Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Player · 151 career games · 2022-23–2026-27

Yu Suzuki

Riichis and calls a lot, attacking in many hands. Stands out for a high win rate, rare dama and smaller wins. Career record: +7.9pt per game, but allowing for luck the difference from average is not clear yet.

Actual / game
+7.9
151 career games
Skill estimate / game
+4.2
90% interval -0.3 to +8.7
Estimate, luck removed
+4.7
adjusted for starting hands, draws, ura-dora
Weight of the record
53%
share of the estimate from the record

Styleleague percentile, career

  • Average win value6,292
  • Riichi rate23.6%
  • Deal-in rate11.0%
  • Win rate22.8%
  • First riichi rate74.5%
  • Average riichi turn9.38
  • Call rate29.8%
  • Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws41.2%
  • Staying in vs riichi15.7%
  • Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)43.7%
  • Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)29.3%
  • Tile efficiency match rate75.4%
  • Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.15
  • Immediate riichi rate76.3%
  • Dama rate8.4%

Color only for metrics with a good side (red = good, blue = bad). Metrics of style, such as riichi rate, call rate and tile efficiency match rate, are gray. For tenpai turn, further right means later (a larger turn number). Values are estimates.

Placements151 career games, average placement 2.32

  • 1st29.1%44×
  • 2nd27.8%42×
  • 3rd24.5%37×
  • 4th18.5%28×

Riichi and callsbalance and outcome of hands with riichi or calls

  • Riichi income2,883
  • Riichi win rate50.7%
  • Riichi deal-in rate A13.8%
  • Riichi deal-in rate B9.8%
  • Riichi good-wait rate49.5%
  • Riichi exhaustive draw rate16.5%
  • Call income592
  • Win rate after calling31.2%
  • Deal-in rate after calling11.0%
  • Tenpai rate after the first call23.9%

Income is the average points won or lost in those hands (riichi sticks and honba included).

Net efficiency and morecalculated as on Mahjong Soul Paifuya, per hand

  • Net efficiency948
  • Deal-in loss622
  • Average win turn12.39

Deal-in loss = deal-in rate × average deal-in; net efficiency = win rate × average win − deal-in loss. Win and deal-in values include honba and riichi sticks. Win turn is the number of tiles discarded at the table when the win came ÷ 4 + 1. Win efficiency (win rate × average win) is not shown: players with a high win rate win smaller hands, the two cancel out, and differences between players cannot be told apart from chance.

Skill estimateleague percentile of the estimates

  • Points per game4.2
  • Points per game, luck removed4.7
  • Average placement2.41

Luckfurther right is luckier; values are differences from the league average (the dealer tsumo rate is the rate itself)

  • Points from luck (/game)+0.1
  • Draw luck+0.2%
  • Starting hand (shanten)-0.01
  • Dora and red fives dealt-0.01
  • Ura-dora luck+0.00
  • Ippatsu rate-5.0%
  • Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)-3.3%
  • Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate12.9%

Where the points came fromchange in expected points, all stages

  • Own wins+53.1
  • Deal-ins-20.3
  • Others' tsumo-23.8
  • Ron between others-1.7
  • Exhaustive draws+0.7
Change in expected points per game. Total +8.0pt/game (151 games).
As a table
Hand resultHandsTotalPer game
Own wins441+8015.0+53.1
Deal-ins203-3064.0-20.3
Others' tsumo456-3594.6-23.8
Ron between others400-252.2-1.7
Exhaustive draws337+111.0+0.7

Hand balance breakdownpoints won or lost per hand, all stages

CategoryFrequencyBalance per handLeague averageDifference
Wins with riichi12.6%+1,038+919+119
Wins with calls9.6%+523+382+140
Dama wins1.9%+110+173-63
Deal-ins to riichi5.2%-340-360+20
Deal-ins to open hands4.2%-196-203+7
Deal-ins to dama1.6%-81-101+20
Others' tsumo24.8%-714-752+38
Other (exhaustive draws, etc.)40.1%-32-60+28
Total (per hand)+307
Every career number (estimate, 90% interval, weight of the record)
Results
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Average placement2.322.41 (2.30 to 2.52)51%98151 games
Points per game7.94.2 (-0.3 to 8.7)53%100151 games
Points per game, luck removed7.84.7 (0.7 to 8.8)61%100151 games
1st-place rate29.1%27.3% (22.9% to 31.6%)54%92151 games
4th-place rate18.5%21.4% (17.0% to 25.8%)56%94151 games
Style
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Win rate24.0%22.8% (21.5% to 24.1%)70%1001,837 hands
Deal-in rate11.1%11.0% (10.0% to 12.0%)66%431,837 hands
Riichi rate24.0%23.6% (22.2% to 25.0%)71%801,837 hands
Call rate30.0%29.8% (28.2% to 31.4%)97%921,837 hands
First riichi rate73.0%74.5% (72.1% to 76.9%)49%7440 riichi
Average riichi turn9.409.38 (9.16 to 9.60)72%35440 riichi
Average win value6,1256,292 (6,006 to 6,578)64%7441 wins
Average deal-in value5,2325,465 (5,150 to 5,780)41%94203 deal-ins
Win efficiency1,6711,509 (1,431 to 1,587)18%981,837 hands
Deal-in loss600622 (561 to 682)44%761,837 hands
Net efficiency1,070948 (825 to 1,072)48%1001,837 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)45.4%43.7% (40.1% to 47.4%)63%88315 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)30.3%29.3% (25.8% to 32.8%)78%84323 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call23.7%23.9% (21.0% to 26.8%)90%33552 first calls
Average win turn12.5412.39 (12.27 to 12.52)10%15441 wins
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws41.8%41.2% (37.6% to 44.8%)65%72337 exhaustive draws
Staying in vs riichi19.0%15.7% (14.5% to 16.9%)32%100967 hands facing an opponent’s riichi
Tile efficiency match rate75.4%75.4% (74.6% to 76.1%)97%909,852 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)0.940.94 (0.90 to 0.99)94%79,508 discards
Breaking shape for value1.5%1.6% (1.3% to 1.8%)91%39,852 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.068.15 (8.05 to 8.24)18%21371 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate77.7%76.3% (72.9% to 79.7%)77%90371 tenpai hands
Dama rate7.7%8.4% (5.9% to 10.9%)88%5441 wins
Riichi income3,1022,883 (2,462 to 3,304)54%92440 riichi
Riichi win rate52.5%50.7% (47.3% to 54.0%)72%100440 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A10.7%13.8% (12.3% to 15.3%)15%100440 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B7.3%9.8% (8.2% to 11.4%)33%100440 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate49.3%49.5% (46.4% to 52.6%)60%47440 riichi
Riichi exhaustive draw rate15.0%16.5% (14.0% to 19.0%)65%7440 riichi
Call income706592 (356 to 828)48%88552 calls
Win rate after calling31.9%31.2% (28.6% to 33.9%)68%86552 calls
Deal-in rate after calling10.7%11.0% (9.1% to 12.8%)68%68552 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
MetricActualPercentileCount
Starting hand (shanten)-0.01191,837 hands
Dora and red fives dealt-0.01251,837 hands
Draw luck+0.2%8021,978 tile draws
Ura-dora luck+0.0039231 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate-5.0%3231 riichi wins
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)-3.3%15321 first riichi
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate12.9%27456 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)+0.158151 games

By seasonRegular Season

2026-27 (14 games · skill estimate -0.2pt/game)

Style

  • Average win value6,362
  • Riichi rate22.5%
  • Deal-in rate10.6%
  • Win rate20.6%
  • First riichi rate75.4%
  • Average riichi turn9.08
  • Call rate28.5%
  • Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws41.0%
  • Staying in vs riichi14.4%
  • Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)42.1%
  • Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)27.9%
  • Tile efficiency match rate71.6%
  • Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.16
  • Immediate riichi rate71.0%
  • Dama rate12.3%

Where the points came from

  • Own wins+46.6
  • Deal-ins-17.5
  • Others' tsumo-29.8
  • Ron between others-2.7
  • Exhaustive draws+1.2
Change in expected points per game. Total -2.1pt/game (14 games).
As a table
Hand resultHandsTotalPer game
Own wins38+652.4+46.6
Deal-ins14-245.0-17.5
Others' tsumo48-416.8-29.8
Ron between others29-37.5-2.7
Exhaustive draws30+17.3+1.2

Luck

  • Points from luck (/game)-12.7
  • Draw luck+0.7%
  • Starting hand (shanten)-0.06
  • Dora and red fives dealt-0.11
  • Ura-dora luck-0.19
  • Ippatsu rate-13.5%
  • Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)-13.8%
  • Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate14.6%
Every number for 2026-27
Results
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Average placement2.502.50 (2.28 to 2.72)9%5514 games
Points per game-2.1-0.2 (-9.3 to 8.9)9%4914 games
Points per game, luck removed10.51.3 (-7.2 to 9.8)12%8114 games
1st-place rate14.3%24.0% (15.1% to 32.9%)10%2114 games
4th-place rate28.6%25.3% (16.2% to 34.3%)10%3414 games
Style
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Win rate23.9%20.6% (17.7% to 23.5%)17%87159 hands
Deal-in rate8.8%10.6% (8.4% to 12.8%)14%79159 hands
Riichi rate21.4%22.5% (19.4% to 25.6%)18%25159 hands
Call rate30.8%28.5% (23.9% to 33.1%)71%89159 hands
First riichi rate67.6%75.4% (70.5% to 80.4%)7%2034 riichi
Average riichi turn7.829.08 (8.58 to 9.59)17%9534 riichi
Average win value4,8746,362 (5,736 to 6,988)13%138 wins
Average deal-in value5,4075,616 (5,013 to 6,219)5%4614 deal-ins
Win efficiency1,3971,473 (1,364 to 1,582)2%55159 hands
Deal-in loss493629 (512 to 746)6%79159 hands
Net efficiency904840 (596 to 1,085)7%65159 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)50.0%42.1% (34.1% to 50.0%)13%7928 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)34.4%27.9% (19.9% to 35.8%)26%8132 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call20.4%23.3% (16.1% to 30.5%)44%3049 first calls
Average win turn12.2612.38 (12.23 to 12.53)1%6038 wins
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws46.7%41.0% (33.2% to 48.8%)14%8030 exhaustive draws
Staying in vs riichi22.1%14.4% (12.4% to 16.4%)4%9786 hands facing an opponent’s riichi
Tile efficiency match rate71.1%71.6% (69.4% to 73.8%)70%28788 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)1.031.04 (0.91 to 1.17)56%49760 discards
Breaking shape for value0.8%1.4% (0.9% to 2.0%)45%6788 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)7.738.16 (8.02 to 8.29)2%1236 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate69.1%71.0% (63.4% to 78.6%)24%3836 tenpai hands
Dama rate10.5%12.3% (6.1% to 18.4%)38%6538 wins
Riichi income2,0852,578 (1,692 to 3,463)8%3834 riichi
Riichi win rate47.1%46.2% (38.4% to 53.9%)16%7134 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A2.9%14.2% (12.2% to 16.1%)1%9734 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B2.9%10.7% (8.0% to 13.5%)4%9734 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate47.1%49.5% (42.8% to 56.1%)10%3334 riichi
Riichi exhaustive draw rate17.6%19.1% (13.4% to 24.7%)12%3334 riichi
Call income704503 (36.94 to 969)8%6849 calls
Win rate after calling36.7%30.9% (25.0% to 36.8%)16%8149 calls
Deal-in rate after calling12.2%11.6% (7.5% to 15.8%)16%3649 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
MetricActualPercentileCount
Starting hand (shanten)-0.0620159 hands
Dora and red fives dealt-0.116159 hands
Draw luck+0.7%871,920 tile draws
Ura-dora luck-0.19916 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate-13.5%616 riichi wins
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)-13.8%923 first riichi
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate14.6%3648 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)-12.7414 games
Hand balance breakdown
CategoryFrequencyBalance per handLeague averageDifference
Wins with riichi10.1%+716+919-203
Wins with calls11.3%+469+382+86
Dama wins2.5%+213+173+40
Deal-ins to riichi3.8%-294-360+66
Deal-ins to open hands4.4%-181-203+23
Deal-ins to dama0.6%-25-101+76
Others' tsumo30.2%-926-752-174
Other (exhaustive draws, etc.)37.1%+28-60+88
Total (per hand)+0
2025-26 (34 games · skill estimate 0.7pt/game)

Style

  • Average win value6,586
  • Riichi rate24.8%
  • Deal-in rate11.6%
  • Win rate21.3%
  • First riichi rate75.4%
  • Average riichi turn9.40
  • Call rate29.4%
  • Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws43.2%
  • Staying in vs riichi14.9%
  • Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)43.3%
  • Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)27.1%
  • Tile efficiency match rate77.7%
  • Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.15
  • Immediate riichi rate75.5%
  • Dama rate8.2%

Where the points came from

  • Own wins+50.7
  • Deal-ins-25.8
  • Others' tsumo-22.8
  • Ron between others-0.7
  • Exhaustive draws+2.1
Change in expected points per game. Total +3.6pt/game (34 games).
As a table
Hand resultHandsTotalPer game
Own wins100+1725.1+50.7
Deal-ins55-875.9-25.8
Others' tsumo107-774.5-22.8
Ron between others89-22.4-0.7
Exhaustive draws70+70.1+2.1

Luck

  • Points from luck (/game)-1.8
  • Draw luck+0.3%
  • Starting hand (shanten)+0.03
  • Dora and red fives dealt-0.02
  • Ura-dora luck+0.02
  • Ippatsu rate-0.9%
  • Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)-5.7%
  • Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate11.2%
Every number for 2025-26
Results
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Average placement2.562.51 (2.33 to 2.69)19%4734 games
Points per game3.40.7 (-6.8 to 8.1)20%6434 games
Points per game, luck removed5.21.3 (-5.4 to 8.1)26%7734 games
1st-place rate29.4%26.0% (18.7% to 33.2%)21%6434 games
4th-place rate32.4%26.5% (19.2% to 33.9%)22%1634 games
Style
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Win rate23.8%21.3% (19.2% to 23.4%)35%95421 hands
Deal-in rate13.1%11.6% (10.0% to 13.2%)31%11421 hands
Riichi rate28.3%24.8% (22.5% to 27.0%)36%95421 hands
Call rate30.4%29.4% (26.3% to 32.5%)86%90421 hands
First riichi rate73.1%75.4% (71.6% to 79.2%)21%21119 riichi
Average riichi turn9.499.40 (9.06 to 9.73)41%29119 riichi
Average win value6,5776,586 (6,112 to 7,061)29%59100 wins
Average deal-in value5,4355,596 (5,114 to 6,077)16%5455 deal-ins
Win efficiency1,7631,488 (1,387 to 1,588)5%95421 hands
Deal-in loss739654 (556 to 752)15%21421 hands
Net efficiency1,024868 (667 to 1,070)17%77421 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)49.3%43.3% (37.2% to 49.3%)29%8673 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)29.2%27.1% (20.9% to 33.2%)42%6265 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call19.5%21.5% (16.3% to 26.8%)67%26128 first calls
Average win turn12.8012.39 (12.25 to 12.53)2%9100 wins
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws51.4%43.2% (37.1% to 49.3%)28%10070 exhaustive draws
Staying in vs riichi22.5%14.9% (13.1% to 16.7%)10%100213 hands facing an opponent’s riichi
Tile efficiency match rate78.4%77.7% (76.3% to 79.1%)87%952,339 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)0.790.85 (0.76 to 0.93)79%12,262 discards
Breaking shape for value1.6%1.7% (1.3% to 2.1%)71%242,339 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)7.928.15 (8.03 to 8.28)5%1190 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate80.3%75.5% (70.0% to 81.0%)45%9690 tenpai hands
Dama rate5.0%8.2% (3.7% to 12.6%)62%4100 wins
Riichi income2,4642,584 (1,924 to 3,245)24%39119 riichi
Riichi win rate44.5%45.4% (40.3% to 50.6%)40%31119 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A10.9%14.2% (12.4% to 16.0%)4%85119 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B8.4%10.7% (8.4% to 13.1%)12%92119 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate41.2%47.3% (42.5% to 52.1%)28%9119 riichi
Riichi exhaustive draw rate19.3%19.3% (15.4% to 23.2%)33%80119 riichi
Call income921563 (179 to 948)18%85128 calls
Win rate after calling32.8%30.8% (26.4% to 35.2%)33%70128 calls
Deal-in rate after calling14.1%12.4% (9.3% to 15.4%)33%16128 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
MetricActualPercentileCount
Starting hand (shanten)+0.0377421 hands
Dora and red fives dealt-0.0244421 hands
Draw luck+0.3%524,967 tile draws
Ura-dora luck+0.024753 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate-0.9%4953 riichi wins
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)-5.7%2187 first riichi
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate11.2%63107 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)-1.82434 games
Hand balance breakdown
CategoryFrequencyBalance per handLeague averageDifference
Wins with riichi12.6%+1,058+919+139
Wins with calls10.0%+657+382+275
Dama wins1.2%+47+173-126
Deal-ins to riichi5.7%-384-360-24
Deal-ins to open hands5.2%-277-203-74
Deal-ins to dama2.1%-102-101-1
Others' tsumo25.4%-715-752+37
Other (exhaustive draws, etc.)37.8%+12-60+72
Total (per hand)+296
2024-25 (23 games · skill estimate 1.1pt/game)

Style

  • Average win value6,507
  • Riichi rate23.1%
  • Deal-in rate11.1%
  • Win rate20.4%
  • First riichi rate75.0%
  • Average riichi turn9.42
  • Call rate27.3%
  • Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws39.3%
  • Staying in vs riichi14.1%
  • Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)43.2%
  • Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)25.2%
  • Tile efficiency match rate75.2%
  • Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.17
  • Immediate riichi rate77.2%
  • Dama rate8.9%

Where the points came from

  • Own wins+52.0
  • Deal-ins-19.3
  • Others' tsumo-25.5
  • Ron between others+0.3
  • Exhaustive draws+0.5
Change in expected points per game. Total +7.9pt/game (23 games).
As a table
Hand resultHandsTotalPer game
Own wins65+1195.0+52.0
Deal-ins36-444.1-19.3
Others' tsumo73-586.2-25.5
Ron between others68+5.9+0.3
Exhaustive draws62+12.0+0.5

Luck

  • Points from luck (/game)-6.0
  • Draw luck-0.5%
  • Starting hand (shanten)-0.08
  • Dora and red fives dealt-0.04
  • Ura-dora luck+0.06
  • Ippatsu rate-1.3%
  • Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)+5.3%
  • Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate17.8%
Every number for 2024-25
Results
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Average placement2.262.47 (2.26 to 2.67)14%7523 games
Points per game7.91.1 (-7.1 to 9.4)15%7523 games
Points per game, luck removed13.92.6 (-4.9 to 10.2)19%9223 games
1st-place rate34.8%26.5% (18.5% to 34.6%)15%8023 games
4th-place rate17.4%23.7% (15.5% to 31.9%)16%6923 games
Style
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Win rate21.4%20.4% (18.0% to 22.8%)28%60304 hands
Deal-in rate11.8%11.1% (9.3% to 13.0%)24%38304 hands
Riichi rate24.0%23.1% (20.6% to 25.6%)29%69304 hands
Call rate28.3%27.3% (23.7% to 30.9%)82%75304 hands
First riichi rate68.5%75.0% (70.6% to 79.3%)14%973 riichi
Average riichi turn9.629.42 (9.02 to 9.82)30%1573 riichi
Average win value6,1896,507 (5,961 to 7,053)21%4665 wins
Average deal-in value4,7225,527 (5,000 to 6,055)11%7736 deal-ins
Win efficiency1,4841,474 (1,371 to 1,578)3%58304 hands
Deal-in loss576631 (526 to 737)12%60304 hands
Net efficiency908845 (627 to 1,063)13%60304 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)50.9%43.2% (36.5% to 49.8%)23%8355 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)24.6%25.2% (18.7% to 31.6%)39%3857 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call23.3%24.3% (18.3% to 30.3%)58%4686 first calls
Average win turn12.3812.38 (12.23 to 12.53)2%4365 wins
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws37.1%39.3% (32.9% to 45.6%)26%2162 exhaustive draws
Staying in vs riichi14.0%14.1% (12.2% to 15.9%)7%49164 hands facing an opponent’s riichi
Tile efficiency match rate75.7%75.2% (73.6% to 76.9%)83%801,633 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)0.981.00 (0.90 to 1.10)73%431,573 discards
Breaking shape for value1.7%1.8% (1.4% to 2.3%)63%291,633 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.268.17 (8.04 to 8.30)3%8059 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate87.8%77.2% (70.9% to 83.6%)35%9759 tenpai hands
Dama rate4.6%8.9% (3.8% to 14.0%)51%765 wins
Riichi income3,0592,695 (1,934 to 3,455)16%8373 riichi
Riichi win rate52.1%47.8% (41.6% to 53.9%)29%8373 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A8.2%14.2% (12.3% to 16.0%)3%9473 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B5.5%10.6% (8.1% to 13.2%)7%9773 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate56.2%51.0% (45.4% to 56.6%)20%8673 riichi
Riichi exhaustive draw rate17.8%18.9% (14.3% to 23.5%)23%4973 riichi
Call income270459 (36.81 to 882)13%3586 calls
Win rate after calling27.9%29.3% (24.3% to 34.4%)25%3286 calls
Deal-in rate after calling16.3%12.7% (9.2% to 16.2%)25%1286 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
MetricActualPercentileCount
Starting hand (shanten)-0.089304 hands
Dora and red fives dealt-0.0424304 hands
Draw luck-0.5%323,640 tile draws
Ura-dora luck+0.067538 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate-1.3%4338 riichi wins
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)+5.3%9450 first riichi
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate17.8%1273 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)-6.0423 games
Hand balance breakdown
CategoryFrequencyBalance per handLeague averageDifference
Wins with riichi12.5%+975+919+56
Wins with calls7.9%+428+382+46
Dama wins1.0%+81+173-92
Deal-ins to riichi7.6%-414-360-54
Deal-ins to open hands3.0%-92-203+111
Deal-ins to dama1.3%-83-101+18
Others' tsumo24.0%-637-752+116
Other (exhaustive draws, etc.)42.8%-107-60-47
Total (per hand)+151
2023-24 (27 games · skill estimate 2.7pt/game)

Style

  • Average win value6,387
  • Riichi rate22.8%
  • Deal-in rate11.1%
  • Win rate21.7%
  • First riichi rate75.7%
  • Average riichi turn9.42
  • Call rate29.1%
  • Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws41.3%
  • Staying in vs riichi14.5%
  • Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)39.4%
  • Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)27.1%
  • Tile efficiency match rate75.4%
  • Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.16
  • Immediate riichi rate75.0%
  • Dama rate10.6%

Where the points came from

  • Own wins+55.7
  • Deal-ins-20.8
  • Others' tsumo-19.4
  • Ron between others-0.3
  • Exhaustive draws+1.3
Change in expected points per game. Total +16.4pt/game (27 games).
As a table
Hand resultHandsTotalPer game
Own wins82+1503.2+55.7
Deal-ins37-561.7-20.8
Others' tsumo68-524.0-19.4
Ron between others69-8.7-0.3
Exhaustive draws60+34.3+1.3

Luck

  • Points from luck (/game)+9.5
  • Draw luck-0.2%
  • Starting hand (shanten)-0.03
  • Dora and red fives dealt-0.05
  • Ura-dora luck-0.12
  • Ippatsu rate-11.8%
  • Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)-3.0%
  • Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate8.8%
Every number for 2023-24
Results
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Average placement2.152.44 (2.25 to 2.64)16%9727 games
Points per game16.22.7 (-5.2 to 10.6)17%10027 games
Points per game, luck removed6.81.5 (-5.8 to 8.7)22%8027 games
1st-place rate40.7%27.8% (20.1% to 35.5%)17%9727 games
4th-place rate11.1%22.4% (14.6% to 30.2%)18%10027 games
Style
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Win rate25.9%21.7% (19.3% to 24.0%)28%100316 hands
Deal-in rate11.7%11.1% (9.3% to 12.9%)25%41316 hands
Riichi rate22.8%22.8% (20.3% to 25.3%)30%41316 hands
Call rate30.4%29.1% (25.6% to 32.6%)83%94316 hands
First riichi rate73.6%75.7% (71.3% to 80.0%)14%2972 riichi
Average riichi turn9.639.42 (9.02 to 9.82)30%2172 riichi
Average win value5,7736,387 (5,879 to 6,895)25%182 wins
Average deal-in value5,0765,564 (5,040 to 6,089)11%9237 deal-ins
Win efficiency1,7431,484 (1,380 to 1,587)4%94316 hands
Deal-in loss620637 (532 to 741)12%60316 hands
Net efficiency1,123875 (659 to 1,091)14%92316 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)34.0%39.4% (32.5% to 46.2%)22%450 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)29.5%27.1% (20.9% to 33.4%)40%6661 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call25.0%25.3% (19.5% to 31.0%)61%4696 first calls
Average win turn12.3412.38 (12.23 to 12.52)2%5882 wins
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws45.0%41.3% (34.8% to 47.7%)25%8360 exhaustive draws
Staying in vs riichi19.6%14.5% (12.6% to 16.4%)8%100168 hands facing an opponent’s riichi
Tile efficiency match rate75.9%75.4% (73.8% to 77.1%)83%831,641 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)0.981.01 (0.91 to 1.11)73%431,590 discards
Breaking shape for value2.1%2.1% (1.6% to 2.5%)63%601,641 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.048.16 (8.03 to 8.29)4%3564 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate81.0%75.0% (68.9% to 81.2%)36%8964 tenpai hands
Dama rate8.5%10.6% (5.9% to 15.3%)57%1882 wins
Riichi income3,6282,786 (2,023 to 3,549)16%9772 riichi
Riichi win rate52.8%48.0% (41.8% to 54.2%)29%8672 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A15.3%14.3% (12.5% to 16.2%)3%3872 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B9.7%10.9% (8.4% to 13.5%)7%6372 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate56.9%51.1% (45.5% to 56.8%)19%9272 riichi
Riichi exhaustive draw rate16.7%18.7% (14.0% to 23.3%)23%3872 riichi
Call income925547 (135 to 960)14%9496 calls
Win rate after calling38.5%32.2% (27.3% to 37.0%)27%9796 calls
Deal-in rate after calling10.4%11.2% (7.8% to 14.6%)27%6396 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
MetricActualPercentileCount
Starting hand (shanten)-0.0321316 hands
Dora and red fives dealt-0.0521316 hands
Draw luck-0.2%523,795 tile draws
Ura-dora luck-0.122138 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate-11.8%738 riichi wins
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)-3.0%4653 first riichi
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate8.8%8968 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)+9.510027 games
Hand balance breakdown
CategoryFrequencyBalance per handLeague averageDifference
Wins with riichi12.0%+1,084+919+166
Wins with calls11.7%+549+382+167
Dama wins2.2%+109+173-64
Deal-ins to riichi4.7%-308-360+52
Deal-ins to open hands5.4%-248-203-45
Deal-ins to dama1.6%-86-101+14
Others' tsumo21.5%-578-752+175
Other (exhaustive draws, etc.)40.8%-8-60+52
Total (per hand)+515
2022-23 (24 games · skill estimate -0.6pt/game)

Style

  • Average win value6,421
  • Riichi rate21.9%
  • Deal-in rate10.2%
  • Win rate19.7%
  • First riichi rate75.6%
  • Average riichi turn9.38
  • Call rate30.9%
  • Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws38.7%
  • Staying in vs riichi14.2%
  • Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)42.8%
  • Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)28.5%
  • Tile efficiency match rate71.7%
  • Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.17
  • Immediate riichi rate73.7%
  • Dama rate9.5%

Where the points came from

  • Own wins+41.0
  • Deal-ins-12.7
  • Others' tsumo-29.5
  • Ron between others-2.3
  • Exhaustive draws-0.4
Change in expected points per game. Total -3.9pt/game (24 games).
As a table
Hand resultHandsTotalPer game
Own wins56+983.3+41.0
Deal-ins23-304.9-12.7
Others' tsumo85-707.8-29.5
Ron between others70-54.4-2.3
Exhaustive draws63-9.5-0.4

Luck

  • Points from luck (/game)-4.9
  • Draw luck+0.2%
  • Starting hand (shanten)-0.03
  • Dora and red fives dealt+0.06
  • Ura-dora luck+0.10
  • Ippatsu rate-5.9%
  • Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)-0.2%
  • Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate11.8%
Every number for 2022-23
Results
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Average placement2.502.50 (2.30 to 2.70)14%5424 games
Points per game-3.9-0.6 (-8.7 to 7.6)15%3924 games
Points per game, luck removed1.10.2 (-7.3 to 7.7)20%6224 games
1st-place rate12.5%23.1% (15.1% to 31.0%)16%724 games
4th-place rate12.5%22.8% (14.8% to 30.9%)17%9724 games
Style
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Win rate18.9%19.7% (17.3% to 22.1%)27%36297 hands
Deal-in rate7.7%10.2% (8.3% to 12.0%)24%100297 hands
Riichi rate19.9%21.9% (19.4% to 24.5%)29%14297 hands
Call rate32.7%30.9% (27.3% to 34.5%)82%97297 hands
First riichi rate72.9%75.6% (71.1% to 80.2%)12%2759 riichi
Average riichi turn9.499.38 (8.94 to 9.81)26%4959 riichi
Average win value5,6716,421 (5,851 to 6,991)18%756 wins
Average deal-in value4,8095,567 (4,999 to 6,134)7%8723 deal-ins
Win efficiency1,2191,466 (1,362 to 1,570)3%11297 hands
Deal-in loss387610 (504 to 716)11%100297 hands
Net efficiency833835 (616 to 1,054)13%46297 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)50.0%42.8% (36.0% to 49.6%)22%9450 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)32.8%28.5% (22.2% to 34.8%)40%9061 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call22.7%23.8% (18.1% to 29.6%)61%1797 first calls
Average win turn12.6712.38 (12.23 to 12.53)1%3656 wins
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws34.9%38.7% (32.4% to 45.0%)26%3063 exhaustive draws
Staying in vs riichi16.2%14.2% (12.3% to 16.1%)8%87167 hands facing an opponent’s riichi
Tile efficiency match rate71.5%71.7% (70.0% to 73.4%)82%361,563 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)0.991.01 (0.91 to 1.11)72%271,500 discards
Breaking shape for value1.6%1.8% (1.3% to 2.2%)62%271,563 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.318.17 (8.04 to 8.30)3%6846 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate78.6%73.7% (66.7% to 80.6%)29%7446 tenpai hands
Dama rate5.4%9.5% (4.2% to 14.9%)48%456 wins
Riichi income2,3782,589 (1,790 to 3,388)14%3359 riichi
Riichi win rate49.2%46.8% (40.2% to 53.4%)25%6559 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A13.6%14.3% (12.4% to 16.2%)2%3959 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B6.8%10.8% (8.2% to 13.4%)6%7959 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate42.4%48.5% (42.6% to 54.5%)16%1759 riichi
Riichi exhaustive draw rate10.2%17.5% (12.6% to 22.4%)20%759 riichi
Call income444481 (69.06 to 892)14%4697 calls
Win rate after calling24.7%28.4% (23.6% to 33.2%)27%1497 calls
Deal-in rate after calling2.1%8.9% (5.6% to 12.3%)27%10097 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
MetricActualPercentileCount
Starting hand (shanten)-0.0330297 hands
Dora and red fives dealt+0.0690297 hands
Draw luck+0.2%653,632 tile draws
Ura-dora luck+0.107829 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate-5.9%2729 riichi wins
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)-0.2%4343 first riichi
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate11.8%3985 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)-4.92024 games
Hand balance breakdown
CategoryFrequencyBalance per handLeague averageDifference
Wins with riichi9.8%+793+919-126
Wins with calls8.1%+373+382-10
Dama wins1.0%+53+173-120
Deal-ins to riichi3.4%-203-360+157
Deal-ins to open hands2.7%-138-203+65
Deal-ins to dama1.7%-59-101+42
Others' tsumo28.6%-877-752-125
Other (exhaustive draws, etc.)44.8%-52-60+7
Total (per hand)-110

Players with a similar styleclosest career style metrics first

  1. Futoshi WatanabeAkasaka DrivensIn common: High win rate, Call-heavy, Dama rarely
  2. Tomohiro HondaTEAM RAIDENIn common: Dama rarely, Efficiency first, Smaller hands
  3. Maki AsamiAkasaka DrivensIn common: Dama rarely, Efficiency first, Call-heavy

* Twelve style metrics, including call rate, riichi rate, win rate, deal-in rate, hand value, riichi speed and immediate riichi rate, are put on the same scale and compared; the players closest overall are listed. Metrics supported more strongly by the data receive more weight. The comparison shows how similar the players' styles are, not which is better. Differences are often small, so the order may change.