例行賽 40人 300半莊
2025-26 賽季
每半莊的實際成績在選手之間差距達34pt,但扣除運氣後估算的實力推估差距只有2.4pt。排名表上的差距大多來自運氣。
實力推估的最大差距
2.4
pt/半莊。實際成績的差距為34.0
實際成績與實力推估每半莊,依運氣加分・扣分排序
運氣帶來的得分來自配牌・摸牌・裏寶牌・一發,pt/半莊
以聯盟平均的運氣為0,將配牌、摸牌、裏寶牌、一發的好壞換算成得分後相當於幾pt(計算方法 4(日文))。
實力推估每半莊得分,依推估由高到低,10半莊以上
| 選手 | 半莊 | 90%區間 | 實力推估 | 扣除運氣的推估 | 實際成績 | 實際成績 − 推估 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1下石戟 | 38 | +1.4 | +1.6 | +16.2 | +14.8 | |
| 2永井孝典 | 34 | +1.1 | +1.1 | +14.8 | +13.7 | |
| 3園田賢 | 36 | +0.9 | +0.3 | +11.2 | +10.3 | |
| 4滝沢和典 | 33 | +0.8 | +1.0 | +11.2 | +10.3 | |
| 5内川幸太郎 | 36 | +0.7 | +1.0 | +8.9 | +8.2 | |
| 6渡辺太 | 33 | +0.6 | +0.3 | +8.6 | +7.9 | |
| 7二階堂亜樹 | 26 | +0.6 | +1.0 | +10.4 | +9.8 | |
| 8中田花奈 | 27 | +0.5 | +0.2 | +8.5 | +7.9 | |
| 9高宮まり | 27 | +0.5 | -0.1 | +8.2 | +7.7 | |
| 10渋川難波 | 35 | +0.4 | +1.3 | +5.0 | +4.6 | |
| 11石井一馬 | 39 | +0.4 | +0.4 | +4.1 | +3.8 | |
| 12竹内元太 | 33 | +0.3 | +0.6 | +4.6 | +4.3 | |
| 13多井隆晴 | 39 | +0.3 | +0.6 | +3.2 | +2.9 | |
| 14鈴木優 | 34 | +0.3 | +0.4 | +3.4 | +3.1 | |
| 15醍醐大 | 37 | +0.3 | +0.1 | +3.1 | +2.8 | |
| 16黒沢咲 | 26 | +0.3 | 0.0 | +4.2 | +4.0 | |
| 17白鳥翔 | 35 | +0.2 | -0.4 | +3.1 | +2.9 | |
| 18伊達朱里紗 | 30 | +0.2 | -0.1 | +3.0 | +2.8 | |
| 19佐々木寿人 | 30 | 0.0 | -0.1 | +0.4 | +0.3 | |
| 20東城りお | 28 | 0.0 | -0.4 | +0.2 | +0.2 | |
| 以下低於聯盟平均 | ||||||
| 21茅森早香 | 25 | -0.1 | -0.2 | -2.4 | -2.2 | |
| 22瑞原明奈 | 29 | -0.2 | -0.5 | -2.5 | -2.3 | |
| 23浅井堂岐 | 25 | -0.2 | +0.6 | -3.3 | -3.1 | |
| 24瀬戸熊直樹 | 29 | -0.2 | -0.9 | -2.9 | -2.7 | |
| 25本田朋広 | 35 | -0.2 | -0.1 | -2.6 | -2.4 | |
| 26浅見真紀 | 22 | -0.2 | -0.3 | -4.7 | -4.5 | |
| 27逢川恵夢 | 26 | -0.3 | -0.5 | -4.4 | -4.1 | |
| 28萩原聖人 | 30 | -0.3 | +0.5 | -4.9 | -4.6 | |
| 29鈴木大介 | 27 | -0.4 | -0.8 | -5.9 | -5.5 | |
| 30岡田紗佳 | 27 | -0.4 | -0.4 | -6.0 | -5.6 | |
| 31日向藍子 | 20 | -0.4 | -0.6 | -9.3 | -8.9 | |
| 32阿久津翔太 | 26 | -0.5 | -0.5 | -7.7 | -7.2 | |
| 33仲林圭 | 32 | -0.5 | -0.1 | -6.9 | -6.4 | |
| 34松本吉弘 | 26 | -0.7 | -0.2 | -11.3 | -10.6 | |
| 35鈴木たろう | 29 | -0.8 | -0.9 | -11.5 | -10.8 | |
| 36三浦智博 | 27 | -0.9 | -0.9 | -14.1 | -13.3 | |
| 37勝又健志 | 24 | -0.9 | -1.5 | -16.6 | -15.7 | |
| 38HIRO柴田 | 28 | -0.9 | -0.8 | -14.5 | -13.5 | |
| 39堀慎吾 | 32 | -1.0 | -0.8 | -13.8 | -12.8 | |
| 40小林剛 | 25 | -1.0 | -0.3 | -17.8 | -16.8 | |
色帶是實力推估的90%區間,圓點是推估值,直線是聯盟平均(0)。實力推估是比賽數越少、就越往聯盟平均拉近估算的值。「扣除運氣的推估」則是再從得分中扣除配牌、摸牌、裏寶牌、一發的運氣後估算的值(計算方法(日文))。「實際成績 − 推估」的長條,表示實際成績高於推估的部分(藍)與低於推估的部分(紅)。
運氣與聯盟平均的差。越藍運氣越好,越紅運氣越差
| 選手 | 運氣帶來的得分(/半莊) | 配牌好壞(向聽數) | 配牌的寶牌・赤寶牌 | 摸牌好壞 | 裏寶牌運 | 一發率(/立直) | 不易被追立(/先制立直) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 高宮まり | +8.9 | +0.06 | -0.02 | +0.4% | +0.11 | +0.4% | -5.5% |
| 園田賢 | +8.3 | -0.07 | -0.02 | +1.0% | -0.00 | +6.7% | -7.1% |
| 中田花奈 | +6.7 | -0.01 | +0.01 | -0.9% | +0.03 | +5.9% | +3.1% |
| 白鳥翔 | +6.3 | +0.05 | +0.01 | +0.4% | +0.05 | +4.9% | -8.9% |
| 瀬戸熊直樹 | +6.0 | +0.02 | +0.08 | +0.2% | -0.19 | +4.9% | +6.6% |
| 渡辺太 | +5.6 | -0.02 | -0.01 | +0.4% | +0.26 | +1.8% | -6.0% |
| 永井孝典 | +5.0 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.7% | -0.00 | +0.3% | -6.9% |
| 東城りお | +4.5 | -0.00 | -0.01 | +0.4% | -0.11 | -3.8% | -0.0% |
| 伊達朱里紗 | +4.3 | +0.09 | +0.05 | +0.2% | -0.07 | -2.1% | +5.3% |
| 黒沢咲 | +4.0 | +0.00 | -0.05 | +0.2% | +0.00 | +3.6% | +12.1% |
| 下石戟 | +3.1 | +0.03 | +0.09 | +0.2% | +0.12 | -3.5% | -6.4% |
| 鈴木大介 | +3.0 | +0.07 | +0.08 | +0.6% | +0.17 | -3.7% | +3.1% |
| 瑞原明奈 | +2.4 | +0.01 | -0.03 | +0.9% | +0.04 | +1.2% | -2.5% |
| 滝沢和典 | +2.3 | +0.06 | +0.01 | -0.2% | +0.01 | +1.7% | +7.9% |
| 醍醐大 | +2.2 | +0.02 | -0.08 | +0.1% | +0.06 | +8.9% | -5.8% |
| 勝又健志 | +2.0 | -0.08 | +0.02 | +0.8% | +0.09 | +1.5% | -4.0% |
| 佐々木寿人 | +1.5 | +0.01 | -0.02 | -0.0% | -0.15 | +7.7% | -1.0% |
| 逢川恵夢 | +0.8 | -0.04 | -0.06 | +0.8% | +0.11 | -0.5% | +8.4% |
| 石井一馬 | +0.6 | +0.03 | -0.07 | +0.2% | -0.20 | +4.7% | +0.3% |
| 内川幸太郎 | +0.2 | -0.09 | -0.01 | +0.4% | -0.11 | +3.8% | -1.9% |
| 日向藍子 | -0.3 | -0.05 | -0.12 | +0.5% | +0.02 | -1.4% | -2.6% |
| 茅森早香 | -0.4 | +0.02 | +0.01 | -0.1% | +0.29 | -3.7% | +4.8% |
| 鈴木優 | -0.4 | +0.03 | -0.02 | +0.2% | +0.02 | -0.8% | -5.7% |
| 二階堂亜樹 | -0.7 | -0.03 | -0.09 | -0.4% | +0.04 | +1.1% | +2.2% |
| 竹内元太 | -1.0 | +0.01 | -0.05 | +1.5% | -0.06 | +3.3% | -10.8% |
| 多井隆晴 | -1.2 | -0.00 | -0.02 | -0.7% | +0.11 | -0.0% | +6.7% |
| 岡田紗佳 | -1.2 | +0.03 | +0.03 | +0.3% | -0.02 | -1.2% | +2.1% |
| 浅見真紀 | -1.4 | +0.03 | -0.04 | +0.6% | +0.25 | -4.3% | -1.2% |
| 本田朋広 | -1.5 | -0.01 | +0.04 | -0.1% | +0.14 | -4.5% | -1.3% |
| 阿久津翔太 | -2.2 | +0.07 | -0.04 | +0.7% | +0.14 | -0.3% | -3.5% |
| 鈴木たろう | -2.6 | -0.00 | -0.01 | -0.5% | -0.26 | -3.1% | -2.1% |
| 三浦智博 | -4.0 | +0.01 | +0.00 | -1.1% | +0.21 | -2.8% | +12.1% |
| 堀慎吾 | -5.9 | +0.02 | -0.02 | -0.5% | +0.20 | +1.2% | -1.8% |
| HIRO柴田 | -6.0 | -0.06 | -0.01 | -0.0% | -0.19 | +0.3% | +2.9% |
| 仲林圭 | -6.1 | -0.10 | -0.04 | -0.7% | +0.05 | -3.6% | +5.3% |
| 渋川難波 | -6.2 | +0.03 | -0.05 | -0.3% | -0.18 | -1.5% | +1.9% |
| 松本吉弘 | -8.6 | -0.02 | -0.07 | -1.0% | +0.25 | -1.8% | -1.2% |
| 浅井堂岐 | -10.2 | +0.01 | +0.01 | -0.9% | +0.11 | -3.5% | -1.2% |
| 萩原聖人 | -10.2 | +0.01 | +0.04 | -0.3% | -0.04 | -2.1% | -1.1% |
| 小林剛 | -14.7 | -0.05 | -0.00 | -0.3% | -0.25 | -5.8% | -6.5% |
顏色深淺以各欄中最大的差距為基準。運氣帶來的得分,是將右側各項目換算成得分後的合計。
2025-26決定各場比賽的一局 得分與順位等官方成績請見M League 官方網站。