例行賽 32人 188半莊
2022-23 賽季
每半莊的實際成績在選手之間差距達29pt,但扣除運氣後估算的實力推估差距只有2.7pt。排名表上的差距大多來自運氣。
實力推估的最大差距
2.7
pt/半莊。實際成績的差距為29.4
實際成績與實力推估每半莊,依運氣加分・扣分排序
運氣帶來的得分來自配牌・摸牌・裏寶牌,pt/半莊
以聯盟平均的運氣為0,將配牌、摸牌、裏寶牌的好壞換算成得分後相當於幾pt(計算方法 4(日文))。
實力推估每半莊得分,依推估由高到低,10半莊以上
| 選手 | 半莊 | 90%區間 | 實力推估 | 扣除運氣的推估 | 實際成績 | 實際成績 − 推估 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1伊達朱里紗 | 24 | +1.3 | +0.4 | +13.3 | +12.0 | |
| 2本田朋広 | 28 | +1.2 | +1.6 | +11.0 | +9.7 | |
| 3瑞原明奈 | 23 | +1.1 | +2.3 | +11.8 | +10.7 | |
| 4園田賢 | 35 | +1.0 | +0.8 | +7.5 | +6.5 | |
| 5勝又健志 | 23 | +1.0 | +0.8 | +10.5 | +9.5 | |
| 6佐々木寿人 | 24 | +0.9 | +0.9 | +8.9 | +8.0 | |
| 7松ヶ瀬隆弥 | 27 | +0.8 | +1.3 | +7.9 | +7.0 | |
| 8高宮まり | 23 | +0.8 | +0.9 | +8.4 | +7.7 | |
| 9東城りお | 24 | +0.7 | 0.0 | +6.8 | +6.1 | |
| 10内川幸太郎 | 25 | +0.6 | +0.8 | +6.0 | +5.4 | |
| 11日向藍子 | 21 | +0.5 | +0.5 | +6.1 | +5.6 | |
| 12二階堂瑠美 | 21 | +0.4 | +0.3 | +5.0 | +4.6 | |
| 13松本吉弘 | 25 | +0.4 | -0.4 | +4.1 | +3.7 | |
| 14岡田紗佳 | 18 | +0.2 | 0.0 | +2.0 | +1.9 | |
| 15二階堂亜樹 | 23 | +0.1 | -0.1 | +1.2 | +1.1 | |
| 以下低於聯盟平均 | ||||||
| 16黒沢咲 | 23 | 0.0 | -0.4 | -0.4 | -0.4 | |
| 17瀬戸熊直樹 | 24 | -0.1 | +0.8 | -1.4 | -1.3 | |
| 18白鳥翔 | 24 | -0.3 | -0.7 | -3.5 | -3.2 | |
| 19多井隆晴 | 24 | -0.4 | -0.3 | -3.8 | -3.4 | |
| 20鈴木優 | 24 | -0.4 | +0.1 | -3.9 | -3.5 | |
| 21渋川難波 | 24 | -0.4 | 0.0 | -4.4 | -4.0 | |
| 22仲林圭 | 24 | -0.4 | -0.8 | -4.6 | -4.1 | |
| 23堀慎吾 | 27 | -0.5 | 0.0 | -4.6 | -4.1 | |
| 24小林剛 | 23 | -0.5 | -2.1 | -5.6 | -5.1 | |
| 25滝沢和典 | 23 | -0.5 | -0.4 | -5.9 | -5.3 | |
| 26丸山奏子 | 12 | -0.6 | -0.8 | -11.8 | -11.2 | |
| 27茅森早香 | 25 | -0.7 | -1.2 | -7.5 | -6.7 | |
| 28近藤誠一 | 21 | -0.8 | -0.2 | -9.3 | -8.5 | |
| 29村上淳 | 23 | -1.2 | -0.4 | -13.4 | -12.1 | |
| 30萩原聖人 | 19 | -1.3 | -1.0 | -16.1 | -14.8 | |
| 31鈴木たろう | 24 | -1.3 | -0.9 | -13.6 | -12.3 | |
| 32魚谷侑未 | 24 | -1.4 | -1.9 | -14.8 | -13.4 | |
色帶是實力推估的90%區間,圓點是推估值,直線是聯盟平均(0)。實力推估是比賽數越少、就越往聯盟平均拉近估算的值。「扣除運氣的推估」則是再從得分中扣除配牌、摸牌、裏寶牌的運氣後估算的值(計算方法(日文))。「實際成績 − 推估」的長條,表示實際成績高於推估的部分(藍)與低於推估的部分(紅)。
運氣與聯盟平均的差。越藍運氣越好,越紅運氣越差
| 選手 | 運氣帶來的得分(/半莊) | 配牌好壞(向聽數) | 配牌的寶牌・赤寶牌 | 摸牌好壞 | 裏寶牌運 | 一發率 | 不易被追立(/先制立直) | 莊家被重自摸率 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 小林剛 | +11.3 | +0.09 | +0.01 | +0.4% | -0.04 | +10.6% | -4.1% | 10.0% |
| 伊達朱里紗 | +9.9 | +0.04 | +0.06 | +1.0% | +0.06 | -4.4% | -8.6% | 7.8% |
| 松本吉弘 | +6.8 | +0.01 | +0.04 | +0.8% | +0.05 | -1.8% | -3.5% | 15.4% |
| 東城りお | +6.8 | -0.01 | +0.09 | +0.3% | +0.11 | +8.0% | +3.1% | 13.9% |
| 勝又健志 | +4.2 | -0.03 | -0.05 | +0.6% | -0.08 | -8.0% | +4.0% | 10.4% |
| 園田賢 | +3.2 | -0.03 | +0.06 | -0.1% | -0.03 | -10.2% | +2.8% | 12.8% |
| 黒沢咲 | +3.1 | +0.12 | -0.03 | +0.1% | +0.11 | -0.2% | -2.3% | 9.9% |
| 二階堂瑠美 | +2.5 | -0.11 | +0.05 | +0.3% | -0.02 | -9.0% | +11.0% | 16.4% |
| 岡田紗佳 | +2.2 | +0.02 | +0.04 | +0.1% | +0.10 | +13.6% | -1.0% | 13.8% |
| 二階堂亜樹 | +2.2 | +0.04 | +0.02 | +0.5% | +0.14 | -4.6% | +10.5% | 10.5% |
| 白鳥翔 | +2.0 | -0.03 | +0.06 | +0.9% | -0.28 | -6.7% | -0.3% | 12.0% |
| 日向藍子 | +1.9 | +0.11 | +0.04 | -0.3% | +0.49 | -10.7% | -8.0% | 15.5% |
| 佐々木寿人 | +1.8 | +0.08 | -0.05 | +0.3% | +0.03 | -1.6% | +1.4% | 19.5% |
| 茅森早香 | +1.5 | -0.04 | +0.03 | -0.6% | -0.12 | +19.1% | -2.4% | 9.1% |
| 仲林圭 | +1.3 | +0.10 | -0.01 | -0.3% | +0.15 | +3.6% | -3.8% | 11.7% |
| 高宮まり | +1.2 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +1.1% | +0.04 | +3.6% | +2.2% | 12.0% |
| 内川幸太郎 | +0.4 | +0.10 | +0.04 | +0.0% | +0.15 | -10.1% | -2.6% | 19.0% |
| 本田朋広 | +0.3 | -0.05 | -0.04 | -0.0% | +0.07 | +9.1% | -1.8% | 11.0% |
| 魚谷侑未 | +0.2 | +0.02 | -0.04 | -0.8% | -0.13 | +0.3% | +4.9% | 14.1% |
| 丸山奏子 | -0.1 | -0.03 | +0.03 | +1.0% | -0.10 | -3.1% | +5.3% | 9.1% |
| 松ヶ瀬隆弥 | -1.4 | -0.01 | +0.04 | +0.1% | -0.02 | +4.5% | -2.3% | 4.1% |
| 多井隆晴 | -1.6 | +0.09 | -0.01 | -0.4% | -0.24 | -7.2% | +4.5% | 9.5% |
| 滝沢和典 | -2.6 | +0.11 | -0.06 | -0.8% | -0.02 | -13.3% | +11.9% | 10.7% |
| 渋川難波 | -4.3 | -0.02 | +0.04 | -0.4% | +0.02 | +5.3% | +7.1% | 8.8% |
| 堀慎吾 | -4.8 | -0.05 | +0.06 | -0.3% | -0.09 | -3.6% | +0.8% | 11.1% |
| 鈴木優 | -4.9 | -0.03 | +0.06 | +0.2% | +0.10 | -6.0% | -0.3% | 11.8% |
| 萩原聖人 | -6.7 | -0.06 | +0.02 | -0.2% | -0.28 | +5.3% | +1.9% | 8.5% |
| 瑞原明奈 | -7.0 | -0.03 | +0.01 | -1.1% | -0.05 | +16.0% | -11.1% | 9.3% |
| 鈴木たろう | -7.0 | -0.03 | -0.07 | -0.6% | +0.06 | -1.2% | +1.5% | 8.5% |
| 瀬戸熊直樹 | -7.4 | -0.06 | -0.03 | -0.9% | +0.03 | +15.7% | -2.1% | 13.0% |
| 近藤誠一 | -7.4 | +0.08 | -0.10 | -0.5% | -0.00 | +4.1% | +3.1% | 7.5% |
| 村上淳 | -9.8 | -0.02 | +0.00 | -0.3% | -0.08 | -4.4% | +1.2% | 11.4% |
顏色深淺以各欄中最大的差距為基準。運氣帶來的得分,是將右側各項目換算成得分後的合計。
2022-23決定各場比賽的一局 得分與順位等官方成績請見M League 官方網站。