例行賽 40人 124半莊
2026-27 賽季
每半莊的實際成績在選手之間差距達89pt,但扣除運氣後估算的實力推估差距只有4.5pt。排名表上的差距大多來自運氣。
實力推估的最大差距
4.5
pt/半莊。實際成績的差距為88.7
實際成績與實力推估每半莊,依運氣加分・扣分排序
運氣帶來的得分來自配牌・摸牌・裏寶牌,pt/半莊
以聯盟平均的運氣為0,將配牌、摸牌、裏寶牌的好壞換算成得分後相當於幾pt(計算方法 4(日文))。
實力推估每半莊得分,依推估由高到低,10半莊以上
| 選手 | 半莊 | 90%區間 | 實力推估 | 扣除運氣的推估 | 實際成績 | 實際成績 − 推估 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1瀬戸熊直樹 | 13 | +2.1 | +1.7 | +38.8 | +36.6 | |
| 2本田朋広 | 15 | +1.1 | +1.6 | +18.1 | +17.0 | |
| 3岡田紗佳 | 11 | +1.1 | +1.0 | +23.2 | +22.1 | |
| 4渡辺太 | 14 | +0.9 | +0.7 | +15.6 | +14.7 | |
| 5佐々木寿人 | 15 | +0.8 | +0.1 | +13.2 | +12.4 | |
| 6HIRO柴田 | 15 | +0.8 | +1.5 | +12.8 | +12.0 | |
| 7尻無濱航 | 14 | +0.6 | +0.8 | +10.5 | +9.9 | |
| 8多井隆晴 | 14 | +0.5 | -0.1 | +9.1 | +8.6 | |
| 9堀慎吾 | 12 | +0.4 | +0.8 | +8.4 | +7.9 | |
| 10醍醐大 | 13 | +0.4 | +0.8 | +7.7 | +7.2 | |
| 11松本吉弘 | 16 | +0.4 | +0.8 | +5.7 | +5.3 | |
| 12高宮まり | 11 | +0.4 | -0.3 | +8.0 | +7.7 | |
| 13滝沢和典 | 12 | +0.2 | +0.5 | +4.3 | +4.1 | |
| 14東城りお | 13 | +0.2 | -0.1 | +3.9 | +3.7 | |
| 15仲林圭 | 16 | +0.2 | -0.2 | +3.1 | +2.9 | |
| 16勝又健志 | 14 | +0.1 | +0.8 | +2.5 | +2.4 | |
| 17中田花奈 | 10 | +0.1 | +0.5 | +3.3 | +3.1 | |
| 18鈴木優 | 12 | +0.1 | +0.8 | +1.2 | +1.1 | |
| 19浅見真紀 | 10 | 0.0 | -0.4 | +0.3 | +0.3 | |
| 以下低於聯盟平均 | ||||||
| 20鈴木たろう | 13 | -0.1 | -0.3 | -1.6 | -1.5 | |
| 21鈴木大介 | 13 | -0.1 | -0.6 | -2.3 | -2.2 | |
| 22二階堂亜樹 | 10 | -0.1 | +0.1 | -3.4 | -3.2 | |
| 23逢川恵夢 | 11 | -0.3 | 0.0 | -5.8 | -5.5 | |
| 24内川幸太郎 | 13 | -0.3 | -0.2 | -5.5 | -5.2 | |
| 25阿久津翔太 | 13 | -0.3 | -0.6 | -5.7 | -5.4 | |
| 26茅森早香 | 12 | -0.3 | -0.5 | -6.5 | -6.2 | |
| 27下石戟 | 14 | -0.3 | 0.0 | -5.7 | -5.4 | |
| 28伊達朱里紗 | 12 | -0.4 | -0.4 | -7.1 | -6.8 | |
| 29朝倉康心 | 12 | -0.4 | -0.8 | -7.6 | -7.2 | |
| 30黒沢咲 | 11 | -0.4 | -0.7 | -8.6 | -8.2 | |
| 31瑞原明奈 | 10 | -0.4 | -0.5 | -10.0 | -9.6 | |
| 32竹内元太 | 16 | -0.5 | -0.2 | -7.3 | -6.8 | |
| 33石井一馬 | 15 | -0.5 | -0.5 | -8.1 | -7.6 | |
| 34園田賢 | 13 | -0.6 | -1.0 | -11.7 | -11.0 | |
| 35永井孝典 | 13 | -1.0 | -0.9 | -17.6 | -16.6 | |
| 36萩原聖人 | 11 | -2.3 | -1.9 | -50.0 | -47.6 | |
色帶是實力推估的90%區間,圓點是推估值,直線是聯盟平均(0)。實力推估是比賽數越少、就越往聯盟平均拉近估算的值。「扣除運氣的推估」則是再從得分中扣除配牌、摸牌、裏寶牌的運氣後估算的值(計算方法(日文))。「實際成績 − 推估」的長條,表示實際成績高於推估的部分(藍)與低於推估的部分(紅)。
運氣與聯盟平均的差。越藍運氣越好,越紅運氣越差
| 選手 | 運氣帶來的得分(/半莊) | 配牌好壞(向聽數) | 配牌的寶牌・赤寶牌 | 摸牌好壞 | 裏寶牌運 | 一發率 | 不易被追立(/先制立直) | 莊家被重自摸率 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 瀬戸熊直樹 | +16.4 | +0.05 | -0.02 | +0.6% | -0.03 | -0.4% | +3.7% | 20.6% |
| 高宮まり | +13.2 | +0.05 | +0.10 | +1.4% | +0.10 | -2.1% | +5.3% | 12.5% |
| 佐々木寿人 | +12.4 | -0.05 | +0.06 | +0.9% | -0.14 | -15.0% | -5.2% | 19.5% |
| 多井隆晴 | +10.3 | +0.05 | +0.07 | +0.2% | -0.25 | +9.7% | -6.7% | 14.3% |
| 浅見真紀 | +7.1 | +0.04 | +0.02 | +0.4% | +0.42 | +9.7% | -1.0% | 3.4% |
| 岡田紗佳 | +6.8 | -0.12 | +0.05 | +0.5% | +0.05 | -5.5% | -16.1% | 12.9% |
| 渡辺太 | +6.6 | -0.03 | +0.06 | +0.8% | -0.05 | +11.5% | -9.3% | 12.8% |
| 東城りお | +5.9 | -0.03 | -0.04 | -0.8% | +0.03 | +3.0% | +2.0% | 6.7% |
| 仲林圭 | +5.6 | +0.10 | +0.01 | -0.5% | +0.16 | -1.6% | -3.6% | 9.1% |
| 鈴木大介 | +5.3 | +0.03 | +0.09 | +1.2% | +0.12 | -1.6% | -5.0% | 10.0% |
| 朝倉康心 | +3.4 | +0.03 | -0.06 | +0.2% | -0.09 | +8.8% | +6.3% | 16.7% |
| 阿久津翔太 | +3.0 | +0.00 | -0.09 | +1.1% | -0.07 | -4.0% | -14.7% | 12.8% |
| 鈴木たろう | +2.9 | +0.09 | +0.00 | -1.3% | +0.23 | +6.9% | +6.6% | 10.8% |
| 日向藍子 | +2.8 | +0.07 | +0.12 | +0.8% | +0.13 | -7.2% | +0.3% | 17.2% |
| 黒沢咲 | +2.3 | +0.10 | -0.03 | +0.0% | +0.04 | +1.7% | +12.3% | 20.6% |
| 園田賢 | +1.7 | -0.09 | -0.08 | +0.2% | +0.09 | +9.7% | -2.3% | 17.1% |
| 尻無濱航 | +0.5 | -0.09 | +0.01 | -0.1% | +0.21 | +6.9% | +6.6% | 9.5% |
| 茅森早香 | +0.5 | -0.00 | -0.01 | -0.6% | +0.41 | +18.7% | -1.0% | 14.3% |
| 瑞原明奈 | -1.0 | -0.03 | -0.13 | -0.7% | +0.34 | +1.7% | +8.1% | 12.8% |
| 本田朋広 | -1.1 | +0.02 | -0.01 | -0.1% | +0.48 | +13.6% | -4.3% | 18.4% |
| 伊達朱里紗 | -1.5 | +0.05 | +0.10 | -0.8% | -0.08 | -4.4% | -1.6% | 20.0% |
| 石井一馬 | -1.9 | +0.03 | +0.03 | +0.3% | -0.11 | +6.9% | -17.5% | 8.2% |
| 堀慎吾 | -2.7 | -0.03 | -0.04 | +1.3% | -0.03 | -11.4% | +6.1% | 7.9% |
| 滝沢和典 | -2.9 | -0.13 | +0.08 | -0.6% | +0.08 | +1.3% | +1.5% | 13.3% |
| 松本吉弘 | -2.9 | +0.01 | +0.11 | +0.1% | +0.29 | -8.0% | -1.0% | 7.1% |
| 内川幸太郎 | -3.1 | +0.07 | -0.01 | -0.0% | -0.04 | -6.4% | +12.0% | 13.3% |
| 醍醐大 | -3.6 | +0.09 | -0.02 | -0.1% | +0.09 | -15.0% | +0.3% | 19.5% |
| 三浦智博 | -4.2 | +0.06 | -0.17 | -0.1% | +0.33 | -19.7% | +2.2% | 5.0% |
| HIRO柴田 | -4.5 | -0.11 | +0.01 | -1.3% | +0.22 | +8.8% | +1.2% | 6.7% |
| 竹内元太 | -4.9 | +0.04 | -0.08 | +0.5% | -0.02 | -3.1% | +6.0% | 11.1% |
| 逢川恵夢 | -5.1 | +0.01 | -0.01 | -1.3% | -0.17 | +1.7% | +3.9% | 15.2% |
| 中田花奈 | -5.3 | -0.10 | -0.00 | -0.5% | +0.08 | -10.7% | +5.3% | 10.5% |
| 二階堂亜樹 | -5.5 | +0.01 | -0.00 | -0.1% | -0.31 | -7.2% | +1.3% | 0.0% |
| 永井孝典 | -5.7 | +0.08 | +0.00 | -0.8% | -0.12 | +5.3% | +11.5% | 8.0% |
| 下石戟 | -6.1 | -0.01 | -0.11 | +0.5% | +0.44 | +16.6% | -5.1% | 20.0% |
| 勝又健志 | -7.1 | +0.01 | -0.07 | -0.1% | -0.20 | -9.7% | +11.7% | 4.8% |
| 白鳥翔 | -7.4 | -0.01 | +0.01 | -0.4% | +0.57 | -5.5% | -15.9% | 3.6% |
| 佐野ひなこ | -9.4 | +0.01 | -0.06 | +0.1% | +0.39 | +2.5% | -14.7% | 11.4% |
| 鈴木優 | -10.5 | -0.07 | -0.07 | +1.2% | -0.16 | -12.6% | -9.7% | 13.2% |
| 萩原聖人 | -19.8 | +0.01 | +0.01 | -1.2% | +0.28 | -19.7% | -3.3% | 19.0% |
顏色深淺以各欄中最大的差距為基準。運氣帶來的得分,是將右側各項目換算成得分後的合計。
2026-27決定各場比賽的一局 得分與順位等官方成績請見M League 官方網站。