to 7,071)
17%
9
49 wins
Average deal-in value
5,552
5,620 (5,059 to 6,181)
8%
60
25 deal-ins
Win efficiency
1,473
1,474 (1,368 to 1,581)
3%
43
222 hands
Deal-in loss
651
640 (529 to 751)
9%
58
222 hands
Net efficiency
822
834 (602 to 1,065)
10%
46
222 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)
28.1%
38.9% (31.2% to 46.6%)
15%
1
32 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)
28.6%
26.4% (18.7% to 34.1%)
28%
60
35 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call
28.3%
26.8% (19.4% to 34.1%)
43%
69
46 first calls
Average win turn
11.95
12.37 (12.22 to 12.52)
1%
72
49 wins
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws
45.0%
40.9% (33.7% to 48.2%)
18%
77
40 exhaustive draws
Staying in vs riichi
15.2%
14.1% (12.1% to 16.1%)
5%
80
105 hands facing an opponent’s riichi
Tile efficiency match rate
78.1%
77.0% (75.1% to 78.8%)
78%
94
1,225 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)
0.85
0.92 (0.81 to 1.03)
67%
9
1,183 discards
Breaking shape for value
1.9%
1.9% (1.4% to 2.4%)
56%
46
1,225 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)
8.15
8.17 (8.04 to 8.30)
4%
52
60 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate
74.8%
72.7% (66.4% to 79.1%)
35%
66
60 tenpai hands
Dama rate
16.3%
14.7% (9.0% to 20.3%)
44%
83
49 wins
Riichi income
990
2,396 (1,600 to 3,192)
14%
1
60 riichi
Riichi win rate
40.0%
44.5% (37.9% to 51.1%)
26%
15
60 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A
20.0%
14.5% (12.5% to 16.4%)
2%
12
60 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B
16.7%
11.4% (8.8% to 14.0%)
6%
12
60 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate
41.7%
48.4% (42.5% to 54.3%)
17%
18
60 riichi
Riichi exhaustive draw rate
18.3%
19.1% (14.2% to 24.0%)
20%
52
60 riichi
Call income
841
512 (41.64 to 982)
7%
72
46 calls
Win rate after calling
37.0%
30.9% (24.9% to 36.9%)
15%
92
46 calls
Deal-in rate after calling
8.7%
11.1% (6.9% to 15.3%)
15%
75
46 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
Metric
Actual
Percentile
Count
Starting hand (shanten)
-0.07
1
222 hands
Dora and red fives dealt
-0.01
49
222 hands
Draw luck
+1.1%
100
2,730 tile draws
Ura-dora luck
+0.03
60
24 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate
+5.3%
83
24 riichi wins
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)
-7.3%
12
46 first riichi
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate
18.0%
1
61 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)
+4.5
83
18 games
Hand balance breakdown
Category
Frequency
Balance per hand
League average
Difference
Wins with riichi
10.8%
+836
+919
-83
Wins with calls
7.7%
+403
+382
+20
Dama wins
3.6%
+234
+173
+61
Deal-ins to riichi
6.8%
-483
-360
-123
Deal-ins to open hands
3.6%
-172
-203
+31
Deal-ins to dama
0.9%
-41
-101
+60
Others' tsumo
27.5%
-897
-752
-145
Other (exhaustive draws, etc.)
39.2%
-36
-60
+24
Total (per hand)
-157
2022-23 (25 games · skill estimate 0.9pt/game)
Style
Average win value626,649
Riichi rate9423.9%
Deal-in rate3311.0%
Win rate2719.5%
First riichi rate2075.5%
Average riichi turn559.31
Call rate8426.7%
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws8441.2%
Staying in vs riichi7414.1%
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)1738.7%
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)7426.9%
Tile efficiency match rate10074.8%
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)308.16
Immediate riichi rate9074.2%
Dama rate4312.7%
Where the points came from
Own wins+52.5
Deal-ins-20.5
Others' tsumo-26.5
Ron between others-1.3
Exhaustive draws+2.1
Change in expected points per game. Total +6.3pt/game (25 games).As a table
Hand result
Hands
Total
Per game
Own wins
58
+1312.2
+52.5
Deal-ins
35
-513.7
-20.5
Others' tsumo
79
-661.3
-26.5
Ron between others
62
-31.9
-1.3
Exhaustive draws
82
+51.9
+2.1
Luck
Points from luck (/game)49+0.4
Draw luck52+0.0%
Starting hand (shanten)87+0.10
Dora and red fives dealt74+0.04
Ura-dora luck94+0.15
Ippatsu rate11-10.1%
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)20-2.5%
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate419.0%
Every number for 2022-23
Results
Metric
Actual
Estimate (90% interval)
Weight of the record
Percentile
Count
Average placement
2.36
2.48 (2.28 to 2.67)
15%
71
25 games
Points per game
6.0
0.9 (-7.1 to 9.0)
16%
71
25 games
Points per game, luck removed
5.7
1.1 (-6.2 to 8.5)
20%
78
25 games
1st-place rate
36.0%
26.8% (19.0% to 34.7%)
16%
87
25 games
4th-place rate
24.0%
24.7% (16.8% to 32.7%)
17%
57
25 games
Style
Metric
Actual
Estimate (90% interval)
Weight of the record
Percentile
Count
Win rate
18.4%
19.5% (17.2% to 21.9%)
28%
27
316 hands
Deal-in rate
11.1%
11.0% (9.2% to 12.7%)
25%
33
316 hands
Riichi rate
26.6%
23.9% (21.4% to 26.4%)
30%
94
316 hands
Call rate
27.5%
26.7% (23.2% to 30.3%)
83%
84
316 hands
First riichi rate
72.6%
75.5% (71.3% to 79.7%)
16%
20
84 riichi
Average riichi turn
9.26
9.31 (8.93 to 9.69)
33%
55
84 riichi
Average win value
6,898
6,649 (6,084 to 7,213)
19%
62
58 wins
Average deal-in value
5,060
5,566 (5,036 to 6,096)
11%
90
35 deal-ins
Win efficiency
1,447
1,473 (1,370 to 1,577)
4%
36
316 hands
Deal-in loss
598
634 (529 to 738)
12%
49
316 hands
Net efficiency
848
837 (621 to 1,053)
14%
49
316 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)
32.8%
38.7% (32.5% to 44.9%)
27%
17
67 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)
29.4%
26.9% (20.2% to 33.6%)
36%
74
51 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call
27.6%
26.8% (20.8% to 32.8%)
59%
46
87 first calls
Average win turn
12.56
12.38 (12.23 to 12.53)
1%
43
58 wins
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws
43.9%
41.2% (35.5% to 47.0%)
31%
84
82 exhaustive draws
Staying in vs riichi
14.5%
14.1% (12.2% to 16.0%)
8%
74
165 hands facing an opponent’s riichi
Tile efficiency match rate
75.2%
74.8% (73.2% to 76.4%)
84%
100
1,751 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)
0.94
0.98 (0.88 to 1.07)
74%
4
1,685 discards
Breaking shape for value
2.6%
2.4% (2.0% to 2.9%)
65%
90
1,751 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)
8.10
8.16 (8.04 to 8.29)
4%
30
72 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate
78.1%
74.2% (68.3% to 80.1%)
39%
90
72 tenpai hands
Dama rate
12.1%
12.7% (7.4% to 18.0%)
48%
43
58 wins
Riichi income
2,149
2,536 (1,803 to 3,268)
18%
20
84 riichi
Riichi win rate
36.9%
43.1% (37.2% to 48.9%)
32%
4
84 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A
14.3%
14.3% (12.5% to 16.2%)
3%
28
84 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B
9.5%
10.9% (8.4% to 13.4%)
8%
55
84 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate
45.2%
48.8% (43.4% to 54.1%)
22%
20
84 riichi
Riichi exhaustive draw rate
21.4%
19.8% (15.4% to 24.2%)
26%
65
84 riichi
Call income
523
491 (69.88 to 912)
13%
55
87 calls
Win rate after calling
23.0%
28.1% (23.1% to 33.1%)
25%
4
87 calls
Deal-in rate after calling
8.0%
10.6% (7.1% to 14.1%)
25%
78
87 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
Metric
Actual
Percentile
Count
Starting hand (shanten)
+0.10
87
316 hands
Dora and red fives dealt
+0.04
74
316 hands
Draw luck
+0.0%
52
4,010 tile draws
Ura-dora luck
+0.15
94
31 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate
-10.1%
11
31 riichi wins
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)
-2.5%
20
61 first riichi
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate
19.0%
4
79 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)
+0.4
49
25 games
Hand balance breakdown
Category
Frequency
Balance per hand
League average
Difference
Wins with riichi
9.8%
+916
+919
-3
Wins with calls
6.3%
+412
+382
+30
Dama wins
2.2%
+118
+173
-55
Deal-ins to riichi
5.4%
-370
-360
-10
Deal-ins to open hands
4.4%
-175
-203
+28
Deal-ins to dama
1.3%
-79
-101
+22
Others' tsumo
25.0%
-705
-752
+47
Other (exhaustive draws, etc.)
45.6%
-6
-60
+53
Total (per hand)
+111
2021-22 (18 games · skill estimate -0.9pt/game)
Style
Average win value586,613
Riichi rate4322.6%
Deal-in rate3011.0%
Win rate1719.2%
First riichi rate1475.0%
Average riichi turn499.42
Call rate1717.8%
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws2338.5%
Staying in vs riichi8714.2%
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)5240.6%
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)8427.5%
Tile efficiency match rate10075.4%
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)848.18
Immediate riichi rate4971.8%
Dama rate3112.5%
Where the points came from
Own wins+41.5
Deal-ins-18.0
Others' tsumo-26.6
Ron between others-1.3
Exhaustive draws-3.0
Change in expected points per game. Total -7.4pt/game (18 games).As a table
Hand result
Hands
Total
Per game
Own wins
36
+746.4
+41.5
Deal-ins
25
-324.3
-18.0
Others' tsumo
58
-479.0
-26.6
Ron between others
52
-23.0
-1.3
Exhaustive draws
51
-54.0
-3.0
Luck
Points from luck (/game)78+1.9
Draw luck30-0.5%
Starting hand (shanten)11-0.08
Dora and red fives dealt100+0.10
Ura-dora luck71+0.07
Ippatsu rate52-0.7%
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)23-2.8%
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate1717.2%
Every number for 2021-22
Results
Metric
Actual
Estimate (90% interval)
Weight of the record
Percentile
Count
Average placement
2.72
2.52 (2.31 to 2.73)
11%
33
18 games
Points per game
-7.8
-0.9 (-9.6 to 7.8)
12%
33
18 games
Points per game, luck removed
-9.7
-1.5 (-9.6 to 6.6)
15%
20
18 games
1st-place rate
27.8%
25.4% (16.9% to 33.9%)
12%
62
18 games
4th-place rate
33.3%
26.0% (17.4% to 34.6%)
13%
20
18 games
Style
Metric
Actual
Estimate (90% interval)
Weight of the record
Percentile
Count
Win rate
16.2%
19.2% (16.5% to 21.8%)
22%
17
222 hands
Deal-in rate
11.3%
11.0% (9.0% to 13.0%)
19%
30
222 hands
Riichi rate
22.1%
22.6% (19.8% to 25.4%)
23%
43
222 hands
Call rate
16.2%
17.8% (13.7% to 21.8%)
77%
17
222 hands
First riichi rate
65.3%
75.0% (70.3% to 79.6%)
10%
14
49 riichi
Average riichi turn
9.69
9.42 (8.96 to 9.87)
22%
49
49 riichi
Average win value
6,769
6,613 (5,980 to 7,246)
13%
58
36 wins
Average deal-in value
5,344
5,604 (5,043 to 6,164)
8%
55
25 deal-ins
Win efficiency
1,262
1,469 (1,362 to 1,575)
3%
20
222 hands
Deal-in loss
623
637 (526 to 749)
9%
49
222 hands
Net efficiency
638
815 (584 to 1,047)
10%
27
222 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)
39.6%
40.6% (33.7% to 47.5%)
21%
52
48 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)
31.7%
27.5% (20.2% to 34.7%)
31%
84
41 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call
27.8%
26.4% (18.4% to 34.5%)
37%
49
36 first calls
Average win turn
13.54
12.39 (12.24 to 12.54)
1%
4
36 wins
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws
33.3%
38.5% (31.8% to 45.3%)
22%
23
51 exhaustive draws
Staying in vs riichi
17.2%
14.2% (12.3% to 16.2%)
5%
87
116 hands facing an opponent’s riichi
Tile efficiency match rate
76.1%
75.4% (73.5% to 77.2%)
79%
100
1,233 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)
0.88
0.94 (0.83 to 1.05)
67%
4
1,182 discards
Breaking shape for value
2.6%
2.3% (1.8% to 2.8%)
56%
90
1,233 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)
8.55
8.18 (8.05 to 8.31)
3%
84
51 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate
72.0%
71.8% (65.0% to 78.5%)
31%
49
51 tenpai hands
Dama rate
11.1%
12.5% (6.3% to 18.8%)
37%
31
36 wins
Riichi income
2,200
2,574 (1,743 to 3,404)
12%
27
49 riichi
Riichi win rate
42.9%
45.3% (38.3% to 52.3%)
22%
27
49 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A
14.3%
14.3% (12.4% to 16.3%)
2%
33
49 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B
10.2%
11.0% (8.3% to 13.7%)
5%
43
49 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate
51.0%
49.9% (43.7% to 56.1%)
14%
52
49 riichi
Riichi exhaustive draw rate
20.4%
19.5% (14.3% to 24.6%)
17%
58
49 riichi
Call income
681
498 (11.83 to 983)
6%
65
36 calls
Win rate after calling
30.6%
29.9% (23.6% to 36.2%)
12%
55
36 calls
Deal-in rate after calling
11.1%
11.5% (7.0% to 15.9%)
12%
52
36 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
Metric
Actual
Percentile
Count
Starting hand (shanten)
-0.08
11
222 hands
Dora and red fives dealt
+0.10
100
222 hands
Draw luck
-0.5%
30
2,830 tile draws
Ura-dora luck
+0.07
71
21 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate
-0.7%
52
21 riichi wins
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)
-2.8%
23
32 first riichi
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate
17.2%
17
58 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)
+1.9
78
18 games
Hand balance breakdown
Category
Frequency
Balance per hand
League average
Difference
Wins with riichi
9.5%
+892
+919
-27
Wins with calls
5.0%
+319
+382
-63
Dama wins
1.8%
+50
+173
-122
Deal-ins to riichi
5.4%
-397
-360
-37
Deal-ins to open hands
3.2%
-100
-203
+104
Deal-ins to dama
2.7%
-149
-101
-48
Others' tsumo
26.1%
-831
-752
-78
Other (exhaustive draws, etc.)
46.4%
-99
-60
-39
Total (per hand)
-314
2020-21 (26 games · skill estimate 2.9pt/game)
Style
Average win value46,362
Riichi rate1821.9%
Deal-in rate3911.0%
Win rate10022.2%
First riichi rate8076.7%
Average riichi turn669.29
Call rate9026.3%
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws2738.9%
Staying in vs riichi9314.2%
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)5941.1%
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)6926.0%
Tile efficiency match rate9375.0%
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)188.16
Immediate riichi rate1869.5%
Dama rate6214.5%
Where the points came from
Own wins+60.9
Deal-ins-20.7
Others' tsumo-20.1
Ron between others-1.5
Exhaustive draws-0.4
Change in expected points per game. Total +18.2pt/game (26 games).As a table
Hand result
Hands
Total
Per game
Own wins
85
+1582.9
+60.9
Deal-ins
34
-538.9
-20.7
Others' tsumo
62
-523.2
-20.1
Ron between others
64
-38.1
-1.5
Exhaustive draws
59
-9.5
-0.4
Luck
Points from luck (/game)93+5.9
Draw luck59-0.1%
Starting hand (shanten)80+0.05
Dora and red fives dealt39+0.00
Ura-dora luck97+0.20
Ippatsu rate23-5.9%
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)42+2.9%
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate2116.1%
Every number for 2020-21
Results
Metric
Actual
Estimate (90% interval)
Weight of the record
Percentile
Count
Average placement
2.12
2.44 (2.24 to 2.63)
15%
97
26 games
Points per game
18.0
2.9 (-5.1 to 10.9)
16%
97
26 games
Points per game, luck removed
12.1
2.5 (-4.8 to 9.8)
21%
100
26 games
1st-place rate
46.2%
28.6% (20.8% to 36.4%)
17%
100
26 games
4th-place rate
19.2%
23.9% (16.0% to 31.8%)
18%
76
26 games
Style
Metric
Actual
Estimate (90% interval)
Weight of the record
Percentile
Count
Win rate
28.0%
22.2% (19.8% to 24.6%)
28%
100
304 hands
Deal-in rate
11.2%
11.0% (9.2% to 12.8%)
24%
39
304 hands
Riichi rate
19.7%
21.9% (19.3% to 24.4%)
29%
18
304 hands
Call rate
27.0%
26.3% (22.7% to 29.9%)
82%
90
304 hands
First riichi rate
81.7%
76.7% (72.2% to 81.2%)
12%
80
60 riichi
Average riichi turn
9.15
9.29 (8.86 to 9.72)
26%
66
60 riichi
Average win value
5,696
6,362 (5,860 to 6,864)
26%
4
85 wins
Average deal-in value
5,241
5,586 (5,053 to 6,119)
10%
66
34 deal-ins
Win efficiency
1,832
1,486 (1,382 to 1,590)
3%
93
304 hands
Deal-in loss
602
635 (529 to 740)
12%
66
304 hands
Net efficiency
1,230
888 (670 to 1,105)
13%
90
304 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)
41.9%
41.1% (34.7% to 47.5%)
25%
59
62 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)
26.8%
26.0% (19.5% to 32.5%)
38%
69
56 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call
30.5%
28.4% (22.3% to 34.5%)
57%
66
82 first calls
Average win turn
12.50
12.38 (12.24 to 12.53)
2%
39
85 wins
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws
35.6%
38.9% (32.5% to 45.4%)
25%
27
59 exhaustive draws
Staying in vs riichi
16.4%
14.2% (12.3% to 16.1%)
7%
93
159 hands facing an opponent’s riichi
Tile efficiency match rate
75.4%
75.0% (73.3% to 76.6%)
83%
93
1,666 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)
1.04
1.05 (0.95 to 1.15)
73%
18
1,596 discards
Breaking shape for value
2.4%
2.3% (1.8% to 2.7%)
64%
76
1,666 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)
7.99
8.16 (8.03 to 8.29)
4%
18
65 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate
65.7%
69.5% (63.3% to 75.6%)
37%
18
65 tenpai hands
Dama rate
15.3%
14.5% (9.8% to 19.2%)
58%
62
85 wins
Riichi income
3,542
2,751 (1,955 to 3,547)
14%
80
60 riichi
Riichi win rate
60.0%
49.6% (43.0% to 56.2%)
26%
93
60 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A
15.0%
14.3% (12.4% to 16.2%)
2%
50
60 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B
11.7%
11.1% (8.5% to 13.7%)
6%
52
60 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate
48.3%
49.5% (43.6% to 55.4%)
17%
42
60 riichi
Riichi exhaustive draw rate
16.7%
18.7% (13.8% to 23.6%)
20%
30
60 riichi
Call income
1,587
620 (193 to 1,046)
12%
100
82 calls
Win rate after calling
43.9%
33.2% (28.1% to 38.3%)
24%
100
82 calls
Deal-in rate after calling
8.5%
10.8% (7.2% to 14.4%)
24%
80
82 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
Metric
Actual
Percentile
Count
Starting hand (shanten)
+0.05
80
304 hands
Dora and red fives dealt
+0.00
39
304 hands
Draw luck
-0.1%
59
3,695 tile draws
Ura-dora luck
+0.20
97
36 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate
-5.9%
23
36 riichi wins
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)
+2.9%
42
49 first riichi
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate
16.1%
21
62 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)
+5.9
93
26 games
Hand balance breakdown
Category
Frequency
Balance per hand
League average
Difference
Wins with riichi
11.8%
+916
+919
-3
Wins with calls
11.8%
+610
+382
+228
Dama wins
4.3%
+306
+173
+133
Deal-ins to riichi
5.3%
-399
-360
-39
Deal-ins to open hands
3.6%
-120
-203
+83
Deal-ins to dama
2.3%
-106
-101
-5
Others' tsumo
20.4%
-606
-752
+147
Other (exhaustive draws, etc.)
40.5%
-46
-60
+14
Total (per hand)
+555
2019-20 (30 games · skill estimate -0.2pt/game)
Style
Average win value796,703
Riichi rate4322.4%
Deal-in rate1211.4%
Win rate4019.6%
First riichi rate1274.9%
Average riichi turn969.13
Call rate5421.2%
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws2238.8%
Staying in vs riichi6114.1%
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)7542.1%
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)3323.8%
Tile efficiency match rate7972.8%
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)798.18
Immediate riichi rate7273.0%
Dama rate3613.9%
Where the points came from
Own wins+48.6
Deal-ins-19.9
Others' tsumo-24.9
Ron between others-4.4
Exhaustive draws-0.3
Change in expected points per game. Total -0.8pt/game (30 games).As a table
Hand result
Hands
Total
Per game
Own wins
69
+1458.7
+48.6
Deal-ins
47
-596.3
-19.9
Others' tsumo
103
-745.9
-24.9
Ron between others
67
-131.2
-4.4
Exhaustive draws
83
-9.6
-0.3
Luck
Points from luck (/game)40-2.7
Draw luck15-0.2%
Starting hand (shanten)33-0.06
Dora and red fives dealt93+0.06
Ura-dora luck40+0.03
Ippatsu rate12-7.2%
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)50-0.1%
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate5012.6%
Every number for 2019-20
Results
Metric
Actual
Estimate (90% interval)
Weight of the record
Percentile
Count
Average placement
2.50
2.50 (2.31 to 2.69)
17%
58
30 games
Points per game
-1.1
-0.2 (-7.9 to 7.5)
18%
50
30 games
Points per game, luck removed
1.6
0.4 (-6.6 to 7.4)
23%
72
30 games
1st-place rate
26.7%
25.4% (17.9% to 32.9%)
19%
54
30 games
4th-place rate
26.7%
25.3% (17.7% to 32.9%)
20%
54
30 games
Style
Metric
Actual
Estimate (90% interval)
Weight of the record
Percentile
Count
Win rate
18.7%
19.6% (17.3% to 21.8%)
32%
40
369 hands
Deal-in rate
12.7%
11.4% (9.7% to 13.1%)
28%
12
369 hands
Riichi rate
21.7%
22.4% (20.0% to 24.7%)
33%
43
369 hands
Call rate
20.9%
21.2% (17.9% to 24.5%)
85%
54
369 hands
First riichi rate
68.8%
74.9% (70.7% to 79.1%)
15%
12
80 riichi
Average riichi turn
8.70
9.13 (8.74 to 9.52)
32%
96
80 riichi
Average win value
7,107
6,703 (6,166 to 7,240)
22%
79
69 wins
Average deal-in value
5,221
5,570 (5,071 to 6,069)
14%
89
47 deal-ins
Win efficiency
1,477
1,474 (1,372 to 1,576)
4%
65
369 hands
Deal-in loss
698
647 (546 to 748)
14%
40
369 hands
Net efficiency
779
826 (618 to 1,035)
16%
50
369 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)
46.3%
42.1% (35.4% to 48.8%)
23%
75
54 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)
21.8%
23.8% (18.0% to 29.6%)
46%
33
78 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call
29.9%
28.0% (21.8% to 34.2%)
56%
50
77 first calls
Average win turn
12.02
12.37 (12.23 to 12.52)
2%
72
69 wins
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws
36.1%
38.8% (33.1% to 44.5%)
32%
22
83 exhaustive draws
Staying in vs riichi
14.5%
14.1% (12.3% to 15.9%)
9%
61
193 hands facing an opponent’s riichi
Tile efficiency match rate
72.8%
72.8% (71.3% to 74.3%)
86%
79
1,990 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)
1.06
1.06 (0.97 to 1.16)
76%
40
1,915 discards
Breaking shape for value
2.1%
2.1% (1.7% to 2.5%)
68%
58
1,990 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)
8.38
8.18 (8.05 to 8.30)
5%
79
83 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate
74.9%
73.0% (67.4% to 78.7%)
43%
72
83 tenpai hands
Dama rate
14.5%
13.9% (8.9% to 19.0%)
53%
36
69 wins
Riichi income
2,424
2,588 (1,845 to 3,330)
18%
43
80 riichi
Riichi win rate
40.0%
44.1% (38.2% to 50.1%)
31%
26
80 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A
16.3%
14.4% (12.5% to 16.2%)
3%
15
80 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B
10.0%
11.0% (8.5% to 13.5%)
8%
68
80 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate
58.8%
51.6% (46.2% to 57.1%)
21%
96
80 riichi
Riichi exhaustive draw rate
25.0%
20.7% (16.2% to 25.2%)
25%
82
80 riichi
Call income
449
482 (50.44 to 914)
11%
36
77 calls
Win rate after calling
35.1%
31.0% (25.8% to 36.2%)
23%
86
77 calls
Deal-in rate after calling
16.9%
12.8% (9.1% to 16.4%)
23%
5
77 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
Metric
Actual
Percentile
Count
Starting hand (shanten)
-0.06
33
369 hands
Dora and red fives dealt
+0.06
93
369 hands
Draw luck
-0.2%
15
4,457 tile draws
Ura-dora luck
+0.03
40
32 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate
-7.2%
12
32 riichi wins
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)
-0.1%
50
55 first riichi
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate
12.6%
50
103 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)
-2.7
40
30 games
Hand balance breakdown
Category
Frequency
Balance per hand
League average
Difference
Wins with riichi
8.7%
+773
+919
-146
Wins with calls
7.3%
+512
+382
+129
Dama wins
2.7%
+193
+173
+20
Deal-ins to riichi
7.0%
-455
-360
-95
Deal-ins to open hands
3.3%
-108
-203
+95
Deal-ins to dama
2.4%
-157
-101
-56
Others' tsumo
27.9%
-782
-752
-29
Other (exhaustive draws, etc.)
40.6%
-95
-60
-35
Total (per hand)
-120
Columns about this player
Are Uchikawa Kotaro's deal-ins expensive? (Japanese)The legendary suuankou tanki and a dealer's daisangen in the first hand: are the two yakuman deal-ins replayed so often what Uchikawa Kotaro's mahjong is like? In the records, his deal-in values are at the league average.
Players with a similar styleclosest career style metrics first
Kazuma IshiiEARTH JETSIn common: Smaller hands, Efficiency first, Early riichi
Hiroe SugawaraFormer M.League playerIn common: Efficiency first
Sayaka OkadaKADOKAWA Sakura KnightsIn common: Efficiency first
* Twelve style metrics, including call rate, riichi rate, win rate, deal-in rate, hand value, riichi speed and immediate riichi rate, are put on the same scale and compared; the players closest overall are listed. Metrics supported more strongly by the data receive more weight. The comparison shows how similar the players' styles are, not which is better. Differences are often small, so the order may change.