Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Player · 281 career games · 2018-19–2026-27

Takaharu Ooi

Riichis fairly rarely. Stands out for being noten at draws, few deal-ins and smaller wins. Career record: +2.1pt per game, but allowing for luck the difference from average is not clear yet.

Actual / game
+2.1
281 career games
Skill estimate / game
+1.4
90% interval -2.2 to +5.1
Estimate, luck removed
+0.4
adjusted for starting hands, draws, ura-dora
Weight of the record
67%
share of the estimate from the record

Styleleague percentile, career

  • Average win value6,265
  • Riichi rate21.1%
  • Deal-in rate9.9%
  • Win rate21.1%
  • First riichi rate77.3%
  • Average riichi turn9.11
  • Call rate22.5%
  • Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws35.5%
  • Staying in vs riichi14.2%
  • Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)38.0%
  • Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)21.3%
  • Tile efficiency match rate72.7%
  • Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.15
  • Immediate riichi rate71.7%
  • Dama rate13.1%

Color only for metrics with a good side (red = good, blue = bad). Metrics of style, such as riichi rate, call rate and tile efficiency match rate, are gray. For tenpai turn, further right means later (a larger turn number). Values are estimates.

Placements281 career games, average placement 2.43

  • 1st26.7%75×
  • 2nd25.6%72×
  • 3rd26.0%73×
  • 4th21.7%61×

Riichi and callsbalance and outcome of hands with riichi or calls

  • Riichi income2,691
  • Riichi win rate48.9%
  • Riichi deal-in rate A13.9%
  • Riichi deal-in rate B10.4%
  • Riichi good-wait rate51.2%
  • Riichi exhaustive draw rate18.3%
  • Call income734
  • Win rate after calling34.9%
  • Deal-in rate after calling11.6%
  • Tenpai rate after the first call25.9%

Income is the average points won or lost in those hands (riichi sticks and honba included).

Net efficiency and morecalculated as on Mahjong Soul Paifuya, per hand

  • Net efficiency884
  • Deal-in loss596
  • Average win turn12.35

Deal-in loss = deal-in rate × average deal-in; net efficiency = win rate × average win − deal-in loss. Win and deal-in values include honba and riichi sticks. Win turn is the number of tiles discarded at the table when the win came ÷ 4 + 1. Win efficiency (win rate × average win) is not shown: players with a high win rate win smaller hands, the two cancel out, and differences between players cannot be told apart from chance.

Skill estimateleague percentile of the estimates

  • Points per game1.4
  • Points per game, luck removed0.4
  • Average placement2.45

Luckfurther right is luckier; values are differences from the league average (the dealer tsumo rate is the rate itself)

  • Points from luck (/game)+1.5
  • Draw luck-0.0%
  • Starting hand (shanten)+0.01
  • Dora and red fives dealt+0.02
  • Ura-dora luck-0.05
  • Ippatsu rate-0.1%
  • Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)-1.8%
  • Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate12.5%

Where the points came fromchange in expected points, all stages

  • Own wins+47.6
  • Deal-ins-17.9
  • Others' tsumo-25.3
  • Ron between others-1.6
  • Exhaustive draws-0.8
Change in expected points per game. Total +2.1pt/game (281 games).
As a table
Hand resultHandsTotalPer game
Own wins739+13382.1+47.6
Deal-ins333-5025.0-17.9
Others' tsumo958-7103.1-25.3
Ron between others729-456.8-1.6
Exhaustive draws708-213.7-0.8

Hand balance breakdownpoints won or lost per hand, all stages

CategoryFrequencyBalance per handLeague averageDifference
Wins with riichi10.3%+861+919-58
Wins with calls8.2%+452+382+69
Dama wins2.8%+168+173-5
Deal-ins to riichi4.4%-315-360+45
Deal-ins to open hands3.5%-181-203+22
Deal-ins to dama1.6%-92-101+9
Others' tsumo27.6%-787-752-34
Other (exhaustive draws, etc.)41.4%-78-60-18
Total (per hand)+28
Every career number (estimate, 90% interval, weight of the record)
Results
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Average placement2.432.45 (2.36 to 2.54)66%84281 games
Points per game2.11.4 (-2.2 to 5.1)67%80281 games
Points per game, luck removed0.60.4 (-2.8 to 3.7)74%56281 games
1st-place rate26.7%26.2% (22.6% to 29.7%)69%66281 games
4th-place rate21.7%22.7% (19.1% to 26.2%)70%92281 games
Style
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Win rate21.3%21.1% (20.1% to 22.1%)81%923,467 hands
Deal-in rate9.6%9.9% (9.1% to 10.7%)79%983,467 hands
Riichi rate20.8%21.1% (20.1% to 22.2%)82%133,467 hands
Call rate22.5%22.5% (21.3% to 23.6%)98%453,467 hands
First riichi rate78.2%77.3% (75.3% to 79.4%)61%88720 riichi
Average riichi turn9.059.11 (8.93 to 9.29)81%90720 riichi
Average win value6,1566,265 (6,028 to 6,502)75%3739 wins
Average deal-in value5,6725,651 (5,383 to 5,918)53%41333 deal-ins
Win efficiency1,4801,476 (1,412 to 1,540)29%563,467 hands
Deal-in loss568596 (547 to 645)60%963,467 hands
Net efficiency912884 (784 to 984)64%883,467 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)37.1%38.0% (35.1% to 40.9%)76%11590 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)20.8%21.3% (18.8% to 23.8%)89%13746 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call25.9%25.9% (23.4% to 28.4%)93%47779 first calls
Average win turn12.1512.35 (12.24 to 12.45)15%98739 wins
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws34.3%35.5% (32.8% to 38.2%)80%1708 exhaustive draws
Staying in vs riichi14.3%14.2% (13.2% to 15.1%)48%641,835 hands facing an opponent’s riichi
Tile efficiency match rate72.7%72.7% (72.2% to 73.3%)98%4718,224 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)1.051.05 (1.01 to 1.08)97%4517,449 discards
Breaking shape for value1.8%1.8% (1.6% to 1.9%)95%1918,224 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.118.15 (8.07 to 8.23)30%23708 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate71.8%71.7% (69.2% to 74.3%)86%49708 tenpai hands
Dama rate13.1%13.1% (11.2% to 15.1%)92%49739 wins
Riichi income2,7262,691 (2,334 to 3,048)66%66720 riichi
Riichi win rate49.6%48.9% (46.1% to 51.6%)80%94720 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A12.5%13.9% (12.6% to 15.2%)22%96720 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B9.6%10.4% (9.0% to 11.7%)44%92720 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate51.8%51.2% (48.6% to 53.8%)71%82720 riichi
Riichi exhaustive draw rate17.9%18.3% (16.2% to 20.3%)75%29720 riichi
Call income924734 (523 to 945)57%100779 calls
Win rate after calling36.6%34.9% (32.6% to 37.3%)75%100779 calls
Deal-in rate after calling11.7%11.6% (10.0% to 13.3%)75%47779 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
MetricActualPercentileCount
Starting hand (shanten)+0.01583,467 hands
Dora and red fives dealt+0.02843,467 hands
Draw luck-0.0%4342,457 tile draws
Ura-dora luck-0.059357 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate-0.1%49357 riichi wins
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)-1.8%29563 first riichi
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate12.5%39958 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)+1.584281 games

By seasonRegular Season

2026-27 (15 games · skill estimate 0.5pt/game)

Style

  • Average win value6,505
  • Riichi rate22.6%
  • Deal-in rate11.0%
  • Win rate20.6%
  • First riichi rate75.5%
  • Average riichi turn9.30
  • Call rate24.8%
  • Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws38.2%
  • Staying in vs riichi14.3%
  • Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)41.4%
  • Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)24.4%
  • Tile efficiency match rate71.4%
  • Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.17
  • Immediate riichi rate69.0%
  • Dama rate13.7%

Where the points came from

  • Own wins+46.5
  • Deal-ins-17.6
  • Others' tsumo-18.0
  • Ron between others-3.7
  • Exhaustive draws-2.1
Change in expected points per game. Total +5.2pt/game (15 games).
As a table
Hand resultHandsTotalPer game
Own wins42+697.6+46.5
Deal-ins21-263.7-17.6
Others' tsumo45-269.8-18.0
Ron between others33-55.1-3.7
Exhaustive draws40-31.5-2.1

Luck

  • Points from luck (/game)+11.1
  • Draw luck+0.5%
  • Starting hand (shanten)+0.05
  • Dora and red fives dealt+0.06
  • Ura-dora luck-0.26
  • Ippatsu rate+8.0%
  • Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)-10.4%
  • Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate15.6%
Every number for 2026-27
Results
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Average placement2.472.49 (2.28 to 2.71)9%5715 games
Points per game5.50.5 (-8.4 to 9.5)10%7315 games
Points per game, luck removed-5.6-0.7 (-9.1 to 7.7)13%3015 games
1st-place rate33.3%25.9% (17.1% to 34.7%)10%8015 games
4th-place rate26.7%25.1% (16.2% to 34.0%)11%4115 games
Style
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Win rate23.2%20.6% (17.8% to 23.4%)19%84181 hands
Deal-in rate11.6%11.0% (8.9% to 13.1%)16%33181 hands
Riichi rate22.1%22.6% (19.6% to 25.6%)20%36181 hands
Call rate25.4%24.8% (20.4% to 29.2%)73%57181 hands
First riichi rate70.0%75.5% (70.7% to 80.3%)8%2540 riichi
Average riichi turn9.139.30 (8.81 to 9.78)19%4940 riichi
Average win value6,0056,505 (5,893 to 7,117)14%2842 wins
Average deal-in value4,8625,575 (5,000 to 6,149)7%8421 deal-ins
Win efficiency1,6401,478 (1,370 to 1,586)2%79181 hands
Deal-in loss587635 (520 to 750)7%60181 hands
Net efficiency1,052853 (614 to 1,093)8%79181 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)45.8%41.4% (33.2% to 49.6%)12%6324 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)22.0%24.4% (17.2% to 31.7%)31%3341 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call17.4%22.1% (14.8% to 29.5%)43%2046 first calls
Average win turn12.1612.38 (12.23 to 12.53)1%6842 wins
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws30.0%38.2% (30.9% to 45.5%)18%1240 exhaustive draws
Staying in vs riichi20.2%14.3% (12.3% to 16.4%)4%9294 hands facing an opponent’s riichi
Tile efficiency match rate70.8%71.4% (69.3% to 73.4%)74%20936 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)1.101.08 (0.96 to 1.21)60%73883 discards
Breaking shape for value1.3%1.7% (1.1% to 2.2%)50%14936 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.288.17 (8.04 to 8.30)2%7636 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate60.7%69.0% (61.4% to 76.5%)24%136 tenpai hands
Dama rate14.3%13.7% (7.8% to 19.6%)40%7942 wins
Riichi income2,2682,588 (1,726 to 3,451)10%4440 riichi
Riichi win rate45.0%45.8% (38.4% to 53.3%)19%5940 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A12.5%14.3% (12.3% to 16.2%)2%6540 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B12.5%11.1% (8.4% to 13.8%)4%2940 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate37.5%48.3% (41.8% to 54.8%)12%640 riichi
Riichi exhaustive draw rate12.5%18.3% (12.9% to 23.7%)14%1640 riichi
Call income1,374550 (79.86 to 1,021)7%9246 calls
Win rate after calling39.1%31.2% (25.2% to 37.2%)15%8946 calls
Deal-in rate after calling10.9%11.4% (7.2% to 15.6%)15%4946 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
MetricActualPercentileCount
Starting hand (shanten)+0.0576181 hands
Dora and red fives dealt+0.0681181 hands
Draw luck+0.5%732,154 tile draws
Ura-dora luck-0.26118 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate+8.0%8718 riichi wins
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)-10.4%1228 first riichi
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate15.6%2545 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)+11.19215 games
Hand balance breakdown
CategoryFrequencyBalance per handLeague averageDifference
Wins with riichi9.9%+907+919-12
Wins with calls9.9%+571+382+188
Dama wins3.3%+162+173-10
Deal-ins to riichi6.1%-415-360-55
Deal-ins to open hands4.4%-141-203+62
Deal-ins to dama1.1%-59-101+42
Others' tsumo24.9%-641-752+112
Other (exhaustive draws, etc.)40.3%-122-60-62
Total (per hand)+262
2025-26 (39 games · skill estimate 0.7pt/game)

Style

  • Average win value6,480
  • Riichi rate20.8%
  • Deal-in rate9.8%
  • Win rate20.1%
  • First riichi rate76.9%
  • Average riichi turn9.17
  • Call rate24.2%
  • Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws35.1%
  • Staying in vs riichi13.4%
  • Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)39.8%
  • Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)24.3%
  • Tile efficiency match rate74.3%
  • Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.15
  • Immediate riichi rate69.6%
  • Dama rate9.0%

Where the points came from

  • Own wins+46.1
  • Deal-ins-12.6
  • Others' tsumo-26.4
  • Ron between others-1.0
  • Exhaustive draws-2.8
Change in expected points per game. Total +3.2pt/game (39 games).
As a table
Hand resultHandsTotalPer game
Own wins97+1797.9+46.1
Deal-ins36-492.4-12.6
Others' tsumo140-1030.3-26.4
Ron between others119-38.3-1.0
Exhaustive draws88-110.6-2.8

Luck

  • Points from luck (/game)-1.8
  • Draw luck-0.7%
  • Starting hand (shanten)-0.01
  • Dora and red fives dealt-0.02
  • Ura-dora luck+0.11
  • Ippatsu rate-2.0%
  • Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)+6.8%
  • Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate12.9%
Every number for 2025-26
Results
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Average placement2.362.47 (2.29 to 2.64)21%7739 games
Points per game3.20.7 (-6.4 to 7.8)22%7039 games
Points per game, luck removed5.01.4 (-5.0 to 7.8)28%8039 games
1st-place rate28.2%25.8% (18.8% to 32.7%)23%6239 games
4th-place rate15.4%22.6% (15.6% to 29.6%)24%9739 games
Style
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Win rate20.2%20.1% (18.0% to 22.1%)38%42480 hands
Deal-in rate7.5%9.8% (8.2% to 11.3%)34%100480 hands
Riichi rate17.9%20.8% (18.7% to 23.0%)39%1480 hands
Call rate24.4%24.2% (21.2% to 27.2%)88%39480 hands
First riichi rate81.4%76.9% (72.7% to 81.0%)16%9586 riichi
Average riichi turn8.859.17 (8.79 to 9.55)34%9286 riichi
Average win value6,2006,480 (6,001 to 6,960)28%2497 wins
Average deal-in value5,5565,618 (5,091 to 6,145)11%4436 deal-ins
Win efficiency1,3851,469 (1,370 to 1,569)5%26480 hands
Deal-in loss440605 (510 to 699)17%95480 hands
Net efficiency944856 (662 to 1,051)19%64480 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)37.8%39.8% (34.2% to 45.4%)33%2690 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)23.2%24.3% (18.9% to 29.7%)51%3195 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call19.7%21.7% (16.3% to 27.1%)65%31117 first calls
Average win turn12.1512.37 (12.23 to 12.52)2%6797 wins
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws25.0%35.1% (29.5% to 40.7%)33%188 exhaustive draws
Staying in vs riichi8.2%13.4% (11.7% to 15.2%)11%1255 hands facing an opponent’s riichi
Tile efficiency match rate74.5%74.3% (72.9% to 75.7%)88%542,358 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)0.890.93 (0.84 to 1.01)79%262,235 discards
Breaking shape for value1.1%1.4% (1.0% to 1.8%)71%12,358 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)7.898.15 (8.03 to 8.28)5%987 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate67.1%69.6% (64.1% to 75.2%)44%2487 tenpai hands
Dama rate6.2%9.0% (4.5% to 13.5%)61%1197 wins
Riichi income3,5342,794 (2,066 to 3,522)19%8286 riichi
Riichi win rate52.3%48.1% (42.3% to 53.9%)33%8786 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A7.0%14.1% (12.2% to 15.9%)3%10086 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B5.8%10.6% (8.1% to 13.1%)9%10086 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate44.2%48.5% (43.2% to 53.8%)22%2486 riichi
Riichi exhaustive draw rate18.6%19.1% (14.7% to 23.5%)26%6786 riichi
Call income1,208605 (211 to 999)16%100117 calls
Win rate after calling39.3%32.8% (28.3% to 37.3%)31%97117 calls
Deal-in rate after calling10.3%11.1% (8.0% to 14.3%)31%67117 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
MetricActualPercentileCount
Starting hand (shanten)-0.0137480 hands
Dora and red fives dealt-0.0247480 hands
Draw luck-0.7%115,714 tile draws
Ura-dora luck+0.117045 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate-2.0%4445 riichi wins
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)+6.8%9070 first riichi
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate12.9%37140 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)-1.82639 games
Hand balance breakdown
CategoryFrequencyBalance per handLeague averageDifference
Wins with riichi9.4%+828+919-91
Wins with calls9.6%+497+382+114
Dama wins1.3%+60+173-112
Deal-ins to riichi3.1%-228-360+132
Deal-ins to open hands4.2%-220-203-17
Deal-ins to dama0.2%-3-101+97
Others' tsumo29.2%-806-752-53
Other (exhaustive draws, etc.)43.1%-131-60-72
Total (per hand)-3
2024-25 (19 games · skill estimate -1.6pt/game)

Style

  • Average win value6,481
  • Riichi rate21.4%
  • Deal-in rate11.2%
  • Win rate18.9%
  • First riichi rate75.9%
  • Average riichi turn9.26
  • Call rate21.5%
  • Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws40.0%
  • Staying in vs riichi13.8%
  • Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)41.4%
  • Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)24.1%
  • Tile efficiency match rate74.1%
  • Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.17
  • Immediate riichi rate70.9%
  • Dama rate14.7%

Where the points came from

  • Own wins+33.5
  • Deal-ins-17.9
  • Others' tsumo-26.8
  • Ron between others-1.4
  • Exhaustive draws-0.7
Change in expected points per game. Total -13.4pt/game (19 games).
As a table
Hand resultHandsTotalPer game
Own wins35+635.7+33.5
Deal-ins29-340.0-17.9
Others' tsumo68-509.9-26.8
Ron between others50-26.1-1.4
Exhaustive draws50-13.6-0.7

Luck

  • Points from luck (/game)-3.7
  • Draw luck-1.2%
  • Starting hand (shanten)+0.04
  • Dora and red fives dealt+0.02
  • Ura-dora luck-0.07
  • Ippatsu rate-5.5%
  • Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)-14.6%
  • Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate13.2%
Every number for 2024-25
Results
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Average placement2.842.54 (2.33 to 2.75)12%2119 games
Points per game-12.8-1.6 (-10.1 to 7.0)12%1819 games
Points per game, luck removed-9.1-1.5 (-9.4 to 6.5)16%2619 games
1st-place rate21.1%24.5% (16.2% to 32.9%)13%3919 games
4th-place rate36.8%26.5% (18.0% to 35.0%)14%2119 games
Style
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Win rate15.1%18.9% (16.3% to 21.5%)23%4232 hands
Deal-in rate12.5%11.2% (9.3% to 13.2%)20%29232 hands
Riichi rate17.2%21.4% (18.7% to 24.2%)24%1232 hands
Call rate21.1%21.5% (17.5% to 25.5%)78%18232 hands
First riichi rate75.0%75.9% (71.1% to 80.8%)8%5840 riichi
Average riichi turn8.959.26 (8.78 to 9.75)19%7240 riichi
Average win value5,7066,481 (5,844 to 7,118)12%2635 wins
Average deal-in value4,2175,499 (4,952 to 6,047)9%9229 deal-ins
Win efficiency9671,461 (1,355 to 1,567)3%1232 hands
Deal-in loss554631 (521 to 742)9%63232 hands
Net efficiency413791 (561 to 1,021)10%21232 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)43.9%41.4% (34.2% to 48.6%)18%4641 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)21.8%24.1% (17.6% to 30.7%)38%2455 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call28.6%26.9% (19.7% to 34.2%)44%7749 first calls
Average win turn12.0512.38 (12.22 to 12.53)1%6335 wins
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws40.0%40.0% (33.2% to 46.8%)22%4150 exhaustive draws
Staying in vs riichi9.3%13.8% (11.8% to 15.7%)6%7129 hands facing an opponent’s riichi
Tile efficiency match rate74.4%74.1% (72.3% to 75.9%)79%461,288 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)0.900.95 (0.84 to 1.06)68%261,238 discards
Breaking shape for value2.0%2.0% (1.5% to 2.5%)57%431,288 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.308.17 (8.04 to 8.30)2%7740 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate68.8%70.9% (63.6% to 78.2%)26%3840 tenpai hands
Dama rate17.1%14.7% (8.4% to 21.0%)36%8635 wins
Riichi income2,0102,563 (1,701 to 3,426)10%3840 riichi
Riichi win rate35.0%44.0% (36.5% to 51.4%)19%1540 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A10.0%14.3% (12.3% to 16.2%)2%7540 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B5.0%10.8% (8.1% to 13.5%)4%8040 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate52.5%50.1% (43.6% to 56.5%)12%6640 riichi
Riichi exhaustive draw rate27.5%20.4% (15.0% to 25.9%)14%9240 riichi
Call income449484 (17.53 to 950)8%5549 calls
Win rate after calling30.6%29.9% (24.0% to 35.8%)16%4349 calls
Deal-in rate after calling20.4%12.9% (8.8% to 17.1%)16%749 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
MetricActualPercentileCount
Starting hand (shanten)+0.0486232 hands
Dora and red fives dealt+0.0289232 hands
Draw luck-1.2%72,902 tile draws
Ura-dora luck-0.073214 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate-5.5%2214 riichi wins
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)-14.6%130 first riichi
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate13.2%3268 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)-3.72119 games
Hand balance breakdown
CategoryFrequencyBalance per handLeague averageDifference
Wins with riichi6.0%+482+919-437
Wins with calls6.5%+376+382-6
Dama wins2.6%+109+173-64
Deal-ins to riichi4.7%-220-360+140
Deal-ins to open hands5.6%-281-203-77
Deal-ins to dama2.2%-62-101+38
Others' tsumo29.3%-789-752-37
Other (exhaustive draws, etc.)43.1%-37-60+23
Total (per hand)-422
2023-24 (22 games · skill estimate 0.2pt/game)

Style

  • Average win value6,554
  • Riichi rate22.4%
  • Deal-in rate10.4%
  • Win rate20.5%
  • First riichi rate76.6%
  • Average riichi turn9.27
  • Call rate21.4%
  • Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws37.2%
  • Staying in vs riichi14.1%
  • Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)39.5%
  • Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)22.5%
  • Tile efficiency match rate74.9%
  • Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.16
  • Immediate riichi rate68.7%
  • Dama rate10.8%

Where the points came from

  • Own wins+51.3
  • Deal-ins-22.5
  • Others' tsumo-24.3
  • Ron between others-3.2
  • Exhaustive draws-0.2
Change in expected points per game. Total +1.0pt/game (22 games).
As a table
Hand resultHandsTotalPer game
Own wins61+1127.7+51.3
Deal-ins24-495.3-22.5
Others' tsumo74-535.3-24.3
Ron between others66-71.4-3.2
Exhaustive draws51-3.4-0.2

Luck

  • Points from luck (/game)+1.9
  • Draw luck+0.0%
  • Starting hand (shanten)+0.07
  • Dora and red fives dealt+0.04
  • Ura-dora luck-0.03
  • Ippatsu rate-0.4%
  • Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)-8.0%
  • Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate10.8%
Every number for 2023-24
Results
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Average placement2.452.49 (2.29 to 2.69)13%6022 games
Points per game1.40.2 (-8.1 to 8.5)14%6622 games
Points per game, luck removed-0.5-0.1 (-7.8 to 7.6)18%4922 games
1st-place rate22.7%24.7% (16.6% to 32.8%)15%4522 games
4th-place rate22.7%24.6% (16.3% to 32.8%)15%6022 games
Style
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Win rate22.1%20.5% (18.1% to 23.0%)26%92276 hands
Deal-in rate8.7%10.4% (8.5% to 12.3%)23%83276 hands
Riichi rate21.4%22.4% (19.8% to 25.0%)27%29276 hands
Call rate21.0%21.4% (17.6% to 25.1%)81%38276 hands
First riichi rate81.4%76.6% (72.1% to 81.1%)12%8659 riichi
Average riichi turn9.079.27 (8.83 to 9.70)26%6359 riichi
Average win value6,4056,554 (5,997 to 7,110)20%4161 wins
Average deal-in value7,3675,757 (5,193 to 6,321)8%124 deal-ins
Win efficiency1,6131,478 (1,374 to 1,583)3%83276 hands
Deal-in loss663641 (534 to 749)11%49276 hands
Net efficiency949849 (627 to 1,071)12%75276 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)34.1%39.5% (32.4% to 46.6%)20%844 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)18.0%22.5% (16.2% to 28.8%)40%961 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call27.6%26.6% (19.8% to 33.4%)48%6658 first calls
Average win turn11.6812.37 (12.22 to 12.52)1%9261 wins
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws27.5%37.2% (30.5% to 44.0%)22%751 exhaustive draws
Staying in vs riichi14.1%14.1% (12.1% to 16.0%)7%55142 hands facing an opponent’s riichi
Tile efficiency match rate75.4%74.9% (73.2% to 76.7%)81%691,428 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)0.971.00 (0.89 to 1.10)70%381,378 discards
Breaking shape for value1.7%1.8% (1.3% to 2.3%)60%351,428 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)7.898.16 (8.03 to 8.29)3%957 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate63.1%68.7% (62.3% to 75.2%)34%757 tenpai hands
Dama rate8.2%10.8% (5.6% to 16.0%)50%2161 wins
Riichi income2,4222,595 (1,796 to 3,394)14%4159 riichi
Riichi win rate52.5%47.7% (41.0% to 54.3%)25%8359 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A15.3%14.3% (12.4% to 16.2%)2%4159 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B10.2%11.0% (8.4% to 13.6%)6%5859 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate54.2%50.5% (44.5% to 56.4%)16%6659 riichi
Riichi exhaustive draw rate8.5%17.1% (12.2% to 22.1%)20%459 riichi
Call income1,812604 (150 to 1,058)9%10058 calls
Win rate after calling43.1%32.3% (26.6% to 37.9%)18%10058 calls
Deal-in rate after calling6.9%10.7% (6.7% to 14.6%)18%9758 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
MetricActualPercentileCount
Starting hand (shanten)+0.0789276 hands
Dora and red fives dealt+0.0492276 hands
Draw luck+0.0%663,228 tile draws
Ura-dora luck-0.034331 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate-0.4%4931 riichi wins
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)-8.0%948 first riichi
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate10.8%5874 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)+1.96322 games
Hand balance breakdown
CategoryFrequencyBalance per handLeague averageDifference
Wins with riichi11.2%+932+919+13
Wins with calls9.1%+563+382+181
Dama wins1.8%+117+173-56
Deal-ins to riichi4.7%-418-360-58
Deal-ins to open hands2.9%-179-203+24
Deal-ins to dama1.1%-88-101+13
Others' tsumo26.8%-748-752+5
Other (exhaustive draws, etc.)42.4%-105-60-45
Total (per hand)+75
2022-23 (24 games · skill estimate -0.6pt/game)

Style

  • Average win value6,266
  • Riichi rate21.8%
  • Deal-in rate10.8%
  • Win rate20.6%
  • First riichi rate76.6%
  • Average riichi turn9.20
  • Call rate22.1%
  • Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws37.6%
  • Staying in vs riichi14.0%
  • Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)38.5%
  • Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)23.3%
  • Tile efficiency match rate71.4%
  • Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.15
  • Immediate riichi rate71.7%
  • Dama rate16.5%

Where the points came from

  • Own wins+41.7
  • Deal-ins-18.6
  • Others' tsumo-26.2
  • Ron between others-0.2
  • Exhaustive draws-0.7
Change in expected points per game. Total -4.1pt/game (24 games).
As a table
Hand resultHandsTotalPer game
Own wins67+1000.3+41.7
Deal-ins31-446.0-18.6
Others' tsumo95-628.8-26.2
Ron between others59-5.9-0.2
Exhaustive draws49-17.3-0.7

Luck

  • Points from luck (/game)-1.6
  • Draw luck-0.4%
  • Starting hand (shanten)+0.09
  • Dora and red fives dealt-0.01
  • Ura-dora luck-0.24
  • Ippatsu rate-7.2%
  • Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)+4.5%
  • Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate9.5%
Every number for 2022-23
Results
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Average placement2.502.50 (2.30 to 2.70)14%5424 games
Points per game-3.8-0.6 (-8.7 to 7.6)15%4324 games
Points per game, luck removed-2.2-0.4 (-7.9 to 7.1)20%3924 games
1st-place rate20.8%24.4% (16.4% to 32.4%)16%3524 games
4th-place rate20.8%24.2% (16.2% to 32.3%)17%7324 games
Style
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Win rate22.3%20.6% (18.2% to 23.0%)28%81301 hands
Deal-in rate10.3%10.8% (9.0% to 12.6%)24%49301 hands
Riichi rate19.6%21.8% (19.3% to 24.4%)29%11301 hands
Call rate21.9%22.1% (18.5% to 25.7%)82%52301 hands
First riichi rate81.4%76.6% (72.1% to 81.1%)12%8759 riichi
Average riichi turn8.809.20 (8.77 to 9.63)26%9059 riichi
Average win value5,0696,266 (5,725 to 6,808)21%167 wins
Average deal-in value5,3005,595 (5,053 to 6,136)10%7131 deal-ins
Win efficiency1,2921,468 (1,364 to 1,572)3%23301 hands
Deal-in loss578632 (526 to 737)12%58301 hands
Net efficiency715819 (601 to 1,038)13%27301 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)30.0%38.5% (31.7% to 45.3%)22%1450 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)20.3%23.3% (17.2% to 29.3%)43%1469 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call21.2%23.4% (16.8% to 29.9%)52%1466 first calls
Average win turn11.7512.37 (12.22 to 12.52)2%9767 wins
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws28.6%37.6% (30.7% to 44.4%)21%749 exhaustive draws
Staying in vs riichi13.8%14.0% (12.2% to 15.9%)7%58160 hands facing an opponent’s riichi
Tile efficiency match rate71.1%71.4% (69.7% to 73.1%)82%271,569 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)1.151.13 (1.03 to 1.23)72%781,498 discards
Breaking shape for value1.1%1.5% (1.0% to 1.9%)62%11,569 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)7.828.15 (8.03 to 8.28)4%763 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate71.8%71.7% (65.5% to 77.9%)36%5563 tenpai hands
Dama rate19.4%16.5% (11.4% to 21.6%)52%8467 wins
Riichi income2,6852,631 (1,832 to 3,430)14%4659 riichi
Riichi win rate54.2%48.1% (41.5% to 54.7%)25%9059 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A11.9%14.3% (12.4% to 16.2%)2%6559 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B10.2%11.0% (8.4% to 13.6%)6%3959 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate52.5%50.2% (44.3% to 56.1%)16%6859 riichi
Riichi exhaustive draw rate11.9%17.8% (12.9% to 22.7%)20%1159 riichi
Call income235461 (17.15 to 906)10%2366 calls
Win rate after calling33.3%30.5% (25.1% to 36.0%)21%6566 calls
Deal-in rate after calling16.7%12.6% (8.8% to 16.4%)20%1166 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
MetricActualPercentileCount
Starting hand (shanten)+0.0981301 hands
Dora and red fives dealt-0.0133301 hands
Draw luck-0.4%233,588 tile draws
Ura-dora luck-0.24732 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate-7.2%2032 riichi wins
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)+4.5%8148 first riichi
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate9.5%7195 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)-1.63324 games
Hand balance breakdown
CategoryFrequencyBalance per handLeague averageDifference
Wins with riichi10.6%+741+919-178
Wins with calls7.3%+381+382-2
Dama wins4.3%+170+173-2
Deal-ins to riichi4.3%-304-360+56
Deal-ins to open hands4.0%-214-203-11
Deal-ins to dama2.0%-80-101+21
Others' tsumo31.6%-851-752-99
Other (exhaustive draws, etc.)35.9%-81-60-22
Total (per hand)-238
2021-22 (25 games · skill estimate 1.5pt/game)

Style

  • Average win value6,500
  • Riichi rate22.1%
  • Deal-in rate9.9%
  • Win rate20.3%
  • First riichi rate76.7%
  • Average riichi turn9.38
  • Call rate21.8%
  • Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws40.7%
  • Staying in vs riichi14.2%
  • Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)35.9%
  • Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)20.4%
  • Tile efficiency match rate72.2%
  • Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.17
  • Immediate riichi rate72.0%
  • Dama rate12.2%

Where the points came from

  • Own wins+48.6
  • Deal-ins-11.2
  • Others' tsumo-27.7
  • Ron between others-0.9
  • Exhaustive draws+1.3
Change in expected points per game. Total +10.1pt/game (25 games).
As a table
Hand resultHandsTotalPer game
Own wins63+1215.3+48.6
Deal-ins20-280.5-11.2
Others' tsumo84-692.1-27.7
Ron between others62-21.4-0.9
Exhaustive draws68+32.2+1.3

Luck

  • Points from luck (/game)-1.2
  • Draw luck-0.5%
  • Starting hand (shanten)+0.07
  • Dora and red fives dealt-0.04
  • Ura-dora luck+0.00
  • Ippatsu rate+3.8%
  • Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)+7.3%
  • Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate17.9%
Every number for 2021-22
Results
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Average placement2.162.45 (2.25 to 2.64)15%9425 games
Points per game9.71.5 (-6.6 to 9.6)16%8425 games
Points per game, luck removed10.92.2 (-5.2 to 9.6)20%8725 games
1st-place rate24.0%24.9% (17.0% to 32.8%)16%4125 games
4th-place rate4.0%21.3% (13.3% to 29.3%)17%10025 games
Style
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Win rate21.2%20.3% (17.9% to 22.7%)27%65297 hands
Deal-in rate6.7%9.9% (8.1% to 11.7%)24%94297 hands
Riichi rate20.5%22.1% (19.6% to 24.7%)29%33297 hands
Call rate21.5%21.8% (18.2% to 25.4%)82%55297 hands
First riichi rate82.0%76.7% (72.2% to 81.2%)12%8161 riichi
Average riichi turn9.499.38 (8.95 to 9.80)26%5261 riichi
Average win value6,1436,500 (5,948 to 7,051)20%763 wins
Average deal-in value5,2455,602 (5,023 to 6,180)6%6220 deal-ins
Win efficiency1,4771,474 (1,370 to 1,578)3%52297 hands
Deal-in loss366608 (502 to 713)11%94297 hands
Net efficiency1,110871 (652 to 1,090)13%81297 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)18.9%35.9% (29.2% to 42.6%)23%153 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)12.3%20.4% (14.0% to 26.9%)39%157 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call32.8%29.3% (22.7% to 35.9%)51%7864 first calls
Average win turn12.3912.38 (12.23 to 12.53)2%6863 wins
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws42.6%40.7% (34.6% to 46.9%)27%6568 exhaustive draws
Staying in vs riichi15.4%14.2% (12.3% to 16.1%)7%81149 hands facing an opponent’s riichi
Tile efficiency match rate72.1%72.2% (70.6% to 73.8%)83%491,693 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)1.051.05 (0.95 to 1.15)73%431,634 discards
Breaking shape for value1.7%1.8% (1.3% to 2.2%)64%231,693 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.318.17 (8.04 to 8.30)4%5562 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate72.7%72.0% (65.8% to 78.3%)36%5862 tenpai hands
Dama rate11.1%12.2% (7.0% to 17.4%)50%2763 wins
Riichi income4,2332,850 (2,057 to 3,643)14%9061 riichi
Riichi win rate55.7%48.5% (42.0% to 55.1%)26%9061 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A4.9%14.1% (12.2% to 16.0%)2%10061 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B3.3%10.6% (8.0% to 13.1%)6%10061 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate57.4%51.0% (45.2% to 56.9%)17%9061 riichi
Riichi exhaustive draw rate23.0%20.0% (15.1% to 24.9%)20%6861 riichi
Call income903527 (80.26 to 974)10%8464 calls
Win rate after calling34.4%30.7% (25.2% to 36.2%)20%8164 calls
Deal-in rate after calling4.7%10.2% (6.3% to 14.0%)20%9764 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
MetricActualPercentileCount
Starting hand (shanten)+0.0787297 hands
Dora and red fives dealt-0.0414297 hands
Draw luck-0.5%333,767 tile draws
Ura-dora luck+0.005234 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate+3.8%7434 riichi wins
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)+7.3%9450 first riichi
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate17.9%484 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)-1.24625 games
Hand balance breakdown
CategoryFrequencyBalance per handLeague averageDifference
Wins with riichi11.4%+970+919+51
Wins with calls7.4%+333+382-49
Dama wins2.4%+173+173+0
Deal-ins to riichi1.7%-132-360+228
Deal-ins to open hands2.7%-87-203+116
Deal-ins to dama2.4%-154-101-53
Others' tsumo28.3%-832-752-80
Other (exhaustive draws, etc.)43.8%-12-60+48
Total (per hand)+260
2020-21 (25 games · skill estimate 1.5pt/game)

Style

  • Average win value6,637
  • Riichi rate22.1%
  • Deal-in rate10.2%
  • Win rate20.9%
  • First riichi rate76.0%
  • Average riichi turn9.20
  • Call rate22.5%
  • Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws37.1%
  • Staying in vs riichi14.1%
  • Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)41.1%
  • Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)25.0%
  • Tile efficiency match rate71.3%
  • Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.16
  • Immediate riichi rate71.2%
  • Dama rate14.2%

Where the points came from

  • Own wins+53.1
  • Deal-ins-13.4
  • Others' tsumo-27.1
  • Ron between others-1.6
  • Exhaustive draws-1.4
Change in expected points per game. Total +9.7pt/game (25 games).
As a table
Hand resultHandsTotalPer game
Own wins67+1327.0+53.1
Deal-ins23-334.6-13.4
Others' tsumo86-676.4-27.1
Ron between others58-39.7-1.6
Exhaustive draws52-34.1-1.4

Luck

  • Points from luck (/game)-1.3
  • Draw luck+0.5%
  • Starting hand (shanten)-0.02
  • Dora and red fives dealt+0.05
  • Ura-dora luck-0.03
  • Ippatsu rate+2.1%
  • Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)+0.4%
  • Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate10.5%
Every number for 2020-21
Results
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Average placement2.282.47 (2.27 to 2.66)15%8325 games
Points per game9.41.5 (-6.6 to 9.5)16%8325 games
Points per game, luck removed10.72.2 (-5.2 to 9.6)20%9725 games
1st-place rate28.0%25.5% (17.7% to 33.4%)16%6925 games
4th-place rate24.0%24.7% (16.8% to 32.7%)17%5225 games
Style
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Win rate23.4%20.9% (18.5% to 23.3%)27%90286 hands
Deal-in rate8.0%10.2% (8.4% to 12.1%)23%100286 hands
Riichi rate20.3%22.1% (19.5% to 24.6%)28%28286 hands
Call rate22.4%22.5% (18.8% to 26.2%)81%59286 hands
First riichi rate75.9%76.0% (71.5% to 80.5%)11%3558 riichi
Average riichi turn8.799.20 (8.76 to 9.63)25%9758 riichi
Average win value6,8076,637 (6,095 to 7,178)21%5667 wins
Average deal-in value5,0005,580 (5,013 to 6,148)7%7623 deal-ins
Win efficiency1,7731,484 (1,379 to 1,588)3%86286 hands
Deal-in loss427615 (509 to 722)11%100286 hands
Net efficiency1,346900 (679 to 1,120)13%93286 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)42.2%41.1% (34.1% to 48.2%)20%5445 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)24.3%25.0% (19.0% to 31.0%)44%5970 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call31.3%28.5% (21.9% to 35.1%)51%6964 first calls
Average win turn12.5012.38 (12.23 to 12.53)2%4967 wins
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws26.9%37.1% (30.3% to 43.8%)22%1552 exhaustive draws
Staying in vs riichi14.9%14.1% (12.2% to 16.0%)7%76154 hands facing an opponent’s riichi
Tile efficiency match rate70.9%71.3% (69.5% to 73.0%)82%321,494 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)1.221.17 (1.07 to 1.28)71%761,424 discards
Breaking shape for value1.8%1.9% (1.4% to 2.4%)61%281,494 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)7.928.16 (8.03 to 8.29)4%862 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate70.3%71.2% (64.9% to 77.4%)36%3962 tenpai hands
Dama rate14.9%14.2% (9.1% to 19.2%)52%5667 wins
Riichi income3,8692,791 (1,989 to 3,593)14%9058 riichi
Riichi win rate55.2%48.3% (41.6% to 54.9%)25%8658 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A13.8%14.3% (12.4% to 16.2%)2%7658 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B12.1%11.1% (8.5% to 13.7%)6%4558 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate65.5%52.3% (46.3% to 58.3%)16%10058 riichi
Riichi exhaustive draw rate13.8%18.2% (13.3% to 23.1%)19%1558 riichi
Call income711508 (61.60 to 955)10%6264 calls
Win rate after calling39.1%31.7% (26.2% to 37.2%)20%9364 calls
Deal-in rate after calling15.6%12.3% (8.5% to 16.2%)20%464 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
MetricActualPercentileCount
Starting hand (shanten)-0.0228286 hands
Dora and red fives dealt+0.0588286 hands
Draw luck+0.5%863,504 tile draws
Ura-dora luck-0.035232 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate+2.1%6632 riichi wins
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)+0.4%2844 first riichi
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate10.5%6686 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)-1.33925 games
Hand balance breakdown
CategoryFrequencyBalance per handLeague averageDifference
Wins with riichi11.2%+1,051+919+132
Wins with calls8.7%+499+382+116
Dama wins3.5%+223+173+50
Deal-ins to riichi4.5%-287-360+73
Deal-ins to open hands2.8%-147-203+57
Deal-ins to dama0.7%-18-101+83
Others' tsumo30.1%-865-752-113
Other (exhaustive draws, etc.)38.5%-84-60-24
Total (per hand)+372
2019-20 (27 games · skill estimate 1.3pt/game)

Style

  • Average win value6,519
  • Riichi rate22.4%
  • Deal-in rate10.4%
  • Win rate21.0%
  • First riichi rate76.5%
  • Average riichi turn9.24
  • Call rate22.7%
  • Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws39.5%
  • Staying in vs riichi14.6%
  • Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)40.0%
  • Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)22.8%
  • Tile efficiency match rate73.4%
  • Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.17
  • Immediate riichi rate71.3%
  • Dama rate15.0%

Where the points came from

  • Own wins+53.2
  • Deal-ins-17.3
  • Others' tsumo-23.4
  • Ron between others-4.4
  • Exhaustive draws-0.4
Change in expected points per game. Total +7.7pt/game (27 games).
As a table
Hand resultHandsTotalPer game
Own wins80+1435.4+53.2
Deal-ins30-466.8-17.3
Others' tsumo87-631.7-23.4
Ron between others75-118.9-4.4
Exhaustive draws68-10.5-0.4

Luck

  • Points from luck (/game)+8.2
  • Draw luck+0.8%
  • Starting hand (shanten)-0.09
  • Dora and red fives dealt+0.05
  • Ura-dora luck+0.05
  • Ippatsu rate+3.1%
  • Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)-1.8%
  • Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate11.5%
Every number for 2019-20
Results
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Average placement2.332.47 (2.28 to 2.66)16%7927 games
Points per game7.81.3 (-6.6 to 9.2)17%8227 games
Points per game, luck removed-0.3-0.1 (-7.3 to 7.2)22%6127 games
1st-place rate29.6%25.9% (18.1% to 33.6%)17%7527 games
4th-place rate18.5%23.7% (15.9% to 31.6%)18%8427 games
Style
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Win rate23.5%21.0% (18.8% to 23.3%)30%96340 hands
Deal-in rate8.8%10.4% (8.6% to 12.1%)27%89340 hands
Riichi rate21.8%22.4% (20.0% to 24.9%)32%54340 hands
Call rate22.6%22.7% (19.3% to 26.1%)84%72340 hands
First riichi rate79.7%76.5% (72.2% to 80.8%)14%5674 riichi
Average riichi turn9.039.24 (8.84 to 9.64)30%7974 riichi
Average win value6,2986,519 (6,007 to 7,031)24%2280 wins
Average deal-in value6,0435,664 (5,120 to 6,209)9%4730 deal-ins
Win efficiency1,6641,481 (1,379 to 1,584)4%82340 hands
Deal-in loss551627 (525 to 730)13%79340 hands
Net efficiency1,114876 (664 to 1,088)15%86340 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)37.0%40.0% (33.3% to 46.6%)23%2654 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)19.4%22.8% (16.9% to 28.8%)44%1972 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call35.1%30.9% (24.7% to 37.1%)56%7277 first calls
Average win turn12.4512.38 (12.23 to 12.53)2%4080 wins
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws38.2%39.5% (33.4% to 45.7%)27%4068 exhaustive draws
Staying in vs riichi21.2%14.6% (12.7% to 16.5%)8%93170 hands facing an opponent’s riichi
Tile efficiency match rate73.5%73.4% (71.8% to 75.0%)84%861,740 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)1.111.10 (1.00 to 1.20)74%541,666 discards
Breaking shape for value1.9%1.9% (1.5% to 2.4%)65%361,740 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.158.17 (8.04 to 8.29)4%5476 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate70.8%71.3% (65.5% to 77.1%)41%4776 tenpai hands
Dama rate16.3%15.0% (10.2% to 19.8%)56%5880 wins
Riichi income2,6992,636 (1,878 to 3,393)17%6174 riichi
Riichi win rate47.3%46.4% (40.3% to 52.5%)30%5874 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A13.5%14.3% (12.4% to 16.2%)3%6174 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B10.8%11.0% (8.5% to 13.5%)8%5474 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate52.7%50.3% (44.7% to 55.9%)20%6574 riichi
Riichi exhaustive draw rate14.9%18.2% (13.6% to 22.8%)23%1574 riichi
Call income1,370588 (156 to 1,020)11%9677 calls
Win rate after calling41.6%32.5% (27.3% to 37.7%)23%10077 calls
Deal-in rate after calling6.5%10.4% (6.7% to 14.0%)23%9677 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
MetricActualPercentileCount
Starting hand (shanten)-0.0915340 hands
Dora and red fives dealt+0.0579340 hands
Draw luck+0.8%964,169 tile draws
Ura-dora luck+0.055035 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate+3.1%6535 riichi wins
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)-1.8%2959 first riichi
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate11.5%5887 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)+8.29327 games
Hand balance breakdown
CategoryFrequencyBalance per handLeague averageDifference
Wins with riichi10.3%+1,006+919+87
Wins with calls9.4%+439+382+56
Dama wins3.8%+220+173+47
Deal-ins to riichi5.3%-349-360+11
Deal-ins to open hands0.9%-38-203+165
Deal-ins to dama2.6%-188-101-87
Others' tsumo25.6%-737-752+15
Other (exhaustive draws, etc.)42.1%-69-60-9
Total (per hand)+284
2018-19 (27 games · skill estimate 2.9pt/game)

Style

  • Average win value6,453
  • Riichi rate22.2%
  • Deal-in rate10.5%
  • Win rate21.8%
  • First riichi rate76.2%
  • Average riichi turn9.31
  • Call rate23.7%
  • Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws40.1%
  • Staying in vs riichi14.5%
  • Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)39.8%
  • Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)21.5%
  • Tile efficiency match rate71.5%
  • Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.18
  • Immediate riichi rate72.5%
  • Dama rate16.7%

Where the points came from

  • Own wins+58.7
  • Deal-ins-17.0
  • Others' tsumo-22.9
  • Ron between others-2.0
  • Exhaustive draws+1.1
Change in expected points per game. Total +17.9pt/game (27 games).
As a table
Hand resultHandsTotalPer game
Own wins89+1584.8+58.7
Deal-ins32-459.3-17.0
Others' tsumo89-617.7-22.9
Ron between others62-55.1-2.0
Exhaustive draws72+30.1+1.1

Luck

  • Points from luck (/game)+12.3
  • Draw luck-0.1%
  • Starting hand (shanten)-0.02
  • Dora and red fives dealt+0.04
  • Ura-dora luck-0.09
  • Ippatsu rate-5.1%
  • Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)-8.6%
  • Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate10.1%
Every number for 2018-19
Results
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Average placement2.072.43 (2.24 to 2.62)16%10027 games
Points per game17.62.9 (-5.0 to 10.8)17%10027 games
Points per game, luck removed5.31.1 (-6.1 to 8.4)22%8027 games
1st-place rate40.7%27.8% (20.1% to 35.5%)17%10027 games
4th-place rate14.8%23.1% (15.2% to 30.9%)18%9027 games
Style
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Win rate25.9%21.8% (19.5% to 24.0%)30%100344 hands
Deal-in rate9.3%10.5% (8.7% to 12.2%)27%85344 hands
Riichi rate20.9%22.2% (19.8% to 24.6%)32%36344 hands
Call rate23.8%23.7% (20.3% to 27.1%)84%65344 hands
First riichi rate77.8%76.2% (71.9% to 80.6%)14%5072 riichi
Average riichi turn9.269.31 (8.91 to 9.72)30%8572 riichi
Average win value6,0716,453 (5,959 to 6,947)26%1689 wins
Average deal-in value5,5885,622 (5,083 to 6,161)10%6032 deal-ins
Win efficiency1,7881,486 (1,383 to 1,589)4%100344 hands
Deal-in loss542626 (524 to 729)13%85344 hands
Net efficiency1,245896 (684 to 1,108)15%100344 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)36.4%39.8% (33.2% to 46.4%)23%3355 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)17.1%21.5% (15.8% to 27.2%)48%682 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call31.7%29.1% (23.0% to 35.2%)57%8082 first calls
Average win turn11.8812.37 (12.22 to 12.51)2%9589 wins
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws40.3%40.1% (34.1% to 46.2%)29%6072 exhaustive draws
Staying in vs riichi19.3%14.5% (12.7% to 16.4%)8%100187 hands facing an opponent’s riichi
Tile efficiency match rate71.2%71.5% (69.9% to 73.0%)84%311,777 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)1.201.17 (1.07 to 1.26)74%801,708 discards
Breaking shape for value1.7%1.8% (1.4% to 2.3%)65%311,777 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.558.18 (8.06 to 8.31)4%9577 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate73.7%72.5% (66.7% to 78.3%)41%6077 tenpai hands
Dama rate19.1%16.7% (12.1% to 21.4%)59%8089 wins
Riichi income2,8612,662 (1,899 to 3,424)16%5072 riichi
Riichi win rate56.9%49.2% (43.0% to 55.4%)29%10072 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A12.5%14.3% (12.4% to 16.2%)3%5372 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B9.7%10.9% (8.4% to 13.5%)7%7072 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate45.8%49.0% (43.4% to 54.6%)19%3172 riichi
Riichi exhaustive draw rate16.7%18.7% (14.0% to 23.3%)23%4172 riichi
Call income1,182571 (144 to 997)12%9582 calls
Win rate after calling37.8%31.7% (26.6% to 36.9%)24%10082 calls
Deal-in rate after calling11.0%11.4% (7.8% to 14.9%)24%5582 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
MetricActualPercentileCount
Starting hand (shanten)-0.0265344 hands
Dora and red fives dealt+0.0495344 hands
Draw luck-0.1%414,290 tile draws
Ura-dora luck-0.091641 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate-5.1%2141 riichi wins
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)-8.6%656 first riichi
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate10.1%6589 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)+12.310027 games
Hand balance breakdown
CategoryFrequencyBalance per handLeague averageDifference
Wins with riichi11.9%+939+919+20
Wins with calls9.0%+497+382+115
Dama wins4.9%+351+173+179
Deal-ins to riichi4.1%-337-360+23
Deal-ins to open hands2.9%-78-203+125
Deal-ins to dama2.3%-148-101-47
Others' tsumo25.9%-715-752+37
Other (exhaustive draws, etc.)39.0%-41-60+19
Total (per hand)+469

Columns about this player

Players with a similar styleclosest career style metrics first

  1. Hiroshi DaigoSEGA SAMMY PhoenixIn common: Often noten at exhaustive draws, Early riichi, High win rate
  2. Sho ShiratoriShibuya ABEMASIn common: Riichis rarely, Smaller hands, First riichi often
  3. Genta TakeuchiSEGA SAMMY PhoenixIn common: Few deal-ins, Early riichi, Riichis rarely

* Twelve style metrics, including call rate, riichi rate, win rate, deal-in rate, hand value, riichi speed and immediate riichi rate, are put on the same scale and compared; the players closest overall are listed. Metrics supported more strongly by the data receive more weight. The comparison shows how similar the players' styles are, not which is better. Differences are often small, so the order may change.