例行賽 32人 180半莊
2021-22 賽季
每半莊的實際成績在選手之間差距達40pt，但扣除運氣後估算的實力推估差距只有3.5pt。排名表上的差距大多來自運氣。
實力推估的最大差距
3.5
pt/半莊。實際成績的差距為40.3
實際成績與實力推估每半莊，依運氣加分・扣分排序
運氣帶來的得分來自配牌・摸牌・裏寶牌，pt/半莊
以聯盟平均的運氣為0，將配牌、摸牌、裏寶牌的好壞換算成得分後相當於幾pt（計算方法 4（日文））。
實力推估每半莊得分，依推估由高到低，10半莊以上
| 選手 | 半莊 | 90%區間 | 實力推估 | 扣除運氣的推估 | 實際成績 | 實際成績 − 推估 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1瑞原明奈 | 21 | +1.8 | +1.8 | +21.0 | +19.2 | |
| 2沢崎誠 | 26 | +1.6 | +2.1 | +15.4 | +13.8 | |
| 3滝沢和典 | 24 | +1.2 | +0.4 | +12.3 | +11.1 | |
| 4伊達朱里紗 | 21 | +1.1 | -0.4 | +12.8 | +11.7 | |
| 5茅森早香 | 26 | +1.0 | +0.2 | +9.7 | +8.7 | |
| 6多井隆晴 | 25 | +1.0 | +1.5 | +9.7 | +8.7 | |
| 7松ヶ瀬隆弥 | 28 | +0.8 | +0.9 | +7.6 | +6.8 | |
| 8勝又健志 | 23 | +0.8 | +1.7 | +8.6 | +7.8 | |
| 9堀慎吾 | 30 | +0.7 | +1.1 | +6.0 | +5.3 | |
| 10小林剛 | 29 | +0.6 | +1.1 | +5.3 | +4.7 | |
| 11松本吉弘 | 25 | +0.6 | +0.6 | +5.8 | +5.2 | |
| 12鈴木たろう | 28 | +0.5 | +1.6 | +4.7 | +4.2 | |
| 13白鳥翔 | 23 | +0.4 | +0.6 | +4.7 | +4.3 | |
| 14朝倉康心 | 23 | +0.3 | +0.3 | +3.0 | +2.7 | |
| 15東城りお | 16 | +0.2 | -1.0 | +3.5 | +3.3 | |
| 16二階堂亜樹 | 21 | +0.2 | -0.7 | +2.4 | +2.2 | |
| 17丸山奏子 | 12 | +0.2 | +0.5 | +3.8 | +3.6 | |
| 18近藤誠一 | 22 | 0.0 | -0.8 | +0.2 | +0.2 | |
| 以下低於聯盟平均 | ||||||
| 19園田賢 | 27 | -0.2 | +0.2 | -2.1 | -1.9 | |
| 20佐々木寿人 | 25 | -0.3 | -0.1 | -3.1 | -2.8 | |
| 21魚谷侑未 | 26 | -0.4 | +0.1 | -4.2 | -3.7 | |
| 22内川幸太郎 | 18 | -0.6 | -1.0 | -7.8 | -7.2 | |
| 23黒沢咲 | 23 | -0.6 | -0.7 | -6.5 | -5.9 | |
| 24日向藍子 | 17 | -0.7 | +0.2 | -9.9 | -9.2 | |
| 25高宮まり | 20 | -1.0 | -1.3 | -11.9 | -10.9 | |
| 26岡田紗佳 | 16 | -1.1 | -1.0 | -16.4 | -15.3 | |
| 27二階堂瑠美 | 18 | -1.1 | -0.9 | -15.3 | -14.2 | |
| 28石橋伸洋 | 17 | -1.2 | -0.8 | -16.8 | -15.7 | |
| 29本田朋広 | 24 | -1.2 | -0.9 | -12.8 | -11.6 | |
| 30村上淳 | 23 | -1.6 | -1.9 | -16.7 | -15.1 | |
| 31萩原聖人 | 22 | -1.6 | -1.6 | -17.9 | -16.3 | |
| 32瀬戸熊直樹 | 21 | -1.7 | -2.0 | -19.3 | -17.7 | |
色帶是實力推估的90%區間，圓點是推估值，直線是聯盟平均（0）。實力推估是比賽數越少、就越往聯盟平均拉近估算的值。「扣除運氣的推估」則是再從得分中扣除配牌、摸牌、裏寶牌的運氣後估算的值（計算方法（日文））。「實際成績 − 推估」的長條，表示實際成績高於推估的部分（藍）與低於推估的部分（紅）。
運氣與聯盟平均的差。越藍運氣越好，越紅運氣越差
| 選手 | 運氣帶來的得分（/半莊） | 配牌好壞（向聽數） | 配牌的寶牌・赤寶牌 | 摸牌好壞 | 裏寶牌運 | 一發率 | 不易被追立（/先制立直） | 莊家被重自摸率 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 伊達朱里紗 | +16.0 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +1.0% | -0.01 | -5.5% | +3.3% | 10.8% |
| 東城りお | +14.4 | -0.03 | -0.01 | +2.1% | +0.09 | -3.7% | -14.1% | 14.0% |
| 滝沢和典 | +9.1 | +0.03 | -0.01 | +0.7% | -0.13 | +3.1% | +6.2% | 15.9% |
| 二階堂亜樹 | +8.5 | +0.04 | +0.04 | +0.6% | -0.02 | -3.6% | -10.9% | 7.7% |
| 茅森早香 | +8.4 | +0.10 | +0.08 | +0.7% | +0.01 | -3.5% | +8.6% | 6.5% |
| 近藤誠一 | +7.1 | -0.01 | +0.02 | +0.5% | -0.05 | +2.5% | +0.3% | 7.2% |
| 瑞原明奈 | +5.7 | +0.07 | -0.05 | +0.4% | -0.04 | -3.5% | +1.2% | 16.2% |
| 内川幸太郎 | +2.0 | -0.08 | +0.10 | -0.5% | +0.07 | -0.7% | -2.8% | 17.2% |
| 松本吉弘 | +1.6 | -0.08 | +0.04 | +0.9% | +0.12 | +9.2% | +2.2% | 12.2% |
| 松ヶ瀬隆弥 | +1.5 | +0.02 | +0.03 | +0.2% | +0.06 | +3.0% | +7.3% | 10.3% |
| 朝倉康心 | +0.4 | +0.04 | +0.01 | -0.0% | +0.10 | +9.3% | -1.7% | 12.8% |
| 白鳥翔 | +0.1 | -0.04 | +0.02 | -0.3% | +0.06 | -12.9% | +4.4% | 16.7% |
| 沢崎誠 | -0.1 | -0.00 | -0.02 | -0.4% | -0.01 | -4.9% | +3.1% | 17.3% |
| 高宮まり | -0.1 | +0.08 | -0.03 | -1.2% | +0.16 | -1.6% | +1.1% | 9.7% |
| 堀慎吾 | -0.8 | -0.03 | +0.05 | +0.7% | -0.09 | +2.5% | -0.1% | 17.0% |
| 村上淳 | -1.1 | -0.11 | +0.07 | +0.3% | +0.23 | -8.6% | -11.3% | 16.7% |
| 黒沢咲 | -1.1 | +0.11 | +0.01 | -0.8% | -0.06 | -5.5% | +2.7% | 17.1% |
| 多井隆晴 | -1.2 | +0.07 | -0.04 | -0.5% | +0.00 | +3.8% | +7.3% | 17.9% |
| 瀬戸熊直樹 | -2.0 | -0.02 | +0.03 | -0.8% | +0.17 | +17.1% | +2.9% | 9.6% |
| 小林剛 | -2.2 | +0.03 | +0.04 | -0.6% | +0.01 | +0.8% | +4.5% | 8.2% |
| 佐々木寿人 | -2.3 | -0.01 | -0.07 | -0.4% | +0.23 | -13.1% | +3.5% | 8.6% |
| 丸山奏子 | -2.8 | +0.03 | +0.01 | +0.0% | +0.03 | +6.9% | +7.7% | 17.1% |
| 園田賢 | -3.4 | +0.02 | +0.04 | -0.6% | -0.12 | +10.0% | +6.3% | 12.0% |
| 魚谷侑未 | -4.6 | +0.03 | -0.01 | -0.5% | -0.18 | -4.9% | -0.4% | 9.5% |
| 萩原聖人 | -4.8 | -0.05 | +0.06 | +0.1% | -0.05 | -1.2% | +2.2% | 19.1% |
| 勝又健志 | -4.9 | -0.02 | +0.04 | -0.6% | +0.07 | +12.4% | -5.2% | 8.3% |
| 岡田紗佳 | -5.2 | +0.02 | +0.05 | -1.1% | -0.10 | -0.7% | -5.9% | 17.3% |
| 本田朋広 | -5.8 | +0.03 | -0.01 | -1.0% | -0.10 | -5.5% | -1.2% | 10.2% |
| 二階堂瑠美 | -6.1 | +0.04 | -0.06 | -1.7% | +0.23 | +0.3% | +3.1% | 11.1% |
| 鈴木たろう | -6.1 | -0.04 | +0.08 | -0.3% | -0.06 | +19.4% | +6.1% | 9.5% |
| 石橋伸洋 | -8.2 | -0.03 | +0.01 | +1.2% | -0.16 | +36.5% | -9.8% | 17.5% |
| 日向藍子 | -12.2 | -0.12 | -0.07 | +1.7% | -0.14 | -4.0% | -15.7% | 11.9% |
顏色深淺以各欄中最大的差距為基準。運氣帶來的得分，是將右側各項目換算成得分後的合計。
2021-22決定各場比賽的一局 得分與順位等官方成績請見M League 官方網站。