Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Player · 269 career games · 2018-19–2026-27

Sho Shiratori

Uses calls a lot to move hands along. Stands out for smaller wins. Career record: +2.1pt per game, but allowing for luck the difference from average is not clear yet.

Actual / game
+2.1
269 career games
Skill estimate / game
+1.4
90% interval -2.3 to +5.1
Estimate, luck removed
+0.9
adjusted for starting hands, draws, ura-dora
Weight of the record
66%
share of the estimate from the record

Styleleague percentile, career

  • Average win value6,332
  • Riichi rate21.2%
  • Deal-in rate10.9%
  • Win rate20.4%
  • First riichi rate76.9%
  • Average riichi turn9.31
  • Call rate26.5%
  • Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws38.5%
  • Staying in vs riichi14.0%
  • Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)37.2%
  • Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)24.1%
  • Tile efficiency match rate73.4%
  • Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.15
  • Immediate riichi rate70.7%
  • Dama rate14.8%

Color only for metrics with a good side (red = good, blue = bad). Metrics of style, such as riichi rate, call rate and tile efficiency match rate, are gray. For tenpai turn, further right means later (a larger turn number). Values are estimates.

Placements269 career games, average placement 2.43

  • 1st27.5%74×
  • 2nd24.2%65×
  • 3rd26.4%71×
  • 4th21.9%59×

Riichi and callsbalance and outcome of hands with riichi or calls

  • Riichi income2,653
  • Riichi win rate45.8%
  • Riichi deal-in rate A14.2%
  • Riichi deal-in rate B11.0%
  • Riichi good-wait rate50.8%
  • Riichi exhaustive draw rate19.4%
  • Call income417
  • Win rate after calling29.7%
  • Deal-in rate after calling13.0%
  • Tenpai rate after the first call26.4%

Income is the average points won or lost in those hands (riichi sticks and honba included).

Net efficiency and morecalculated as on Mahjong Soul Paifuya, per hand

  • Net efficiency817
  • Deal-in loss633
  • Average win turn12.35

Deal-in loss = deal-in rate × average deal-in; net efficiency = win rate × average win − deal-in loss. Win and deal-in values include honba and riichi sticks. Win turn is the number of tiles discarded at the table when the win came ÷ 4 + 1. Win efficiency (win rate × average win) is not shown: players with a high win rate win smaller hands, the two cancel out, and differences between players cannot be told apart from chance.

Skill estimateleague percentile of the estimates

  • Points per game1.4
  • Points per game, luck removed0.9
  • Average placement2.45

Luckfurther right is luckier; values are differences from the league average (the dealer tsumo rate is the rate itself)

  • Points from luck (/game)+0.9
  • Draw luck-0.0%
  • Starting hand (shanten)+0.02
  • Dora and red fives dealt+0.01
  • Ura-dora luck+0.01
  • Ippatsu rate-2.0%
  • Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)-1.3%
  • Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate12.2%

Where the points came fromchange in expected points, all stages

  • Own wins+47.5
  • Deal-ins-20.1
  • Others' tsumo-23.1
  • Ron between others-2.5
  • Exhaustive draws+0.1
Change in expected points per game. Total +2.0pt/game (269 games).
As a table
Hand resultHandsTotalPer game
Own wins665+12785.0+47.5
Deal-ins353-5397.5-20.1
Others' tsumo846-6205.1-23.1
Ron between others728-669.7-2.5
Exhaustive draws658+36.0+0.1

Hand balance breakdownpoints won or lost per hand, all stages

CategoryFrequencyBalance per handLeague averageDifference
Wins with riichi9.5%+826+919-93
Wins with calls7.9%+436+382+54
Dama wins3.0%+172+173-1
Deal-ins to riichi5.1%-363-360-3
Deal-ins to open hands3.8%-173-203+30
Deal-ins to dama1.9%-116-101-15
Others' tsumo26.0%-701-752+52
Other (exhaustive draws, etc.)42.6%-78-60-18
Total (per hand)+4
Every career number (estimate, 90% interval, weight of the record)
Results
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Average placement2.432.45 (2.36 to 2.54)65%82269 games
Points per game2.11.4 (-2.3 to 5.1)66%78269 games
Points per game, luck removed1.20.9 (-2.4 to 4.1)73%68269 games
1st-place rate27.5%26.7% (23.1% to 30.3%)68%80269 games
4th-place rate21.9%22.9% (19.2% to 26.5%)69%86269 games
Style
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Win rate20.5%20.4% (19.3% to 21.4%)80%683,250 hands
Deal-in rate10.9%10.9% (10.1% to 11.7%)78%523,250 hands
Riichi rate20.9%21.2% (20.1% to 22.3%)81%173,250 hands
Call rate26.5%26.5% (25.3% to 27.7%)98%783,250 hands
First riichi rate77.6%76.9% (74.8% to 79.1%)60%84678 riichi
Average riichi turn9.309.31 (9.13 to 9.49)80%52678 riichi
Average win value6,2366,332 (6,085 to 6,579)73%11665 wins
Average deal-in value5,5525,586 (5,323 to 5,848)55%68353 deal-ins
Win efficiency1,4341,463 (1,398 to 1,529)27%233,250 hands
Deal-in loss629633 (583 to 683)59%583,250 hands
Net efficiency806817 (715 to 919)62%353,250 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)36.1%37.2% (34.3% to 40.2%)76%7574 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)23.9%24.1% (21.4% to 26.7%)87%29633 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call26.5%26.4% (24.0% to 28.8%)93%52862 first calls
Average win turn12.2012.35 (12.24 to 12.47)14%92665 wins
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws38.1%38.5% (35.8% to 41.3%)79%25658 exhaustive draws
Staying in vs riichi13.9%14.0% (13.0% to 15.0%)46%521,736 hands facing an opponent’s riichi
Tile efficiency match rate73.4%73.4% (72.8% to 73.9%)98%6617,483 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)0.970.97 (0.93 to 1.00)97%1516,751 discards
Breaking shape for value2.4%2.3% (2.2% to 2.5%)95%8817,483 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.128.15 (8.08 to 8.23)29%31674 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate70.6%70.7% (68.1% to 73.4%)86%37674 tenpai hands
Dama rate14.9%14.8% (12.7% to 16.8%)92%64665 wins
Riichi income2,6692,653 (2,288 to 3,017)65%54678 riichi
Riichi win rate45.7%45.8% (43.0% to 48.6%)79%49678 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A13.6%14.2% (12.9% to 15.5%)21%74678 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B11.1%11.0% (9.7% to 12.4%)43%47678 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate51.3%50.8% (48.2% to 53.5%)69%68678 riichi
Riichi exhaustive draw rate19.5%19.4% (17.3% to 21.6%)74%49678 riichi
Call income369417 (213 to 621)59%27862 calls
Win rate after calling29.7%29.7% (27.5% to 32.0%)77%52862 calls
Deal-in rate after calling13.5%13.0% (11.4% to 14.6%)77%9862 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
MetricActualPercentileCount
Starting hand (shanten)+0.02843,250 hands
Dora and red fives dealt+0.01643,250 hands
Draw luck-0.0%5239,592 tile draws
Ura-dora luck+0.0145310 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate-2.0%23310 riichi wins
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)-1.3%35526 first riichi
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate12.2%49846 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)+0.972269 games

By seasonRegular Season

2026-27 (10 games · skill estimate -1.0pt/game)

Style

  • Average win value6,446
  • Riichi rate22.0%
  • Deal-in rate10.9%
  • Win rate19.8%
  • First riichi rate76.1%
  • Average riichi turn9.28
  • Call rate30.6%
  • Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws40.6%
  • Staying in vs riichi14.0%
  • Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)38.9%
  • Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)25.6%
  • Tile efficiency match rate74.6%
  • Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.16
  • Immediate riichi rate72.4%
  • Dama rate10.9%

Where the points came from

  • Own wins+36.6
  • Deal-ins-22.0
  • Others' tsumo-25.9
  • Ron between others-4.0
  • Exhaustive draws+0.8
Change in expected points per game. Total -14.6pt/game (10 games).
As a table
Hand resultHandsTotalPer game
Own wins23+365.5+36.6
Deal-ins13-220.1-22.0
Others' tsumo30-259.5-25.9
Ron between others31-40.0-4.0
Exhaustive draws27+8.2+0.8

Luck

  • Points from luck (/game)-7.2
  • Draw luck-0.4%
  • Starting hand (shanten)+0.03
  • Dora and red fives dealt+0.02
  • Ura-dora luck+0.57
  • Ippatsu rate-5.5%
  • Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)-15.8%
  • Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate3.3%
Every number for 2026-27
Results
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Average placement2.802.52 (2.29 to 2.75)6%1410 games
Points per game-14.3-1.0 (-10.5 to 8.6)7%1410 games
Points per game, luck removed-7.1-0.7 (-9.7 to 8.4)9%3310 games
1st-place rate10.0%24.0% (14.6% to 33.4%)7%1610 games
4th-place rate30.0%25.3% (15.7% to 34.9%)8%3010 games
Style
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Win rate18.5%19.8% (16.7% to 22.9%)14%44124 hands
Deal-in rate10.5%10.9% (8.6% to 13.2%)12%55124 hands
Riichi rate17.7%22.0% (18.7% to 25.3%)14%9124 hands
Call rate34.7%30.6% (25.6% to 35.7%)65%95124 hands
First riichi rate77.3%76.1% (70.8% to 81.3%)5%5222 riichi
Average riichi turn8.869.28 (8.72 to 9.84)11%6022 riichi
Average win value4,8966,446 (5,759 to 7,133)8%923 wins
Average deal-in value6,7315,673 (5,065 to 6,280)4%1713 deal-ins
Win efficiency1,0651,468 (1,358 to 1,579)1%20124 hands
Deal-in loss723643 (523 to 764)5%33124 hands
Net efficiency342806 (554 to 1,059)6%17124 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)22.7%38.9% (30.6% to 47.2%)11%122 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)25.9%25.6% (17.3% to 34.0%)23%5927 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call30.2%27.5% (20.0% to 35.1%)41%7643 first calls
Average win turn12.1512.38 (12.22 to 12.53)1%6323 wins
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws44.4%40.6% (32.6% to 48.6%)13%7127 exhaustive draws
Staying in vs riichi13.5%14.0% (12.0% to 16.1%)4%3874 hands facing an opponent’s riichi
Tile efficiency match rate75.6%74.6% (72.3% to 77.0%)65%65634 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)0.991.02 (0.89 to 1.16)51%36613 discards
Breaking shape for value3.6%2.7% (2.0% to 3.3%)40%95634 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)7.678.16 (8.02 to 8.30)1%2818 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate77.4%72.4% (63.3% to 81.6%)14%6018 tenpai hands
Dama rate4.3%10.9% (3.6% to 18.2%)27%3323 wins
Riichi income5912,509 (1,569 to 3,449)6%2222 riichi
Riichi win rate31.8%44.4% (35.9% to 53.0%)11%2222 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A9.1%14.3% (12.3% to 16.3%)1%7922 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B9.1%11.0% (8.1% to 13.9%)2%5522 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate63.6%50.7% (43.6% to 57.8%)7%8722 riichi
Riichi exhaustive draw rate18.2%19.2% (13.1% to 25.2%)8%4422 riichi
Call income358478 (3.08 to 953)7%4943 calls
Win rate after calling34.9%30.5% (24.4% to 36.6%)14%7943 calls
Deal-in rate after calling14.0%11.9% (7.6% to 16.1%)14%2543 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
MetricActualPercentileCount
Starting hand (shanten)+0.0365124 hands
Dora and red fives dealt+0.0271124 hands
Draw luck-0.4%331,491 tile draws
Ura-dora luck+0.571007 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate-5.5%307 riichi wins
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)-15.8%417 first riichi
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate3.3%9530 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)-7.2610 games
Hand balance breakdown
CategoryFrequencyBalance per handLeague averageDifference
Wins with riichi5.6%+515+919-404
Wins with calls12.1%+475+382+93
Dama wins0.8%+75+173-98
Deal-ins to riichi7.3%-595-360-235
Deal-ins to open hands2.4%-79-203+124
Deal-ins to dama0.8%-65-101+36
Others' tsumo24.2%-711-752+41
Other (exhaustive draws, etc.)46.8%-52-60+7
Total (per hand)-438
2025-26 (35 games · skill estimate 0.6pt/game)

Style

  • Average win value6,524
  • Riichi rate22.8%
  • Deal-in rate10.6%
  • Win rate20.6%
  • First riichi rate75.6%
  • Average riichi turn9.17
  • Call rate30.9%
  • Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws40.1%
  • Staying in vs riichi14.3%
  • Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)37.5%
  • Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)22.7%
  • Tile efficiency match rate75.3%
  • Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.17
  • Immediate riichi rate73.9%
  • Dama rate10.4%

Where the points came from

  • Own wins+54.2
  • Deal-ins-19.2
  • Others' tsumo-29.4
  • Ron between others-3.6
  • Exhaustive draws+1.0
Change in expected points per game. Total +3.0pt/game (35 games).
As a table
Hand resultHandsTotalPer game
Own wins94+1895.6+54.2
Deal-ins42-672.6-19.2
Others' tsumo120-1027.5-29.4
Ron between others102-125.6-3.6
Exhaustive draws72+35.8+1.0

Luck

  • Points from luck (/game)+3.6
  • Draw luck+0.4%
  • Starting hand (shanten)+0.05
  • Dora and red fives dealt+0.01
  • Ura-dora luck+0.05
  • Ippatsu rate+8.8%
  • Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)-8.9%
  • Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate12.5%
Every number for 2025-26
Results
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Average placement2.312.46 (2.28 to 2.64)19%8735 games
Points per game3.10.6 (-6.7 to 8.0)21%5935 games
Points per game, luck removed-0.5-0.1 (-6.8 to 6.5)26%4935 games
1st-place rate20.0%24.0% (16.8% to 31.2%)21%3035 games
4th-place rate14.3%22.5% (15.3% to 29.8%)23%10035 games
Style
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Win rate21.9%20.6% (18.5% to 22.7%)35%77430 hands
Deal-in rate9.8%10.6% (9.0% to 12.2%)31%80430 hands
Riichi rate23.0%22.8% (20.6% to 25.1%)37%57430 hands
Call rate32.1%30.9% (27.8% to 34.0%)87%92430 hands
First riichi rate73.7%75.6% (71.6% to 79.6%)18%3199 riichi
Average riichi turn8.889.17 (8.81 to 9.53)37%9799 riichi
Average win value6,3506,524 (6,039 to 7,009)28%3794 wins
Average deal-in value6,1215,688 (5,176 to 6,199)12%1942 deal-ins
Win efficiency1,5601,478 (1,378 to 1,579)5%72430 hands
Deal-in loss625637 (539 to 734)16%62430 hands
Net efficiency935853 (652 to 1,053)18%62430 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)30.0%37.5% (31.7% to 43.4%)31%680 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)19.2%22.7% (16.8% to 28.6%)45%1673 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call21.7%22.9% (17.8% to 28.0%)69%44138 first calls
Average win turn11.9912.37 (12.23 to 12.52)2%7794 wins
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws40.3%40.1% (34.1% to 46.2%)29%4472 exhaustive draws
Staying in vs riichi15.9%14.3% (12.5% to 16.0%)10%75233 hands facing an opponent’s riichi
Tile efficiency match rate75.6%75.3% (73.9% to 76.7%)87%702,349 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)0.860.90 (0.81 to 0.99)79%192,254 discards
Breaking shape for value2.6%2.5% (2.1% to 2.9%)71%952,349 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.268.17 (8.05 to 8.30)5%9594 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate76.7%73.9% (68.5% to 79.3%)46%8094 tenpai hands
Dama rate8.5%10.4% (5.9% to 15.0%)60%3194 wins
Riichi income2,9102,683 (1,984 to 3,383)21%7099 riichi
Riichi win rate49.5%47.3% (41.8% to 52.8%)36%6499 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A10.1%14.2% (12.3% to 16.0%)4%9099 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B9.1%10.8% (8.4% to 13.3%)10%7799 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate52.5%50.4% (45.3% to 55.5%)25%6799 riichi
Riichi exhaustive draw rate16.2%18.4% (14.2% to 22.5%)29%3999 riichi
Call income249442 (64.65 to 819)19%34138 calls
Win rate after calling26.8%28.8% (24.5% to 33.0%)35%26138 calls
Deal-in rate after calling13.0%12.1% (9.1% to 15.0%)35%34138 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
MetricActualPercentileCount
Starting hand (shanten)+0.0587430 hands
Dora and red fives dealt+0.0180430 hands
Draw luck+0.4%645,143 tile draws
Ura-dora luck+0.055949 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate+8.8%9049 riichi wins
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)-8.9%473 first riichi
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate12.5%47120 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)+3.67735 games
Hand balance breakdown
CategoryFrequencyBalance per handLeague averageDifference
Wins with riichi11.4%+1,012+919+93
Wins with calls8.6%+457+382+75
Dama wins1.9%+91+173-82
Deal-ins to riichi4.9%-336-360+24
Deal-ins to open hands3.7%-215-203-12
Deal-ins to dama1.2%-96-101+5
Others' tsumo27.9%-805-752-53
Other (exhaustive draws, etc.)40.5%-73-60-14
Total (per hand)+35
2024-25 (35 games · skill estimate 2.4pt/game)

Style

  • Average win value6,408
  • Riichi rate22.7%
  • Deal-in rate10.4%
  • Win rate21.3%
  • First riichi rate76.1%
  • Average riichi turn9.32
  • Call rate30.4%
  • Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws41.8%
  • Staying in vs riichi14.1%
  • Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)42.9%
  • Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)26.4%
  • Tile efficiency match rate74.4%
  • Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.17
  • Immediate riichi rate71.6%
  • Dama rate11.1%

Where the points came from

  • Own wins+54.9
  • Deal-ins-19.8
  • Others' tsumo-22.0
  • Ron between others-1.3
  • Exhaustive draws-0.1
Change in expected points per game. Total +11.6pt/game (35 games).
As a table
Hand resultHandsTotalPer game
Own wins103+1922.1+54.9
Deal-ins41-693.2-19.8
Others' tsumo113-771.6-22.0
Ron between others102-47.1-1.3
Exhaustive draws76-3.3-0.1

Luck

  • Points from luck (/game)+5.6
  • Draw luck-0.1%
  • Starting hand (shanten)+0.01
  • Dora and red fives dealt-0.02
  • Ura-dora luck+0.11
  • Ippatsu rate+3.2%
  • Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)-9.3%
  • Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate10.6%
Every number for 2024-25
Results
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Average placement2.232.45 (2.26 to 2.63)19%9435 games
Points per game11.52.4 (-5.0 to 9.7)21%9435 games
Points per game, luck removed6.01.6 (-5.1 to 8.2)26%7535 games
1st-place rate37.1%27.7% (20.5% to 34.8%)21%10035 games
4th-place rate14.3%22.5% (15.3% to 29.8%)23%9235 games
Style
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Win rate23.7%21.3% (19.2% to 23.4%)35%100435 hands
Deal-in rate9.4%10.4% (8.8% to 12.0%)32%89435 hands
Riichi rate22.5%22.7% (20.4% to 24.9%)37%49435 hands
Call rate31.5%30.4% (27.3% to 33.5%)87%92435 hands
First riichi rate76.5%76.1% (72.1% to 80.1%)18%6698 riichi
Average riichi turn9.309.32 (8.96 to 9.68)37%5298 riichi
Average win value5,9696,408 (5,938 to 6,877)29%12103 wins
Average deal-in value5,4565,605 (5,091 to 6,119)12%4141 deal-ins
Win efficiency1,5691,479 (1,378 to 1,579)5%80435 hands
Deal-in loss534622 (525 to 719)16%83435 hands
Net efficiency1,036871 (671 to 1,071)18%83435 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)49.2%42.9% (36.4% to 49.4%)25%8059 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)27.4%26.4% (20.8% to 32.1%)48%5584 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call21.2%22.6% (17.4% to 27.7%)69%26137 first calls
Average win turn11.8212.37 (12.22 to 12.51)2%97103 wins
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws46.1%41.8% (35.9% to 47.8%)30%8376 exhaustive draws
Staying in vs riichi14.2%14.1% (12.3% to 15.9%)10%55218 hands facing an opponent’s riichi
Tile efficiency match rate74.6%74.4% (73.0% to 75.8%)87%582,265 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)0.900.93 (0.85 to 1.02)79%182,181 discards
Breaking shape for value2.0%2.0% (1.6% to 2.4%)70%412,265 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.268.17 (8.05 to 8.30)5%8693 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate71.6%71.6% (66.2% to 77.0%)45%5893 tenpai hands
Dama rate9.7%11.1% (6.7% to 15.5%)63%35103 wins
Riichi income2,8292,666 (1,964 to 3,368)21%7598 riichi
Riichi win rate49.0%47.1% (41.6% to 52.6%)36%7298 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A10.2%14.2% (12.3% to 16.0%)4%9298 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B9.2%10.9% (8.4% to 13.3%)10%6998 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate55.1%51.1% (45.9% to 56.2%)25%8998 riichi
Riichi exhaustive draw rate17.3%18.7% (14.5% to 22.9%)29%4398 riichi
Call income658519 (141 to 897)19%69137 calls
Win rate after calling32.8%30.9% (26.6% to 35.1%)35%80137 calls
Deal-in rate after calling10.2%11.1% (8.1% to 14.0%)35%83137 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
MetricActualPercentileCount
Starting hand (shanten)+0.0166435 hands
Dora and red fives dealt-0.0238435 hands
Draw luck-0.1%525,126 tile draws
Ura-dora luck+0.119248 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate+3.2%8048 riichi wins
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)-9.3%775 first riichi
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate10.6%63113 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)+5.69235 games
Hand balance breakdown
CategoryFrequencyBalance per handLeague averageDifference
Wins with riichi11.0%+879+919-40
Wins with calls10.3%+577+382+195
Dama wins2.3%+113+173-60
Deal-ins to riichi4.1%-278-360+82
Deal-ins to open hands3.4%-149-203+55
Deal-ins to dama1.8%-128-101-27
Others' tsumo26.0%-663-752+89
Other (exhaustive draws, etc.)40.9%-55-60+5
Total (per hand)+297
2023-24 (21 games · skill estimate -0.5pt/game)

Style

  • Average win value6,562
  • Riichi rate22.9%
  • Deal-in rate11.5%
  • Win rate19.8%
  • First riichi rate76.3%
  • Average riichi turn9.44
  • Call rate24.6%
  • Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws42.2%
  • Staying in vs riichi13.9%
  • Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)40.7%
  • Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)27.3%
  • Tile efficiency match rate73.6%
  • Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.16
  • Immediate riichi rate72.7%
  • Dama rate13.6%

Where the points came from

  • Own wins+46.3
  • Deal-ins-26.0
  • Others' tsumo-22.6
  • Ron between others-3.4
  • Exhaustive draws+1.9
Change in expected points per game. Total -3.8pt/game (21 games).
As a table
Hand resultHandsTotalPer game
Own wins50+971.8+46.3
Deal-ins35-545.1-26.0
Others' tsumo60-474.9-22.6
Ron between others58-71.7-3.4
Exhaustive draws57+40.8+1.9

Luck

  • Points from luck (/game)+1.4
  • Draw luck-0.5%
  • Starting hand (shanten)+0.04
  • Dora and red fives dealt+0.04
  • Ura-dora luck-0.15
  • Ippatsu rate-4.4%
  • Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)-1.7%
  • Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate11.7%
Every number for 2023-24
Results
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Average placement2.622.51 (2.31 to 2.72)13%3821 games
Points per game-4.0-0.5 (-8.9 to 7.9)13%3821 games
Points per game, luck removed-5.4-1.0 (-8.7 to 6.8)18%2921 games
1st-place rate19.0%24.2% (16.0% to 32.4%)14%3521 games
4th-place rate28.6%25.4% (17.1% to 33.8%)15%3521 games
Style
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Win rate19.2%19.8% (17.3% to 22.3%)25%29260 hands
Deal-in rate13.5%11.5% (9.6% to 13.4%)22%18260 hands
Riichi rate23.5%22.9% (20.3% to 25.6%)26%49260 hands
Call rate25.0%24.6% (20.8% to 28.4%)80%66260 hands
First riichi rate78.7%76.3% (71.8% to 80.8%)12%7261 riichi
Average riichi turn9.749.44 (9.01 to 9.87)26%1261 riichi
Average win value6,4206,562 (5,975 to 7,149)17%4650 wins
Average deal-in value5,1205,572 (5,042 to 6,102)11%8935 deal-ins
Win efficiency1,3681,471 (1,366 to 1,576)3%15260 hands
Deal-in loss735649 (540 to 757)10%35260 hands
Net efficiency632812 (587 to 1,037)12%18260 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)40.0%40.7% (33.6% to 47.7%)20%3245 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)31.0%27.3% (20.1% to 34.5%)32%6942 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call23.1%24.3% (17.8% to 30.9%)51%3865 first calls
Average win turn11.7912.37 (12.22 to 12.52)1%8050 wins
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws49.1%42.2% (35.7% to 48.8%)24%9457 exhaustive draws
Staying in vs riichi12.0%13.9% (12.0% to 15.9%)6%35133 hands facing an opponent’s riichi
Tile efficiency match rate73.7%73.6% (71.8% to 75.3%)81%461,419 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)0.940.98 (0.87 to 1.09)70%261,365 discards
Breaking shape for value1.4%1.7% (1.2% to 2.1%)60%211,419 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)7.938.16 (8.03 to 8.29)3%2152 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate75.1%72.7% (66.1% to 79.4%)32%6352 tenpai hands
Dama rate14.0%13.6% (8.1% to 19.2%)45%6350 wins
Riichi income2,8442,654 (1,861 to 3,447)14%6361 riichi
Riichi win rate42.6%45.1% (38.6% to 51.7%)26%2661 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A13.1%14.3% (12.4% to 16.2%)2%7361 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B11.5%11.1% (8.5% to 13.7%)6%4261 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate49.2%49.6% (43.8% to 55.5%)17%4661 riichi
Riichi exhaustive draw rate32.8%22.0% (17.1% to 26.9%)20%9761 riichi
Call income-90.77430 (-15.81 to 875)10%1565 calls
Win rate after calling26.2%29.1% (23.6% to 34.5%)20%2965 calls
Deal-in rate after calling18.5%12.9% (9.1% to 16.7%)20%765 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
MetricActualPercentileCount
Starting hand (shanten)+0.0463260 hands
Dora and red fives dealt+0.0483260 hands
Draw luck-0.5%353,112 tile draws
Ura-dora luck-0.15926 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate-4.4%2626 riichi wins
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)-1.7%5248 first riichi
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate11.7%4360 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)+1.45821 games
Hand balance breakdown
CategoryFrequencyBalance per handLeague averageDifference
Wins with riichi10.0%+838+919-80
Wins with calls6.5%+371+382-11
Dama wins2.7%+158+173-14
Deal-ins to riichi7.7%-501-360-141
Deal-ins to open hands3.5%-103-203+100
Deal-ins to dama2.3%-158-101-57
Others' tsumo23.1%-635-752+118
Other (exhaustive draws, etc.)44.2%-8-60+52
Total (per hand)-37
2022-23 (24 games · skill estimate -0.5pt/game)

Style

  • Average win value6,539
  • Riichi rate21.6%
  • Deal-in rate11.1%
  • Win rate19.7%
  • First riichi rate76.2%
  • Average riichi turn9.43
  • Call rate23.5%
  • Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws39.5%
  • Staying in vs riichi14.0%
  • Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)38.7%
  • Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)23.8%
  • Tile efficiency match rate71.8%
  • Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.17
  • Immediate riichi rate69.9%
  • Dama rate15.5%

Where the points came from

  • Own wins+38.2
  • Deal-ins-17.7
  • Others' tsumo-22.0
  • Ron between others-1.8
  • Exhaustive draws-0.2
Change in expected points per game. Total -3.5pt/game (24 games).
As a table
Hand resultHandsTotalPer game
Own wins56+917.8+38.2
Deal-ins35-425.9-17.7
Others' tsumo83-526.8-22.0
Ron between others64-44.2-1.8
Exhaustive draws58-4.5-0.2

Luck

  • Points from luck (/game)+2.0
  • Draw luck+0.9%
  • Starting hand (shanten)-0.03
  • Dora and red fives dealt+0.06
  • Ura-dora luck-0.28
  • Ippatsu rate-6.7%
  • Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)-0.2%
  • Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate12.0%
Every number for 2022-23
Results
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Average placement2.582.51 (2.31 to 2.71)14%3924 games
Points per game-3.5-0.5 (-8.7 to 7.6)15%4624 games
Points per game, luck removed-5.5-1.1 (-8.6 to 6.4)20%2324 games
1st-place rate20.8%24.4% (16.4% to 32.4%)16%3524 games
4th-place rate25.0%24.9% (16.9% to 33.0%)17%4924 games
Style
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Win rate18.9%19.7% (17.3% to 22.1%)27%39296 hands
Deal-in rate11.8%11.1% (9.3% to 13.0%)24%27296 hands
Riichi rate18.6%21.6% (19.0% to 24.1%)29%1296 hands
Call rate23.6%23.5% (19.9% to 27.2%)82%71296 hands
First riichi rate78.2%76.2% (71.7% to 80.8%)11%6255 riichi
Average riichi turn9.719.43 (8.98 to 9.87)24%2355 riichi
Average win value6,3146,539 (5,970 to 7,109)18%1756 wins
Average deal-in value4,6945,527 (4,997 to 6,057)11%9735 deal-ins
Win efficiency1,3431,470 (1,366 to 1,574)3%27296 hands
Deal-in loss588633 (527 to 739)11%55296 hands
Net efficiency755825 (606 to 1,044)13%33296 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)32.2%38.7% (32.2% to 45.2%)25%2059 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)21.3%23.8% (17.6% to 30.1%)40%1761 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call34.3%30.2% (23.8% to 36.7%)53%8170 first calls
Average win turn12.1912.38 (12.23 to 12.53)1%7456 wins
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws37.9%39.5% (33.0% to 46.0%)24%4658 exhaustive draws
Staying in vs riichi13.1%14.0% (12.1% to 15.9%)7%35160 hands facing an opponent’s riichi
Tile efficiency match rate71.5%71.8% (70.1% to 73.4%)82%391,552 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)1.061.06 (0.96 to 1.17)71%391,487 discards
Breaking shape for value2.3%2.2% (1.7% to 2.7%)62%781,552 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.208.17 (8.04 to 8.30)3%4956 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate66.4%69.9% (63.4% to 76.4%)33%2356 tenpai hands
Dama rate17.9%15.5% (10.1% to 20.9%)48%7156 wins
Riichi income2,3652,590 (1,779 to 3,401)13%3655 riichi
Riichi win rate41.8%45.0% (38.2% to 51.8%)24%3055 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A12.7%14.3% (12.4% to 16.2%)2%5555 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B5.5%10.7% (8.1% to 13.4%)6%9055 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate41.8%48.5% (42.5% to 54.5%)16%1155 riichi
Riichi exhaustive draw rate21.8%19.7% (14.7% to 24.8%)19%5855 riichi
Call income289466 (26.04 to 905)11%3070 calls
Win rate after calling32.9%30.5% (25.1% to 35.8%)21%5870 calls
Deal-in rate after calling18.6%13.0% (9.3% to 16.8%)21%470 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
MetricActualPercentileCount
Starting hand (shanten)-0.0333296 hands
Dora and red fives dealt+0.0684296 hands
Draw luck+0.9%903,526 tile draws
Ura-dora luck-0.28423 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate-6.7%2323 riichi wins
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)-0.2%4643 first riichi
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate12.0%3383 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)+2.06824 games
Hand balance breakdown
CategoryFrequencyBalance per handLeague averageDifference
Wins with riichi7.8%+655+919-264
Wins with calls7.8%+434+382+52
Dama wins3.4%+254+173+81
Deal-ins to riichi5.1%-306-360+54
Deal-ins to open hands4.1%-116-203+87
Deal-ins to dama2.7%-175-101-74
Others' tsumo28.0%-744-752+9
Other (exhaustive draws, etc.)41.2%-91-60-32
Total (per hand)-90
2021-22 (23 games · skill estimate 0.7pt/game)

Style

  • Average win value6,641
  • Riichi rate21.7%
  • Deal-in rate10.7%
  • Win rate19.8%
  • First riichi rate76.5%
  • Average riichi turn9.21
  • Call rate23.2%
  • Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws38.4%
  • Staying in vs riichi14.0%
  • Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)39.4%
  • Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)21.6%
  • Tile efficiency match rate72.9%
  • Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.16
  • Immediate riichi rate72.3%
  • Dama rate14.9%

Where the points came from

  • Own wins+46.5
  • Deal-ins-18.7
  • Others' tsumo-23.0
  • Ron between others-1.0
  • Exhaustive draws+0.6
Change in expected points per game. Total +4.4pt/game (23 games).
As a table
Hand resultHandsTotalPer game
Own wins54+1069.4+46.5
Deal-ins28-431.2-18.7
Others' tsumo72-529.7-23.0
Ron between others66-22.0-1.0
Exhaustive draws60+14.1+0.6

Luck

  • Points from luck (/game)+0.1
  • Draw luck-0.3%
  • Starting hand (shanten)-0.04
  • Dora and red fives dealt+0.02
  • Ura-dora luck+0.06
  • Ippatsu rate-12.8%
  • Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)+4.4%
  • Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate16.7%
Every number for 2021-22
Results
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Average placement2.352.48 (2.28 to 2.68)14%7123 games
Points per game4.70.7 (-7.5 to 8.9)15%6223 games
Points per game, luck removed4.60.9 (-6.7 to 8.4)19%7423 games
1st-place rate26.1%25.2% (17.2% to 33.3%)15%5223 games
4th-place rate8.7%22.3% (14.2% to 30.5%)16%9723 games
Style
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Win rate19.3%19.8% (17.3% to 22.3%)26%43280 hands
Deal-in rate10.0%10.7% (8.8% to 12.6%)23%62280 hands
Riichi rate18.9%21.7% (19.1% to 24.3%)28%17280 hands
Call rate23.2%23.2% (19.4% to 26.9%)81%68280 hands
First riichi rate81.1%76.5% (71.9% to 81.2%)11%6853 riichi
Average riichi turn8.799.21 (8.76 to 9.65)24%9753 riichi
Average win value6,8726,641 (6,065 to 7,216)18%7454 wins
Average deal-in value5,1075,581 (5,030 to 6,132)9%8428 deal-ins
Win efficiency1,4631,474 (1,369 to 1,578)3%49280 hands
Deal-in loss529627 (520 to 734)11%78280 hands
Net efficiency934848 (626 to 1,069)12%65280 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)34.0%39.4% (32.5% to 46.4%)21%2747 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)15.9%21.6% (15.4% to 27.8%)41%763 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call24.6%25.1% (18.5% to 31.7%)51%2765 first calls
Average win turn12.4712.38 (12.23 to 12.53)1%6254 wins
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws33.3%38.4% (31.9% to 44.8%)25%1760 exhaustive draws
Staying in vs riichi12.7%14.0% (12.1% to 15.9%)7%39158 hands facing an opponent’s riichi
Tile efficiency match rate72.9%72.9% (71.2% to 74.6%)81%741,473 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)0.930.97 (0.86 to 1.07)70%111,405 discards
Breaking shape for value2.3%2.2% (1.7% to 2.7%)61%681,473 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)7.978.16 (8.03 to 8.29)4%1160 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate73.4%72.3% (65.9% to 78.6%)35%6260 tenpai hands
Dama rate16.7%14.9% (9.5% to 20.3%)47%6254 wins
Riichi income4,4362,849 (2,032 to 3,667)12%8753 riichi
Riichi win rate54.7%48.0% (41.2% to 54.9%)23%6853 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A15.1%14.3% (12.4% to 16.3%)2%2753 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B11.3%11.1% (8.4% to 13.7%)5%3353 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate54.7%50.5% (44.4% to 56.6%)15%8153 riichi
Riichi exhaustive draw rate17.0%18.8% (13.8% to 23.9%)18%3353 riichi
Call income-260413 (-32.47 to 859)10%765 calls
Win rate after calling24.6%28.8% (23.3% to 34.2%)20%2065 calls
Deal-in rate after calling10.8%11.4% (7.5% to 15.2%)20%5865 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
MetricActualPercentileCount
Starting hand (shanten)-0.0420280 hands
Dora and red fives dealt+0.0252280 hands
Draw luck-0.3%493,463 tile draws
Ura-dora luck+0.066829 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate-12.8%429 riichi wins
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)+4.4%7443 first riichi
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate16.7%3172 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)+0.16523 games
Hand balance breakdown
CategoryFrequencyBalance per handLeague averageDifference
Wins with riichi10.4%+974+919+55
Wins with calls5.7%+276+382-107
Dama wins3.2%+214+173+41
Deal-ins to riichi4.6%-286-360+74
Deal-ins to open hands3.9%-167-203+36
Deal-ins to dama1.4%-97-101+3
Others' tsumo25.7%-714-752+39
Other (exhaustive draws, etc.)45.0%-86-60-26
Total (per hand)+114
2020-21 (21 games · skill estimate 0.7pt/game)

Style

  • Average win value6,701
  • Riichi rate23.0%
  • Deal-in rate11.7%
  • Win rate19.7%
  • First riichi rate75.6%
  • Average riichi turn9.42
  • Call rate22.6%
  • Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws40.3%
  • Staying in vs riichi14.3%
  • Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)39.2%
  • Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)25.8%
  • Tile efficiency match rate73.6%
  • Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.18
  • Immediate riichi rate73.0%
  • Dama rate11.4%

Where the points came from

  • Own wins+50.0
  • Deal-ins-26.2
  • Others' tsumo-16.1
  • Ron between others-3.7
  • Exhaustive draws+0.9
Change in expected points per game. Total +5.0pt/game (21 games).
As a table
Hand resultHandsTotalPer game
Own wins46+1050.0+50.0
Deal-ins36-549.2-26.2
Others' tsumo61-337.3-16.1
Ron between others45-77.6-3.7
Exhaustive draws56+18.1+0.9

Luck

  • Points from luck (/game)+1.0
  • Draw luck+0.5%
  • Starting hand (shanten)+0.11
  • Dora and red fives dealt-0.00
  • Ura-dora luck+0.09
  • Ippatsu rate-11.0%
  • Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)-0.8%
  • Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate6.6%
Every number for 2020-21
Results
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Average placement2.382.48 (2.28 to 2.69)13%6921 games
Points per game5.20.7 (-7.7 to 9.1)13%7321 games
Points per game, luck removed4.20.7 (-7.0 to 8.5)18%6921 games
1st-place rate33.3%26.2% (18.0% to 34.4%)14%8321 games
4th-place rate23.8%24.7% (16.4% to 33.1%)15%5621 games
Style
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Win rate18.9%19.7% (17.1% to 22.3%)24%52244 hands
Deal-in rate14.8%11.7% (9.8% to 13.7%)21%1244 hands
Riichi rate23.8%23.0% (20.3% to 25.7%)25%76244 hands
Call rate22.5%22.6% (18.7% to 26.6%)79%66244 hands
First riichi rate72.4%75.6% (71.1% to 80.1%)11%1858 riichi
Average riichi turn9.669.42 (8.98 to 9.85)25%3558 riichi
Average win value7,2986,701 (6,102 to 7,300)16%8046 wins
Average deal-in value5,2315,583 (5,055 to 6,110)11%7336 deal-ins
Win efficiency1,5841,477 (1,371 to 1,583)3%76244 hands
Deal-in loss809655 (546 to 765)10%18244 hands
Net efficiency776829 (601 to 1,056)11%52244 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)31.7%39.2% (31.9% to 46.4%)18%2541 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)26.3%25.8% (19.4% to 32.3%)39%6657 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call34.5%29.8% (22.9% to 36.8%)47%8355 first calls
Average win turn12.5312.38 (12.23 to 12.53)1%5246 wins
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws41.1%40.3% (33.7% to 46.9%)24%5956 exhaustive draws
Staying in vs riichi17.3%14.3% (12.3% to 16.2%)6%100133 hands facing an opponent’s riichi
Tile efficiency match rate73.8%73.6% (71.9% to 75.4%)80%831,345 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)0.950.99 (0.88 to 1.09)69%81,295 discards
Breaking shape for value2.5%2.3% (1.8% to 2.8%)58%801,345 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.528.18 (8.05 to 8.31)3%7656 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate75.6%73.0% (66.5% to 79.5%)33%6256 tenpai hands
Dama rate8.7%11.4% (5.6% to 17.1%)43%1546 wins
Riichi income3,0592,682 (1,880 to 3,484)14%6258 riichi
Riichi win rate39.7%44.4% (37.8% to 51.1%)25%3258 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A19.0%14.4% (12.5% to 16.3%)2%2158 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B19.0%11.5% (8.9% to 14.1%)6%158 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate51.7%50.1% (44.1% to 56.0%)16%5258 riichi
Riichi exhaustive draw rate24.1%20.2% (15.3% to 25.1%)19%7358 riichi
Call income920523 (65.11 to 981)8%7655 calls
Win rate after calling34.5%30.6% (24.9% to 36.4%)18%8355 calls
Deal-in rate after calling14.5%12.1% (8.0% to 16.1%)18%2755 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
MetricActualPercentileCount
Starting hand (shanten)+0.1197244 hands
Dora and red fives dealt-0.0035244 hands
Draw luck+0.5%833,025 tile draws
Ura-dora luck+0.097623 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate-11.0%823 riichi wins
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)-0.8%2542 first riichi
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate6.6%10061 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)+1.06921 games
Hand balance breakdown
CategoryFrequencyBalance per handLeague averageDifference
Wins with riichi9.4%+1,043+919+124
Wins with calls7.8%+459+382+77
Dama wins1.6%+82+173-91
Deal-ins to riichi7.4%-503-360-143
Deal-ins to open hands4.9%-229-203-26
Deal-ins to dama2.5%-121-101-21
Others' tsumo25.0%-568-752+184
Other (exhaustive draws, etc.)41.4%-66-60-6
Total (per hand)+97
2019-20 (24 games · skill estimate 1.8pt/game)

Style

  • Average win value6,669
  • Riichi rate21.2%
  • Deal-in rate11.0%
  • Win rate19.4%
  • First riichi rate76.5%
  • Average riichi turn9.30
  • Call rate23.5%
  • Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws39.1%
  • Staying in vs riichi13.8%
  • Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)40.3%
  • Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)22.5%
  • Tile efficiency match rate73.1%
  • Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.16
  • Immediate riichi rate69.8%
  • Dama rate20.8%

Where the points came from

  • Own wins+47.4
  • Deal-ins-20.3
  • Others' tsumo-15.6
  • Ron between others+0.2
  • Exhaustive draws+0.5
Change in expected points per game. Total +12.2pt/game (24 games).
As a table
Hand resultHandsTotalPer game
Own wins50+1138.6+47.4
Deal-ins31-487.4-20.3
Others' tsumo66-374.4-15.6
Ron between others69+4.9+0.2
Exhaustive draws63+11.1+0.5

Luck

  • Points from luck (/game)+9.8
  • Draw luck-0.2%
  • Starting hand (shanten)-0.06
  • Dora and red fives dealt-0.02
  • Ura-dora luck+0.24
  • Ippatsu rate+7.5%
  • Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)+7.4%
  • Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate6.1%
Every number for 2019-20
Results
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Average placement2.212.46 (2.26 to 2.65)14%8624 games
Points per game12.11.8 (-6.3 to 10.0)15%8924 games
Points per game, luck removed2.30.4 (-7.0 to 7.9)20%7524 games
1st-place rate45.8%28.3% (20.4% to 36.3%)16%10024 games
4th-place rate29.2%25.6% (17.5% to 33.7%)17%3624 games
Style
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Win rate17.9%19.4% (17.0% to 21.9%)26%29279 hands
Deal-in rate11.1%11.0% (9.1% to 12.8%)23%47279 hands
Riichi rate17.2%21.2% (18.6% to 23.8%)27%8279 hands
Call rate23.7%23.5% (19.8% to 27.3%)81%79279 hands
First riichi rate81.3%76.5% (71.8% to 81.2%)10%5048 riichi
Average riichi turn9.179.30 (8.84 to 9.76)22%6548 riichi
Average win value7,0566,669 (6,082 to 7,255)17%7250 wins
Average deal-in value5,5035,614 (5,073 to 6,156)10%6531 deal-ins
Win efficiency1,3971,472 (1,367 to 1,576)3%50279 hands
Deal-in loss646640 (533 to 747)11%58279 hands
Net efficiency752825 (603 to 1,047)12%43279 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)38.5%40.3% (33.6% to 47.1%)22%3352 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)17.5%22.5% (16.0% to 28.9%)39%1557 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call33.3%29.6% (23.1% to 36.2%)52%6566 first calls
Average win turn12.6612.38 (12.23 to 12.53)1%2250 wins
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws36.5%39.1% (32.8% to 45.5%)26%2963 exhaustive draws
Staying in vs riichi10.6%13.8% (11.9% to 15.8%)7%15142 hands facing an opponent’s riichi
Tile efficiency match rate73.1%73.1% (71.3% to 74.8%)81%821,424 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)0.981.00 (0.90 to 1.11)70%121,361 discards
Breaking shape for value1.8%1.9% (1.4% to 2.3%)60%221,424 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.018.16 (8.03 to 8.29)3%2954 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate66.1%69.8% (63.3% to 76.4%)33%2254 tenpai hands
Dama rate30.0%20.8% (15.2% to 26.4%)45%9350 wins
Riichi income2,3982,597 (1,763 to 3,431)11%5048 riichi
Riichi win rate45.8%46.0% (38.9% to 53.0%)22%5048 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A18.8%14.4% (12.5% to 16.3%)2%1248 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B16.7%11.3% (8.6% to 14.0%)5%1248 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate43.8%48.9% (42.7% to 55.1%)14%2248 riichi
Riichi exhaustive draw rate18.8%19.2% (14.0% to 24.4%)17%4348 riichi
Call income309469 (24.56 to 913)10%3366 calls
Win rate after calling19.7%27.7% (22.3% to 33.2%)21%166 calls
Deal-in rate after calling15.2%12.3% (8.5% to 16.1%)20%2666 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
MetricActualPercentileCount
Starting hand (shanten)-0.0629279 hands
Dora and red fives dealt-0.0236279 hands
Draw luck-0.2%223,484 tile draws
Ura-dora luck+0.249322 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate+7.5%8922 riichi wins
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)+7.4%8939 first riichi
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate6.1%9366 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)+9.810024 games
Hand balance breakdown
CategoryFrequencyBalance per handLeague averageDifference
Wins with riichi7.9%+685+919-234
Wins with calls4.7%+338+382-44
Dama wins5.4%+375+173+202
Deal-ins to riichi3.2%-296-360+64
Deal-ins to open hands5.0%-231-203-28
Deal-ins to dama2.9%-147-101-47
Others' tsumo23.7%-496-752+256
Other (exhaustive draws, etc.)47.3%-65-60-5
Total (per hand)+162
2018-19 (26 games · skill estimate -1.9pt/game)

Style

  • Average win value6,449
  • Riichi rate21.4%
  • Deal-in rate10.9%
  • Win rate20.2%
  • First riichi rate76.6%
  • Average riichi turn9.37
  • Call rate22.3%
  • Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws35.7%
  • Staying in vs riichi14.0%
  • Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)38.7%
  • Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)31.5%
  • Tile efficiency match rate73.2%
  • Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.17
  • Immediate riichi rate69.6%
  • Dama rate16.6%

Where the points came from

  • Own wins+45.1
  • Deal-ins-22.2
  • Others' tsumo-30.3
  • Ron between others-2.8
  • Exhaustive draws-1.7
Change in expected points per game. Total -11.9pt/game (26 games).
As a table
Hand resultHandsTotalPer game
Own wins66+1172.8+45.1
Deal-ins34-577.8-22.2
Others' tsumo88-787.3-30.3
Ron between others70-73.1-2.8
Exhaustive draws58-43.5-1.7

Luck

  • Points from luck (/game)-5.0
  • Draw luck+0.1%
  • Starting hand (shanten)-0.02
  • Dora and red fives dealt+0.03
  • Ura-dora luck-0.01
  • Ippatsu rate+0.3%
  • Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)+4.1%
  • Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate18.2%
Every number for 2018-19
Results
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Average placement2.812.54 (2.35 to 2.74)15%126 games
Points per game-12.1-1.9 (-9.9 to 6.0)16%126 games
Points per game, luck removed-7.1-1.5 (-8.8 to 5.8)21%2626 games
1st-place rate23.1%24.7% (16.9% to 32.5%)17%4126 games
4th-place rate34.6%26.6% (18.7% to 34.5%)18%1126 games
Style
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Win rate20.9%20.2% (17.9% to 22.6%)28%65316 hands
Deal-in rate10.8%10.9% (9.1% to 12.7%)25%50316 hands
Riichi rate18.4%21.4% (18.9% to 23.9%)30%11316 hands
Call rate22.2%22.3% (18.8% to 25.8%)83%55316 hands
First riichi rate81.0%76.6% (72.0% to 81.1%)11%7558 riichi
Average riichi turn9.489.37 (8.94 to 9.81)25%7558 riichi
Average win value5,9186,449 (5,905 to 6,993)21%1166 wins
Average deal-in value7,0535,774 (5,241 to 6,306)10%1134 deal-ins
Win efficiency1,3911,471 (1,368 to 1,575)4%36316 hands
Deal-in loss774655 (551 to 760)12%21316 hands
Net efficiency616805 (589 to 1,021)14%26316 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)32.8%38.7% (32.4% to 45.1%)26%1164 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)41.1%31.5% (25.0% to 38.0%)38%9556 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call25.7%25.7% (19.3% to 32.1%)53%5070 first calls
Average win turn12.3512.38 (12.23 to 12.53)2%7066 wins
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws22.4%35.7% (29.2% to 42.2%)24%158 exhaustive draws
Staying in vs riichi13.4%14.0% (12.1% to 15.9%)8%31172 hands facing an opponent’s riichi
Tile efficiency match rate73.3%73.2% (71.6% to 74.9%)84%651,724 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)0.971.00 (0.90 to 1.10)73%161,649 discards
Breaking shape for value1.7%1.8% (1.4% to 2.3%)64%261,724 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.318.17 (8.05 to 8.30)4%6570 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate66.3%69.6% (63.6% to 75.6%)39%3170 tenpai hands
Dama rate19.7%16.6% (11.5% to 21.7%)52%7566 wins
Riichi income1,9342,530 (1,728 to 3,332)14%2658 riichi
Riichi win rate51.7%47.4% (40.8% to 54.1%)25%7058 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A19.0%14.4% (12.5% to 16.3%)2%2158 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B15.5%11.3% (8.7% to 13.9%)6%1658 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate53.4%50.3% (44.4% to 56.3%)16%7558 riichi
Riichi exhaustive draw rate8.6%17.2% (12.3% to 22.1%)19%158 riichi
Call income-7.14435 (-5.08 to 874)11%3170 calls
Win rate after calling32.9%30.5% (25.1% to 35.8%)21%6570 calls
Deal-in rate after calling18.6%13.0% (9.3% to 16.8%)21%670 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
MetricActualPercentileCount
Starting hand (shanten)-0.0250316 hands
Dora and red fives dealt+0.0380316 hands
Draw luck+0.1%503,846 tile draws
Ura-dora luck-0.013630 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate+0.3%6030 riichi wins
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)+4.1%8047 first riichi
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate18.2%188 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)-5.02626 games
Hand balance breakdown
CategoryFrequencyBalance per handLeague averageDifference
Wins with riichi9.5%+745+919-174
Wins with calls7.3%+463+382+81
Dama wins4.1%+182+173+9
Deal-ins to riichi5.7%-472-360-112
Deal-ins to open hands4.1%-253-203-50
Deal-ins to dama0.9%-78-101+23
Others' tsumo27.8%-915-752-162
Other (exhaustive draws, etc.)40.5%-134-60-75
Total (per hand)-461

Players with a similar styleclosest career style metrics first

  1. Shingo HoriKADOKAWA Sakura KnightsIn common: Riichis rarely, First riichi often
  2. Kotaro UchikawaEX FurinkazanIn common: Smaller hands
  3. Kei NakabayashiU-NEXT PiratesIn common: First riichi often, Call-heavy

* Twelve style metrics, including call rate, riichi rate, win rate, deal-in rate, hand value, riichi speed and immediate riichi rate, are put on the same scale and compared; the players closest overall are listed. Metrics supported more strongly by the data receive more weight. The comparison shows how similar the players' styles are, not which is better. Differences are often small, so the order may change.