Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.
Player · 281 career games · 2018-19–2026-27
Takaharu Ooi
Riichis fairly rarely. Stands out for being noten at draws, few deal-ins and smaller wins. Career record: +2.1pt per game, but allowing for luck the difference from average is not clear yet.
Few deal-ins
Early riichi
First riichi often
Actual / game
+2.1
281 career games
Skill estimate / game
+1.4
90% interval -2.2 to +5.1
Estimate, luck removed
+0.4
adjusted for starting hands, draws, ura-dora
Weight of the record
67%
share of the estimate from the record
Styleleague percentile, career
Average win value36,265
Riichi rate1321.1%
Deal-in rate989.9%
Win rate9221.1%
First riichi rate8877.3%
Average riichi turn909.11
Call rate4522.5%
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws135.5%
Staying in vs riichi6414.2%
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)1138.0%
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)1321.3%
Tile efficiency match rate4772.7%
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)238.15
Immediate riichi rate4971.7%
Dama rate4913.1%
Color only for metrics with a good side (red = good, blue = bad). Metrics of style, such as riichi rate, call rate and tile efficiency match rate, are gray. For tenpai turn, further right means later (a larger turn number). Values are estimates.
Placements281 career games, average placement 2.43
Average placement2.43
1st26.7%75×
2nd25.6%72×
3rd26.0%73×
4th21.7%61×
Riichi and callsbalance and outcome of hands with riichi or calls
Riichi income662,691
Riichi win rate9448.9%
Riichi deal-in rate A9613.9%
Riichi deal-in rate B9210.4%
Riichi good-wait rate8251.2%
Riichi exhaustive draw rate2918.3%
Call income100734
Win rate after calling10034.9%
Deal-in rate after calling4711.6%
Tenpai rate after the first call4725.9%
Income is the average points won or lost in those hands (riichi sticks and honba included).
Net efficiency and morecalculated as on Mahjong Soul Paifuya, per hand
Net efficiency88884
Deal-in loss96596
Average win turn9812.35
Deal-in loss = deal-in rate × average deal-in; net efficiency = win rate × average win − deal-in loss. Win and deal-in values include honba and riichi sticks. Win turn is the number of tiles discarded at the table when the win came ÷ 4 + 1. Win efficiency (win rate × average win) is not shown: players with a high win rate win smaller hands, the two cancel out, and differences between players cannot be told apart from chance.
Skill estimateleague percentile of the estimates
Points per game801.4
Points per game, luck removed560.4
Average placement842.45
Luckfurther right is luckier; values are differences from the league average (the dealer tsumo rate is the rate itself)
Points from luck (/game)84+1.5
Draw luck43-0.0%
Starting hand (shanten)58+0.01
Dora and red fives dealt84+0.02
Ura-dora luck9-0.05
Ippatsu rate49-0.1%
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)29-1.8%
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate3912.5%
Where the points came fromchange in expected points, all stages
Own wins+47.6
Deal-ins-17.9
Others' tsumo-25.3
Ron between others-1.6
Exhaustive draws-0.8
Change in expected points per game. Total +2.1pt/game (281 games).As a table
Hand result
Hands
Total
Per game
Own wins
739
+13382.1
+47.6
Deal-ins
333
-5025.0
-17.9
Others' tsumo
958
-7103.1
-25.3
Ron between others
729
-456.8
-1.6
Exhaustive draws
708
-213.7
-0.8
Hand balance breakdownpoints won or lost per hand, all stages
Category
Frequency
Balance per hand
League average
Difference
Wins with riichi
10.3%
+861
+919
-58
Wins with calls
8.2%
+452
+382
+69
Dama wins
2.8%
+168
+173
-5
Deal-ins to riichi
4.4%
-315
-360
+45
Deal-ins to open hands
3.5%
-181
-203
+22
Deal-ins to dama
1.6%
-92
-101
+9
Others' tsumo
27.6%
-787
-752
-34
Other (exhaustive draws, etc.)
41.4%
-78
-60
-18
Total (per hand)
+28
Every career number (estimate, 90% interval, weight of the record)
Results
Metric
Actual
Estimate (90% interval)
Weight of the record
Percentile
Count
Average placement
2.43
2.45 (2.36 to 2.54)
66%
84
281 games
Points per game
2.1
1.4 (-2.2 to 5.1)
67%
80
281 games
Points per game, luck removed
0.6
0.4 (-2.8 to 3.7)
74%
56
281 games
1st-place rate
26.7%
26.2% (22.6% to 29.7%)
69%
66
281 games
4th-place rate
21.7%
22.7% (19.1% to 26.2%)
70%
92
281 games
Style
Metric
Actual
Estimate (90% interval)
Weight of the record
Percentile
Count
Win rate
21.3%
21.1% (20.1% to 22.1%)
81%
92
3,467 hands
Deal-in rate
9.6%
9.9% (9.1% to 10.7%)
79%
98
3,467 hands
Riichi rate
20.8%
21.1% (20.1% to 22.2%)
82%
13
3,467 hands
Call rate
22.5%
22.5% (21.3% to 23.6%)
98%
45
3,467 hands
First riichi rate
78.2%
77.3% (75.3% to 79.4%)
61%
88
720 riichi
Average riichi turn
9.05
9.11 (8.93 to 9.29)
81%
90
720 riichi
Average win value
6,156
6,265 (6,028 to 6,502)
75%
3
739 wins
Average deal-in value
5,672
5,651 (5,383 to 5,918)
53%
41
333 deal-ins
Win efficiency
1,480
1,476 (1,412 to 1,540)
29%
56
3,467 hands
Deal-in loss
568
596 (547 to 645)
60%
96
3,467 hands
Net efficiency
912
884 (784 to 984)
64%
88
3,467 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)
37.1%
38.0% (35.1% to 40.9%)
76%
11
590 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)
20.8%
21.3% (18.8% to 23.8%)
89%
13
746 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call
25.9%
25.9% (23.4% to 28.4%)
93%
47
779 first calls
Average win turn
12.15
12.35 (12.24 to 12.45)
15%
98
739 wins
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws
34.3%
35.5% (32.8% to 38.2%)
80%
1
708 exhaustive draws
Staying in vs riichi
14.3%
14.2% (13.2% to 15.1%)
48%
64
1,835 hands facing an opponent’s riichi
Tile efficiency match rate
72.7%
72.7% (72.2% to 73.3%)
98%
47
18,224 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)
1.05
1.05 (1.01 to 1.08)
97%
45
17,449 discards
Breaking shape for value
1.8%
1.8% (1.6% to 1.9%)
95%
19
18,224 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)
8.11
8.15 (8.07 to 8.23)
30%
23
708 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate
71.8%
71.7% (69.2% to 74.3%)
86%
49
708 tenpai hands
Dama rate
13.1%
13.1% (11.2% to 15.1%)
92%
49
739 wins
Riichi income
2,726
2,691 (2,334 to 3,048)
66%
66
720 riichi
Riichi win rate
49.6%
48.9% (46.1% to 51.6%)
80%
94
720 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A
12.5%
13.9% (12.6% to 15.2%)
22%
96
720 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B
9.6%
10.4% (9.0% to 11.7%)
44%
92
720 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate
51.8%
51.2% (48.6% to 53.8%)
71%
82
720 riichi
Riichi exhaustive draw rate
17.9%
18.3% (16.2% to 20.3%)
75%
29
720 riichi
Call income
924
734 (523 to 945)
57%
100
779 calls
Win rate after calling
36.6%
34.9% (32.6% to 37.3%)
75%
100
779 calls
Deal-in rate after calling
11.7%
11.6% (10.0% to 13.3%)
75%
47
779 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
Metric
Actual
Percentile
Count
Starting hand (shanten)
+0.01
58
3,467 hands
Dora and red fives dealt
+0.02
84
3,467 hands
Draw luck
-0.0%
43
42,457 tile draws
Ura-dora luck
-0.05
9
357 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate
-0.1%
49
357 riichi wins
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)
-1.8%
29
563 first riichi
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate
12.5%
39
958 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)
+1.5
84
281 games
By seasonRegular Season
2026-27 (15 games · skill estimate 0.5pt/game)
Style
Average win value286,505
Riichi rate3622.6%
Deal-in rate3311.0%
Win rate8420.6%
First riichi rate2575.5%
Average riichi turn499.30
Call rate5724.8%
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws1238.2%
Staying in vs riichi9214.3%
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)6341.4%
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)3324.4%
Tile efficiency match rate2071.4%
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)768.17
Immediate riichi rate169.0%
Dama rate7913.7%
Where the points came from
Own wins+46.5
Deal-ins-17.6
Others' tsumo-18.0
Ron between others-3.7
Exhaustive draws-2.1
Change in expected points per game. Total +5.2pt/game (15 games).As a table
Hand result
Hands
Total
Per game
Own wins
42
+697.6
+46.5
Deal-ins
21
-263.7
-17.6
Others' tsumo
45
-269.8
-18.0
Ron between others
33
-55.1
-3.7
Exhaustive draws
40
-31.5
-2.1
Luck
Points from luck (/game)92+11.1
Draw luck73+0.5%
Starting hand (shanten)76+0.05
Dora and red fives dealt81+0.06
Ura-dora luck1-0.26
Ippatsu rate87+8.0%
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)12-10.4%
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate2515.6%
Every number for 2026-27
Results
Metric
Actual
Estimate (90% interval)
Weight of the record
Percentile
Count
Average placement
2.47
2.49 (2.28 to 2.71)
9%
57
15 games
Points per game
5.5
0.5 (-8.4 to 9.5)
10%
73
15 games
Points per game, luck removed
-5.6
-0.7 (-9.1 to 7.7)
13%
30
15 games
1st-place rate
33.3%
25.9% (17.1% to 34.7%)
10%
80
15 games
4th-place rate
26.7%
25.1% (16.2% to 34.0%)
11%
41
15 games
Style
Metric
Actual
Estimate (90% interval)
Weight of the record
Percentile
Count
Win rate
23.2%
20.6% (17.8% to 23.4%)
19%
84
181 hands
Deal-in rate
11.6%
11.0% (8.9% to 13.1%)
16%
33
181 hands
Riichi rate
22.1%
22.6% (19.6% to 25.6%)
20%
36
181 hands
Call rate
25.4%
24.8% (20.4% to 29.2%)
73%
57
181 hands
First riichi rate
70.0%
75.5% (70.7% to 80.3%)
8%
25
40 riichi
Average riichi turn
9.13
9.30 (8.81 to 9.78)
19%
49
40 riichi
Average win value
6,005
6,505 (5,893 to 7,117)
14%
28
42 wins
Average deal-in value
4,862
5,575 (5,000 to 6,149)
7%
84
21 deal-ins
Win efficiency
1,640
1,478 (1,370 to 1,586)
2%
79
181 hands
Deal-in loss
587
635 (520 to 750)
7%
60
181 hands
Net efficiency
1,052
853 (614 to 1,093)
8%
79
181 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)
45.8%
41.4% (33.2% to 49.6%)
12%
63
24 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)
22.0%
24.4% (17.2% to 31.7%)
31%
33
41 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call
17.4%
22.1% (14.8% to 29.5%)
43%
20
46 first calls
Average win turn
12.16
12.38 (12.23 to 12.53)
1%
68
42 wins
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws
30.0%
38.2% (30.9% to 45.5%)
18%
12
40 exhaustive draws
Staying in vs riichi
20.2%
14.3% (12.3% to 16.4%)
4%
92
94 hands facing an opponent’s riichi
Tile efficiency match rate
70.8%
71.4% (69.3% to 73.4%)
74%
20
936 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)
1.10
1.08 (0.96 to 1.21)
60%
73
883 discards
Breaking shape for value
1.3%
1.7% (1.1% to 2.2%)
50%
14
936 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)
8.28
8.17 (8.04 to 8.30)
2%
76
36 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate
60.7%
69.0% (61.4% to 76.5%)
24%
1
36 tenpai hands
Dama rate
14.3%
13.7% (7.8% to 19.6%)
40%
79
42 wins
Riichi income
2,268
2,588 (1,726 to 3,451)
10%
44
40 riichi
Riichi win rate
45.0%
45.8% (38.4% to 53.3%)
19%
59
40 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A
12.5%
14.3% (12.3% to 16.2%)
2%
65
40 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B
12.5%
11.1% (8.4% to 13.8%)
4%
29
40 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate
37.5%
48.3% (41.8% to 54.8%)
12%
6
40 riichi
Riichi exhaustive draw rate
12.5%
18.3% (12.9% to 23.7%)
14%
16
40 riichi
Call income
1,374
550 (79.86 to 1,021)
7%
92
46 calls
Win rate after calling
39.1%
31.2% (25.2% to 37.2%)
15%
89
46 calls
Deal-in rate after calling
10.9%
11.4% (7.2% to 15.6%)
15%
49
46 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
Metric
Actual
Percentile
Count
Starting hand (shanten)
+0.05
76
181 hands
Dora and red fives dealt
+0.06
81
181 hands
Draw luck
+0.5%
73
2,154 tile draws
Ura-dora luck
-0.26
1
18 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate
+8.0%
87
18 riichi wins
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)
-10.4%
12
28 first riichi
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate
15.6%
25
45 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)
+11.1
92
15 games
Hand balance breakdown
Category
Frequency
Balance per hand
League average
Difference
Wins with riichi
9.9%
+907
+919
-12
Wins with calls
9.9%
+571
+382
+188
Dama wins
3.3%
+162
+173
-10
Deal-ins to riichi
6.1%
-415
-360
-55
Deal-ins to open hands
4.4%
-141
-203
+62
Deal-ins to dama
1.1%
-59
-101
+42
Others' tsumo
24.9%
-641
-752
+112
Other (exhaustive draws, etc.)
40.3%
-122
-60
-62
Total (per hand)
+262
2025-26 (39 games · skill estimate 0.7pt/game)
Style
Average win value246,480
Riichi rate120.8%
Deal-in rate1009.8%
Win rate4220.1%
First riichi rate9576.9%
Average riichi turn929.17
Call rate3924.2%
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws135.1%
Staying in vs riichi113.4%
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)2639.8%
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)3124.3%
Tile efficiency match rate5474.3%
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)98.15
Immediate riichi rate2469.6%
Dama rate119.0%
Where the points came from
Own wins+46.1
Deal-ins-12.6
Others' tsumo-26.4
Ron between others-1.0
Exhaustive draws-2.8
Change in expected points per game. Total +3.2pt/game (39 games).As a table
Hand result
Hands
Total
Per game
Own wins
97
+1797.9
+46.1
Deal-ins
36
-492.4
-12.6
Others' tsumo
140
-1030.3
-26.4
Ron between others
119
-38.3
-1.0
Exhaustive draws
88
-110.6
-2.8
Luck
Points from luck (/game)26-1.8
Draw luck11-0.7%
Starting hand (shanten)37-0.01
Dora and red fives dealt47-0.02
Ura-dora luck70+0.11
Ippatsu rate44-2.0%
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)90+6.8%
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate3712.9%
Every number for 2025-26
Results
Metric
Actual
Estimate (90% interval)
Weight of the record
Percentile
Count
Average placement
2.36
2.47 (2.29 to 2.64)
21%
77
39 games
Points per game
3.2
0.7 (-6.4 to 7.8)
22%
70
39 games
Points per game, luck removed
5.0
1.4 (-5.0 to 7.8)
28%
80
39 games
1st-place rate
28.2%
25.8% (18.8% to 32.7%)
23%
62
39 games
4th-place rate
15.4%
22.6% (15.6% to 29.6%)
24%
97
39 games
Style
Metric
Actual
Estimate (90% interval)
Weight of the record
Percentile
Count
Win rate
20.2%
20.1% (18.0% to 22.1%)
38%
42
480 hands
Deal-in rate
7.5%
9.8% (8.2% to 11.3%)
34%
100
480 hands
Riichi rate
17.9%
20.8% (18.7% to 23.0%)
39%
1
480 hands
Call rate
24.4%
24.2% (21.2% to 27.2%)
88%
39
480 hands
First riichi rate
81.4%
76.9% (72.7% to 81.0%)
16%
95
86 riichi
Average riichi turn
8.85
9.17 (8.79 to 9.55)
34%
92
86 riichi
Average win value
6,200
6,480 (6,001 to 6,960)
28%
24
97 wins
Average deal-in value
5,556
5,618 (5,091 to 6,145)
11%
44
36 deal-ins
Win efficiency
1,385
1,469 (1,370 to 1,569)
5%
26
480 hands
Deal-in loss
440
605 (510 to 699)
17%
95
480 hands
Net efficiency
944
856 (662 to 1,051)
19%
64
480 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)
37.8%
39.8% (34.2% to 45.4%)
33%
26
90 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)
23.2%
24.3% (18.9% to 29.7%)
51%
31
95 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call
19.7%
21.7% (16.3% to 27.1%)
65%
31
117 first calls
Average win turn
12.15
12.37 (12.23 to 12.52)
2%
67
97 wins
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws
25.0%
35.1% (29.5% to 40.7%)
33%
1
88 exhaustive draws
Staying in vs riichi
8.2%
13.4% (11.7% to 15.2%)
11%
1
255 hands facing an opponent’s riichi
Tile efficiency match rate
74.5%
74.3% (72.9% to 75.7%)
88%
54
2,358 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)
0.89
0.93 (0.84 to 1.01)
79%
26
2,235 discards
Breaking shape for value
1.1%
1.4% (1.0% to 1.8%)
71%
1
2,358 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)
7.89
8.15 (8.03 to 8.28)
5%
9
87 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate
67.1%
69.6% (64.1% to 75.2%)
44%
24
87 tenpai hands
Dama rate
6.2%
9.0% (4.5% to 13.5%)
61%
11
97 wins
Riichi income
3,534
2,794 (2,066 to 3,522)
19%
82
86 riichi
Riichi win rate
52.3%
48.1% (42.3% to 53.9%)
33%
87
86 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A
7.0%
14.1% (12.2% to 15.9%)
3%
100
86 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B
5.8%
10.6% (8.1% to 13.1%)
9%
100
86 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate
44.2%
48.5% (43.2% to 53.8%)
22%
24
86 riichi
Riichi exhaustive draw rate
18.6%
19.1% (14.7% to 23.5%)
26%
67
86 riichi
Call income
1,208
605 (211 to 999)
16%
100
117 calls
Win rate after calling
39.3%
32.8% (28.3% to 37.3%)
31%
97
117 calls
Deal-in rate after calling
10.3%
11.1% (8.0% to 14.3%)
31%
67
117 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
Metric
Actual
Percentile
Count
Starting hand (shanten)
-0.01
37
480 hands
Dora and red fives dealt
-0.02
47
480 hands
Draw luck
-0.7%
11
5,714 tile draws
Ura-dora luck
+0.11
70
45 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate
-2.0%
44
45 riichi wins
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)
+6.8%
90
70 first riichi
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate
12.9%
37
140 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)
-1.8
26
39 games
Hand balance breakdown
Category
Frequency
Balance per hand
League average
Difference
Wins with riichi
9.4%
+828
+919
-91
Wins with calls
9.6%
+497
+382
+114
Dama wins
1.3%
+60
+173
-112
Deal-ins to riichi
3.1%
-228
-360
+132
Deal-ins to open hands
4.2%
-220
-203
-17
Deal-ins to dama
0.2%
-3
-101
+97
Others' tsumo
29.2%
-806
-752
-53
Other (exhaustive draws, etc.)
43.1%
-131
-60
-72
Total (per hand)
-3
2024-25 (19 games · skill estimate -1.6pt/game)
Style
Average win value266,481
Riichi rate121.4%
Deal-in rate2911.2%
Win rate418.9%
First riichi rate5875.9%
Average riichi turn729.26
Call rate1821.5%
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws4140.0%
Staying in vs riichi713.8%
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)4641.4%
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)2424.1%
Tile efficiency match rate4674.1%
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)778.17
Immediate riichi rate3870.9%
Dama rate8614.7%
Where the points came from
Own wins+33.5
Deal-ins-17.9
Others' tsumo-26.8
Ron between others-1.4
Exhaustive draws-0.7
Change in expected points per game. Total -13.4pt/game (19 games).As a table
Hand result
Hands
Total
Per game
Own wins
35
+635.7
+33.5
Deal-ins
29
-340.0
-17.9
Others' tsumo
68
-509.9
-26.8
Ron between others
50
-26.1
-1.4
Exhaustive draws
50
-13.6
-0.7
Luck
Points from luck (/game)21-3.7
Draw luck7-1.2%
Starting hand (shanten)86+0.04
Dora and red fives dealt89+0.02
Ura-dora luck32-0.07
Ippatsu rate22-5.5%
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)1-14.6%
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate3213.2%
Every number for 2024-25
Results
Metric
Actual
Estimate (90% interval)
Weight of the record
Percentile
Count
Average placement
2.84
2.54 (2.33 to 2.75)
12%
21
19 games
Points per game
-12.8
-1.6 (-10.1 to 7.0)
12%
18
19 games
Points per game, luck removed
-9.1
-1.5 (-9.4 to 6.5)
16%
26
19 games
1st-place rate
21.1%
24.5% (16.2% to 32.9%)
13%
39
19 games
4th-place rate
36.8%
26.5% (18.0% to 35.0%)
14%
21
19 games
Style
Metric
Actual
Estimate (90% interval)
Weight of the record
Percentile
Count
Win rate
15.1%
18.9% (16.3% to 21.5%)
23%
4
232 hands
Deal-in rate
12.5%
11.2% (9.3% to 13.2%)
20%
29
232 hands
Riichi rate
17.2%
21.4% (18.7% to 24.2%)
24%
1
232 hands
Call rate
21.1%
21.5% (17.5% to 25.5%)
78%
18
232 hands
First riichi rate
75.0%
75.9% (71.1% to 80.8%)
8%
58
40 riichi
Average riichi turn
8.95
9.26 (8.78 to 9.75)
19%
72
40 riichi
Average win value
5,706
6,481 (5,844 to 7,118)
12%
26
35 wins
Average deal-in value
4,217
5,499 (4,952 to 6,047)
9%
92
29 deal-ins
Win efficiency
967
1,461 (1,355 to 1,567)
3%
1
232 hands
Deal-in loss
554
631 (521 to 742)
9%
63
232 hands
Net efficiency
413
791 (561 to 1,021)
10%
21
232 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)
43.9%
41.4% (34.2% to 48.6%)
18%
46
41 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)
21.8%
24.1% (17.6% to 30.7%)
38%
24
55 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call
28.6%
26.9% (19.7% to 34.2%)
44%
77
49 first calls
Average win turn
12.05
12.38 (12.22 to 12.53)
1%
63
35 wins
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws
40.0%
40.0% (33.2% to 46.8%)
22%
41
50 exhaustive draws
Staying in vs riichi
9.3%
13.8% (11.8% to 15.7%)
6%
7
129 hands facing an opponent’s riichi
Tile efficiency match rate
74.4%
74.1% (72.3% to 75.9%)
79%
46
1,288 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)
0.90
0.95 (0.84 to 1.06)
68%
26
1,238 discards
Breaking shape for value
2.0%
2.0% (1.5% to 2.5%)
57%
43
1,288 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)
8.30
8.17 (8.04 to 8.30)
2%
77
40 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate
68.8%
70.9% (63.6% to 78.2%)
26%
38
40 tenpai hands
Dama rate
17.1%
14.7% (8.4% to 21.0%)
36%
86
35 wins
Riichi income
2,010
2,563 (1,701 to 3,426)
10%
38
40 riichi
Riichi win rate
35.0%
44.0% (36.5% to 51.4%)
19%
15
40 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A
10.0%
14.3% (12.3% to 16.2%)
2%
75
40 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B
5.0%
10.8% (8.1% to 13.5%)
4%
80
40 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate
52.5%
50.1% (43.6% to 56.5%)
12%
66
40 riichi
Riichi exhaustive draw rate
27.5%
20.4% (15.0% to 25.9%)
14%
92
40 riichi
Call income
449
484 (17.53 to 950)
8%
55
49 calls
Win rate after calling
30.6%
29.9% (24.0% to 35.8%)
16%
43
49 calls
Deal-in rate after calling
20.4%
12.9% (8.8% to 17.1%)
16%
7
49 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
Metric
Actual
Percentile
Count
Starting hand (shanten)
+0.04
86
232 hands
Dora and red fives dealt
+0.02
89
232 hands
Draw luck
-1.2%
7
2,902 tile draws
Ura-dora luck
-0.07
32
14 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate
-5.5%
22
14 riichi wins
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)
-14.6%
1
30 first riichi
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate
13.2%
32
68 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)
-3.7
21
19 games
Hand balance breakdown
Category
Frequency
Balance per hand
League average
Difference
Wins with riichi
6.0%
+482
+919
-437
Wins with calls
6.5%
+376
+382
-6
Dama wins
2.6%
+109
+173
-64
Deal-ins to riichi
4.7%
-220
-360
+140
Deal-ins to open hands
5.6%
-281
-203
-77
Deal-ins to dama
2.2%
-62
-101
+38
Others' tsumo
29.3%
-789
-752
-37
Other (exhaustive draws, etc.)
43.1%
-37
-60
+23
Total (per hand)
-422
2023-24 (22 games · skill estimate 0.2pt/game)
Style
Average win value416,554
Riichi rate2922.4%
Deal-in rate8310.4%
Win rate9220.5%
First riichi rate8676.6%
Average riichi turn639.27
Call rate3821.4%
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws737.2%
Staying in vs riichi5514.1%
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)839.5%
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)922.5%
Tile efficiency match rate6974.9%
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)98.16
Immediate riichi rate768.7%
Dama rate2110.8%
Where the points came from
Own wins+51.3
Deal-ins-22.5
Others' tsumo-24.3
Ron between others-3.2
Exhaustive draws-0.2
Change in expected points per game. Total +1.0pt/game (22 games).As a table
Hand result
Hands
Total
Per game
Own wins
61
+1127.7
+51.3
Deal-ins
24
-495.3
-22.5
Others' tsumo
74
-535.3
-24.3
Ron between others
66
-71.4
-3.2
Exhaustive draws
51
-3.4
-0.2
Luck
Points from luck (/game)63+1.9
Draw luck66+0.0%
Starting hand (shanten)89+0.07
Dora and red fives dealt92+0.04
Ura-dora luck43-0.03
Ippatsu rate49-0.4%
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)9-8.0%
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate5810.8%
Every number for 2023-24
Results
Metric
Actual
Estimate (90% interval)
Weight of the record
Percentile
Count
Average placement
2.45
2.49 (2.29 to 2.69)
13%
60
22 games
Points per game
1.4
0.2 (-8.1 to 8.5)
14%
66
22 games
Points per game, luck removed
-0.5
-0.1 (-7.8 to 7.6)
18%
49
22 games
1st-place rate
22.7%
24.7% (16.6% to 32.8%)
15%
45
22 games
4th-place rate
22.7%
24.6% (16.3% to 32.8%)
15%
60
22 games
Style
Metric
Actual
Estimate (90% interval)
Weight of the record
Percentile
Count
Win rate
22.1%
20.5% (18.1% to 23.0%)
26%
92
276 hands
Deal-in rate
8.7%
10.4% (8.5% to 12.3%)
23%
83
276 hands
Riichi rate
21.4%
22.4% (19.8% to 25.0%)
27%
29
276 hands
Call rate
21.0%
21.4% (17.6% to 25.1%)
81%
38
276 hands
First riichi rate
81.4%
76.6% (72.1% to 81.1%)
12%
86
59 riichi
Average riichi turn
9.07
9.27 (8.83 to 9.70)
26%
63
59 riichi
Average win value
6,405
6,554 (5,997 to 7,110)
20%
41
61 wins
Average deal-in value
7,367
5,757 (5,193 to 6,321)
8%
1
24 deal-ins
Win efficiency
1,613
1,478 (1,374 to 1,583)
3%
83
276 hands
Deal-in loss
663
641 (534 to 749)
11%
49
276 hands
Net efficiency
949
849 (627 to 1,071)
12%
75
276 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)
34.1%
39.5% (32.4% to 46.6%)
20%
8
44 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)
18.0%
22.5% (16.2% to 28.8%)
40%
9
61 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call
27.6%
26.6% (19.8% to 33.4%)
48%
66
58 first calls
Average win turn
11.68
12.37 (12.22 to 12.52)
1%
92
61 wins
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws
27.5%
37.2% (30.5% to 44.0%)
22%
7
51 exhaustive draws
Staying in vs riichi
14.1%
14.1% (12.1% to 16.0%)
7%
55
142 hands facing an opponent’s riichi
Tile efficiency match rate
75.4%
74.9% (73.2% to 76.7%)
81%
69
1,428 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)
0.97
1.00 (0.89 to 1.10)
70%
38
1,378 discards
Breaking shape for value
1.7%
1.8% (1.3% to 2.3%)
60%
35
1,428 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)
7.89
8.16 (8.03 to 8.29)
3%
9
57 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate
63.1%
68.7% (62.3% to 75.2%)
34%
7
57 tenpai hands
Dama rate
8.2%
10.8% (5.6% to 16.0%)
50%
21
61 wins
Riichi income
2,422
2,595 (1,796 to 3,394)
14%
41
59 riichi
Riichi win rate
52.5%
47.7% (41.0% to 54.3%)
25%
83
59 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A
15.3%
14.3% (12.4% to 16.2%)
2%
41
59 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B
10.2%
11.0% (8.4% to 13.6%)
6%
58
59 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate
54.2%
50.5% (44.5% to 56.4%)
16%
66
59 riichi
Riichi exhaustive draw rate
8.5%
17.1% (12.2% to 22.1%)
20%
4
59 riichi
Call income
1,812
604 (150 to 1,058)
9%
100
58 calls
Win rate after calling
43.1%
32.3% (26.6% to 37.9%)
18%
100
58 calls
Deal-in rate after calling
6.9%
10.7% (6.7% to 14.6%)
18%
97
58 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
Metric
Actual
Percentile
Count
Starting hand (shanten)
+0.07
89
276 hands
Dora and red fives dealt
+0.04
92
276 hands
Draw luck
+0.0%
66
3,228 tile draws
Ura-dora luck
-0.03
43
31 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate
-0.4%
49
31 riichi wins
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)
-8.0%
9
48 first riichi
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate
10.8%
58
74 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)
+1.9
63
22 games
Hand balance breakdown
Category
Frequency
Balance per hand
League average
Difference
Wins with riichi
11.2%
+932
+919
+13
Wins with calls
9.1%
+563
+382
+181
Dama wins
1.8%
+117
+173
-56
Deal-ins to riichi
4.7%
-418
-360
-58
Deal-ins to open hands
2.9%
-179
-203
+24
Deal-ins to dama
1.1%
-88
-101
+13
Others' tsumo
26.8%
-748
-752
+5
Other (exhaustive draws, etc.)
42.4%
-105
-60
-45
Total (per hand)
+75
2022-23 (24 games · skill estimate -0.6pt/game)
Style
Average win value16,266
Riichi rate1121.8%
Deal-in rate4910.8%
Win rate8120.6%
First riichi rate8776.6%
Average riichi turn909.20
Call rate5222.1%
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws737.6%
Staying in vs riichi5814.0%
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)1438.5%
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)1423.3%
Tile efficiency match rate2771.4%
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)78.15
Immediate riichi rate5571.7%
Dama rate8416.5%
Where the points came from
Own wins+41.7
Deal-ins-18.6
Others' tsumo-26.2
Ron between others-0.2
Exhaustive draws-0.7
Change in expected points per game. Total -4.1pt/game (24 games).As a table
Hand result
Hands
Total
Per game
Own wins
67
+1000.3
+41.7
Deal-ins
31
-446.0
-18.6
Others' tsumo
95
-628.8
-26.2
Ron between others
59
-5.9
-0.2
Exhaustive draws
49
-17.3
-0.7
Luck
Points from luck (/game)33-1.6
Draw luck23-0.4%
Starting hand (shanten)81+0.09
Dora and red fives dealt33-0.01
Ura-dora luck7-0.24
Ippatsu rate20-7.2%
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)81+4.5%
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate719.5%
Every number for 2022-23
Results
Metric
Actual
Estimate (90% interval)
Weight of the record
Percentile
Count
Average placement
2.50
2.50 (2.30 to 2.70)
14%
54
24 games
Points per game
-3.8
-0.6 (-8.7 to 7.6)
15%
43
24 games
Points per game, luck removed
-2.2
-0.4 (-7.9 to 7.1)
20%
39
24 games
1st-place rate
20.8%
24.4% (16.4% to 32.4%)
16%
35
24 games
4th-place rate
20.8%
24.2% (16.2% to 32.3%)
17%
73
24 games
Style
Metric
Actual
Estimate (90% interval)
Weight of the record
Percentile
Count
Win rate
22.3%
20.6% (18.2% to 23.0%)
28%
81
301 hands
Deal-in rate
10.3%
10.8% (9.0% to 12.6%)
24%
49
301 hands
Riichi rate
19.6%
21.8% (19.3% to 24.4%)
29%
11
301 hands
Call rate
21.9%
22.1% (18.5% to 25.7%)
82%
52
301 hands
First riichi rate
81.4%
76.6% (72.1% to 81.1%)
12%
87
59 riichi
Average riichi turn
8.80
9.20 (8.77 to 9.63)
26%
90
59 riichi
Average win value
5,069
6,266 (5,725 to 6,808)
21%
1
67 wins
Average deal-in value
5,300
5,595 (5,053 to 6,136)
10%
71
31 deal-ins
Win efficiency
1,292
1,468 (1,364 to 1,572)
3%
23
301 hands
Deal-in loss
578
632 (526 to 737)
12%
58
301 hands
Net efficiency
715
819 (601 to 1,038)
13%
27
301 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)
30.0%
38.5% (31.7% to 45.3%)
22%
14
50 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)
20.3%
23.3% (17.2% to 29.3%)
43%
14
69 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call
21.2%
23.4% (16.8% to 29.9%)
52%
14
66 first calls
Average win turn
11.75
12.37 (12.22 to 12.52)
2%
97
67 wins
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws
28.6%
37.6% (30.7% to 44.4%)
21%
7
49 exhaustive draws
Staying in vs riichi
13.8%
14.0% (12.2% to 15.9%)
7%
58
160 hands facing an opponent’s riichi
Tile efficiency match rate
71.1%
71.4% (69.7% to 73.1%)
82%
27
1,569 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)
1.15
1.13 (1.03 to 1.23)
72%
78
1,498 discards
Breaking shape for value
1.1%
1.5% (1.0% to 1.9%)
62%
1
1,569 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)
7.82
8.15 (8.03 to 8.28)
4%
7
63 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate
71.8%
71.7% (65.5% to 77.9%)
36%
55
63 tenpai hands
Dama rate
19.4%
16.5% (11.4% to 21.6%)
52%
84
67 wins
Riichi income
2,685
2,631 (1,832 to 3,430)
14%
46
59 riichi
Riichi win rate
54.2%
48.1% (41.5% to 54.7%)
25%
90
59 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A
11.9%
14.3% (12.4% to 16.2%)
2%
65
59 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B
10.2%
11.0% (8.4% to 13.6%)
6%
39
59 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate
52.5%
50.2% (44.3% to 56.1%)
16%
68
59 riichi
Riichi exhaustive draw rate
11.9%
17.8% (12.9% to 22.7%)
20%
11
59 riichi
Call income
235
461 (17.15 to 906)
10%
23
66 calls
Win rate after calling
33.3%
30.5% (25.1% to 36.0%)
21%
65
66 calls
Deal-in rate after calling
16.7%
12.6% (8.8% to 16.4%)
20%
11
66 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
Metric
Actual
Percentile
Count
Starting hand (shanten)
+0.09
81
301 hands
Dora and red fives dealt
-0.01
33
301 hands
Draw luck
-0.4%
23
3,588 tile draws
Ura-dora luck
-0.24
7
32 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate
-7.2%
20
32 riichi wins
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)
+4.5%
81
48 first riichi
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate
9.5%
71
95 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)
-1.6
33
24 games
Hand balance breakdown
Category
Frequency
Balance per hand
League average
Difference
Wins with riichi
10.6%
+741
+919
-178
Wins with calls
7.3%
+381
+382
-2
Dama wins
4.3%
+170
+173
-2
Deal-ins to riichi
4.3%
-304
-360
+56
Deal-ins to open hands
4.0%
-214
-203
-11
Deal-ins to dama
2.0%
-80
-101
+21
Others' tsumo
31.6%
-851
-752
-99
Other (exhaustive draws, etc.)
35.9%
-81
-60
-22
Total (per hand)
-238
2021-22 (25 games · skill estimate 1.5pt/game)
Style
Average win value76,500
Riichi rate3322.1%
Deal-in rate949.9%
Win rate6520.3%
First riichi rate8176.7%
Average riichi turn529.38
Call rate5521.8%
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws6540.7%
Staying in vs riichi8114.2%
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)135.9%
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)120.4%
Tile efficiency match rate4972.2%
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)558.17
Immediate riichi rate5872.0%
Dama rate2712.2%
Where the points came from
Own wins+48.6
Deal-ins-11.2
Others' tsumo-27.7
Ron between others-0.9
Exhaustive draws+1.3
Change in expected points per game. Total +10.1pt/game (25 games).As a table
Hand result
Hands
Total
Per game
Own wins
63
+1215.3
+48.6
Deal-ins
20
-280.5
-11.2
Others' tsumo
84
-692.1
-27.7
Ron between others
62
-21.4
-0.9
Exhaustive draws
68
+32.2
+1.3
Luck
Points from luck (/game)46-1.2
Draw luck33-0.5%
Starting hand (shanten)87+0.07
Dora and red fives dealt14-0.04
Ura-dora luck52+0.00
Ippatsu rate74+3.8%
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)94+7.3%
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate417.9%
Every number for 2021-22
Results
Metric
Actual
Estimate (90% interval)
Weight of the record
Percentile
Count
Average placement
2.16
2.45 (2.25 to 2.64)
15%
94
25 games
Points per game
9.7
1.5 (-6.6 to 9.6)
16%
84
25 games
Points per game, luck removed
10.9
2.2 (-5.2 to 9.6)
20%
87
25 games
1st-place rate
24.0%
24.9% (17.0% to 32.8%)
16%
41
25 games
4th-place rate
4.0%
21.3% (13.3% to 29.3%)
17%
100
25 games
Style
Metric
Actual
Estimate (90% interval)
Weight of the record
Percentile
Count
Win rate
21.2%
20.3% (17.9% to 22.7%)
27%
65
297 hands
Deal-in rate
6.7%
9.9% (8.1% to 11.7%)
24%
94
297 hands
Riichi rate
20.5%
22.1% (19.6% to 24.7%)
29%
33
297 hands
Call rate
21.5%
21.8% (18.2% to 25.4%)
82%
55
297 hands
First riichi rate
82.0%
76.7% (72.2% to 81.2%)
12%
81
61 riichi
Average riichi turn
9.49
9.38 (8.95 to 9.80)
26%
52
61 riichi
Average win value
6,143
6,500 (5,948 to 7,051)
20%
7
63 wins
Average deal-in value
5,245
5,602 (5,023 to 6,180)
6%
62
20 deal-ins
Win efficiency
1,477
1,474 (1,370 to 1,578)
3%
52
297 hands
Deal-in loss
366
608 (502 to 713)
11%
94
297 hands
Net efficiency
1,110
871 (652 to 1,090)
13%
81
297 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)
18.9%
35.9% (29.2% to 42.6%)
23%
1
53 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)
12.3%
20.4% (14.0% to 26.9%)
39%
1
57 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call
32.8%
29.3% (22.7% to 35.9%)
51%
78
64 first calls
Average win turn
12.39
12.38 (12.23 to 12.53)
2%
68
63 wins
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws
42.6%
40.7% (34.6% to 46.9%)
27%
65
68 exhaustive draws
Staying in vs riichi
15.4%
14.2% (12.3% to 16.1%)
7%
81
149 hands facing an opponent’s riichi
Tile efficiency match rate
72.1%
72.2% (70.6% to 73.8%)
83%
49
1,693 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)
1.05
1.05 (0.95 to 1.15)
73%
43
1,634 discards
Breaking shape for value
1.7%
1.8% (1.3% to 2.2%)
64%
23
1,693 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)
8.31
8.17 (8.04 to 8.30)
4%
55
62 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate
72.7%
72.0% (65.8% to 78.3%)
36%
58
62 tenpai hands
Dama rate
11.1%
12.2% (7.0% to 17.4%)
50%
27
63 wins
Riichi income
4,233
2,850 (2,057 to 3,643)
14%
90
61 riichi
Riichi win rate
55.7%
48.5% (42.0% to 55.1%)
26%
90
61 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A
4.9%
14.1% (12.2% to 16.0%)
2%
100
61 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B
3.3%
10.6% (8.0% to 13.1%)
6%
100
61 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate
57.4%
51.0% (45.2% to 56.9%)
17%
90
61 riichi
Riichi exhaustive draw rate
23.0%
20.0% (15.1% to 24.9%)
20%
68
61 riichi
Call income
903
527 (80.26 to 974)
10%
84
64 calls
Win rate after calling
34.4%
30.7% (25.2% to 36.2%)
20%
81
64 calls
Deal-in rate after calling
4.7%
10.2% (6.3% to 14.0%)
20%
97
64 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
Metric
Actual
Percentile
Count
Starting hand (shanten)
+0.07
87
297 hands
Dora and red fives dealt
-0.04
14
297 hands
Draw luck
-0.5%
33
3,767 tile draws
Ura-dora luck
+0.00
52
34 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate
+3.8%
74
34 riichi wins
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)
+7.3%
94
50 first riichi
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate
17.9%
4
84 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)
-1.2
46
25 games
Hand balance breakdown
Category
Frequency
Balance per hand
League average
Difference
Wins with riichi
11.4%
+970
+919
+51
Wins with calls
7.4%
+333
+382
-49
Dama wins
2.4%
+173
+173
+0
Deal-ins to riichi
1.7%
-132
-360
+228
Deal-ins to open hands
2.7%
-87
-203
+116
Deal-ins to dama
2.4%
-154
-101
-53
Others' tsumo
28.3%
-832
-752
-80
Other (exhaustive draws, etc.)
43.8%
-12
-60
+48
Total (per hand)
+260
2020-21 (25 games · skill estimate 1.5pt/game)
Style
Average win value566,637
Riichi rate2822.1%
Deal-in rate10010.2%
Win rate9020.9%
First riichi rate3576.0%
Average riichi turn979.20
Call rate5922.5%
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws1537.1%
Staying in vs riichi7614.1%
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)5441.1%
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)5925.0%
Tile efficiency match rate3271.3%
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)88.16
Immediate riichi rate3971.2%
Dama rate5614.2%
Where the points came from
Own wins+53.1
Deal-ins-13.4
Others' tsumo-27.1
Ron between others-1.6
Exhaustive draws-1.4
Change in expected points per game. Total +9.7pt/game (25 games).As a table
Hand result
Hands
Total
Per game
Own wins
67
+1327.0
+53.1
Deal-ins
23
-334.6
-13.4
Others' tsumo
86
-676.4
-27.1
Ron between others
58
-39.7
-1.6
Exhaustive draws
52
-34.1
-1.4
Luck
Points from luck (/game)39-1.3
Draw luck86+0.5%
Starting hand (shanten)28-0.02
Dora and red fives dealt88+0.05
Ura-dora luck52-0.03
Ippatsu rate66+2.1%
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)28+0.4%
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate6610.5%
Every number for 2020-21
Results
Metric
Actual
Estimate (90% interval)
Weight of the record
Percentile
Count
Average placement
2.28
2.47 (2.27 to 2.66)
15%
83
25 games
Points per game
9.4
1.5 (-6.6 to 9.5)
16%
83
25 games
Points per game, luck removed
10.7
2.2 (-5.2 to 9.6)
20%
97
25 games
1st-place rate
28.0%
25.5% (17.7% to 33.4%)
16%
69
25 games
4th-place rate
24.0%
24.7% (16.8% to 32.7%)
17%
52
25 games
Style
Metric
Actual
Estimate (90% interval)
Weight of the record
Percentile
Count
Win rate
23.4%
20.9% (18.5% to 23.3%)
27%
90
286 hands
Deal-in rate
8.0%
10.2% (8.4% to 12.1%)
23%
100
286 hands
Riichi rate
20.3%
22.1% (19.5% to 24.6%)
28%
28
286 hands
Call rate
22.4%
22.5% (18.8% to 26.2%)
81%
59
286 hands
First riichi rate
75.9%
76.0% (71.5% to 80.5%)
11%
35
58 riichi
Average riichi turn
8.79
9.20 (8.76 to 9.63)
25%
97
58 riichi
Average win value
6,807
6,637 (6,095 to 7,178)
21%
56
67 wins
Average deal-in value
5,000
5,580 (5,013 to 6,148)
7%
76
23 deal-ins
Win efficiency
1,773
1,484 (1,379 to 1,588)
3%
86
286 hands
Deal-in loss
427
615 (509 to 722)
11%
100
286 hands
Net efficiency
1,346
900 (679 to 1,120)
13%
93
286 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)
42.2%
41.1% (34.1% to 48.2%)
20%
54
45 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)
24.3%
25.0% (19.0% to 31.0%)
44%
59
70 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call
31.3%
28.5% (21.9% to 35.1%)
51%
69
64 first calls
Average win turn
12.50
12.38 (12.23 to 12.53)
2%
49
67 wins
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws
26.9%
37.1% (30.3% to 43.8%)
22%
15
52 exhaustive draws
Staying in vs riichi
14.9%
14.1% (12.2% to 16.0%)
7%
76
154 hands facing an opponent’s riichi
Tile efficiency match rate
70.9%
71.3% (69.5% to 73.0%)
82%
32
1,494 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)
1.22
1.17 (1.07 to 1.28)
71%
76
1,424 discards
Breaking shape for value
1.8%
1.9% (1.4% to 2.4%)
61%
28
1,494 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)
7.92
8.16 (8.03 to 8.29)
4%
8
62 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate
70.3%
71.2% (64.9% to 77.4%)
36%
39
62 tenpai hands
Dama rate
14.9%
14.2% (9.1% to 19.2%)
52%
56
67 wins
Riichi income
3,869
2,791 (1,989 to 3,593)
14%
90
58 riichi
Riichi win rate
55.2%
48.3% (41.6% to 54.9%)
25%
86
58 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A
13.8%
14.3% (12.4% to 16.2%)
2%
76
58 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B
12.1%
11.1% (8.5% to 13.7%)
6%
45
58 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate
65.5%
52.3% (46.3% to 58.3%)
16%
100
58 riichi
Riichi exhaustive draw rate
13.8%
18.2% (13.3% to 23.1%)
19%
15
58 riichi
Call income
711
508 (61.60 to 955)
10%
62
64 calls
Win rate after calling
39.1%
31.7% (26.2% to 37.2%)
20%
93
64 calls
Deal-in rate after calling
15.6%
12.3% (8.5% to 16.2%)
20%
4
64 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
Metric
Actual
Percentile
Count
Starting hand (shanten)
-0.02
28
286 hands
Dora and red fives dealt
+0.05
88
286 hands
Draw luck
+0.5%
86
3,504 tile draws
Ura-dora luck
-0.03
52
32 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate
+2.1%
66
32 riichi wins
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)
+0.4%
28
44 first riichi
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate
10.5%
66
86 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)
-1.3
39
25 games
Hand balance breakdown
Category
Frequency
Balance per hand
League average
Difference
Wins with riichi
11.2%
+1,051
+919
+132
Wins with calls
8.7%
+499
+382
+116
Dama wins
3.5%
+223
+173
+50
Deal-ins to riichi
4.5%
-287
-360
+73
Deal-ins to open hands
2.8%
-147
-203
+57
Deal-ins to dama
0.7%
-18
-101
+83
Others' tsumo
30.1%
-865
-752
-113
Other (exhaustive draws, etc.)
38.5%
-84
-60
-24
Total (per hand)
+372
2019-20 (27 games · skill estimate 1.3pt/game)
Style
Average win value226,519
Riichi rate5422.4%
Deal-in rate8910.4%
Win rate9621.0%
First riichi rate5676.5%
Average riichi turn799.24
Call rate7222.7%
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws4039.5%
Staying in vs riichi9314.6%
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)2640.0%
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)1922.8%
Tile efficiency match rate8673.4%
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)548.17
Immediate riichi rate4771.3%
Dama rate5815.0%
Where the points came from
Own wins+53.2
Deal-ins-17.3
Others' tsumo-23.4
Ron between others-4.4
Exhaustive draws-0.4
Change in expected points per game. Total +7.7pt/game (27 games).As a table
Hand result
Hands
Total
Per game
Own wins
80
+1435.4
+53.2
Deal-ins
30
-466.8
-17.3
Others' tsumo
87
-631.7
-23.4
Ron between others
75
-118.9
-4.4
Exhaustive draws
68
-10.5
-0.4
Luck
Points from luck (/game)93+8.2
Draw luck96+0.8%
Starting hand (shanten)15-0.09
Dora and red fives dealt79+0.05
Ura-dora luck50+0.05
Ippatsu rate65+3.1%
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)29-1.8%
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate5811.5%
Every number for 2019-20
Results
Metric
Actual
Estimate (90% interval)
Weight of the record
Percentile
Count
Average placement
2.33
2.47 (2.28 to 2.66)
16%
79
27 games
Points per game
7.8
1.3 (-6.6 to 9.2)
17%
82
27 games
Points per game, luck removed
-0.3
-0.1 (-7.3 to 7.2)
22%
61
27 games
1st-place rate
29.6%
25.9% (18.1% to 33.6%)
17%
75
27 games
4th-place rate
18.5%
23.7% (15.9% to 31.6%)
18%
84
27 games
Style
Metric
Actual
Estimate (90% interval)
Weight of the record
Percentile
Count
Win rate
23.5%
21.0% (18.8% to 23.3%)
30%
96
340 hands
Deal-in rate
8.8%
10.4% (8.6% to 12.1%)
27%
89
340 hands
Riichi rate
21.8%
22.4% (20.0% to 24.9%)
32%
54
340 hands
Call rate
22.6%
22.7% (19.3% to 26.1%)
84%
72
340 hands
First riichi rate
79.7%
76.5% (72.2% to 80.8%)
14%
56
74 riichi
Average riichi turn
9.03
9.24 (8.84 to 9.64)
30%
79
74 riichi
Average win value
6,298
6,519 (6,007 to 7,031)
24%
22
80 wins
Average deal-in value
6,043
5,664 (5,120 to 6,209)
9%
47
30 deal-ins
Win efficiency
1,664
1,481 (1,379 to 1,584)
4%
82
340 hands
Deal-in loss
551
627 (525 to 730)
13%
79
340 hands
Net efficiency
1,114
876 (664 to 1,088)
15%
86
340 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)
37.0%
40.0% (33.3% to 46.6%)
23%
26
54 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)
19.4%
22.8% (16.9% to 28.8%)
44%
19
72 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call
35.1%
30.9% (24.7% to 37.1%)
56%
72
77 first calls
Average win turn
12.45
12.38 (12.23 to 12.53)
2%
40
80 wins
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws
38.2%
39.5% (33.4% to 45.7%)
27%
40
68 exhaustive draws
Staying in vs riichi
21.2%
14.6% (12.7% to 16.5%)
8%
93
170 hands facing an opponent’s riichi
Tile efficiency match rate
73.5%
73.4% (71.8% to 75.0%)
84%
86
1,740 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)
1.11
1.10 (1.00 to 1.20)
74%
54
1,666 discards
Breaking shape for value
1.9%
1.9% (1.5% to 2.4%)
65%
36
1,740 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)
8.15
8.17 (8.04 to 8.29)
4%
54
76 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate
70.8%
71.3% (65.5% to 77.1%)
41%
47
76 tenpai hands
Dama rate
16.3%
15.0% (10.2% to 19.8%)
56%
58
80 wins
Riichi income
2,699
2,636 (1,878 to 3,393)
17%
61
74 riichi
Riichi win rate
47.3%
46.4% (40.3% to 52.5%)
30%
58
74 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A
13.5%
14.3% (12.4% to 16.2%)
3%
61
74 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B
10.8%
11.0% (8.5% to 13.5%)
8%
54
74 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate
52.7%
50.3% (44.7% to 55.9%)
20%
65
74 riichi
Riichi exhaustive draw rate
14.9%
18.2% (13.6% to 22.8%)
23%
15
74 riichi
Call income
1,370
588 (156 to 1,020)
11%
96
77 calls
Win rate after calling
41.6%
32.5% (27.3% to 37.7%)
23%
100
77 calls
Deal-in rate after calling
6.5%
10.4% (6.7% to 14.0%)
23%
96
77 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
Metric
Actual
Percentile
Count
Starting hand (shanten)
-0.09
15
340 hands
Dora and red fives dealt
+0.05
79
340 hands
Draw luck
+0.8%
96
4,169 tile draws
Ura-dora luck
+0.05
50
35 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate
+3.1%
65
35 riichi wins
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)
-1.8%
29
59 first riichi
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate
11.5%
58
87 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)
+8.2
93
27 games
Hand balance breakdown
Category
Frequency
Balance per hand
League average
Difference
Wins with riichi
10.3%
+1,006
+919
+87
Wins with calls
9.4%
+439
+382
+56
Dama wins
3.8%
+220
+173
+47
Deal-ins to riichi
5.3%
-349
-360
+11
Deal-ins to open hands
0.9%
-38
-203
+165
Deal-ins to dama
2.6%
-188
-101
-87
Others' tsumo
25.6%
-737
-752
+15
Other (exhaustive draws, etc.)
42.1%
-69
-60
-9
Total (per hand)
+284
2018-19 (27 games · skill estimate 2.9pt/game)
Style
Average win value166,453
Riichi rate3622.2%
Deal-in rate8510.5%
Win rate10021.8%
First riichi rate5076.2%
Average riichi turn859.31
Call rate6523.7%
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws6040.1%
Staying in vs riichi10014.5%
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)3339.8%
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)621.5%
Tile efficiency match rate3171.5%
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)958.18
Immediate riichi rate6072.5%
Dama rate8016.7%
Where the points came from
Own wins+58.7
Deal-ins-17.0
Others' tsumo-22.9
Ron between others-2.0
Exhaustive draws+1.1
Change in expected points per game. Total +17.9pt/game (27 games).As a table
Players with a similar styleclosest career style metrics first
Hiroshi DaigoSEGA SAMMY PhoenixIn common: Often noten at exhaustive draws, Early riichi, High win rate
Sho ShiratoriShibuya ABEMASIn common: Riichis rarely, Smaller hands, First riichi often
Genta TakeuchiSEGA SAMMY PhoenixIn common: Few deal-ins, Early riichi, Riichis rarely
* Twelve style metrics, including call rate, riichi rate, win rate, deal-in rate, hand value, riichi speed and immediate riichi rate, are put on the same scale and compared; the players closest overall are listed. Metrics supported more strongly by the data receive more weight. The comparison shows how similar the players' styles are, not which is better. Differences are often small, so the order may change.